• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scenario-based Simulation Model

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시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 청소년 비만의 비선형 시뮬레이션: 청소년 건강행태 온라인 조사 자료 활용 (Non-linear System Dynamics Simulation Modeling of Adolescent Obesity: Using Korea Youth Risk Behavior Web-based Survey)

  • 이한나;박은숙;유재국;윤은경
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제45권5호
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    • pp.723-732
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop a system dynamics model for adolescent obesity in Korea that could be used for obesity policy analysis. Methods: On the basis of the casual loop diagram, a model was developed by converting to stock and flow diagram. The Vensim DSS 5.0 program was used in the model development. We simulated method of moments to the calibration of this model with data from The Korea Youth Risk Behavior Web-based Survey 2005 to 2013. We ran the scenario simulation. Results: This model can be used to understand the current adolescent obesity rate, predict the future obesity rate, and be utilized as a tool for controlling the risk factors. The results of the model simulation match well with the data. It was identified that a proper model, able to predict obesity probability, was established. Conclusion: These results of stock and flow diagram modeling in adolescent obesity can be helpful in development of obesity by policy planners and other stakeholders to better anticipate the multiple effects of interventions in both the short and the long term. In the future we suggest the development of an expanded model based on this adolescent obesity model.

간호대학생을 위한 시뮬레이션 기반의 아동간호 인수인계에 관한 동영상 실습교육과 시뮬레이션 실습교육의 효과 (Utilizing Video vs Simulation Practice for Handoff Education of Nursing Students in Pediatric Nursing)

  • 박선남;임영순
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop a model for handoff education for nursing students based on simulation using video and to identify educational effects of a simulated situation in pediatric care units. Methods: Data were collected from May 1 to 30, 2016. Participants were 84 senior nursing students in Seoul (video group: 43, simulation group: 41). Both groups were given a lecture and pre-briefing on handoff education. The simulation group had nursing practice on resolving health issues for respiratory distress using a high-fidelity baby simulator. The video group watched a video recording of a scenario based simulation, and used a summarized handoff situation to practice patient handoff to another student. Results: There was no significant difference between the two groups for handoff self-confidence, problem solving ability, handoff competence (self-assessment of students), or learning satisfaction. Self-confidence increased significantly in both groups. Handoff competency evaluated by the instructor was higher in the video group compared to the simulation group (t=2.33, p=.022). Conclusion: Nursing student education for handoff practice utilizing a video in the pediatric unit was more cost effective. Therefore, it could be a useful educational method for students in learning patient handoff practices and helpful for related research.

시나리오별 논에서의 Molinate 노출위험도 분석: (1) 시뮬레이션 결과 분석 (Scenario-Based Exposure Risk Assessment of Molinate in a Paddy Plot : (1) Analysis of simulation results)

  • 정상옥;박기중;손성호
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제50권2호
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2008
  • The effects of water and pesticide management practices on ponded water pesticide concentrations in a paddy plot were analysed using the RICEWQ model. The molinate which is a herbicide widely used in rice culture, and frequently detected in paddy environment was selected. In a previous study, the RICEWQ model was successfully calibrated with field data obtained from a paddy plot in Daegu. The calibrated model was run using water and pesticide management scenarios with a set of measured meteorological data for 1997-2006 in Daegu. For all three ponded water depths with the label rate application, the amount of molinate dissipated in ponded water and volatilized accounted for more than 70%, and the runoff losses were less than 9%. The molinate losses through drainage in the very shallow ponded depth showed 40% less than that in deep ponded depth. Comparing with the deep and shallow ponded depth, the very shallow depth was the best with regards to the reduction of molinate runoff losses. Simulations with different pesticide application rates, label rate and double label rate, showed molinate concentrations in the ponded water increased linearly with the application rate increase.

시나리오 기반 홍수위험정보지원시스템 구축 방안 연구 (Study on Construction of Flood Hazard Information Support System based on Scenario)

  • 구신회;진경혁;정태성
    • 한국측량학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국측량학회 2010년 춘계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.389-393
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    • 2010
  • The Objective of this study was to develop a system for visualizing inundation area by using 1-D numerical model analyzing damage information such as inundation area, facilities, land usages, population, building, loads. In this study, we have reviewed hydraulic models to select a flood model for simulation of discharges, water depths and velocities. The study area is Namhan River from Youngwol to Paldang Dam which had a flood damage on upper and below regions of Chungju Dam by a storm event in 2006. At the first, we developed the DB system base on GIS thematic map, ortho images, cadastral maps to analyze flood damages and support decisions making. Changing the boundary conditions such as discharge at the gauging stations, flood simulations were performed and then damages were extracted from the databases information support system based on 1-D numerical hydraulic model, it is expected to be able to analyze flood damages and support a decision making for reduce flood relate damages. In the future, the system developed in this study could be applied for flood forecasting system of small scaled streams.

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서비스 환경에 따른 PCS기지국에서 IMT-2000 FDD 기지국으로의 간섭분석 연구 (A Study on Interference Analysis of PCS BS affecting to IMT-2000 FDD BS, depending on Service Environments)

  • 송영중;이일근
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 1998년도 추계종합학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.67-70
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, an interference analyzer for communication and/or broadcasting services is developed and presented based on Monte Carlo technique, which is now under study in the International Telecommunication Union(ITU). Monte Carlo technology is a statistical approach which functions by considering many trials. For each simulation trial, a scenario is built up using a number of different random variables, such as signal and interference strengths, transmitting and receiving antenna heights, antenna gains, etc.. Furthermore, this paper shows and application example of the analyzer to examine interference influence of the PCS(IS-95) base stations affecting to the IMT-2000 FDD base station, depending on serveral service environments like rural, suburban, and urban areas. The wave propagation model used in this simulation is the modified Hata model, which is known to the suitable to Korean environments.

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Strategic Analysis Evolution: Scenario Planning and Simulation Based on The Methodology of System Dynamics

  • Bassi, Andrea M
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.199-216
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    • 2004
  • The present study is aimed at developing the optimal instruments for dispelling the uncertainty factors during the formulation of strategies for corporate development. The objective is the creation of a complete model of strategic analysis, which encompasses both the environment (internal and external) and the management rational component. This model -built on the analysis of three corporate cases - is concretized by a simulation for testing the strategy by the means of software which enables the users to cope with a dynamic and complex corporate environment. The research questions regard the development of a complete strategic analysis, which covers the entire decision-making process; the concrete assessment of the business strategy on the basis of quantitative data: the identification and enhancement of the critical variables of business administration, in such a complex and dynamic reality as the corporate environment.

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한국의 전시 해상수송능력 분석 (An Analysis on the Wartime Sealift Operation Capability of Korea)

  • 조윤철;이상진
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.29-46
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    • 2002
  • This study focuses primarily on the construction of the wartime sealift operation model from US to Korea. There are some uncertainties in the process of sealift operation such as the procurement rate of materiel in US, the distribution of KFS on four initial position locations at the start of the activation, and the number of ports and berths in the SPOES and SPODS. The sealift capability, based on the allocation of sealift assets such as the number of vessels, berths, and ports, is evaluated through simulation. The simulation is executed with a baseline wartime scenario and then the results are analyzed through a sensitivity analysis. The military planner may use of this model as a standard for establishing effective and concrete sealift operation plan in the near future.

채널 고정 할당 방식 이동통신 시스템에서 채널 할당 순서 최적화 (Channel Assignment Sequence Optimization Under Fixed Channel Assignment Scheme)

  • 한정희
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.163-177
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we consider a channel ordering problem that seeks to maximize the service quality in mobile radio communication systems. If a base station receives a connection request from a mobile user, one of the empty channels belonging to the base station is assigned to the mobile user. In case multiple empty channels are available, we can choose one that incurs least interference with other channels assigned to adjacent base stations. However, note that a pair of channels that are not separated enough generates interference only if both channels are assigned to mobile users. That is, interference between channels may vary depending on the channel assignment sequence for each base station and on the distribution of mobile users. To find a channel assignment sequence that seems to generate minimum interference, we develop an optimization model considering various scenarios of mobile user distribution. Simulation results show that channel assignment sequence determined by the scenario based optimization model significantly reduces the interference provided that scenarios and interference cost are properly generated.

지속가능 물류를 위한 TP-SD 방법론 기반의 복합운송체계 시뮬레이션 모델 개발 (Development of TP-SD Methodology-based Simulation Models to Improve Multimodal Transport Systems for Sustainable Logistics)

  • 정재운;김현수;최형림;홍순구
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.45-75
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    • 2010
  • Today, the logistics industry has played a critical role in national economy activities. The low cost and high efficiency of the logistics industry are meaningful in the improvement of national competitiveness and the logistics industry. However, efficiency of logistics is lower than that of the United States and Japan since most quantities are processed in road transportation in Korea. With regard to this, existing studies expected a saving of social and environmental costs due to a decrease of road transportation as well as improvement of logistics productivity due to bulk transportation through activation of rail and costal transport. For the expectation, the existing multimodal transport systems should be improved first. Therefore it aimed to develop scenario-based simulation models of multimodal transport systems for decision makers in charge of improvement in the logistics area. For model development, this study utilized Thinking Process and System Dynamics(TP-SD) methodology.

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자율주행차 충돌시나리오 파라미터 분석과 차대차 충돌해석 DB 구성 (A Parametric Study of Crash Scenario of Autonomous Vehicle and Database Construction)

  • 소영명;김호;배준석
    • 자동차안전학회지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2023
  • Research on the safety of autonomous vehicle is being conducted in various countries, including the European Union, and computer simulation techniques so called 'Virtual Tool Chain' are mainly used. As part of the crash safety study of autonomous vehicle, 25 car to car collision scenarios were provided as a result of a real accident-based accident reproduction analysis study conducted by a domestic research institution, and a vehicle crash analysis was performed using the FE car to car model of the Honda Accord. In order to analyze the results of the car to car simulation and to construct a database, major crash parameters were selected as impact speed, angle, location, and overlap, and a method of defining them in an indexed form was presented. In order to compare the crash severity of each scenario, a value obtained by integrating the resultant acceleration measured by the ACU of the vehicle was applied. The equivalent collision test mode was derived by comparing the crash severity of the regulation test mode, 30 deg rigid barrier mode, in the same way.