• 제목/요약/키워드: Skewness Method

검색결과 187건 처리시간 0.028초

L-모멘트 및 LH-모멘트 기법에 의한 적정 설계홍수량의 유도( I ) - L-모멘트법을 중심으로 - (Derivation of Optimal Design Flood by L-Moments and LB-Moments ( I ) - On the method of L-Moments -)

  • 이순혁;박명근;맹승진;정연수;김동주;류경식
    • 한국농공학회지
    • /
    • 제40권4호
    • /
    • pp.45-57
    • /
    • 1998
  • This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution for the annual maximum series at ten watersheds along Han, Nagdong, Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. Adequacy for the analysis of flood data used in this study was established by the tests of Independence, Homogeneity, detection of Outliers. L-coefficient of variation, L-skewness and L-kurtosis were calculated by L-moment ratio respectively. Parameters were estimated by the Methods of Moments and L-Moments. Design floods obtained by Methods of Moments and L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions in GEV distribution were compared by the Relative Mean Errors(RME) and Relative Absolute Errors(RAE). The results were analyzed and summarized as follows. 1. Adequacy for the analysis of flood data was acknowledged by the tests of Independence, Homogeneity and detection of Outliers. 2. GEV distribution used in this study was found to be more suitable one than Pearson type 3 distribution by the goodness of fit test using Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and L-Moment ratios diagram in the applied watersheds. 3. Parameters for GEV distribution were estimated using Methods of Moments and L-Moments. 4. Design floods were calculated by Methods of Moments and L-Moments in GEV distribution. 5. It was found that design floods derived by the method of L-Moments using Weibull plotting position formula in GEV distribution are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by method of moments using different formulas for plotting positions from the viewpoint of Relative Mean Errors and Relative Absolute Errors.

  • PDF

Simulation of non-Gaussian stochastic processes by amplitude modulation and phase reconstruction

  • Jiang, Yu;Tao, Junyong;Wang, Dezhi
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • 제18권6호
    • /
    • pp.693-715
    • /
    • 2014
  • Stochastic processes are used to represent phenomena in many diverse fields. Numerical simulation method is widely applied for the solution to stochastic problems of complex structures when alternative analytical methods are not applicable. In some practical applications the stochastic processes show non-Gaussian properties. When the stochastic processes deviate significantly from Gaussian, techniques for their accurate simulation must be available. The various existing simulation methods of non-Gaussian stochastic processes generally can only simulate super-Gaussian stochastic processes with the high-peak characteristics. And these methodologies are usually complicated and time consuming, not sufficiently intuitive. By revealing the inherent coupling effect of the phase and amplitude part of discrete Fourier representation of random time series on the non-Gaussian features (such as skewness and kurtosis) through theoretical analysis and simulation experiments, this paper presents a novel approach for the simulation of non-Gaussian stochastic processes with the prescribed amplitude probability density function (PDF) and power spectral density (PSD) by amplitude modulation and phase reconstruction. As compared to previous spectral representation method using phase modulation to obtain a non-Gaussian amplitude distribution, this non-Gaussian phase reconstruction strategy is more straightforward and efficient, capable of simulating both super-Gaussian and sub-Gaussian stochastic processes. Another attractive feature of the method is that the whole process can be implemented efficiently using the Fast Fourier Transform. Cases studies demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed algorithm.

Bayesian Method for Modeling Male Breast Cancer Survival Data

  • Khan, Hafiz Mohammad Rafiqullah;Saxena, Anshul;Rana, Sagar;Ahmed, Nasar Uddin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제15권2호
    • /
    • pp.663-669
    • /
    • 2014
  • Background: With recent progress in health science administration, a huge amount of data has been collected from thousands of subjects. Statistical and computational techniques are very necessary to understand such data and to make valid scientific conclusions. The purpose of this paper was to develop a statistical probability model and to predict future survival times for male breast cancer patients who were diagnosed in the USA during 1973-2009. Materials and Methods: A random sample of 500 male patients was selected from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. The survival times for the male patients were used to derive the statistical probability model. To measure the goodness of fit tests, the model building criterions: Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), and Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) were employed. A novel Bayesian method was used to derive the posterior density function for the parameters and the predictive inference for future survival times from the exponentiated Weibull model, assuming that the observed breast cancer survival data follow such type of model. The Markov chain Monte Carlo method was used to determine the inference for the parameters. Results: The summary results of certain demographic and socio-economic variables are reported. It was found that the exponentiated Weibull model fits the male survival data. Statistical inferences of the posterior parameters are presented. Mean predictive survival times, 95% predictive intervals, predictive skewness and kurtosis were obtained. Conclusions: The findings will hopefully be useful in treatment planning, healthcare resource allocation, and may motivate future research on breast cancer related survival issues.

MS ExcelTM을 이용한 하상재료의 대표입경 계산 프로그램 개발 (Development of program for calculation of representative bed-material size by using MS ExcelTM)

  • 이찬주;남지수;이인
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2017년도 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.334-334
    • /
    • 2017
  • 하상재료와 같은 이질적인 토사의 입도 특성을 나타내기 위해서 특정한 비율의 대표입경이 사용된다. 대표입경은 토사의 평균 입경을 나타낼 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 분급(sorting), 왜도, 첨도 등 입도 분포의 다양한 특성을 나타낼 수 있다. 모래와 점토질(실트, 점토)가 포함된 토사의 경우 대표입경은 두 가지 단계를 거쳐 산정된다. 그 하나는 체분석, 비중계 분석 등을 통해 입경별 중량을 구하는 실험적 단계차이며, 그 다음은 입경별 중량 곡선을 그려서 내삽을 통해 대푯값을 찾아내는 과정이다. 그 중에 두 번째 과정은 통상 그래프를 보고 직접 구하는 그래프법이 사용되어 왔다. 그래프법은 단순하고 직관적이기는 하지만 산정해야 할 대표입경이 여러 가지인 경우에 시간이 많이 소요된다는 단점이 있었다. 이에 본 연구에서는 MS Excel을 이용하여 그래프법에 의해 대표입경을 바로 내삽하여 계산하는 프로그램을 제작하였다. 내삽법은 단순 직선에 의한 방법과 대수 곡선을 이용한 방법을 사용하였다. 그래프법에 의해 육안으로 판정한 대표입경과 비교할 때, 단순 직선 내삽은 평균 5.31%, 대수 내삽은 1.29%의 오차를 갖는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과를 이용하여 자동으로 대표입경을 계산해 주는 엑셀 프로그램(PDA)을 제작하였다.

  • PDF

통계적 특징 기반 SVM을 이용한 야간 전방 차량 검출 기법 (Night Time Leading Vehicle Detection Using Statistical Feature Based SVM)

  • 정정은;김현구;박주현;정호열
    • 대한임베디드공학회논문지
    • /
    • 제7권4호
    • /
    • pp.163-172
    • /
    • 2012
  • A driver assistance system is critical to improve a convenience and stability of vehicle driving. Several systems have been already commercialized such as adaptive cruise control system and forward collision warning system. Efficient vehicle detection is very important to improve such driver assistance systems. Most existing vehicle detection systems are based on a radar system, which measures distance between a host and leading (or oncoming) vehicles under various weather conditions. However, it requires high deployment cost and complexity overload when there are many vehicles. A camera based vehicle detection technique is also good alternative method because of low cost and simple implementation. In general, night time vehicle detection is more complicated than day time vehicle detection, because it is much more difficult to distinguish the vehicle's features such as outline and color under the dim environment. This paper proposes a method to detect vehicles at night time using analysis of a captured color space with reduction of reflection and other light sources in images. Four colors spaces, namely RGB, YCbCr, normalized RGB and Ruta-RGB, are compared each other and evaluated. A suboptimal threshold value is determined by Otsu algorithm and applied to extract candidates of taillights of leading vehicles. Statistical features such as mean, variance, skewness, kurtosis, and entropy are extracted from the candidate regions and used as feature vector for SVM(Support Vector Machine) classifier. According to our simulation results, the proposed statistical feature based SVM provides relatively high performances of leading vehicle detection with various distances in variable nighttime environments.

분위회귀분석을 이용한 개업 치과의사의 의료수익과 소득에 미치는 요인 (Factors Associated with Dental Revenue and Income of Self-Employed Dentist by Using a Quantile Regression Method)

  • 최형길;김명기
    • 보건행정학회지
    • /
    • 제25권3호
    • /
    • pp.240-251
    • /
    • 2015
  • Background: Dentist's income is quite variable. We investigate the factors underlying the distribution of dental revenue and dentist income. Methods: Financial and structural variables of private dental practices(N=13,967) were examined with 2010 Economic Census microdata which include non-insurance revenue. We conducted quantile regression method(QRM) and ordinary least square(OLS) in treating skewness and heteroskedasticity of distributions. The effective estimation for the upper and lower range of distribution becomes possible by QRM. Results: Mid-career dentists are shown to have higher revenue and income. Male dentists achieve the higher revenue and income than female dentists in all quantiles. Group practices show lower income per owner than solo practices significantly. The revenue and income are increased with increasing size of clinics. The high cost in renting the clinic office is found to have a big positive effect on the revenue but a little positive effect on the income. Interestingly the density of dentists shows negative effect on the lowest quantile of the revenue but positive effect on the highest quantile. The lowest quantile of the revenue in the capital areas have the relatively high revenue. The lowest quantile of the income in metropolitan city show higher income than those in other areas significantly. Conclusion: The suggested QRM is shown to have more effective and efficient tool in finding out determinants of dentists' revenue and income of our concern. The results of this study are expected to be employed for dentists preparing for the opening practices in their organizational settings and locational selections. The distributional efficiency of dental human resources could be accomplished if policy makers guide dentists with this knowledge.

Non-Gaussian wind features over complex terrain under atmospheric turbulent boundary layers: A case study

  • Hongtao, Shen;Weicheng, Hu;Qingshan, Yang;Fucheng, Yang;Kunpeng, Guo;Tong, Zhou;Guowei, Qian;Qinggen, Xu;Ziting, Yuan
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • 제35권6호
    • /
    • pp.419-430
    • /
    • 2022
  • In wind-resistant designs, wind velocity is assumed to be a Gaussian process; however, local complex topography may result in strong non-Gaussian wind features. This study investigates the non-Gaussian wind features over complex terrain under atmospheric turbulent boundary layers by the large eddy simulation (LES) model, and the turbulent inlet of LES is generated by the consistent discretizing random flow generation (CDRFG) method. The performance of LES is validated by two different complex terrains in Changsha and Mianyang, China, and the results are compared with wind tunnel tests and onsite measurements, respectively. Furthermore, the non-Gaussian parameters, such as skewness, kurtosis, probability curves, and gust factors, are analyzed in-depth. The results show that the LES method is in good agreement with both mean and turbulent wind fields from wind tunnel tests and onsite measurements. Wind fields in complex terrain mostly exhibit a left-skewed Gaussian process, and it changes from a softening Gaussian process to a hardening Gaussian process as the height increases. A reduction in the gust factors of about 2.0%-15.0% can be found by taking into account the non-Gaussian features, except for a 4.4% increase near the ground in steep terrain. This study can provide a reference for the assessment of extreme wind loads on structures in complex terrain.

IPTV에서 컷 검색을 위한 색 분포정보를 이용한 FE-CBIRS (FE-CBIRS Using Color Distribution for Cut Retrieval in IPTV)

  • 구건서
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
    • /
    • 제14권1호
    • /
    • pp.91-97
    • /
    • 2009
  • 본 논문은 IPTV에서 방영되는 디지털 콘텐츠에서 검색하고자 하는 컷의 위치 정보를 검색하는데, 이때 색 분포에 관한 특징 정보를 이용한 FE-CBIRS을 제안한다. 기존 CBIRS에서는 색상과 모양에 대한 정보를 추출하여 이미지를 구분하는 특징정보로써 활용하며, 이미지를 세그멘테이션 처리하여 얻은 부분영역 특징정보를 전체 이미지의 특징정보와 함께 사용하여 검색하는 방법을 제시하였다. 또한 적용되는 색상 특징 정보의 경우 색상, 채도, 명도의 각각에 대한 평균, 표준편차, 왜도를 사용하며 부분영역을 특징정보로 적용하는 경우 대표색상만을 사용한다. 아울러 모양특징정보의 경우 추출된 부분영역들에 대한 불변 모멘트가 주요하게 사용된다. 이로 인한 처리시간의 문제, 정확성의 문제가 제기되어 왔다. 그러나 본 논문에서 제시하는 방법에서는 추출된 색상 특징정보들을 클래스별로 구분하여 인덱싱 하고 검색 시 비교대상 이미지를 해당 컷에 한정하여 적용하므로서 검색속도를 향상시키도록 하였다.

진동 아날로그 신호 기반의 이상상황 탐지를 위한 기계학습 모형의 성능지표 향상 (Improving the Performance of Machine Learning Models for Anomaly Detection based on Vibration Analog Signals)

  • 김재훈;엄상천;박철순
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
    • /
    • 제47권2호
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2024
  • New motor development requires high-speed load testing using dynamo equipment to calculate the efficiency of the motor. Abnormal noise and vibration may occur in the test equipment rotating at high speed due to misalignment of the connecting shaft or looseness of the fixation, which may lead to safety accidents. In this study, three single-axis vibration sensors for X, Y, and Z axes were attached on the surface of the test motor to measure the vibration value of vibration. Analog data collected from these sensors was used in classification models for anomaly detection. Since the classification accuracy was around only 93%, commonly used hyperparameter optimization techniques such as Grid search, Random search, and Bayesian Optimization were applied to increase accuracy. In addition, Response Surface Method based on Design of Experiment was also used for hyperparameter optimization. However, it was found that there were limits to improving accuracy with these methods. The reason is that the sampling data from an analog signal does not reflect the patterns hidden in the signal. Therefore, in order to find pattern information of the sampling data, we obtained descriptive statistics such as mean, variance, skewness, kurtosis, and percentiles of the analog data, and applied them to the classification models. Classification models using descriptive statistics showed excellent performance improvement. The developed model can be used as a monitoring system that detects abnormal conditions of the motor test.

극치파고분포의 형상 모수에 따른 Tetrapod 피복블록의 부분안전계수 산정 (Evaluation of Partial Safety Factors for Tetrapod Armor Blocks Depending on the Shape Parameter of Extreme Wave Height Distributions)

  • 김승우;서경덕;이동영;전기천
    • 대한토목학회논문집
    • /
    • 제32권1B호
    • /
    • pp.59-69
    • /
    • 2012
  • 불확실성이 큰 해안환경을 효과적으로 고려할 수 있는 확률설계의 필요성이 요구되고 있다. 하지만 결정론적 설계법에 익숙한 설계자는 기존 방법과 유사하면서 확률적 개념이 도입된 설계법을 원한다. 따라서 국내외적으로 부분안전계수 설계법이 새로운 설계법으로 채택되고 있다. 국내에서는 경사식 방파제의 피복재로 Tetrapod가 널리 사용된다. 미국과 유럽에서 개발된 부분안전계수 설계법이 Tetrapod를 포함하고는 있지만 제한된 파랑 및 구조물 단면 조건에서 개발되었기 때문에 실제 설계에 사용하기에는 미흡한 부분이 있다. 본 연구에서는 무역항 16곳과 연안항 15곳의 116개 단면 및 파랑조건에서 FORM과 최적화 보정 기법을 사용하여 Tetrapod 피복블록의 부분안전계수를 산정하였다. 특히, Weibull 극치파고 분포의 형상 모수에 따른 부분안전계수를 제안하였다. 그 외 극치분포 형태에 대해서는 왜곡도와 형상 모수의 관계를 통해 본 연구의 부분안전계수를 적용할 수 있다. 마지막으로 제안된 부분안전계수를 기존 구조물에 적용하여 목표수준을 잘 만족하는지 확인하였고 기존에 개발된 부분안전계수보다 적용성과 실효성이 우수함을 보였다.