• 제목/요약/키워드: Seasonal index

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안전한 항공기 운항을 위한 현업 전지구예보모델 기반 깊은 대류 예측 지수: Part 2. 계절별 최적화 및 사례 분석 (Aviation Convective Index for Deep Convective Area using the Global Unified Model of the Korean Meteorological Administration, Korea: Part 2. Seasonal Optimization and Case Studies)

  • 박이준;김정훈
    • 대기
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.531-548
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    • 2023
  • We developed the Aviation Convective Index (ACI) for predicting deep convective area using the operational global Numerical Weather Prediction model of the Korea Meteorological Administration. Seasonally optimized ACI (ACISnOpt) was developed to consider seasonal variabilities on deep convections in Korea. Yearly optimized ACI (ACIYrOpt) in Part 1 showed that seasonally averaged values of Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) and True Skill Statistics (TSS) were decreased by 0.420% and 5.797%, respectively, due to the significant degradation in winter season. In Part 2, we developed new membership function (MF) and weight combination of input variables in the ACI algorithm, which were optimized in each season. Finally, the seasonally optimized ACI (ACISnOpt) showed better performance skills with the significant improvements in AUC and TSS by 0.983% and 25.641% respectively, compared with those from the ACIYrOpt. To confirm the improvements in new algorithm, we also conducted two case studies in winter and spring with observed Convectively-Induced Turbulence (CIT) events from the aircraft data. In these cases, the ACISnOpt predicted a better spatial distribution and intensity of deep convection. Enhancements in the forecast fields from the ACIYrOpt to ACISnOpt in the selected cases explained well the changes in overall performance skills of the probability of detection for both "yes" and "no" occurrences of deep convection during 1-yr period of the data. These results imply that the ACI forecast should be optimized seasonally to take into account the variabilities in the background conditions for deep convections in Korea.

서해 태안반도 연안에서 오터트롤에 채집된 저서생물의 종조성 및 계절변동 (Comparison of Species Composition and Seasonal Variation of Demersal Organisms Caught by Otter Trawl in the Coastal Waters off the Taean Peninsula, in the West Sea of Korea)

  • 정경숙;차병열;임양재;권대현;황학진;조현수
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.264-273
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    • 2014
  • To investigate species composition and seasonal variation of demersal organisms in the coastal waters off the Taean peninsula, otter trawl surveys were conducted from April 2010 to January 2011. A total of 75 species were collected, including 44 species of Pisces, 19 species of Crustacea, 6 species of Cephalopoda, 4 species of Gastropoda, and 1 species each of Bivalvia and Echinoidea. The dominant species in each season were Palaemon gravieri in spring, Charybdis bimaculata in summer, Loligo japonica in autumn, and Crangon hakodatei in winter. The number of species, individuals and biomass were highest in autumn and lowest in winter. The diversity index was highest in summer and lowest in winter. The dominance index was highest in winter and lowest in summer. The richness index was highest in autumn and lowest in winter. The evenness index was highest in summer and lowest in autumn. A cluster analysis showed that demersal organisms were divided into two groups; spring and winter organisms (Group 1) and summer and autumn organisms (Group 2). We detected a significant difference (P<0.05) between these groups, mainly owing to Platycephalus indicus, Repomucenus koreanus, and Paralichthys olivaceus within Pisces: Trachysalambria curvirostris, Metapenaeopsis dalei, P. gravieri, and C. hakodatei within Crustacea: and L. japonica within Cephalopoda.

Seasonal Variation in Catchability of Penaeid Prawns in the Night-time Prawn Fishery in Albatross Bay, Gulf of Carpentaria, Australia

  • Park Young Cheol;Warburton Kevin;Die David J.
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.114-121
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    • 2002
  • A correction index of catchability (CIC) was derived using a 6 year research data set to examine the seasonal variation in catchability for the night time prawn fishery in Albatross Bay. CIC reflects the composite effect of the monthly variation in size selectivity, emergence­burying behaviour and population density variation of prawn populations. The values of CIC for four dominant species, Metapenaeus endeavouri, M. ensis, Penaeus semisulcatus and P. esculentus, were examined. The value of CIC for M. endeavouri varied substantially and was the highest in August. The values of CIC for M. ensis were high during November to March and the seasonality was weaker than that for M. endeavouri. The monthly variation in CIC for P. semisulcatus reflected the seasonal variation in population density, being high during November to February. These results suggest that the catch ability of P. esculentus is steady throughout the year but it varies greatly on a seasonal basis for M. endeavouri.

기상청 통합지역모델을 이용한 계절 한국형 항공난류 예측시스템(계절-KTG) 개발 (Development of the Seasonal Korean Aviation Turbulence Guidance (KTG) System Using the Regional Unified Model of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA))

  • 이단비;전혜영
    • 대기
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.235-243
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    • 2014
  • Sources of aviation turbulence vary through the seasons, especially in the East Asia including Korean peninsula, associated primarily with the changes in the jet/front system and convective activities. For this reason, a seasonal Korean aviation Turbulence Guidance (KTG) system (seasonal-KTG) is developed in the present study by using pilot reports (PIREPs) and analysis data of the operational Unified Model (UM) of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) for two years between June 2011 and May 2013. Twenty best diagnostics of aviation turbulence in each season are selected by the method of probability of detection (POD) using the PIREPs and UM data. After calculating a weighting value of each selected diagnostics using their area under curve (AUC), the 20 best diagnostics are combined with the weighting scores into a single ensemble-averaged index by season. Compared with the current operational-KTG system that is based on the diagnostics applying all seasons, the performances of the seasonal-KTG system are better in all seasons, except in fall.

농업한발지수 설정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Evaluation of Agricultural Drought Index)

  • 안병기;김태철;정도웅
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 1988
  • This study, based on the monthly rainfall data, was carried out to determine the agricultural drought index which enables to describe the regional and seasonal drought characteristics of rice cropping system in Korea. The results obtained were summarized as follows ; 1.A new agricultural drought index (ADI) was evaluated seasonally according to the product of drought intensity and duration. This ADI is proposed as standard design criterion for irrigation planning. 2.The relationship between agricultural drought index and return periods was figured out. These diagrams could be used to estimate the seasonal drought severity of a certain year and to select design year corresponding to the specific drought frequency. 3.The regional drought characteristics were classified and those are useful to determine proper rice varieties and planting time and make drought counterplans. 4.Spring drought occurred once in 3 or 4 years and in a regional respect, rather frequently occurred in Seoul and Daegu areas than in Busan, Daejeon, Kwangju and Chuncheon areas. Summer drought occurred once in 5 years in Daegu and Busan areas and once in 7 or 8 years in other areas. 5.Sequential drought which gave severe drought damage of rice production occurred once in 20 years in Daegu area and in 10 years in Kwangju area.

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동해 남부 해역 조하대 해조류 군집구조의 계절적 변화 (Seasonal Variation in Seaweed Community Structure in the Subtidal Zone of the Southern Part of the East Coast of Korea)

  • 한수진;황용훈;손민호;최한길;장재길
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제51권5호
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    • pp.571-578
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    • 2018
  • Seasonal variability in algal community structure of the subtidal zone was examined at four study sites on the southeastern coast of Korea from February to November 2016. A total of 81 species of algae (8 green, 12 brown, and 61 red) were indentified. During the study period, the greatest number of species was observed at Sinamri (57 species) followed by Daesongri (50 species), Dongbaekri (47 species) and Gangyangri (42 species). Of the six functional seaweed forms, the coarsely-branched form was the most dominant, accounting for about 43% of the total species at Daesongri. The annual average biomass in wet weight varied from $700.59g/m^2$ at Sinamri to $1,712.45g/m^2$ at Daesongri. The parameters of seaweed community structures were as follows: dominance index (DI), 0.30-0.54; richness index (R), 4.92-7.05; evenness index (J'), 0.54-0.72; and diversity index (H'), 2.05-2.91.

ARIMA모델 기반 생활 기상지수를 이용한 동·하계 최대 전력 수요 예측 알고리즘 개발 (Development of ARIMA-based Forecasting Algorithms using Meteorological Indices for Seasonal Peak Load)

  • 정현철;정재성;강병오
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제67권10호
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    • pp.1257-1264
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    • 2018
  • This paper proposes Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)-based forecasting algorithms using meteorological indices to predict seasonal peak load. First of all, this paper observes a seasonal pattern of the peak load that appears intensively in winter and summer, and generates ARIMA models to predict the peak load of summer and winter. In addition, this paper also proposes hybrid ARIMA-based models (ARIMA-Hybrid) using a discomfort index and a sensible temperature to enhance the conventional ARIMA model. To verify the proposed algorithm, both ARIMA and ARIMA-Hybrid models are developed based on peak load data obtained from 2006 to 2015 and their forecasting results are compared by using the peak load in 2016. The simulation result indicates that the proposed ARIMA-Hybrid models shows the relatively improved performance than the conventional ARIMA model.

소양호 세균 군집의 계절적 분석 (Seasonal analysis of heterotrophic bacterial community in lake Soyang)

  • 강찬수;김상종
    • 미생물학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.378-384
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    • 1989
  • The numerical taxonomy of heterotrophic bacterial community in Lake Soyang was analysed. 95, 115, 88 and 75 strains which were isolated at each season from spring in 1987 to winter in 1988 were clustered by single matching coefficient. The diversity indices (H') were in the range of 0.511-1.684, and the community was most diverse in spring. THe seasonal variation of generic composition was significant. Of the domonant genera, Acinetobacter, Pseudomonas, and Flavobacterium were representative.

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Measuring Seasonality in Maldivian Inbound Tourism

  • Rabeeu, Ahmed;Ramos, Disney Leite;Rahim, Abdul Basit Abdul
    • Journal of Smart Tourism
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.17-30
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    • 2022
  • The tourism sector of the Maldives has seen rapid growth since its inception in 1972. One significant development is the transformation of the market composition in recent years. China has surpassed traditional European markets as the single largest source market. In this regard, this study seeks to assess the seasonality in the Maldivian tourism sector using a monthly dataset of visitor arrivals from 2003 to 2019. The seasonality ratio, the seasonality indicator, the Gini coefficient and the seasonal index were used to examine the seasonality patterns. The results of this study show that there are three distinct peaks (January to April, August, and November to December) and two off-peaks (May to July and September) periods. The findings also reveal that the rise of the Chinese market has significantly lessened the seasonality of Maldivian inbound tourism. Finally, some important implications are discussed.