• 제목/요약/키워드: Seasonal contribution

검색결과 140건 처리시간 0.032초

Large-scale Atmospheric Patterns associated with the 2018 Heatwave Prediction in the Korea-Japan Region using GloSea6

  • Jinhee Kang;Semin Yun;Jieun Wie;Sang-Min Lee;Johan Lee;Baek-Jo Kim;Byung-Kwon Moon
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2024
  • In the summer of 2018, the Korea-Japan (KJ) region experienced an extremely severe and prolonged heatwave. This study examines the GloSea6 model's prediction performance for the 2018 KJ heatwave event and investigates how its prediction skill is related to large-scale circulation patterns identified by the k-means clustering method. Cluster 1 pattern is characterized by a KJ high-pressure anomaly, Cluster 2 pattern is distinguished by an Eastern European high-pressure anomaly, and Cluster 3 pattern is associated with a Pacific-Japan pattern-like anomaly. By analyzing the spatial correlation coefficients between these three identified circulation patterns and GloSea6 predictions, we assessed the contribution of each circulation pattern to the heatwave lifecycle. Our results show that the Eastern European high-pressure pattern, in particular, plays a significant role in predicting the evolution of the development and peak phases of the 2018 KJ heatwave approximately two weeks in advance. Furthermore, this study suggests that an accurate representation of large-scale atmospheric circulations in upstream regions is a key factor in seasonal forecast models for improving the predictability of extreme weather events, such as the 2018 KJ heatwave.

대마난류의 유동 특성과 PDO의 관계 분석 (Analysis of the Relationship between the Flow Characteristics of the Tsushima Warm Current and Pacific Decadal Oscillation)

  • 서호산;정용현;김동선
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.882-889
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 대마난류(Tsushima Warm Current, TWC)의 유동 변화에 영향을 주는 요소를 파악하기 위하여 TWC의 수송량과 태평양 순년진동(Pacific Decadal Oscillation, PDO) 및 엘니뇨 남방진동(El Niño - Southern Oscillation, ENSO)의 상호 관계 분석을 실시하였다. 25년(1993~2018년) 동안의 TWC의 월별 수송량을 계산해보면 하계에 가장 크고 동계에 가장 작게 나타나는 계절변동 주기가 뚜렷하다. TWC 수송량과 PDO 및 ENSO의 한 척도인 Oceanic Niño Index(ONI) 각각의 주기성 파악을 위한 power spectrum 분석결과, TWC 수송량은 1년 주기에서 peak를 보이지만 PDO 및 ONI는 뚜렷한 주기가 나타나지 않았다. 또한, TWC 수송량과 PDO 및 ONI의 상호 관계 파악을 위해 coherence 추정 방법을 이용하여 분석하였다. PDO 및 ONI의 coherence는 3년 이상의 장주기 변동에서 상호 기여도가 높으나 1년 이내의 단주기 변동에서는 상호 기여도가 낮다. 그러나 TWC 수송량과 PDO 두 요소 간 0.8~1.2년 주기에서 coherence 값은 0.7로 상호 기여도가 높다. 한편 서수도를 통과하는 TWC 수송량과 PDO는 I기간(1993~2002년)과 III기간(2010~2018년)에 역상관 관계성을 가진다. TWC 최대 수송량 (2.2 Sv 이상)이 높게 나타나는 시기에 PDO 지수가 -1.0 이하의 음의 값, 2.2 Sv 이하로 작은 시기에 PDO 지수가 양의 값을 나타낸다. 따라서 장기적인 PDO 지수 자료를 이용하면 TWC 수송량 변동 및 동해 연안역의 수온변화를 예측 또한 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

복잡한 천부구조하에서 반사법 탄성파자료의 반복성에 대한 평가, 호주, 빅토리아, CO2CRC Otway 프로젝트 (Assessing the repeatability of reflection seismic data in the presence of complex near-surface conditions CO2CRC Otway Project, Victoria, Australia)

  • Al-Jabri, Yousuf;Urosevic, Milovan
    • 지구물리와물리탐사
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.24-30
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 시간차 탄성파 탐사에 대한 천부지하구조의 영향을 분석하기 위해 반복적인 수치모형실험을 이용하였다. 수치 실험의 목적은 Otway 분지에 있는 Naylor 지역에서 $CO_2$ 격리를 목적으로 수행 된 현장 실험에서 관찰된 주요한 산란파들을 재생성하는 것이다. 특히, 수포화도를 변화시켜 가면서 상부토양과 심부의 주름진 점토/석회암 경계면의 탄성 성질들의 변화를 관찰하였다. 이러한 실험을 통해서 건기 빛 우기 계절에 행해진 측정치를 모사하였고, 계절의 변화가 탄성파 측정에 미치는 영향을 비반복성 관점에서 평가하였다. 이 영향들에 대한 정량화와 각각의 기여도를 측정하기 위해서 탄성파 파동방정식을 이용한 수치모델링이 수행되었다. 수치모델링 결과는 천부의 점토/석회암의 주름진 경계면에서의 상대적으로 간단한 분산 효과등이 시간차 탐사에 대한 상당한 영향을 미침을 보여주었다. 또한, 상부 토양에서의 포화도의 변화는 심지어 심부의 주름진 경계면보다도 더 탄성파 신호에 잠재적으로 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 현장에서 측정된 반복된 (시간차) 2차원 탄성파탐사 자료들 사이의 정규화원 RMS(Root-mean-square) 차이와 수치적으로 계산된 차이와의 전체적인 일치는 더 많은 연구가 필요함을 알 수 있다. 향후 진행될 연구는 micro VSP 배영과 매우 조밀한 굴절법 탐사를 이용해서 풍화 지역의 탄성 성질을 현장에서 측정하는 것이다. 본 연구의 결과는 중풍이냐 호주와 같이 카르스트 지형으로 생산에 어려움이 따르는 지역의 석유 생산 영상화와 같은 $CO_2$ 지중격리와 상관이 없는 분야에도 효과가 있을 것이다.

에디 공분산으로 관측된 설마천 산림 유역의 증발산 (Evapotranspiration Measurements using an Eddy Covariance Technique in the Seolmacheon Catchment)

  • 권효정;김준;이정훈;정성원;이진원
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
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    • pp.1112-1116
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    • 2009
  • 설마천 유역에서 에디 공분산 방법을 사용하여 2007년 9월부터 2008년 12월까지 증발산을 조사하였다. 연구 결과를 요약하면 아래와 같다. ${\bullet}$ 설마천 유역의 일 증발산은 0.1 - 5.7 mm $d-^1$의 변동폭을 가지며 연평균 1.2${\pm}$ 1.2 mm $d^{-1}$였다. ${\bullet}$ 설마천 유역의 연 증발산은 총 581 mm $yr^{-1}$로 연 강수량 (1997 mm $yr^{-1}$)의 약 1/3을 차지한다. 그러나 설마천 내에서 관측된 강수량의 공간 분포가 약 20%의 차이를 보이며, 주변 강수 자료를 사용할 경우 증발산은 연 강수량의 35%를 차지하였다. ${\bullet}$ 설마천 유역의 증발산의 경우, 지표와 대기간의 접합정도를 나타내는 오메가인자(${\Omega}$)오메가는 여름에 0.5로 평형증발산과 부과증발산이 전체 증발산에 기여하는 정도가 거의 같음을 보였다.

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한국(韓國)의 온대저기압성(溫帶低氣壓性) 강수지역(降水地域) 구분(區分) (Classification of Precipitation Regions Associated with Extratropical Cyclone in Korea)

  • 김성열;양진석
    • 한국지역지리학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.45-60
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    • 1995
  • 한국의 온대저기압성 강수에 대하여 10년간(1981년$\sim$1990년) 60개 지점의 저기압성 강수와 관련된 43개 강수자료를 이용하여 지역구분을 시도하였다. 먼저 인자분석(因子分析)을 통하여 요인별 고유치를 분석하여 인자점수(因子點數)의 지역분포를 고찰한 후, 군집분석의 Ward법을 적용하여 강수지역을 구분하고 구분지역별로 강수특성을 고찰하였다. 온대저기압성 강수와 관련된 43개 변수를 이용한 인자분석(因子分析)에서 고유치(固有値)가 1.0이상의 요인은 7개이며, 전변동량(全變動量)의 86%를 설명한다. 제1요인은 중서부지역의 강수특성을 설명해주며 기여율이 40.9%로 가장 높게 나타났다. 군집(群集)분석의 Ward법에 의한 한궁의 온대저기압성 강수지역은 (1) 경기 영서북부지역 (2) 영동 울릉도지역 (3) 호서 영서남부지역 (4) 호남 북서제주지역 (5) 남동제주지역 (6) 영남북부지역 (7) 영남남부지역 등 7개의 대지역과, 22개 중지역으로 구분되었다. 더불어 강수지역의 경계선 설정에는 저기압의 이동경로와 유일기류의 방향, 산맥의 주향(走向) 등이 많은 영향을 주고 있음을 알 수 있었다.

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인공위성 (SCIAMACHY) 데이터를 이용한 대류권 SO2, NO2 측정: 2006년 동북아시아 지역의 계절적 SO2, NO2 변화 추세 (Satellite (SCIAMACHY) Measurements of Tropospheric SO2 and NO2: Seasonal Trends of SO2 and NO2 Levels over Northeast Asia in 2006)

  • 이철규;;;김영준
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.176-188
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    • 2008
  • Anthropogenic emissions of nitrogen oxides and sulfur dioxide in Northeast Asia are of great concern because of their impact on air quality and atmospheric chemistry on regional and intercontinental scales. Satellite remote sensing based on DOAS (Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy) technique has been preferred to measure atmospheric trace species and to investigate their emission characteristics on regional and global scales. Absorption spectra obtained by the satellite-born instrument, SCIAMACHY (Scanning Imaging Absorption Spectrometer for Atmospheric Chartography) have been utilized to retrieve the information of $SO_2$ and $NO_2$ over Northeast Asia. $SO_2$ levels over Northeast Asia were in order of East China, Yellow Sea, South Sea and Korean Peninsula with mean vertical columns of $1.78({\pm}1.0){\times}10^{16}$, $1.11({\pm}0.67){\times}10^{16}$, $0.60({\pm}0.63){\times}10^{16}$, $0.71({\pm}0.65){\times}10^{16}\;molecules/cm^2$, respectively. $NO_2$ levels were in order of East China, Yellow Sea, Korean Peninsula, and South Sea with mean vertical columns of $1.2({\pm}0.56){\times}10^{16}$, $0.38({\pm}0.19){\times}10^{16}$, $0.48({\pm}0.28){\times}10^{16}$, $0.26({\pm}0.16){\times}10^{16}\;molecules/cm^2$, respectively. High levels of $SO_2$ and $NO_2$ were observed over East China, in particular in winter by the contribution of heating fuel combustion exhausts. The $SO_2$ and $NO_2$ levels over East China were the highest in January with 34% and 42% higher over the annual means. Low levels of $SO_2$ ranged over Korean peninsula, while $NO_2$ levels were relatively high, in particular in winter. The $SO_2$ and $NO_2$ levels over Yellow Sea were relatively higher compared to those over Korean peninsula and South Sea, which could be mainly attributed to their transport from East China.

주요일간지의 건강관련기사내용 분석 (An Analysis on the Contents of the Health Related Articles in the Newspapers. (From the points of view of Health Education))

  • 김지미
    • 보건교육건강증진학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.29-42
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    • 1985
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the educatconal function of the health related articles. The health articles of the four major daily newspapers from Jan. 1st, 1980 to Dec. 31th, 1984 were used and examined for the study. Editorials were excluded. The major results were summarized as follows: 1. The total number of the health articles subjected to the study in the four major daily newspapers was 4,431. On the whole, the health articles were appeared most frequently in 1981. As for monthly distribution, the health articles were appeared most frequently on June.(9.3%). As for weekly distribution, the health articles were appeared most frequently on wednesday and saturday(50.8%). As for the subjects of content; the health articles related to the health & disease management were appeared most frequently(52.8%), but the health articles on industrial health were showed least frequently(0.6%). 2. Reviewing the chronological trend of the health articles, the frequency of appearance of the public health administration was tended to increase year by year, whereas that of enviornmental health, industrial health and population decrease relatively. As for appealing method, it was observed that the articles providing health information were steadily increasing. As for the motives of writing the health articles, there was a tendency that seasonal motive, symphosium & seminar and compaign were increasing, but motive of legislative action and administrative action were gradually decreasing. As for type of the health articles, it was observed that interpretation and research result were steadily increasing. As for the writer of the health articles, there was a tendency that writing by reporter was increasing, whereas writing by experts was decreasing. As for tone of head, the health articles written by identification statement was tended to increase. As for the appearance of photograph & cut, it was observed that the health articles excluding photograph & cut were increasing. 3. When contents were analyzed by subjects, for the purpose of providing information was used most frequently as appealing method for all subjects. As for the motive of writing, "from the interest of writers" was most frequent. As for the type of articles, interpretation type was most prevalent for the public health administration, enviornmental health, food hygrene & nutrition, population and health behavior, while contribution by experts was most frequent for the health & disease management. As for the size of articles, all subjects except the population were appeared most frequently on the column. size between 100㎠ and 199㎠.

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1997~2005년 제주시 지역 강수의 산성화 및 중화 특성 연구 (Study on Acidification and Neutralization Characteristics of Precipitation in JejuCity between 1997 and 2005)

  • 강창희;홍상범;김원형;고희정;이순봉;송정민
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.487-498
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    • 2006
  • Total 438 precipitation samples were collected in Jeju City between 1997 and 2005, and their major ionic components were analyzed. The comparison tests using ion balance, electric conductivity and acid fraction were performed. It was found their correlation coefficients were in the range of 0.977$\sim$0.994, indicating the good quality of collected dam. The volume-weighted mean pH and electric conductivity were 4.8 and 23.0 $\mu$S/cm, respectively. with the ionic strength of 0.23$\pm$0.20 mM. The marine ($Na^+$, $Mg^{2+}$, and $CI^-$), anthropogenic (nss$SO_4{2-}$, $NO_3^-$, and $NH_4^+$) and soil (nss-$Ca^{2+}$) species have contributed to the ionic components of precipitation samples with 43$\sim$74%, 16$\sim$37% and $\sim$5%, respectively. The seasonal variations of $NO_3^-$ and nss-$SO_4^{2-}$ showed a distinct seasonality with higher concentrations in winter than summer, indicating an increase of fossil fuel consumption and a possibility of long-range transport of those pollutants from continental area along the dominant winter westerly. The levels of nss-$Ca^{2+}$ also were appeared the highest in winter and increased comparatively in spring season. possibly due to the soil influences including the Asian Dust. The acidification contribution of nss-$SO_4^{2-}$ and $NO_3^-$ showed 88$\sim$96%, and the free acidity was in the range of 6.0$\sim$40.1%. Interestingly, the backward trajectories for the case of upper 10% nss-$SO_4^{2-}$ and $NO_3^-$ levels have passed through the China continent before their arrival to Jeju. The precipitation of pH below 4.5 has been occurred frequently when the trajectory's path lied over the China continents. On the other hand, the air masses from the North Pacific area were characterized by lower 10% of nss-$SO_4^{2-}$- and $NO_3^-$ concentration, which demonstrated that air mass from the North Pacific was the cleanest among air masses moved to Jeju.

대기오염 지표로서의 시정과 일별 호흡기계 사망간의 연관성에 관한 시계열적 연구 (A Time-series Study on Relationship between Visibility as an Indicator of Air Pollution and Daily Respiratory Mortality)

  • 조용성;정창훈;손지영;전영신;이종태
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.563-574
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    • 2007
  • There seems to be a consensus among most people that visibility impairment is the most obvious indicator of air pollution. While considerable evidence on the association between air pollution and health outcomes including death and disease have been established, based on industrial complex areas or huge urban cities, time-series, case-crossover and cohort studies, scarce literature exists on the direct evidence for the association between visibility and adverse health outcomes. Our study is assessed the effect of air pollution measured by visibility impairment on respiratory mortality over a period of six years. Relative risks in respiratory deaths were estimated by a Poisson regression model of daily deaths between $1999{\sim}2004$. Daily counts of respiratory deaths as dependent variable was modelled with daily 24-hr mean visibility measurements (kilometers) as independent variable by means of Poisson regression. This model is controlled for confounding factors such as day of weeks, weather variables, seasonal variables and $PM_{10}$. The results in this study is observed the statistically significant association between an inverse health effect and visibility during the study period for respiratory mortality (percentage change in the relative risk for all aged -0.57%, 95% Cl, $-1.01%{\sim}-0.12%$; for $0{\sim}15$ aged -7.12%, 95% Cl, $-13.29%{\sim}-0.51%$; for 65+ aged -0.43%, 95% Cl, $-0.93%{\sim}-0.06%$ per 1 km increased in visibility). The effect size was much reduced during warm season. Visibility impairment resulting from air pollution is strongly associated with respiratory mortality, especially for children may be spent at outdoor. Our result provides a quick and useful indicator for eliciting the contribution of air pollution to the excess risk of respiratory mortality in Seoul, Korea.

Deposition Process of Sulfate and Elemental Carbon in Japanese and Thai Forests

  • Sase, Hiroyuki;Matsuda, Kazuhide;Visaratana, Thiti;Garivait, Hathairatana;Yamashita, Naoyuki;Kietvuttinon, Bopit;Hongthong, Bundit;Luangjame, Jesada;Khummongkol, Pojanie;Shindo, Junko;Endo, Tomomi;Sato, Keiichi;Uchiyama, Shigeki;Miyazawa, Masamitsu;Nakata, Makoto;Lenggoro, I. Wuled
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.246-258
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    • 2012
  • Particulate matter deposited on leaf surfaces may cause erosion/abrasion of epicuticular wax and the malfunction of stomata. However, the deposition processes of particulate matter, such as elemental carbon (EC), has not been studied sufficiently in Asian forest ecosystems. Deposition processes for particulate ${SO_4}^{2-}$ and EC were studied in a Japanese cedar forest in Kajikawa, Niigata Prefecture, Japan, and in a dry evergreen forest and a dry deciduous forest in Sakaerat, Nakhon Ratchasima province, Thailand. The ${SO_4}^{2-}$ fluxes attributed to rainfall outside the forest canopy (RF), throughfall (TF), and stemflow (SF) showed distinct seasonalities at both sites, increasing from November to February at the Kajikawa site and in March/April at the Sakaerat site. Seasonal west/northwest winds in winter may transport sulfur compounds across the Sea of Japan to the Kajikawa site. At the Sakaerat site, pollutants suspended in the air or dry deposits from the dry season might have been washed away by the first precipitations of the wet season. The EC fluxes from RF and TF showed similar variations by season at the Kajikawa site, while the flux from TF was frequently lower than that from RF at the Sakaerat site. Particulate matter strongly adsorbed onto leaf surfaces is not washed away by rainfall and contributes to the EC flux. At the Kajikawa site, Japanese cedar leaf surfaces accumulated the highest levels of particulate matter and could not be neglected when calculating the total flux. When such leaf-surface particles were considered, the contribution of dry deposition to the total EC flux was estimated to be 67%, 77%, and 82% at the Kajikawa site, and at the evergreen and deciduous forests of the Sakaerat site, respectively. Leaf-surface particles must be included when evaluating the dry and total fluxes of particulate matter, in particular for water-insoluble constituents such as EC.