• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scenario-based evaluation system

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A Development of Simulation System based on Scenario for Evaluation of e-Navigation MSP (e-Navigation MSP 평가를 위한 시나리오 기반 시뮬레이션 시스템 개발)

  • Shin, Il-Sik;Hwang, Hun-Gyu;Lee, Jang-Se;Yu, Yung-Ho
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.86-93
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the development of Maritime Service Portfolios (MSPs) for the safe navigation of ship has been discussed internationally. For the successful service of the MSPs, first of all, studies for the standardization about the structure and data structure of MSPs should be preceded. Also, it is necessary to evaluate and assess whether the services are effective for safe navigation, and provided data and portrayal methods are proper. However, because great dangers will be accompanied when untested MSPs about their effectiveness and safety are applied in real ship navigation, it is necessary that effectiveness and safety of the MSPs should be proven under various navigational conditions and environments by simulation. In this paper, we propose a 3D navigation simulation system using desktop PC environment, which is proper for evaluating the effectiveness of MSPs. The system consists of three modules which are simulation scenario editor, 3D visualization of navigational environment and 2D navigational equipment. The scenario editor module provides an environment setting for simulation, such as properties, routes and positions of vessels and aids to navigations. It also provides functions to create a scenario for the simulation to operate. Additionally, the 3D visualization module provides 3D navigational environment which shows interplay between geographical and navigational environment based on the created scenario. The 2D navigational equipment module provides visualization functions of various navigational equipment, shows the interaction between ship's navigational equipment and ship's environment. The simulation scenario, in which various kinds of ships are routing in the port, is created by the developed simulation system, and experimented whether this developed system is appropriate to evaluate and assess the MSPs developed by the International Maritime Organization.

Safety Margin Evaluation of Railway wheel Based on Fracture Scenarios

  • Kwon, Seok Jin;Lee, Dong Hyung;Seo, Jung Won;Kwon, Sung Tae
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.84-88
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    • 2012
  • Derailment due to wheel failure would cause a tremendous social and economical cost in service operation. It is necessary to evaluate quantitatively the safety with respect to high-speed train. Although the safety of railway wheel has been ensured by an regular inspection, all critical defects cannot be detected in inspection cycles and the wheel has been replaced because a defect quickly become critical for safety. Therefore, it is important to calculate quantitatively the fracture limit and remnant life of damaged railway wheel in wheel-rail system. In present paper, the critical crack size of wheel for high-speed train is simulated based on fracture scenario and the safety of wheel is evaluated.

A Study on the Fire Response Scenarios Generation of Unmanned Light Rail Transit with Systems Engineering Architecture Design Methodology (시스템 아키텍처 설계 방법론에 기반한 무인운전 경량전철 차량의 화재대응 시나리오 생성에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Seok-Youn;Kim, Joo-Uk;Kim, Young-min
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2015
  • Modern systems development becomes more and more complicated due to the need on the ever-increasing capability of the systems. In addition to the complexity issue, safety concern is also increasing since the malfunctions of the systems under development may result in the accidents in both the test and evaluation phase and the operation phase. Light rail transit(LRT) with passenger capacity between bus and subway is driven by an unmanned control, so safety issues of LRT in emergency shall be considered more carefully than other rolling stock. Modern railway system is a complex system and many actions in emergency are required. In this view, interoperability approach is effective to identify the related elements in emergency. In this paper, we propose the method to generate the fire response scenario of unmann ed LRT based on the outputs of systems engineering architecture design methodology. The proposed method is could be contributed to establish more reliable and applicable fire response scenario.

A Study on the Development of System for Dispatcher (상황실 화재 접수자 중심의 화재상황별 시스템 개발 연구)

  • Choi, Doo-Chan;Ko, Min-Hyeok;Min, Se-Hong
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.203-209
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study aims to support the dispatcher to analysis the architecture type of fire. Method: Analysis the dispatch protocol guideline (released by gyunggi fire brigade) and make the dispatch scenario by site, combustibles, evacuation, fire extinguish systems. Result: After making scenario, develop the system (for dispatcher), is based on the tablet PC. Conclusion: Dispatch systems apply not only fire but rescue and disaster. This study focus on the fire, but It is need to expend the rescue and disaster. in korea, Fire Safety Evaluation and Multishop DB are possible to link to this system.

A System Dynamics Model for Evaluation of Maintenance Cost Policy in Deteriorated School Building (노후 학교건물의 유지관리비용 정책 평가를 위한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델)

  • Kang, Suhyun;Kim, Sangyong
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.35 no.12
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    • pp.181-188
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    • 2019
  • The maintenance of school building is pivotal issue. However, it is difficult to obtain basic analysis data for LCC(Lifecycle Cost) analysis and maintenance planning of school building. Therefore, this study proposed System Dynamics(SD) techniques to make maintenance decisions for school building. The interaction between the major parameters related to the aging of a building, maintenance activities, and cost were expressed in Causal Loop Diagram. Based on this, the formula for the relationship between causal maps was defined and converted to Stock and Flow Diagram. Through the completed SD model the 50-year plan of 214 educational building were tested by considered in account budget, maintainability, and budget allocation opinions. As a result, the integrated SD model demonstrated that it can support strategic decision making by identifying the status class and LCC behavior of school buildings by scenario. According to the scenario analysis, the rehabilitation action of preventive maintenance that primarily repairs the buildings in condition grade C showed the best performance improvement effect relative to the cost. Therefore, if the proposed SD model is expanded to consider the effects of other educational policies, the crucial performance improvement budget can be estimated in the long-term perspective.

Design of active intelligent decision support system for investment evaluation

  • 조현석;서의호
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.214-217
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    • 1996
  • Early decision support systems (DSS) were the "passive" decision support systems in the sense that the systems only able to do what the users explicitly direct them to do. But some researchers such as Raghav Rao et al. [51 showed architectures to suggest general idea of the innovative DSS systems which offer active form of decision support, say, "active Intelligent Decision Support Systems(active IDSS)". The system can perform not only what the users want to do but some voluntary (or involuntary) intelligent works. This paper presents the issues in the design of the active IDSS in the domain of investment evaluation, a domain area where few researchers have suggested frameworks or architectures to discriminate good investment from bad one. We propose a new paradigm, by utilizing historical investment results using neural network and Multivariate Discriminant Analysis(MDA), to identify goodness of investment. A new active IDSS architecture which consists of neural network, expert system and three components of the traditional passive DSS is suggested with some scenario based results.nario based results.

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A Systematic Approach to Accident Scenario Analysis: Child Safety Seat Case Study (체계적 사고 시나리오 분석기법을 이용한 유아용 안전의자 사례연구)

  • Byun, Seong-Nam;Lee, Dong-Hoon
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.114-125
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    • 2002
  • The objective of this paper is to describe a systematic accident scenario analysis method(SASA) adept at creating accident scenarios for the design of safer products. This approach was inspired by the Quality Function Deployment(QFD) method, which is conventionally used in quality management. In this study, the QFD provides a formal and systematic scheme to devise accident scenarios while maintaining objectivity. SASA consists of three key stages to be broken down into a series of consecutive steps:(1) developing an accident analysis tableau,(2) devising the accident scenarios using the accident analysis tableau,(3) performing a feasibility test, a clustering process and a patterning process, and finally(4) performing quantitative evaluation of each accident scenario. The SASA was applied to a case study of child safety seats. The accident analysis tableau devised 2828(maximum) accident scenarios from all possible relationships between the hazard factors and situation characteristics. Among them, 270 scenarios were devised through the feasibility test and the clustering process. The patterning process reduced them to 29 patterns representative of all accident scenarios. Based on an intensive analysis of the accident patterns, design guidelines for a safer child safety seat were recommended. The implications of the study on the child safety seat case were then discussed.

A Study of Integrated Evaluation of System Lighting and User Centered Guideline Development - Focused on the Lighting Design Method for Office Space - (시스템조명 통합평가 및 사용자 맞춤형 가이드라인 개발 연구 - 사무공간 설계방법을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Ju-Hyun;Ko, Jae-Kyu;Cho, Mee-Ryoung
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.78-86
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    • 2014
  • Lighting in indoor space is being changed to system lighting converged with IT technology. Office space lighting with incandescent lamps and fluorescent lamps was completed through overall lighting plan by illumination in most cases, but convergence between LED lighting and IT technology enables the technology of responding to user requirements to be realized. Optical physical quantity suitable for humans and the lighting environment in accordance with user's sensibility, based on space function and user's behavior, would contribute to the improvement of service productivity, energy reduction, and enhancement of emotional satisfaction by providing user optimized lighting solution. Thus, user-customized system lighting guidelines to be applied with integration indicators of optics and sensibility are required. For the design elements required by users, environmental factors, product characteristics, optical characteristics, and sensibility factors are drawn from the design cases for office space and the survey, and the design check list and evaluation indicators are considered to reflect the requirements in the design and requirement indicators to give integrated satisfaction for optics and sensibility are developed. Purpose-centered design method from the user's viewpoint is applied to function-focused design through scenario, and it should be applied flexibly, as the new lightning design method solutions, to the concept design stage of space lighting design and device development. This paper, therefore, presents user-customized guidelines by pursuing the optics and sensibility evaluation and design method combining the requirement conditions and scenario, to be used for lighting content development and design.

Reliability Evaluation of a Microgrid Considering Its Operating Condition

  • Xu, Xufeng;Mitra, Joydeep;Wang, Tingting;Mu, Longhua
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2016
  • Microgrids offer several reliability benefits, such as the improvement of load-point reliability and the opportunity for reliability-differentiated services. The primary goal of this work is to investigate the impacts of operating condition on the reliability index for microgrid system. It relies on a component failure rate model which quantifies the relationship between component failure rate and state variables. Some parameters involved are characterized by subjective uncertainty. Thus, fuzzy numbers are introduced to represent such parameters, and an optimization model based on Fuzzy Chance Constrained Programming (FCCP) is established for reliability index calculation. In addition, we present a hybrid algorithm which combines scenario enumeration and fuzzy simulation as a solution tool. The simulations in a microgrid test system show that reliability indices without considering operating condition can often prove to be optimistic. We also investigate two groups of situations, which include the different penetration levels of microsource and different confidence levels. The results support the necessity of considering operating condition for achieving accurate reliability evaluation.

Deterministic Optimal Simulation of Spatial Growth Form for Urbanized Area Using CA Model and Simplified WSM-AHP Techniques (CA기법과 WSM-AHP 간편법을 이용한 도시확산의 결정론적 최적 모의)

  • Kim, Dae-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to analyze the sensitivity of WSM(weighted scenario method)-AHP method according to variation of nonlinear exponent for accessibility criteria, which are used to make urbanization potential maps with the optimal weighting value for multiple criteria in grid-based GIS technique. Besides this study tried to develop WSM-AHP2 which is simplified by using rank of the potential value for each scenario. The two methods were applied to the test area, Suwon city located south area of Seoul, with time series land-use maps of 1986 and 1996. The evaluation system of urbanization potential have 7 criteria including 6 accessibility criteria. The results of WSM-AHP2, the optimal weighting values and their corresponding potential maps, have almost similar with those of WSM-AHP. In the application of CA(cellular automata) model for expansion of urbanized area using the three potential maps by WSM-AHP, WSM-AHP2, and specialists's AHP evaluation, it also showed that the accuracy of simulation for actual urban area is the highest in the potential map of WSM-AHP, followed by WSM-AHP2 and specialists's AHP evaluation. From the results of this study, WSM-AHP and simplified WSM-AHP2 will be used to generate the optimal potential maps for land-use planning in urban fringe area.