• Title/Summary/Keyword: Simulated rainfall

Search Result 433, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Analysis of the effect of climate change on IDF curves using scale-invariance technique: focus on RCP 8.5 (Scale-Invariance 기법을 이용한 IDF 곡선의 기후변화 영향 분석: RCP 8.5를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jeonghyeon;Lee, Okjeong;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.49 no.12
    • /
    • pp.995-1006
    • /
    • 2016
  • According to 5th IPCC Climate Change Report, there is a very high likelihood that the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events will increase. In reality, flood damage has increased, and it is necessary to estimate the future probabilistic design rainfall amount that climate change is reflected. In this study, the future probabilistic design precipitation amount is estimated by analyzing trends of future annual maximum daily rainfall derived by RCP 8.5 scenarios and using the scale-invariance technique. In the first step, after reviewing the time-scale characteristics of annual maximum rainfall amounts for each duration observed from 60 sites operating in Korea Meterological Administration, the feasibility of the scale-invariance technique are examined using annual daily maximum rainfall time series simulated under the present climate condition. Then future probabilistic design rainfall amounts for several durations reflecting the effects of climate change are estimated by applying future annual maximum daily rainfall time series in the IDF curve equation derived by scale-invariance properties. It is shown that the increasing trend on the probabilistic design rainfall amount has resulted on most sites, but the decreasing trend in some regions has been projected.

Development of a shot noise process based rainfall-runoff model for urban flood warning system (도시홍수예경보를 위한 shot noise process 기반 강우-유출 모형 개발)

  • Kang, Minseok;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.51 no.1
    • /
    • pp.19-33
    • /
    • 2018
  • This study proposed a rainfall-runoff model for the purpose of real-time flood warning in urban basins. The proposed model was based on the shot noise process, which is expressed as a sum of shot noises determined independently with the peak value, decay parameter and time delay of each sub-basin. The proposed model was different from other rainfall-runoff models from the point that the runoff from each sub-basin reaches the basin outlet independently. The model parameters can be easily determined by the empirical formulas for the concentration time and storage coefficient of a basin and those of the pipe flow. The proposed model was applied to the total of three rainfall events observed at the Jungdong, Guro 1 and Daerim 2 pumping stations to evaluate its applicability. Summarizing the results is as follows. (1) The unit response function of the proposed model, different from other rainfall-runoff models, has the same shape regardless of the rainfall duration. (2) The proposed model shows a convergent shape as the calculation time interval becomes smaller. As the proposed model was proposed to be applied to urban basins, one-minute of calculation time interval would be most appropriate. (3) Application of the one-minute unit response function to the observed rainfall events showed that the simulated runoff hydrographs were very similar to those observed. This result indicates that the proposed model has a good application potential for the rainfall-runoff analysis in urban basins.

EFFCTS OF TILLAGE SYSTEMS ON THE QUALITY OF RUNOFF FROM SLUDGE-AMENDED SOILS

  • Mostaghimi, Saied;Bruggeman, Adriana C.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Agricultural Machinery Conference
    • /
    • 1993.10a
    • /
    • pp.984-993
    • /
    • 1993
  • land application of sewage sludge requires careful monitoring because of its potential for contamination of surface water and groundwater. A rainfall simulator was used to investigated the effects of freshly applied sludge on runoff of sediment and nutrients from agricultural crop lands. Rain was applied to 16 experimental field plots. A three run sequence was used to simulate different initial moisture conditions. Runoff, sediment and nutrient losses were monitored at the base of each plot during the simulated rainfall events. Sludge was surface applied and incorporated at conventionally -tilled plots and surface applied at no-till plots, at rates of 0, 75, 150 kg-N/ha. No-till practices greatly reduced runoff, sediment , and nutrient losses form the sludge treated plots, relative to the conventional tillage practices. Incorporation of the sludge was effective in reducing nutrient yields at the conventionally-tilled plots. This effect was more pronounced during the third rain torm, with wet initial conditions. Peak loadings of nutrients appeared during the rainstorm with wet initial conditions.

  • PDF

Watershed Scale Flood Simulation in Upper Citarum Watershed, West Java-Indonesia using RRI Model

  • Nastiti, Kania Dewi;Kim, Yeonsu;Jung, Kwansue;An, Hyunuk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2015.05a
    • /
    • pp.179-179
    • /
    • 2015
  • Citarum River is one of the important river in West Java, Indonesia. During the rainy season, flood happens almost every year in Upper Citarum Watershed, hence, it is necessary to establish the countermeasure in order to prevent and mitigate flood damages. Since the lack of hydrological data for the modelling is common problem in this area, it is difficult to prepare the countermeasures. Therefore, we used Rainfall-Runoff-Inundation (RRI) Model developed by Sayama et al. (2010) as the hydrological and inundation modelling for evaluating the inundation case happened in Upper Citarum Watershed, West Java, Indonesia and the satellite based information such as rainfall (GSMaP), landuse and so on instead of the limited hydrological data. In addition, 3 arc-second HydroSHEDS Digital Elevation Model (DEM) is used. To verify the model, the observed data of Nanjung water stage gauging station and the daily observation data are used. Simulated inundation areas are compared with the flood extent figure from Upper Citarum Basin Flood Management Project (UCBFM).

  • PDF

Realistic Rainfall Effect Algorithm Comparison and Analysis (사실적인 비 내리는 효과 알고리즘 비교 및 분석)

  • Seo, Taeuk;Sung, Mankyu
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.99-109
    • /
    • 2019
  • Realistic rendering of natural phenomena is a difficult problem. Many environmental factors must be considered to simulate this phenomenon. At the same time, we need to think about their computational complexity to be simulated with computer algorithm One of the most difficult problems in creating weather conditions is the rain. To simulate realistic rainy scene, you have to consider the physical properties of rain and the environmental where the rain is falling down as well. In this paper, we survey the modeling and rendering techniques for realistic rainfall scenes from three different aspects. First, we list up techniques for modeling raindrop dynamics. Second, we survey the rendering techniques that render the raindrop in the environment. Third, we take a look at the hybrid methods that combines the rendering the modeling at the same time. For each aspect, we compare the algorithms in terms of implementation and their speciality.

Comparison of probability distributions to analyze the number of occurrence of torrential rainfall events (집중호우사상의 발생횟수 분석을 위한 확률분포의 비교)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Kim, Hyeung Bae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.49 no.6
    • /
    • pp.481-493
    • /
    • 2016
  • The statistical analysis to the torrential rainfall data that is defined as a rainfall amount more than 80 mm/day is performed with Daegu and Busan rainfall data which is collected during 384 months. The number of occurrence of the torrential rainfall events can be simulated usually using Poisson distribution. However, the Poisson distribution can be frequently failed to simulate the statistical characteristics of the observed value when the observed data is zero-inflated. Therefore, in this study, Generalized Poisson distribution (GPD), Zero-Inflated Poisson distribution (ZIP), Zero-Inflated Generalized Poisson distribution (ZIGP), and Bayesian ZIGP model were used to resolve the zero-inflated problem in the torrential rainfall data. Especially, in Bayesian ZIGP model, a informative prior distribution was used to increase the accuracy of that model. Finally, it was suggested that POI and GPD model should be discouraged to fit the frequency of the torrential rainfall data. Also, Bayesian ZIGP model using informative prior provided the most accurate results. Additionally, it was recommended that ZIP model could be alternative choice on the practical aspect since the Bayesian approach of this study was considerably complex.

Improvement of Rainfall Estimation according to the Calibration Bias of Dual-polarimetric Radar Variables (이중편파레이더 관측오차 보정에 따른 강수량 추정값 개선)

  • Kim, Hae-Lim;Park, Hye-Sook;Ko, Jeong-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.47 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1227-1237
    • /
    • 2014
  • Dual-polarization can distinguish precipitation type and dual-polarization is provide not only meteorological phenomena in the atmosphere but also non-precipitation echoes. Therefore dual-polarization radar can improve radar estimates of rainfall. However polarimetric measurements by transmitting vertically vibration waves and horizontally vibrating waves simultaneously is contain systematic bias of the radar itself. Thus the calibration bias is necessary to improve quantitative precipitation estimation. In this study, the calibration bias of reflectivity (Z) and differential reflectivity ($Z_{DR}$) from the Bislsan dual-polarization radar is calculated using the 2-Dimensional Video Disdrometer (2DVD) data. And an improvement in rainfall estimation is investigated by applying derived calibration bias. A total of 33 rainfall cases occurring in Daegu from 2011 to 2012 were selected. As a results, the calibration bias of Z is about -0.3 to 5.5 dB, and $Z_{DR}$ is about -0.1 dB to 0.6 dB. In most cases, the Bislsan radar generally observes Z and $Z_{DR}$ variables lower than the simulated variables. Before and after calibration bias, compared estimated rainfall from the dual-polarization radar with AWS rain gauge in Daegu found that the mean bias has fallen by 1.69 to 1.54 mm/hr, and the RMSE has decreased by 2.54 to 1.73 mm/hr. And estimated rainfall comparing to the surface rain gauge as ground truth, rainfall estimation is improved about 7-61%.

An Analysis of the water balance of Low Impact Development Techniques According to the Rainfall Types (강우 유형에 따른 저영향개발 기법별 물수지 분석)

  • Yoo, Sohyun;Lee, Dongkun;Kim, Hyomin;Cho, Youngchul
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.24 no.2
    • /
    • pp.163-174
    • /
    • 2015
  • Urbanization caused various environmental problems like destruction of natural water cycle and increased urban flood. To solve these problems, LID(Low Impact Development) deserves attention. The main objective of LID is to restore the water circulation to the state before the development. In the previous studies about the LID, the runoff reduction effect is mainly discussed and the effects of each techniques of LID depending on rainfall types have not fully investigated. The objective of this research is to evaluate the effect of LID using the quantitative simulation of rainwater runoff as well as an amount of infiltration according to the rainfall and LID techniques. To evaluate the water circulation of LID on the development area, new land development areas of Hanam in South Korea is decided as the study site. In this research, hydrological model named STORM is used for the simulation of water balance associated with LID. Rainfall types are separated into two categories based on the rainfall intensity. And simulated LID techniques are green roof, permeable pavement and swale. Results of this research indicate that LID is effective on improvement of water balance in case of the low intensity rainfall event rather than the extreme event. The most effective LID technique is permeable pavement in case of the low intensity rainfall event and swale is effective in case of the high intensity rainfall event. The results of this study could be used as a reference when the spatial plan is made considering the water circulation.

Assessment of the Effect of Geographic Factors and Rainfall on Erosion and Deposition (지형학적 인자 및 강우량에 따른 침식 및 퇴적의 영향 평가)

  • Yu, Wan-Sik;Lee, Gi-Ha;Jung, Kwan-Sue
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.103-112
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study aims to demonstrate the relationship between various factors and soil erosion or deposition, simulated from distributed rainfall-sediment-runoff model applications. We selected area, overland flow length, local slope as catchment representative characteristics among many important geographic factors and also used the grid-based accumulated rainfall as a representative hydro-climatic factor to assess the effect of these two different types of factors on erosion and deposition. The study catchment was divided based on the Strahler's stream order method for analysis of the relationship between area and erosion or deposition. Both erosion and deposition increased linearly as the catchment area became larger. Erosion occurred widely throughout the catchment, whereas deposition was observed at the grid-cells near the channel network with short overland flow lengths and mild slopes. In addition, the relationship results between grid-based accumulated rainfall and soil erosion or deposition showed that erosion increased gradually as rainfall amount increased, whereas deposition responded irregularly to variations in rainfall. Within the context of these results, it can be concluded that deposition is closely related with the geographic factors used in this study while erosion is significantly affected by rainfall.

A Study on the Outlet Drain Discharge from Paddy Field (논의 배수물꼬의 유량에 관한 기초연구)

  • 최진규;김현영;손재권
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.39 no.2
    • /
    • pp.134-142
    • /
    • 1997
  • This study was performed to evaluate the drain runoff characteristics from one paddy field, and to provide the basic data required for the determination of flood discharge and unit drainage water for drainage improvement and farmland consolidation. For this purpose, under the assumption that drain discharge from paddy field was similar to outflow of reservoir, runoff model based on storage equation was applied to the experimental field, and simulated results were compared to the measured discharge at weir point. To estimate effective storage volume of paddy field with water depth, 4 regression formula were examined such as linear, exponential, power, and combined. From the observed runoff characteristics, it was shown to be 3.3~16.3${\ell}$/sec in weir discharge, 57.2~98% in runoff ratio, and relative error of simulated result was 3.0~39.4%, 8.5 ~56.0 % for peak flow and runoff ratio, respectively. Curve number by SCS method was calculated as mean value of 96.4 using measured rainfall and runoff data, it was considered relatively high because paddy field has generally flooding depth contrary to the upland watershed area.

  • PDF