• Title/Summary/Keyword: Simple prediction model

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A Preliminary Study of Enhanced Predictability of Non-Parametric Geostatistical Simulation through History Matching Technique (히스토리매칭 기법을 이용한 비모수 지구통계 모사 예측성능 향상 예비연구)

  • Jeong, Jina;Paudyal, Pradeep;Park, Eungyu
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.56-67
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    • 2012
  • In the present study, an enhanced subsurface prediction algorithm based on a non-parametric geostatistical model and a history matching technique through Gibbs sampler is developed and the iterative prediction improvement procedure is proposed. The developed model is applied to a simple two-dimensional synthetic case where domain is composed of three different hydrogeologic media with $500m{\times}40m$ scale. In the application, it is assumed that there are 4 independent pumping tests performed at different vertical interval and the history curves are acquired through numerical modeling. With two hypothetical borehole information and pumping test data, the proposed prediction model is applied iteratively and continuous improvements of the predictions with reduced uncertainties of the media distribution are observed. From the results and the qualitative/quantitative analysis, it is concluded that the proposed model is good for the subsurface prediction improvements where the history data is available as a supportive information. Once the proposed model be a matured technique, it is believed that the model can be applied to many groundwater, geothermal, gas and oil problems with conventional fluid flow simulators. However, the overall development is still in its preliminary step and further considerations needs to be incorporated to be a viable and practical prediction technique including multi-dimensional verifications, global optimization, etc. which have not been resolved in the present study.

Prediction model of propagation of the millimeter wave wireless transmission channels in the rain environment (밀리미터파 무선전송채널의 강우 전파특성 예측모델 개발)

  • 김영민
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2000
  • The ITU-R model for cross-polarization due to rain is applicable only upto 3.5GHz. The scattering characteristics of rain drops are analyzed by an analytical model. A simple theoretical model for croee-polarization, which is accurate enough in real rainfall environments. is Proposed in this Paper. By comparing this with measurement data and the ITU-R, we have also derived an prediction model for rain cross-polarization applicable upto millimeter wave band.

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Polyethylene flow prediction with a differential multi-mode Pom-Pom model

  • Rutgers, R.P.G.;Clemeur, N.;Debbaut, B.
    • Korea-Australia Rheology Journal
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2002
  • We report the first steps of a collaborative project between the University of Queensland, Polyflow, Michelin, SK Chemicals, and RMIT University, on simulation, validation and application of a recently introduced constitutive model designed to describe branched polymers. Whereas much progress has been made on predicting the complex flow behaviour of many - in particular linear - polymers, it sometimes appears difficult to predict simultaneously shear thinning and extensional strain hardening behaviour using traditional constitutive models. Recently a new viscoelastic model based on molecular topology, was proposed by McLeish and carson (1998). We explore the predictive power of a differential multi-mode version of the porn-pom model for the flow behaviour of two commercial polymer melts: a (long-chain branched) low-density polyethylene (LDPE) and a (linear) high-density polyethylene (HDPE). The model responses are compared to elongational recovery experiments published by Langouche and Debbaut (19c99), and start-up of simple shear flow, stress relaxation after simple and reverse step strain experiments carried out in our laboratory.

Prediction of color reproduction based on compensated Neugebauer Model for dotgain (망점확대를 보완한 Neugebauer 모델에 기반한 색재현 예측)

  • Kim, Jong-Pil;Ahn, Seok-Chul;Miyake, Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Graphic Arts Communication Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.57-68
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    • 2002
  • It is required to estimate color reproduction accurately in printing. Because printing technology has been developing, and most people want to see the best color reproduction. Therefore many color reproduction methods, such as Neural Network, LUT(Look Up Table) have been proposed for a long time. However, these methods are required to measure a lot of samples of printing. In this paper, we propose a new method that prediction of color reproduction based on compensated Neugebauer model for dotgain. This method was significant to increase an accuracy of color prediction with simple process.

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Prediction of Combination-Type-Staggered-Labyrinth Seal Leakage Using CFD (CFD를 사용한 복잡한 형상을 갖는 래버린스 실의 누설량 예측)

  • Ha Tae-Woong
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 2006
  • Leakage reduction through annular type labyrinth seals of steam turbine is necessary for enhancing their efficiency and the precise prediction method of seal leakage is needed. In this study, numerical analysis for leakage prediction of the combination-type-staggered-labyrinth seal has been carried out using FLUENT 6 which is commercial CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) code based on FVM (Finite Volume Method) and SIMPLE algorism. The present CFD results are verified with the theoretical analysis based on Bulk-flow concept which has been mainly used in predicting seal leakage. Comparing with the result of Bulk-flow model analysis, the leakage result of CFD analysis shows good agreement within 7.1% error.

The Prediction of Concrete Creep

  • Shon, Howoong;Kim, Youngkyung
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.277-282
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    • 2004
  • Creep deformation of concrete is often responsible for excessive deflection at loads which can compromise the performance of elements within structures. Hence, the prediction of the magnitude and rate of creep strain is an important requirement of the design process and management of structures. Although laboratory tests may be undertaken to determine the deformation properties of concrete, these are time-consuming, often expensive and generally not a practical option. Therefore, relatively simple empirically based national design code models are relied upon to predict the magnitude of creep strain.This paper reviews the accuracy of creep predictions yielded by eight commonly used international "code type" models, all of which do not consider the same material parameters and yield a range of predicted strains, when compared with actual strains measured on a range of concretes in seventeen different investigations. The models assessed are the: SABS 0100 (1992), BS 8110 (1985), ACI 209 (1992), AS 3600 (1998), CEB-FIP (1970, 1978 and 1990) and the RILEM Model B3 (1995). The RILEM Model B3 (1995) and CEB-FIP (1978) were found to be the most and least accurate, respectively.

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A Statistical Prediction Model of Speakers' Intentions in a Goal-Oriented Dialogue (목적지향 대화에서 화자 의도의 통계적 예측 모델)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Hark-Soo;Seo, Jung-Yun
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.35 no.9
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    • pp.554-561
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    • 2008
  • Prediction technique of user's intention can be used as a post-processing method for reducing the search space of an automatic speech recognizer. Prediction technique of system's intention can be used as a pre-processing method for generating a flexible sentence. To satisfy these practical needs, we propose a statistical model to predict speakers' intentions that are generalized into pairs of a speech act and a concept sequence. Contrary to the previous model using simple n-gram statistic of speech acts, the proposed model represents a dialogue history of a current utterance to a feature set with various linguistic levels (i.e. n-grams of speech act and a concept sequence pairs, clue words, and state information of a domain frame). Then, the proposed model predicts the intention of the next utterance by using the feature set as inputs of CRFs (Conditional Random Fields). In the experiment in a schedule management domain, The proposed model showed the precision of 76.25% on prediction of user's speech act and the precision of 64.21% on prediction of user's concept sequence. The proposed model also showed the precision of 88.11% on prediction of system's speech act and the Precision of 87.19% on prediction of system's concept sequence. In addition, the proposed model showed 29.32% higher average precision than the previous model.

A SPATIAL PREDICTION THEORY FOR LONG-TERM FADING IN MOBILE RADIO COMMUNICATIONS

  • Yoo, Seong-Mo
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 1994
  • There have been traditional approaches to model radio propagation path loss mechanism both theoretically ad empirically. Theoretical approach is simple to explain and effective in certain cases. Empirical approach accommodates the terrain configuration and distance between base station and mobile unit along the propagation path only. In other words, it does not accommodate natural terrain configuration over a specific area. In this paper, we propose a spatial prediction technique for the mobile radio propagation path loss accommodating complete natural terrain configuration over a specific area. Statistical uncertainty analysis is also considered.

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PREDICTION OF AERODYNAMIC HEATING ON A SUPERSONIC MISSILE (초음속 유도탄 공력가열 예측)

  • Sun, Chul;Ahn, C.S.
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.134-137
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    • 2007
  • Aero-Heating phenomenon is one of the severe problems occurring in high speed missile flight. in the high speed flight, not only stagnation point but also aft body parts encounter high temperature related structural problems. But the phenomenon is not easy to predict accurately because unsteady calculation according to a flight trajectory is needed, and takes much time. In this Paper, a fast and precise scheme is introduced, which calculates heat flow and temperature by simple pressure field prediction on a missile.

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압축 착화 기관의 연소 변동 특성에 관한 연구

  • 이창식
    • Journal of the korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 1987
  • This paper deals with the theoretical prediction and cyclic variation of combustion characteristics in a four stroke, single0cylinder, diesel engine. Theoretical calculations employed a simple empirical model of analysis of energy equation for the thermodynamic system of engine cylinder. The cyclic variation of combustion characteristics is investigated, in term of frequency distribution and standard deviation of peak characteristics, as obtained by combustion analyzer system. The results of theoretical prediction are shown to be in close agreement with the experimental data. The effect of fuel injection timing, engine speed, cooling water temperature, and the compression ratio on the cyclic variations of combustion characteristics were discussed.

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