• 제목/요약/키워드: Sea Ice

검색결과 352건 처리시간 0.026초

기후변화에 따른 북극해 빙해역 변화 (Projected Sea-ice Changes in the Arctic Sea under Global Warming)

  • 권미옥;장찬주;이호진
    • Ocean and Polar Research
    • /
    • 제32권4호
    • /
    • pp.379-386
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study examines changes in the Arctic sea ice associated with global warming by analyzing the climate coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) provided in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. We selected nine models for better performance under 20th century climate conditions based on two different criteria, and then estimated the changes in sea ice extent under global warming conditions. Under projected 21st century climate conditions, all models, with the exception of the GISS-AOM model, project a reduction in sea ice extent in all seasons. The mean reduction in summer (-63%) is almost four times larger than that in winter (-16%), resulting an enhancement of seasonal variations in sea ice extent. The difference between the models, however, becomes larger under the 21st century climate conditions than under 20th century conditions, thus limiting the reliability of sea-ice projections derived from the current CGCMs.

사각 빙해수조에서의 Pack Ice 모형시험 기법 개발 (Development of Model Test Methodology of Pack Ice in Square Type Ice Tank)

  • 조성락;유창수;정성엽
    • 대한조선학회논문집
    • /
    • 제48권5호
    • /
    • pp.390-395
    • /
    • 2011
  • The main purpose of ice model basin is to assess and evaluate the performance of the Arctic ships and offshore structures because the full-scale tests in ice covered sea are usually very expensive and difficult. There are various ice conditions, such as level ice, brash ice, pack ice and ice ridge, in the real sea. To estimate their capacities in ice tank accurately, an appropriate model ice sheet and prepared ice conditions copied from actual sea ice conditions are needed. Pack ice is a floating ice that has been driven together into a single mass and a mixture of ice fragments of varying size and age that are squeezed together and cover the sea surface with little or no open water. So Ice-class vessels and Icebreaker are usually operated in pack ice conditions for the long time of her voyage. The most ice model tests include the pack ice test with the change of pack ice concentration. In this paper, the effect of pack ice size and channel breadth in pack ice model test is conducted and analyzed. Also we presented some techniques for the calculation of pack ice concentration in the model test. Finally, we developed a new model test methodology of pack ice condition in square type ice tank.

EFFECTS OF ATMOSPHERIC WATER AND SURFACE WIND ON PASSIVE MICROWAVE RETRIEVALS OF SEA ICE CONCENTRATION: A SIMULATION STUDY

  • Shin, Dong-Bin;Chiu, Long S.;Clemente-Colon, Pablo
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume II
    • /
    • pp.892-895
    • /
    • 2006
  • The atmospheric effects on the retrieval of sea ice concentration from passive microwave sensors are examined using simulated data typical for the Arctic summer. The simulation includes atmospheric contributions of cloud liquid water and water vapor and surface wind on surface emissivity on the microwave signatures. A plane parallel radiative transfer model is used to compute brightness temperatures at SSM/I frequencies over surfaces that contain open water, first-year (FY) ice and multi-year (MY) ice and their combinations. Synthetic retrievals in this study use the NASA Team (NT) algorithm for the estimation of sea ice concentrations. This study shows that if the satellite sensor’s field of view is filled with only FY ice the retrieval is not much affected by the atmospheric conditions due to the high contrast between emission signals from FY ice surface and the signals from the atmosphere. Pure MY ice concentration is generally underestimated due to the low MY ice surface emissivity that results in the enhancement of emission signals from the atmospheric parameters. Simulation results in marginal ice areas also show that the atmospheric and surface effects tend to degrade the accuracy at low sea ice concentration. FY ice concentration is overestimated and MY ice concentration is underestimated in the presence of atmospheric water and surface wind at low ice concentration. In particular, our results suggest that strong surface wind is more important than atmospheric water in contributing to the retrieval errors of total ice concentrations over marginal ice zones.

  • PDF

GOCI-II 영상 기반 Random Forest 모델을 이용한 해빙 모니터링 적용 가능성 평가: 2021-2022년 랴오둥만을 대상으로 (Evaluation of Applicability of Sea Ice Monitoring Using Random Forest Model Based on GOCI-II Images: A Study of Liaodong Bay 2021-2022)

  • 김진영;장소영;권재엽;김태호
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
    • /
    • 제39권6_2호
    • /
    • pp.1651-1669
    • /
    • 2023
  • 해빙(sea ice)은 현재 전 세계 해양 면적의 약 7%를 차지하고 있으며 계절적, 연간 변화를 보이고 주로 극지방과 고위도 지역에 나타난다. 해빙은 대규모 공간 규모에서 다양한 종류로 형성되며 석유 및 가스탐사, 기타 해양활동이 급속히 증가하는 발해해는 해양 구조물 피해 및 해상 운송, 해양 생태계에 심각한 영향을 미치기 때문에 시계열 모니터링을 통해 해빙의 면적 및 유형 분류를 분석하는 것이 매우 중요하다. 현재 고해상도 위성영상 및 현장 실측 자료를 바탕으로 해빙의 종류 및 영역에 대한 연구가 진행되고 있지만 현장 실측자료를 획득하여 해빙 모니터링에는 한계가 있다. 고해상도 광학 위성영상은 광범위에서 해빙의 유형을 육안으로 탐지하고 식별할 수 있고, 짧은 시간해상도를 갖는 해양위성인 천리안 2B호(Geostationary Ocean Color Imager-II, GOCI-II)를 이용하여 해빙 모니터링의 공백을 보완할 수 있다. 이 연구에서는 고해상도 광학위성영상을 이용하여 생산된 학습자료를 기반으로 규칙기반 기계학습 모델을 훈련시키고 이를 GOCI-II 영상에서 탐지를 수행함으로써, 해빙 모니터링 활용 가능성을 알아보고자 하였다. 학습 자료는 발해(Bohai Sea)의 2021-2022년 랴오둥만(Liaodong Bay)을 대상으로 추출하였으며, GOCI-II를 활용한 Random Forest (RF) 모델을 구축하여 기존 normalized difference snow index (NDSI) 지수 기반 및 고해상도 위성영상에서 획득된 해빙 영역과 정성적 및 정량적 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구 결과 해빙의 영역을 과소평가한 NDSI 지수 기반 결과와 달리 비교적 자세한 해빙 영역을 탐지하였으며 유형별 해빙을 분류할 수 있어 해빙 모니터링이 가능함을 확인하였다. 향후 지속적인 학습 자료 및 해빙형성에 영향인자 구축을 통해 탐지 모델의 정확도를 향상시킨다면 고위도 해양 지역에서 해빙 모니터링 분야에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

큰 빙판에서 아라온 호 쇄빙 속도 성능 해석 (Speed Trial Analysis of Korean Ice Breaking Research Vessel 'Araon' on the Big Floes)

  • 김현수;이춘주;최경식
    • 대한조선학회논문집
    • /
    • 제49권6호
    • /
    • pp.478-483
    • /
    • 2012
  • The speed performances of ice sea trial on the Arctic(2010 & 2011) area were shown different results depend on the ice floe size. Penetration phenomena of level ice was not happened on medium ice floe and tore up by the impact force because the mass of medium ice floe is similar to the mass of Araon which is Korean ice breaking research vessel and did not shut up by the ice ridge or iceberg. The sea trial on the Amundsen sea was performed at the big floe which is classified by WMO(World Meteorological Organization). Three measurements of ice properties and five results of speed trial were obtained with different ice thicknesses and engine powers. To evaluate speed of level ice trial and model test results at the same ice thickness and engine power, the correction method of HSVA(Hamburg Ship Model Basin) was used. The thickness, snow effect, flexural strength and friction coefficient were corrected to compare the speed of sea trial. The analyzed speed at 1.03m thickness of big floe was 5.85 knots at 10MW power and it's 6.10 knots at 1.0m ice thickness and the same power. It's bigger than the results of level ice because big floe was also slightly tore up by the impact force of vessel based on the observation of recorded video.

S2S 멀티 모델 앙상블을 이용한 북극 해빙 면적의 예측성 (Predictability of the Arctic Sea Ice Extent from S2S Multi Model Ensemble)

  • 박진경;강현석;현유경
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제28권1호
    • /
    • pp.15-24
    • /
    • 2018
  • Sea ice plays an important role in modulating surface conditions at high and mid-latitudes. It reacts rapidly to climate change, therefore, it is a good indicator for capturing these changes from the Arctic climate. While many models have been used to study the predictability of climate variables, their performance in predicting sea ice was not well assessed. This study examines the predictability of the Arctic sea ice extent from ensemble prediction systems. The analysis is focused on verification of predictability in each model compared to the observation and prediction in particular, on lead time in Sub-seasonal to Seasonal (S2S) scales. The S2S database now provides quasi-real time ensemble forecasts and hindcasts up to about 60 days from 11 centers: BoM, CMA, ECCC, ECMWF, HMCR, ISAC-CNR, JMA, KMA, Meteo France, NCEP and UKMO. For multi model comparison, only models coupled with sea ice model were selected. Predictability is quantified by the climatology, bias, trends and correlation skill score computed from hindcasts over the period 1999 to 2009. Most of models are able to reproduce characteristics of the sea ice, but they have bias with seasonal dependence and lead time. All models show decreasing sea ice extent trends with a maximum magnitude in warm season. The Arctic sea ice extent can be skillfully predicted up 6 weeks ahead in S2S scales. But trend-independent skill is small and statistically significant for lead time over 6 weeks only in summer.

Relationship between Spring Bloom and Sea Ice in the Northern East Sea

  • Park, Kyung-Ae;Choi, Hwa-Jeong
    • 한국지구과학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국지구과학회 2010년도 춘계학술발표회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.134-134
    • /
    • 2010
  • Sea ices at the Tatarskiy Straitin the East/Japan Sea appear from November to April. Cold and fresh water, melted from the sea ices, may contain nutrients which are indispensable to spring bloom of phytoplankton and may provide a preferable condition to the spring bloom through changes in vertical structure of water column and stratification. Relation between the spring bloom along the Primorye coast and sea ices in the Tatarskiy Strait were investigated using multi-satellite multi-sensor data; ten-year SeaWiFS chlorophyll-a concentration data and PAR data, sea surface temperatures from NOAA/AVHRR, sea ice concentration and near-surface wind speed data from DMSP/SSMI, near-surface wind vectors from QuikSCAT, and others. We provided evidences of southwestward flowing cold water masses from sea ice and its relation of chlorophyll-a concentration. This study showed that year-to-year variations of chlorophyll-a concentration in spring were positively correlated with those of sea ice concentrations at the Tatarskiy Strait.

  • PDF

북극의 KOMPSAT-1 EOC 영상과 SSM/I NASA Team 해빙 면적비의 비교 연구 (Comparative Study of KOMPSAT-1 EOC Images and SSM/I NASA Team Sea Ice Concentration of the Arctic)

  • 한향선;이훈열
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
    • /
    • 제23권6호
    • /
    • pp.507-520
    • /
    • 2007
  • 인공위성 수동 마이크로파(passive microwave, PM) 센서는 1970년대부터 극지 해빙의 면적비(sea ice concentration, SIC)와 표면 온도(ice temperature), 적설 두께(snow depth) 등을 관찰하고 있다. 특히 SIC는 기후 및 환경 변화 관찰을 위한 1차 요소로 고려되는 등 다양한 연구 분야에서 중요한 역할을 하기 때문에 PM SIC의 지속적인 검증과 보정이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 2005년 7-8월 북극해의 가장 자리를 촬영한 KOMPSAT-1 EOC 영상으로부터 SIC를 계산하였고, 이를 NASA Team(NT) 알고리즘으로 계산된 SSM/I SIC와 비교하였다. EOC와 SSM/I NT SIC는 서로 다른 해상도와 관측 시각을 가지며 북극의 여름철 해빙 분포지역의 가장자리에서 해빙의 시공간적인 변화가 크기 때문에, 해빙의 유형을 고려하지 않았을 경우 0.574의 낮은 상관성을 보였다. 해빙의 유형에 따른 SSM/I NT SIC를 검증하기 위하여 EOC 영상으로부터 정착빙, 부빙, 유빙으로 해빙 형태를 분류하였고, 각 유형 별로 EOC와 SSM/I NT SIC를 비교하였다. 정착빙의 면적비는 EOC와 SSM/I NT SIC 사이에서 평균 오차가 0.38%로 매우 유사한 값을 나타냈다. 이는 정착빙의 시공간적인 변화가 작기 때문이며, 표면에 쌓인 눈은 건조한 상태일 것으로 추정되었다. 부빙의 경우 NT 알고리즘에서 면적비가 과소평가되는 빙맥(ice ridge)과 new ice가 많이 관찰되었으며, 이로 인해 SSM/I NT SIC는 EOC보다 평균 19.63%작은 값을 나타냈다. 유빙 지역에서 SSM/I NT SIC는 EOC보다 평균 20.17% 큰 값을 가진다. 유빙은 부빙의 가장자리와 가까운 지역에 위치하기 때문에 SSM/I의 넓은 IFOV 내에 비교적 높은 SIC를 가지는 부빙이 포함되어 오차를 일으킬 수 있다. 또한 유빙표면에 쌓인 수분 함량이 높은 눈의 영향으로 SSM/I NT SIC가 과대 측정되었을 것으로 사료된다.

남극 브랜스필드 해협에서의 퇴적과정과 관련된 기후특성 (Climatic Characteristics Related with Sedimentary Process in Bransfield Strait, Antarctica)

  • 이방용;권태영;이정순;윤호일;윤영준
    • 지구물리
    • /
    • 제8권4호
    • /
    • pp.173-185
    • /
    • 2005
  • This study examines the relationships among sea ice concentration, surface air temperature, surface wind, and SST (Sea Surface Temperature) in Bransfield Strait to understand the climatic characteristics and its related sedimentary process there. In analyses of the monthly data, during the austral autumn (Mar., Apr., and May), the frequency of southeasterlies is correlated positively with the sea ice concentration and negatively with the surface air temperature, whereas that of northwesterlies is reverse. These relationships are explained by the process that the southeasterlies of the cold air from the Antarctic Continent affect the ocean current around Bransfield Strait. And then the ocean current makes the sea ice generated in the Weddell Sea drift into the strait. During the spring (Sep., Oct., and Nov.), sea ice concentration and surface air perature are closely correlated with the frequency of northwesterlies with warm air mass. In the some parts of the northern boundary region, the sea ice concentration in Bransfield Strait is positively correlated with the SST during the autumn and spring. Such relationship may rather propel the sea ice melting in proportion to the sea ice concentration during the autumn.

  • PDF