• 제목/요약/키워드: Safety Estimation

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가연성물질의 폭발한계에 관한 연구 -알코올화합물의 폭발특성치 및 폭발한계의 온도의존성 예측- (A Study on Explosive Limits of Flammable Materials - Prediction of Explosive Properties and Temperature Dependence of Explosive Limits for n-Alcohols -)

  • 하동명
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 1999
  • By using literature data, the empirical equations have been derived which describe the interrelationships of explosion and other related properties of n-alcohols. The properties which have been correlated data are : lower and upper explosive limits, heats of combustion, carbon numbers. Also, the new equation for predicting the temperature dependence of lower explosive limits(LEL) of n-alcohols on the basis of explosive limits, heats of combustion, flame propagation theory and mathematical method is proposed. The values calculated by the proposed equations were a good agreement with literature data within a few percent. From a given explosive properties. by using the proposed equations, it is possible to predict the other properties. It is hoped eventually that this method will permit the estimation of the explosive properties of alcohol with improved accuracy and the broader application for other compounds.

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흡착식 유회수기 표면에 부착된 유막의 안정성 해석 (A stability analysis of oil film on an adhesion-type oil skimmer)

  • 현범수;김장환
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 1997
  • To determine an operational condition of an adhesion-type oil skimmer, it is important to estimate the withdrawal rate for a given driving velocity of the skimmer and material properties of the oil. As a theoretical model for this problem the formation of an oil film on a vertically driven flat plate is investigated. The previous steady-state analysis made in the field of coating industry are reviewed. These studies have been made under the assumptions of small Reynolds and capillary number, which is adequate for coating process but not for oil skimming. An alternative analysis based on the linear stability theory is made. Comparisons with the experimental results reveal that the stability analysis gives a correct estimation of the withdrawal rate for high capillary number at which the previous theory losses its validity.

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Stochastic design charts for bearing capacity of strip footings

  • Shahin, Mohamed A.;Cheung, Eric M.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.153-167
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    • 2011
  • Traditional design methods of bearing capacity of shallow foundations are deterministic in the sense that they do not explicitly consider the inherent uncertainty associated with the factors affecting bearing capacity. To account for such uncertainty, available deterministic methods rather employ a fixed global factor of safety that may lead to inappropriate bearing capacity predictions. An alternative stochastic approach is essential to provide a more rational estimation of bearing capacity. In this paper, the likely distribution of predicted bearing capacity of strip footings subjected to vertical loads is obtained using a stochastic approach based on the Monte Carlo simulation. The approach accounts for the uncertainty associated with the soil shear strength parameters: cohesion, c, and friction angle, ${\phi}$, and the cross correlation between c and ${\phi}$. A set of stochastic design charts that assure target reliability levels of 90% and 95%, are developed for routine use by practitioners. The charts negate the need for a factor of safety and provide a more reliable indication of what the actual bearing capacity might be.

공항터미널 주기장 배정의 최적화에 대한 연구 (Optimizing Gate Assignment at Domestic Airport)

  • 이희남;김연명;이공섭;이창호
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2002
  • Utilization rate for the restrictive gate and required time and walking distance to board are to be a measure for the gate management and passenger's convenience estimation. So, the main purpose of the gate management are maximization of utilization rate and increment of airport terminal user's convenience through the efficient gate management. This study intends to maximize the utilization rate on usable gates and minimize the passenger's working distance in terminal by concerning about layout, terminal configuration, local passenger of the airport and formulate the gate assignment problem with integer linear programming problem. Then we obtained solution using optimization software LINGO and analyzed that maximize the number of assignment flights and minimize the passenger's walking distance.

스프링클러 작동특성(作動特性)과 피난평가(避難評價)에 관한 실증적(實證的) 연구(硏究) (An Empirical Study on the Sprinkler Operational Characteristics and Escape Time Estimation)

  • 진복권
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2006
  • The trends in building construction these days are moving towards having better work spaces and greater suitability for the use of information technology. Therefore people can work in a more relaxed delightful and pleasant environment. Accident such as like fire could cause the mass destruction of human beings. This paper aims to evaluate the path of the spread of a fire and the suitability of fire fighting appliances for maximum egress time. General advanced phase of compartment. Aswell, we analyzed and verified the path of the flame in compartment fires. Also we conducted an analysis of the adaptation of sprinkler systems concerned with sprinkler RTI. Moreover those evaluation is made more earlier by the development and use of computer simulation program and rapid progress to apply PBFD (Performance Based Fire Design).

Delphi기법을 통한 교통수요예측 Risk Management 적용 방안 (Application of Risk Management to Forecasting Transportation Demand by Delphi Technique)

  • 정성봉
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2011
  • Since 'The Act on Private Investment of The Infrastructure' was established in 1994, private investment as well as government's investment in transport infrastructure has been active. However investment in transport infrastructure has more risks than others' due to uncertainty both in traffic volume and in construction cost. In the current appraisal procedure of deciding transportation infrastructure investment, instead of risk management, the sensitivity analysis considering only the changes of benefit, cost and social discount rate which are main factor affecting economic feasibility is carried out. Therefore the uncertainty of various factors affecting demand, cost and benefit are not considered in feasibility study. In this study the problems in current investment appraisal system were reviewed. Using Delphi technique the major factors which have high uncertainty in feasibility study were surveyed and then improvement plan was suggested in the respective of classic 4 step demand forecasting method. The range estimation technique was also mentioned to deal with the uncertainty of the future.

AHP를 활용한 물류센터 입지 선정 요인 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Factor Analysis of Distribution Center Location Selection Using Analytic Hierarchy Process)

  • 양광모
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.129-135
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    • 2011
  • Logistics parks make profits using the efficiency of time and space. Such logistics parks play an important role in a corporation creating operating profits as well as acting as a method of alternative investment for individuals. Logistics parks no longer simply store materials, but have become a place that plays an important role in various areas of corporate and individual activities, and thus the analysis of the selection of the location of logistics parks and the related characteristics is extremely important. The estimation model is established by the weights for industry derived from AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process).

건전성예측 및 관리기술 연구동향 및 응용사례 (A review on prognostics and health management and its applications)

  • 최주호
    • 항공우주시스템공학회지
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2014
  • Objective of this paper is to introduce a new technology known as prognostics and health management (PHM) which enables a real-time life prediction for safety critical systems under extreme loading conditions. In the PHM, Bayesian framework is employed to account for uncertainties and probabilities arising in the overall process including condition monitoring, fault severity estimation and failure predictions. Three applications - aircraft fuselage crack, gearbox spall and battery capacity degradation are taken to illustrate the approach, in which the life is predicted and validated by end-of-life results. The PHM technology may allow new maintenance strategy that achieves higher degree of safety while reducing the cost in effective manner.

정량적 위험해석을 이용한 크레인 낙하물의 위험성 평가에 관한 연구 (Risk Assessment of Dropped Object in Offshore Engineering through Quantified Risk Analysis)

  • 장철호;이주성
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2017
  • Previous methods to evaluate the risk of dropped objects rely on personnel experience of the engineer or operator without analyzed data. However analyzing historical statistic data is the best approach to find the safest operation route and to achieve more reasonable and reliable calculation results. By counting the failure frequency and fatal accident rate the risk can be quantified, and so controlled or mitigated with best economical risk reducing measures. This analysis gives a crane operator with useful information for selecting the best crane operation route, and a designer with an estimation of risk level for the dropped objects from a safety point of view.

최소 컷셋법에 의한 화력발전소 기동전원의 신뢰도 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Reliability Evaluation of Start-up Power Supply in Fossil Power Plant by Minimal Cut-Set Method)

  • 최규식
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제48권4호
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    • pp.358-364
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    • 1999
  • The auxiliary transformers or start-up/stand-by transformer(s) are installed against the start-up and shut-down of generator and emergency status in fossil power plant. The on-site power supply configuration using these transformers must be determined, considering configuration requirements, site characteristics, reliability and availability severely because it is remarkably important for safety and ecfonomy of plant. The auxiliary or start-up/stand-by power supply configuration has been determined considering only safety requirements and construction cost until now in Korea. This paper presents general theorems for the reliability estimation and proposes 2-unit based 4 alternatives for the start-up power supply stystem of 500㎿ standardized fossil power plant. The reliability and unavailability of equipment, system and configuration are determined using minimal cut-set methodology. The optimized plan of 4 alternatives is determined based on this ultimate reliability and unavailability.

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