• Title/Summary/Keyword: Small area estimation methods

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Bayes Prediction for Small Area Estimation

  • Lee, Sang-Eun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.407-416
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    • 2001
  • Sample surveys are usually designed and analyzed to produce estimates for a large area or populations. Therefore, for the small area estimations, sample sizes are often not large enough to give adequate precision. Several small area estimation methods were proposed in recent years concerning with sample sizes. Here, we will compare simple Bayesian approach with Bayesian prediction for small area estimation based on linear regression model. The performance of the proposed method was evaluated through unemployment population data form Economic Active Population(EAP) Survey.

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Application of In-direct Estimation for Small Area Statistics (소지역 통계 생산을 위한 추정방법)

  • Kim, Young-Won;Sung, Na-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.111-126
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    • 2000
  • Small area estimation is becoming important in survey sampling due to a growing demand for reliable small area statistics. In estimating means, totals, and other parameters for small areas of a finite population, samplie sizes for small areas are typically small because the overall sample size is usually determined to provide specific accuracy at a much higher level of aggregation than that of small area. The usual direct estimators that use the only information which is gotten from the sample in a given small area provide unreliable estimates. However, indirect estimators utilize the information from the areas related with a given small area, that is, borrow strength from other related areas, and so give more accurate estimates than direct estimators. In this paper we investigate small area estimation methods such as synthetic, composite and empirical best linear unbiased prediction estimator, and apply them to real domestic data which is from the Survey of Hotels and Restaurants in In-Chon as of 1996 and then evaluate the performance of these methods by measuring average squared errors. This evaluation shows that indirect estimators, which are small area estimation methods, are more efficient than direct estimator.

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A Small Area Estimation for Monthly Wage Using Mean Squared Percentage Error (MSPE를 이용한 임금총액 소지역 추정)

  • Hwang, Hee-Jin;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.403-414
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    • 2009
  • Many researches have been devoted to the small area estimation related with the area level statistics. Almost all of the small area estimation methods are derived based on minimization of mean squared error(MSE). Recently Hwang and Shin (2008) suggested an alternative small area estimation method by minimizing mean squared percentage error. In this paper we apply this small area estimation method to the labor statistics, especially monthly wages by a branch area of labor department. The Monthly Labor Survey data (2007) is used for analysis and comparison of these methods.

A Comparative Study of Small Area Estimation Methods (소지역 추정법에 관한 비교연구)

  • Park, Jong-Tae;Lee, Sang-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2001
  • Usually estimating the means is used for statistical inference. However depending the purpose of survey, sometimes totals will give the better and more meaningful in statistical inference than the means. Here in this study, we dealt with the unemployment population of small areas with using 4 different small area estimation methods: Direct, Synthetic, Composite, Bayes estimation. For all the estimates considered in this study, the average of absolute bias and men square error were obtained in the Monte Carlo Study which was simulated using data from 1998 Economic Active Population Survey in Korea.

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Small area estimation of the insurance benefit for customer segmentations (고객집단별 보험금에 대한 소지역 추정)

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa;Kim, Ki-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2009
  • Bayesian methods have been focused in recent years for solving small area estimation problems. In this paper, the hierarchical Bayes procedure is implemented via MCMC techniques and compared with the results of One-way, GLM-Normal, and GLM-Gamma cases by analyzing real data of insurance benefit for customer segmentations. After analyzing insurance benefit real data for customer segmentations, we can conclude that the insurance benefit estimator through the small area estimation is more efficient than the estimators by other methods. In addition, we found that the small area estimation gave accurate estimation result for the small number domains.

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Model- Data Based Small Area Estimation

  • Shin, Key-Il;Lee, Sang Eun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.637-645
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    • 2003
  • Small area estimation had been studied using data-based methods such as Direct, Indirect, Synthetic methods. However recently, model-based such as based on regression or time series estimation methods are applied to the study. In this paper we investigate a model-data based small area estimation which takes into account the spatial relation among the areas. The Economic Active Population Survey in 2001 are used for analysis and the results from the model based and model-data based estimation are compared with using MSE(Mean squared error), MAE(Mean absolute error) and MB(Mean bias).

Geographically weighted kernel logistic regression for small area proportion estimation

  • Shim, Jooyong;Hwang, Changha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.531-538
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    • 2016
  • In this paper we deal with the small area estimation for the case that the response variables take binary values. The mixed effects models have been extensively studied for the small area estimation, which treats the spatial effects as random effects. However, when the spatial information of each area is given specifically as coordinates it is popular to use the geographically weighted logistic regression to incorporate the spatial information by assuming that the regression parameters vary spatially across areas. In this paper, relaxing the linearity assumption and propose a geographically weighted kernel logistic regression for estimating small area proportions by using basic principle of kernel machine. Numerical studies have been carried out to compare the performance of proposed method with other methods in estimating small area proportion.

Application of In-direct Estimation for Small Area Statistics (소지역 통계분석기법의 활용-도소매업 및 서비스업 통계조사 사례연구-)

  • 김영원;성나영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.57-73
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    • 2000
  • Small area estimation is becoming important in survey sampling due to a growing demand for reliable small area statistics. In estimating means, totals, and other parameters for small areas of a finite population, samplie sizes for small areas are typically small because the overall sample size is usually determined to provide specific accuracy at a much higher level of aggregation than that of small area. The usual direct estimators that use the only information which is gotten from the sample in a given small area provide unreliable estimates. However, indirect estimators utilize the information from the areas related with a given small area, that is borrow strength from other related areas, and so give more accurate estimates than direct estimators. In this paper we investigate small area estimation methods such as synthetic, composite and empirical best linear unbiased prediction estimator, and apply them to real domestic data which is from the Survey of Hotels and Restaurants in In-Chon as of 1996 and then evaluate the performance of these methods by measuring average squared errors. This evaluation shows that indirect estimators, which are small area estimation methods, are more efficient direct estimator.

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Estimation of Small Area Proportions Based on Logistic Mixed Model

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo;Son, Jung-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.153-161
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    • 2009
  • We consider a logistic model with random effects as the superpopulation for estimating the small area pro-portions. The best linear unbiased predictor under linear mired model is popular in small area estimation. We use this type of estimator under logistic mixed motel for the small area proportions, on which the estimation of mean squared error is also discussed. Two kinds of estimation methods, the parametric bootstrap and the linear approximation will be compared through a Monte Carlo study in the respects of the normality assumption on the random effects distribution and also the magnitude of sample sizes on the approximation.

Shrinkage Prediction for Small Area Estimations (축소예측을 이용한 소지역 추정)

  • Hwang, Hee-Jin;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.109-123
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    • 2008
  • Many small area estimation methods have been suggested. Also for the comparison of the estimation methods, model diagnostic checking techniques have been studied. Almost all of the small area estimators were developed by minimizing MSE(Mean square error) and so the MSE is the well-known comparison criterion for superiority. In this paper we suggested a new small area estimator based on minimizing MSPE(Mean square percentage error) which is recently re-highlighted. Also we compared the new suggested estimator with the estimators explained in Shin et al. (2007) using MSE, MSPE and other diagnostic checking criteria.