• 제목/요약/키워드: Simple prediction model

검색결과 560건 처리시간 0.028초

히스토리매칭 기법을 이용한 비모수 지구통계 모사 예측성능 향상 예비연구 (A Preliminary Study of Enhanced Predictability of Non-Parametric Geostatistical Simulation through History Matching Technique)

  • 정진아;프라딥 포디얄;박은규
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.56-67
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    • 2012
  • In the present study, an enhanced subsurface prediction algorithm based on a non-parametric geostatistical model and a history matching technique through Gibbs sampler is developed and the iterative prediction improvement procedure is proposed. The developed model is applied to a simple two-dimensional synthetic case where domain is composed of three different hydrogeologic media with $500m{\times}40m$ scale. In the application, it is assumed that there are 4 independent pumping tests performed at different vertical interval and the history curves are acquired through numerical modeling. With two hypothetical borehole information and pumping test data, the proposed prediction model is applied iteratively and continuous improvements of the predictions with reduced uncertainties of the media distribution are observed. From the results and the qualitative/quantitative analysis, it is concluded that the proposed model is good for the subsurface prediction improvements where the history data is available as a supportive information. Once the proposed model be a matured technique, it is believed that the model can be applied to many groundwater, geothermal, gas and oil problems with conventional fluid flow simulators. However, the overall development is still in its preliminary step and further considerations needs to be incorporated to be a viable and practical prediction technique including multi-dimensional verifications, global optimization, etc. which have not been resolved in the present study.

밀리미터파 무선전송채널의 강우 전파특성 예측모델 개발 (Prediction model of propagation of the millimeter wave wireless transmission channels in the rain environment)

  • 김영민
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2000
  • ITU-R의 강우에 의한 교차편과 모델은 35 GHz까지만 적용가능하다. 본 논문에서는 빗방울의 형태에 따른 강우업자의 산란특성을 해석하고 실제의 강우환경에서 충분한 정확도를 가지는 교차편파에 대한 단순한 이론모델을 제안하였다. 이를 측정치 및 ITU-R 모델과 비교함으로써 밀리미터파대역까지 적용할 수 있는 교차편과 추정모델을 도출하였다.

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Polyethylene flow prediction with a differential multi-mode Pom-Pom model

  • Rutgers, R.P.G.;Clemeur, N.;Debbaut, B.
    • Korea-Australia Rheology Journal
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2002
  • We report the first steps of a collaborative project between the University of Queensland, Polyflow, Michelin, SK Chemicals, and RMIT University, on simulation, validation and application of a recently introduced constitutive model designed to describe branched polymers. Whereas much progress has been made on predicting the complex flow behaviour of many - in particular linear - polymers, it sometimes appears difficult to predict simultaneously shear thinning and extensional strain hardening behaviour using traditional constitutive models. Recently a new viscoelastic model based on molecular topology, was proposed by McLeish and carson (1998). We explore the predictive power of a differential multi-mode version of the porn-pom model for the flow behaviour of two commercial polymer melts: a (long-chain branched) low-density polyethylene (LDPE) and a (linear) high-density polyethylene (HDPE). The model responses are compared to elongational recovery experiments published by Langouche and Debbaut (19c99), and start-up of simple shear flow, stress relaxation after simple and reverse step strain experiments carried out in our laboratory.

망점확대를 보완한 Neugebauer 모델에 기반한 색재현 예측 (Prediction of color reproduction based on compensated Neugebauer Model for dotgain)

  • 김종필;안석출;미야케 요우이치
    • 한국인쇄학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.57-68
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    • 2002
  • It is required to estimate color reproduction accurately in printing. Because printing technology has been developing, and most people want to see the best color reproduction. Therefore many color reproduction methods, such as Neural Network, LUT(Look Up Table) have been proposed for a long time. However, these methods are required to measure a lot of samples of printing. In this paper, we propose a new method that prediction of color reproduction based on compensated Neugebauer model for dotgain. This method was significant to increase an accuracy of color prediction with simple process.

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CFD를 사용한 복잡한 형상을 갖는 래버린스 실의 누설량 예측 (Prediction of Combination-Type-Staggered-Labyrinth Seal Leakage Using CFD)

  • 하태웅
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 2006
  • Leakage reduction through annular type labyrinth seals of steam turbine is necessary for enhancing their efficiency and the precise prediction method of seal leakage is needed. In this study, numerical analysis for leakage prediction of the combination-type-staggered-labyrinth seal has been carried out using FLUENT 6 which is commercial CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) code based on FVM (Finite Volume Method) and SIMPLE algorism. The present CFD results are verified with the theoretical analysis based on Bulk-flow concept which has been mainly used in predicting seal leakage. Comparing with the result of Bulk-flow model analysis, the leakage result of CFD analysis shows good agreement within 7.1% error.

The Prediction of Concrete Creep

  • 손호웅;(YoungKyungKim)
    • 지구물리
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.277-282
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    • 2004
  • Creep deformation of concrete is often responsible for excessive deflection at loads which can compromise the performance of elements within structures. Hence, the prediction of the magnitude and rate of creep strain is an important requirement of the design process and management of structures. Although laboratory tests may be undertaken to determine the deformation properties of concrete, these are time-consuming, often expensive and generally not a practical option. Therefore, relatively simple empirically based national design code models are relied upon to predict the magnitude of creep strain.This paper reviews the accuracy of creep predictions yielded by eight commonly used international "code type" models, all of which do not consider the same material parameters and yield a range of predicted strains, when compared with actual strains measured on a range of concretes in seventeen different investigations. The models assessed are the: SABS 0100 (1992), BS 8110 (1985), ACI 209 (1992), AS 3600 (1998), CEB-FIP (1970, 1978 and 1990) and the RILEM Model B3 (1995). The RILEM Model B3 (1995) and CEB-FIP (1978) were found to be the most and least accurate, respectively.

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A SPATIAL PREDICTION THEORY FOR LONG-TERM FADING IN MOBILE RADIO COMMUNICATIONS

  • Yoo, Seong-Mo
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제15권3_4호
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 1994
  • There have been traditional approaches to model radio propagation path loss mechanism both theoretically ad empirically. Theoretical approach is simple to explain and effective in certain cases. Empirical approach accommodates the terrain configuration and distance between base station and mobile unit along the propagation path only. In other words, it does not accommodate natural terrain configuration over a specific area. In this paper, we propose a spatial prediction technique for the mobile radio propagation path loss accommodating complete natural terrain configuration over a specific area. Statistical uncertainty analysis is also considered.

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초음속 유도탄 공력가열 예측 (PREDICTION OF AERODYNAMIC HEATING ON A SUPERSONIC MISSILE)

  • 선철;안창수
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산유체공학회 2007년도 춘계 학술대회논문집
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    • pp.134-137
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    • 2007
  • Aero-Heating phenomenon is one of the severe problems occurring in high speed missile flight. in the high speed flight, not only stagnation point but also aft body parts encounter high temperature related structural problems. But the phenomenon is not easy to predict accurately because unsteady calculation according to a flight trajectory is needed, and takes much time. In this Paper, a fast and precise scheme is introduced, which calculates heat flow and temperature by simple pressure field prediction on a missile.

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압축 착화 기관의 연소 변동 특성에 관한 연구

  • 이창식
    • 오토저널
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 1987
  • This paper deals with the theoretical prediction and cyclic variation of combustion characteristics in a four stroke, single0cylinder, diesel engine. Theoretical calculations employed a simple empirical model of analysis of energy equation for the thermodynamic system of engine cylinder. The cyclic variation of combustion characteristics is investigated, in term of frequency distribution and standard deviation of peak characteristics, as obtained by combustion analyzer system. The results of theoretical prediction are shown to be in close agreement with the experimental data. The effect of fuel injection timing, engine speed, cooling water temperature, and the compression ratio on the cyclic variations of combustion characteristics were discussed.

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목적지향 대화에서 화자 의도의 통계적 예측 모델 (A Statistical Prediction Model of Speakers' Intentions in a Goal-Oriented Dialogue)

  • 김동현;김학수;서정연
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:소프트웨어및응용
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    • 제35권9호
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    • pp.554-561
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    • 2008
  • 사용자 의도 예측 기술은 음성인식기의 탐색 공간을 줄이기 위한 후처리 방법으로 사용될 수 있으며, 시스템 의도 예측 기술은 유연한 응답 생성을 위한 전처리 방법으로 사용될 수 있다. 이러한 실용적인 필요성에 따라 본 논문에서는 화행과 개념열의 쌍으로 일반화된 화자의 의도를 예측하는 통계 모델을 제안한다. 단순한 화행 n-그램 통계만을 이용한 기존의 모델과는 다르게 제안 모델은 현재 발화까지의 대화 이력을 다양한 언어 레벨의 자질 집합(화행과 개념열 쌍의 n-그램, 단서 단어, 영역 프레임의 상태정보)으로 표현한다. 그리고 추출된 자질 집합을 CRFs(Conditional Random Fields)의 입력으로 사용하여 다음 발화의 의도를 예측한다. 일정 관리 영역에서 실험을 수행한 결과, 제안 모델은 사용자의 화행과 개념열 예측에서 각각 76.25%, 64.21%의 정확률을 보였다. 그리고 시스템의 화행과 개념열 예측에서 각각 88.11%, 87.19%의 정확률을 보였다. 또한 기존 모델과 비교하여 29.32% 높은 평균 정확률을 보였다.