• Title/Summary/Keyword: Science and Technology Predictions

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The Impact of Ventilation Strategies on Indoor Air Pollution: A Comparative Study of HVAC Systems Using a Numerical Model (실내오염물질의 환기기술전략에 따른 영향평가 : 수치적 모델을 이용한 HVAC 시스템의 비교연구)

  • Park, Sung-Woo;Song, Dong-Woong;D.J. Moschandreas
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.11 no.E
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 1995
  • Indoor air quality models are useful to predict indoor air pollutant concentrations as a function of several indoor factors. Indoor air quality model was developed to evaluate the pollutant removal efficiency of variable-air-volume/bypass filtration system (VAV/BPFS) compared with the conventional variable-air-volume (VAV) system. This model provides relative pollutant removal effectiveness of VAV/BPFS by concentration ratio between the conventional VAV system and VAV/BPFS. The predictions agree closely, from 5 to 10 percent, with the measured values for each energy load. As a results, we recommend the VAV/BPFS is a promising alternative to conventional VAV system because it is capable of reducing indoor air pollutant concentration and maintaining good indoor air quality.

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Growth Characteristics of Enterobacter sakazakii Used to Develop a Predictive Model

  • Seo, Kyo-Young;Heo, Sun-Kyung;Bae, Dong-Ho;Oh, Deog-Hwan;Ha, Sang-Do
    • Food Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.642-650
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    • 2008
  • A mathematical model was developed for predicting the growth rate of Enterobacter sakazakii in tryptic soy broth medium as a function of the combined effects of temperature (5, 10, 20, 30, and $40^{\circ}C$), pH (4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10), and the NaCl concentration (0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10%). With all experimental variables, the primary models showed a good fit ($R^2=0.8965$ to 0.9994) to a modified Gompertz equation to obtain growth rates. The secondary model was 'In specific growth $rate=-0.38116+(0.01281^*Temp)+(0.07993^*pH)+(0.00618^*NaCl)+(-0.00018^*Temp^2)+(-0.00551^*pH^2)+(-0.00093^*NaCl^2)+(0.00013^*Temp*pH)+(-0.00038^*Temp*NaCl)+(-0.00023^*pH^*NaCl)$'. This model is thought to be appropriate for predicting growth rates on the basis of a correlation coefficient (r) 0.9579, a coefficient of determination ($R^2$) 0.91, a mean square error 0.026, a bias factor 1.03, and an accuracy factor 1.13. Our secondary model provided reliable predictions of growth rates for E. sakazakii in broth with the combined effects of temperature, NaCl concentration, and pH.

A Study on the Surface Deflection in Rectangular Embossing Considering Planar Anisotropy (평면이방성을 고려한 사각엠보싱 공정의 미세면굴곡에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, J.H.;Chung, W.J.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.310-316
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    • 2013
  • Recently, numerical predictions of surface deflection based on curvature analysis have been developed. In the current study, a measure of surface deflection is proposed as the maximum variation of curvature difference between the panel and the tool in order to account for surfaces that have high curvature. The current study focused on the assessment of accuracy for the surface deflection prediction with the consideration of planar anisotropy. As an example, a shallow rectangular drawn part with rectangular embossing was considered. In terms of the proposed surface deflection measure, the maximum variation of curvature difference, the prediction with a planar anisotropic model shows better correspondence with experiment than the one using a normal anisotropic model.

Applying advanced machine learning techniques in the early prediction of graduate ability of university students

  • Pham, Nga;Tiep, Pham Van;Trang, Tran Thu;Nguyen, Hoai-Nam;Choi, Gyoo-Seok;Nguyen, Ha-Nam
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.285-291
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    • 2022
  • The number of people enrolling in universities is rising due to the simplicity of applying and the benefit of earning a bachelor's degree. However, the on-time graduation rate has declined since plenty of students fail to complete their courses and take longer to get their diplomas. Even though there are various reasons leading to the aforementioned problem, it is crucial to emphasize the cause originating from the management and care of learners. In fact, understanding students' difficult situations and offering timely Number of Test data and advice would help prevent college dropouts or graduate delays. In this study, we present a machine learning-based method for early detection at-risk students, using data obtained from graduates of the Faculty of Information Technology, Dainam University, Vietnam. We experiment with several fundamental machine learning methods before implementing the parameter optimization techniques. In comparison to the other strategies, Random Forest and Grid Search (RF&GS) and Random Forest and Random Search (RF&RS) provided more accurate predictions for identifying at-risk students.

Exploring Near-Future Potential Extreme Events(X-Events) in the Field of Science and Technology -With a Focus on Government Emergency Planning Officers FGI Results -

  • Sang-Keun Cho;Jong-Hoon Kim;Ki-Woon Kim;In-Chan Kim;Myung-Sook Hong;Jun-Chul Song;Sang-Hyuk Park
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.310-316
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to predict uncertain future scenarios that may unfold in South Korea in the near future, utilizing the theory of extreme events(X-events). A group of 32 experts, consisting of government emergency planning officers, was selected as the focus group to achieve this objective. Using the Focus Group Interview (FGI) technique, opinions were gathered from this focus group regarding potential X-events that may occur within the advanced science and technology domains over the next 10 years. The analysis of these opinions revealed that government emergency planning officers regarded the "Obsolescence of current technology and systems," particularly in the context of cyber network paralysis as the most plausible X-event within science and technology. They also put forth challenging and intricate opinions, including the emergence of new weapon systems and ethical concerns associated with artificial intelligence (AI). Given that X-events are more likely to emerge in unanticipated areas rather than those that are widely predicted, the results obtained from this study carry significant importance. However, it's important to note that this study is grounded in a limited group of experts, highlighting the necessity for subsequent research involving a more extensive group of experts. This research seeks to stimulate studies on extreme events at a national level and contribute to the preparation for future X-event predictions and strategies for addressing them.

Estimating the Forest Micro-topography by Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) Photogrammetry (무인항공기 사진측량 방법에 의한 산림 미세지형 평가)

  • Cho, Min-Jae;Choi, Yun-Sung;Oh, Jae-Heun;Lee, Eun-Jai
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.343-350
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    • 2021
  • Unmanned aerial vehicles(UAV) photogrammetry provides a cost-effective option for collecting high-resolution 3D point clouds compared with UAV LiDAR and aerial photogrammetry. The main objectives of this study were to (1) validate the accuracy of 3D site model generated, and (2) determine the differences between Digital Elevation Model(DEM) and Digital Surface Model(DSM). In this study, DEM and DSM were shown to have varying degree of accuracy from observed data. The results indicated that the model predictions were considered tend to over- and under-estimated. The range of RMSE of DSM predicted was from 8.2 and 21.3 when compared with the observation. In addition, RMSE values were ranged from 10.2 and 25.8 to compare between DEM predicted and field data. The predict values resulting from the DSM were in agreement with the observed data compared to DEM calculation. In other words, it was determined that the DSM was a better suitable model than DEM. There is potential for enabling automated topography evaluation of the prior-harvest areas by using UAV technology.

A variational nodal formulation for multi-dimensional unstructured neutron diffusion problems

  • Qizheng Sun ;Wei Xiao;Xiangyue Li ;Han Yin;Tengfei Zhang ;Xiaojing Liu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.6
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    • pp.2172-2194
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    • 2023
  • A variational nodal method (VNM) with unstructured-mesh is presented for solving steady-state and dynamic neutron diffusion equations. Orthogonal polynomials are employed for spatial discretization, and the stiffness confinement method (SCM) is implemented for temporal discretization. Coordinate transformation relations are derived to map unstructured triangular nodes to a standard node. Methods for constructing triangular prism space trial functions and identifying unique nodes are elaborated. Additionally, the partitioned matrix (PM) and generalized partitioned matrix (GPM) methods are proposed to accelerate the within-group and power iterations. Neutron diffusion problems with different fuel assembly geometries validate the method. With less than 5 pcm eigenvalue (keff) error and 1% relative power error, the accuracy is comparable to reference methods. In addition, a test case based on the kilowatt heat pipe reactor, KRUSTY, is created, simulated, and evaluated to illustrate the method's precision and geometrical flexibility. The Dodds problem with a step transient perturbation proves that the SCM allows for sufficiently accurate power predictions even with a large time-step of approximately 0.1 s. In addition, combining the PM and GPM results in a speedup ratio of 2-3.

JAYA-GBRT model for predicting the shear strength of RC slender beams without stirrups

  • Tran, Viet-Linh;Kim, Jin-Kook
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.691-705
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    • 2022
  • Shear failure in reinforced concrete (RC) structures is very hazardous. This failure is rarely predicted and may occur without any prior signs. Accurate shear strength prediction of the RC members is challenging, and traditional methods have difficulty solving it. This study develops a JAYA-GBRT model based on the JAYA algorithm and the gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT) to predict the shear strength of RC slender beams without stirrups. Firstly, 484 tests are carefully collected and divided into training and test sets. Then, the hyperparameters of the GBRT model are determined using the JAYA algorithm and 10-fold cross-validation. The performance of the JAYA-GBRT model is compared with five well-known empirical models. The comparative results show that the JAYA-GBRT model (R2 = 0.982, RMSE = 9.466 kN, MAE = 6.299 kN, µ = 1.018, and Cov = 0.116) outperforms the other models. Moreover, the predictions of the JAYA-GBRT model are globally and locally explained using the Shapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) method. The effective depth is determined as the most crucial parameter influencing the shear strength through the SHAP method. Finally, a Graphic User Interface (GUI) tool and a web application (WA) are developed to apply the JAYA-GBRT model for rapidly predicting the shear strength of RC slender beams without stirrups.

A Prediction of Precipitation Over East Asia for June Using Simultaneous and Lagged Teleconnection (원격상관을 이용한 동아시아 6월 강수의 예측)

  • Lee, Kang-Jin;Kwon, MinHo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.711-716
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    • 2016
  • The dynamical model forecasts using state-of-art general circulation models (GCMs) have some limitations to simulate the real climate system since they do not depend on the past history. One of the alternative methods to correct model errors is to use the canonical correlation analysis (CCA) correction method. CCA forecasts at the present time show better skill than dynamical model forecasts especially over the midlatitudes. Model outputs are adjusted based on the CCA modes between the model forecasts and the observations. This study builds a canonical correlation prediction model for subseasonal (June) precipitation. The predictors are circulation fields over western North Pacific from the Global Seasonal Forecasting System version 5 (GloSea5) and observed snow cover extent over Eurasia continent from Climate Data Record (CDR). The former is based on simultaneous teleconnection between the western North Pacific and the East Asia, and the latter on lagged teleconnection between the Eurasia continent and the East Asia. In addition, we suggest a technique for improving forecast skill by applying the ensemble canonical correlation (ECC) to individual canonical correlation predictions.

Collision-induced Derailment Analysis of a Finite Element Model of Rolling Stock Applying Rolling Contacts for Wheel-rail Interaction (차륜-레일 구름접촉을 적용한 철도차량 유한요소 모델의 충돌 기인 탈선거동 해석)

  • Lee, Junho;Koo, Jeongseo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, a finite element analysis technique of rolling stock models for collision-induced derailments was suggested using rolling contacts for wheel-rail interaction. The collision-induced derailments of rolling stock can be categorized into two patterns of wheel-climb and wheel-lift according to the friction direction between wheel flange and rail. The wheel-climb derailment types are classified as Climb-up, Climb/roll-over and Roll-over-C types, and the wheel-lift derailment types as Slip-up, Slip/roll-over and Roll-over-L types. To verify the rolling contact simulations for wheel-rail interaction, dynamic simulations of a single wheelset using Recurdyn of Functionbay and Ls-Dyna of LSTC were performed and compared for the 6-typical derailments. The collision-induced derailment simulation of the finite element model of KHST (Korean High Speed Train) was conducted and verified using the theoretical predictions of a simplified wheel-set model proposed for each derailment type.