• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scenario model

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Developing a Reactive System Model from a Scenario-Based Specification Model (시나리오 기반 명세 모델로부터 반응형 시스템 모델 개발)

  • Kwon, Ryoung-Kwo;Kwon, Gi-Hwon
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2012
  • It is an important and a difficult task to analyze external inputs and interactions between objects for designing and modeling a reactive system consisting of multiple object. Also the reactive system is required huge efforts on confirm it can satisfy requirements under all possible circumstances. In this paper, we build from requirements to a scenario-based specification model using LSC(Live Sequence Chart) extending MSC(Message Sequence Chart) with richer syntax and semantic. Then the reactive system model satisfying all requirements for each object in this system can be automatically created through LTL Synthesis. Finally, we propose a method of reactive system development by iterative process transforming a reactive system model to codes.

Developing Model of Drought Climate Scenarios for Agricultural Drought Mitigation (농업가뭄대응을 위한 가뭄기상시나리오 모델 개발 및 적용)

  • Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Choi, Jin-Yong;Nam, Won-Ho;Kim, Tae-Gon;Go, Gwang-Don
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2012
  • Different from other natural hazards including floods, drought advances slowly and spreads widely, so that the preparedness is quite important and effective to mitigate the impacts from drought. Evaluation and forecast the status of drought for the present and future utilizing the meteorological scenario for agricultural drought can be useful to set a plan for agricultural drought mitigation in agriculture water resource management. In this study, drought climate scenario model on the basis of historical drought records for preparing agricultural drought mitigation was developed. To consider dependency and correlation between various climate variables, this model was utilized the historical climate pattern using reference year setting of four drought levels. The reference year for drought level was determined based on the frequency analysis result of monthly effective rainfall. On the basis of this model, drought climate scenarios at Suwon and Icheon station were set up and these scenarios were applied on the water balance simulation of reservoir water storage for Madun reservoir as well as the soil moisture model for Gosam reservoir watershed. The results showed that drought climate scenarios in this study could be more useful for long-term forecast of longer than 2~3 months period rather than short-term forecast of below one month.

A study on Stage-Based Flow Graph Model for Expressing Cyber Attack Train Scenarios (사이버 공격 훈련 시나리오 표현을 위한 Stage 기반 플로우 그래프 모델 연구)

  • Kim, Moon-Sun;Lee, Man-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.1021-1030
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    • 2021
  • This paper proposes S-CAFG(Stage-based Cyber Attack Flow Graph), a model for effectively describing training scenarios that simulate modern complex cyber attacks. On top of existing graph and tree models, we add a stage node to model more complex scenarios. In order to evaluate the proposed model, we create a complicated scenario and compare how the previous models and S-CAFG express the scenario. As a result, we confirm that S-CAFG can effectively describe various attack scenarios such as simultaneous attacks, additional attacks, and bypass path selection.

An evaluation scenario of safety performance for extraordinary service permission of autonomous vehicle (자율주행 자동차 임시운행 허가를 위한 안전 성능 평가 시나리오)

  • Jeong, Yonghwan;Yi, Kyongsu;Choi, In Seong;Min, Kyong Chan
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.44-49
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents an evaluation scenario of safety performance for extraordinary service permission of autonomous vehicle driving on a motorway. Based on advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) which is already mass-production, an autonomous vehicle driving on motorway is tested on the public roads and also getting close to mass-production. Before the autonomous vehicle tested, the safety of autonomous driving system should be evaluated based on a proper test scenario. Prior to develop the test scenario, this paper reviews the licensing standards for an autonomous vehicle in California and Nevada, and the international regulations of each ADAS. To develop the scenario, the driving conditions of motorway are categorized into five modes and fundamental evaluation requirements of elements of autonomous driving system are derived. An evaluation scenario, which represents the real driving conditions, has been developed to assess the safety of autonomous vehicle. This scenario has validated by computer simulation using model predictive control (MPC) based autonomous driving algorithm.

Uncertainty in Scenarios and Its Impact on Post Closure Long Term Safety Assessment in a Potential HLW Repository

  • Y.S. Hwang;Kim, S-K;Kang, C-H
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.108-120
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    • 2003
  • In assessing the long term post closure radiological safety assessment of a potential HLW repository in Korea, three categories of uncertainties exist. The first one is the scenario uncertainty where series of different natural events are translated into written statements. The second one is the modeling uncertatinty where different mathematical models are applied for an identical scenario. The last one is the data uncertainty which can be expressed in terms of probabilistic density functions. In this analysis, three different scenarios are seleceted; a small well scenario, a radiolysis scenario, and a naturally discharged scenario. The MASCOT-K and the AMBER, probabilistic safety assessment codes based on connection of sub-modules and a compartment theory respectively, are applied to assess annual individual doses for a generic biosphere. Results illustrate that for a given scenario, predictions from two different codes fairly match well each other But the discrepancies for the different scenarios are significant. However, total doses are still well below the guideline of 2 mRem/yr. Detailed analyses with model and data uncertainties are underway to further assure the safety of a Korean reference dispsoal concept.

Evaluating Changes and Uncertainty of Nitrogen Load from Rice Paddy according to the Climate Change Scenario Multi-Model Ensemble (기후변화시나리오 다중모형 앙상블에 따른 논 질소 유출 부하량 변동 및 불확실성 평가)

  • Choi, Soon-Kun;Jeong, Jaehak;Yeob, So-Jin;Kim, Minwook;Kim, Jin Ho;Kim, Min-Kyeong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.5
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    • pp.47-62
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    • 2020
  • Rice paddy accounts for approximately 52.5% of all farmlands in South Korea, and it is closely related to the water environment. Climate change is expected to affect not only agricultural productivity also the water and the nutrient circulation. Therefore this study was aimed to evaluate changes of nitrogen load from rice paddy considering climate change scenario uncertainty. APEX-Paddy model which reflect rice paddy environment by modifying APEX (Agricultural Policy and Environmental eXtender) model was used. Using the AIMS (APCC Integrated Modeling Solution) offered by the APEC Climate Center, bias correction was conducted for 9 GCMs using non-parametric quantile mapping. Bias corrected climate change scenarios were applied to the APEX-Paddy model. The changes and uncertainty in runoff and nitrogen load were evaluated using multi-model ensemble. Paddy runoff showed a change of 23.1% for RCP4.5 scenario and 45.5% for RCP8.5 scenario compared the 2085s (2071 to 2100) against the base period (1976 to 2005). The nitrogen load was found to be increased as 43.9% for RCP4.5 scenario and 76.0% for RCP8.5 scenario. The uncertainty analysis showed that the annual standard deviation of nitrogen loads increased in the future, and the maximum entropy indicated an increasing tendency. And Duncan's analysis showed significant differences among GCMs as the future progressed. The result of this study seems to be used as a basis for mid- and long-term policies for water resources and water system environment considering climate change.

Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Reduction Potentials in a University using Bottom-up Model (상향식 모형을 이용한 대학의 온실가스 감축 잠재량 평가)

  • Yoo, Jung-Hwa;Park, Nyun-Bae;Jo, Mi-hyun;Jeon, Eui-Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.183-193
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    • 2012
  • In this study, the S University's energy usage, greenhouse gas emissions situation and potential reduction amount were analyzed using a long-term energy analysis model, LEAP. In accordance with the VISION 2020 and university's own improvement plans, S University plans to complete a second campus through expansion constructions by 2020 and by allocating the needed land. Accordingly, increases in energy usage and greenhouse gas emissions seem inevitable. Hence, in this study, the calculations of potential reduction amount by 2020 were attempted through the use of LEAP model by categorizing the energy used based on usage types and by proposing usage typebased reduction methods. There were a total of 4 scenarios: a standard scenario that predicted the energy usage without any additional energy reduction activity; energy reduction scenario using LED light replacement; energy reduction scenario using high efficiency building equipment; and a scenario that combines these two energy reduction scenarios. As scenario-based results, it was ascertained that, through the scenario that had two other energy reduction scenarios combined, the 2020 greenhouse gas emissions amount would be 14,916 tons of $CO_2eq$, an increase of 43.7% compared to the 2010 greenhouse gas emissions amount. Put differently, it was possible to derive a result of about 23.7% reduction of the greenhouse gas emissions amount for S University's greenhouse gas emissions amount through energy reduction activities. In terms of energy reduction methods, changing into ultra-high efficiency building equipment would deliver the most amount of reduction.

Development of the Instructional Design Guideline utilizing Goal-based Scenario for Culinary Practice Education

  • Ko, Beom-Seok;Na, Tae-Kyun
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2016
  • Recently, not only development of curriculum associated directly with job, the development of new education model is in great need. So, the purpose of this study is to develop the instructional design guideline utilizing goal-based scenario(GBS) for college students who major in culinary arts. First, to achieve this goal, we recognized the 7 core elements(learning goal, mission, cover story, role activity, scenario operating, resource, feedback) composing GBS through literature review and case study. Second, we drew a conclusion about the problem and guideline for traditional culinary practice course by conducting inspection about culinary practice environment and needs with professors who are teaching culinary arts. Third, we applied the instructional design guideline for culinary practice to regular classes according to GBS's factors, and then we did formative evaluation with content experts and educational technology expert. Finally, we designed the final instructional design guideline for culinary practice by modifying early model reflected the result of formative evaluation. The results of this study are as following. First, when we applied GBS to culinary practice, professors have to focus on process of materialization by developing easy scenario to students. Also, they have to prepare the class circumstance to feel about sense of realism in advance. Second, to give a conjugally new skill at working, professors's effort is important. culinary practice education at college has responsibility to carry out the vocational training that has competitiveness and difference with labor market's needs. Therefore, it is necessary for us to develop the teaching and learning model for culinary practice which is suitable for major based on the manpower demand for industry without causing job mismatch from demand for industry.

Evaluation Model of Business process Contextual Situations using goal-scenario (목표 시나리오를 이용한 비즈니스 프로세스 외부상황 평가 모델)

  • Baek, Su-Jin;Ko, Jong-Won;Song, Young-Jae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2011
  • The scope of the problems that could be solved by monitoring and the improvement of the recognition time is directly correlated to the performance of the management function of the business process. However, the current event-managing monitoring system and the real-time advanced alarming business monitoring system decided whether to apply warnings or not by assuming a fixed environment and showing expressions based on the design rules. Therefore, there is a limit for distinguishing the range of occurrence and the level of severity in regard to the new external problems occurring in a complicated environment. Such problems cannot be abstracted. In this paper, evaluation model of business process contextual situations using goal scenario is suggested to provide constant services through the current monitoring process in regard to the service demands of the new scenario which occurs outside. The new demands based on the outside situation are analyzed according to the target scenario for the process activities. Also, a similar process model is found and identified by combining similarity and interrelationship. The process can be stopped in advance or adjusted to the wanted direction.

A Fusion Context-Aware Model based on Hybrid Sensing for Recommendation Smart Service (지능형 스마트 서비스를 위한 하이브리드 센싱 기반의 퓨전 상황인지 모델)

  • Kim, Svetlana;Yoon, YongIk
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2013
  • Variety of smart devices including smart phone have become and essential item in user's daily life. This means that smart devices are good mediators to get collecting user's behavior by sensors mounted on the devices. The information from smart devices is important clues to identify by analyzing the user's preferences and needs. Through this, the intelligent service which is fitted to the user is possible. This paper propose a smart service recommendation model based on user scenario using fusion context-awareness. The information for recommendation services is collected to make the scenario depending on time, location, action based on the Fusion process. The scenarios can help predict a user's situation and provide the services in advance. Also, content categories as well as the content types are determined depending on the scenario. The scenario is a method for providing the best service as well as a basis for the user's situation. Using this method, proposing a smart service model with the fusion context-awareness based on the hybrid sensing is the goal of this paper.