• Title/Summary/Keyword: SUR (seemingly unrelated regression)

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Analysis of the Impact Factors to Organizational Performance of the Volunteers Centers (자원봉사센터의 조직성과 영향요인 분석)

  • Jang, Seok-Jun;Kim, Jun-Hyeon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.186-195
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this research is to explain what affects the volunteer center's performance on the basis on the program logic model. We assume that internal factors and external factors influence the organizational performance. For the empirical analysis, we use SUR(seemingly unrelated regression). The major findings of this research are as follows: Frist, organizational budget as internal factors are important influential factors. Second, civil society's capacity variable and stakeholder's support variable affect positively volunteer center's performance. Third, the contract out variable's effect as an operation types is not proven statistically. In case of estimating the multi organizational performance, lastly, the SUR method is prefer to the OLS method in the aspect methodology. However, more systemic study is complemented the panel data for organizational performance.

An Analyzing the Cost-Saving Effect of R&D Investment: Focusing on the ICT Industry (연구개발투자에 따른 비용저감 효과 분석: ICT산업을 중심으로)

  • Pak, Cheolmin;Han, Jeongmin;Ku, Bonchul
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.81-105
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the cost-saving effect of R&D investment in the ICT industry. As is well known, the R&D investment induces both the product innovation and the process innovation, in turn leads the effect of creating profit and cutting cost. However, it appears that studies concerned with the cost-saving effect of R&D investment have been unproductive, while most existing studies concentrate on the topic involved with the creating profit of R&D investment. Therefore, we extend the effect of R&D investment to a framework of the cost-saving focusing on the ICT industry. To empirically analyze the effect, we built a simultaneous three-equation model comprising a translog cost function and two cost share equations, and employed the SUR analysis. As a result, we found out that the cost-saving effect on the total cost is statistically significant. In addition, we examined relationships between the R&D investment and each cost of production elements. The results show that on the one hand, the R&D investment and the intermediate good cost have the substitution relationship. On the other hand, the complementary relationship is observed between the R&D investment and each labor or capital cost.

Information in the Implied Volatility Curve of Option Prices and Implications for Financial Distribution Industry (옵션 내재 변동성곡선의 정보효과와 금융 유통산업에의 시사점)

  • Kim, Sang-Su;Liu, Won-Suk;Son, Sam-Ho
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to shed light on the importance of the slope and curvature of the volatility curve implied in option prices in the KOSPI 200 options index. A number of studies examine the implied volatility curve, however, these usually focus on cross-sectional characteristics such as the volatility smile. Contrary to previous studies, we focus on time-series characteristics; we investigate correlation dynamics among slope, curvature, and level of the implied volatility curve to capture market information embodied therein. Our study may provide useful implications for investors to utilize current market expectations in managing portfolios dynamically and efficiently. Research design, data, and methodology - For our empirical purpose, we gathered daily KOSPI200 index option prices executed at 2:50 pm in the Korean Exchange distribution market during the period of January 2, 2004 and January 31, 2012. In order to measure slope and curvature of the volatility curve, we use approximated delta distance; the slope is defined as the difference of implied volatilities between 15 delta call options and 15 delta put options; the curvature is defined as the difference between out-of-the-money (OTM) options and at-the-money (ATM) options. We use generalized method of moments (GMM) and the seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) method to verify correlations among level, slope, and curvature of the implied volatility curve with statistical support. Results - We find that slope as well as curvature is positively correlated with volatility level, implying that put option prices increase in a downward market. Further, we find that curvature and slope are positively correlated; however, the relation is weakened at deep moneyness. The results lead us to examine whether slope decreases monotonically as the delta increases, and it is verified with statistical significance that the deeper the moneyness, the lower the slope. It enables us to infer that when volatility surges above a certain level due to any tail risk, investors would rather take long positions in OTM call options, expecting market recovery in the near future. Conclusions - Our results are the evidence of the investor's increasing hedging demand for put options when downside market risks are expected. Adding to this, the slope and curvature of the volatility curve may provide important information regarding the timing of market recovery from a nosedive. For financial product distributors, using the dynamic relation among the three key indicators of the implied volatility curve might be helpful in enhancing profit and gaining trust and loyalty. However, it should be noted that our implications are limited since we do not provide rigorous evidence for the predictability power of volatility curves. Meaning, we need to verify whether the slope and curvature of the volatility curve have statistical significance in predicting the market trough. As one of the verifications, for instance, the performance of trading strategy based on information of slope and curvature could be tested. We reserve this for the future research.

A study on Estimation of CO2 Abatement Cost in Korean Offshore Fishery (우리나라 근해어업의 CO2 배출 저감비용함수 추정)

  • Shin, Yongmin;Jeong, Gyeowoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.399-420
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    • 2018
  • This study has attempted environmental economic analysis on the cost structure of offshore fisheries based on fishery management data published by the Fisheries Research Institute to examine the effect of the environmental policy on the fisheries for the effective implementation of the Paris Convention. Under the assumption that both fisheries and carbon dioxide are simultaneously produced, the cost structure of offshore fisheries were analyzed. Cost function in a translog form was estimated and SUR (Seemingly Unrelated Regression) model was used for the analysis. Here, $CO_2$ emission of offshore fishery was calculated by using National Federation of Fisheries Cooperatives' data on supply of tax exemption oil (2003~2016). The cost function estimation showed that there is a weak disposition between catches and $CO_2$ emissions during the sample period, and the marginal abatement cost (MAC) is estimated at 1,457 won per year. In addition, for the same period, when 1% of $CO_2$ per horsepower is to be reduced MAC increases by 2.2%, and when 1% of $CO_2$ per 1 ton of catch is to be reduced, MAC increases by 1.4%.

A Study on Technological Innovation and Employment Performance from the Perspective of Process : Focused on Small and Medium Sized Enterprises (프로세스 관점에서의 기술혁신 및 고용성과에 관한 연구 : 중소기업을 중심으로)

  • Bong, Kang Ho;Park, Jaemin
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.1508-1535
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    • 2018
  • Employment in enterprises is a consecutive decision-making process based on the results of their innovative activities and it is necessary to consider this relationship as well explicitly in an analysis of the employment performance through technological innovation. Based on this critical mind, this study would analyze the structural relationships among enterprises' innovative activities, the performance of technological innovation, a compensation system and the creation of employment, reflecting the correlation of the process of the actual technology management performed simultaneously, utilizing the seemingly unrelated regression(SUR) model to estimate a simultaneous equation in addition to analyzing the relationship between technological innovation and the effect on employment with the ordered logit model to estimate a single equation as in the preceding studies. As a result of the analysis, a structural relationship could be found out, in which the execution of the compensation system would increase the performances of technical development and technology commercialization, which in turn, accelerates enterprises' employment. Especially, it is judged that enterprises' employment performance increases when technological innovation is managed from a process perspective in that the commercialization performance, as well as technical development, acts as a kind of hurdle in the effect on employment.

Monthly Hanwoo supply and forecasting models

  • Hyungwoo, Lee;Seonu, Ji;Tongjoo, Suh
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.797-806
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    • 2021
  • As the number of scaled-up ranches increased and agile responses to market changes became possible, decision-making by Hanwoo cattle farms also began to affect short-term shipments. Considering the changing environment of the Hanwoo supply market and the response speed of producers, it is necessary quickly to grasp the forecast ahead of time and to respond accordingly in an effort to stabilize supply and demand in the Hanwoo market. In this study, short-term forecasting model centered on the supply of Hanwoo was established. The analysis conducted here indicates that the slaughter of Hanwoo males increases by 0.248 as the number of beef cattle raised over 29 months of age in the previous month increases by one, and 0.764 Hanwoo females were slaughtered under average conditions for every Hanwoo male slaughtered. With regard to time, the slaughtering of Hanwoo was higher in January and August, which are months known for holiday food preparation activities for the New Year and Chuseok in Korea, respectively. Simulations indicated that errors were within 10% in all simulations performed through the Hanwoo supply model. Accordingly, it is considered that the estimation results from the supply model devised in this study are reliable and that the model has good structural stability.

An Empirical Analysis on the Effectiveness of the Korean Beef Cow Fattening Support Program (한우 암소비육지원사업 효과 실증분석)

  • Ji, Seonu;Kang, Byung-Kyu;Lee, Hyung-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.327-341
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    • 2023
  • The Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs, Hanwoo Association and Nonghyup have discussed proactive reduction measures for cows in response to concerns about an oversupply of hanwoo to ensure supply stability. This study aims to empirically analyze whether the cow fattening support program is being implemented in line with its objectives. Based on the analysis of beef traceability data, the slaughter age of participating cows was reduced by 7.6 to 14.7 months compared to non-participating cows. And heifer was reduced 1.5 months in their slaughter age. In case of parity, participating cows showed a reduction of 1.4 compared to non-participating cows. Through the SUR model, an analysis was conducted to examine the effect of the cow fattening support program on the suppression of calf production numbers. The analysis results showed that the calf production numbers are positively influenced by the number of fertile cow and the quantity of semen sales. Furthermore, it is estimated that calf production decreased as the fat index increased, and during the period when the cow fattening support program was implemented, an average monthly suppression of 3,558 calves was observed.

The Effects of Increase in Childcare Subsidy on Time Allocation of Women -Focusing on Low-income and Moderate-income Women with Pre-school Children- (보육료 지원 확대가 여성의 생활시간 배분에 미치는 영향 -미취학자녀가 있는 중하위소득 가구의 여성을 중심으로-)

  • Byun, Geumsun;Heo, Yongchang
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.66 no.2
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    • pp.101-125
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    • 2014
  • This paper aims to examine the effects of increase in childcare subsidy on time allocation of women, particularly low- and moderate-income women with pre-school children. For the purpose, the study adopts seemingly unrelated tobit and analyses data from the 2004 and 2009 Time Use Survey Data of the National Statistical Office. First of all, the results reveal that the policy changes in childcare subsidy affect time allocation of low- and moderate-income women with pre-school children, which increases paid-work whereas decreases caregiving and housework in a daily life. The results show that the changes take place in accordance with the goals of childcare subsidy promoting women's employment and reducing women's burden of caregiving. Yet the study has a couple of limitations- the only marginally significant impact in several variables, little effect on time allocation of all women- for the generalization of the findings. Nevertheless, the results indicate that employment policies for women, particularly for mothers, and the provision of childcare services should be improved to maximize the positive effects of increase in childcare subsidy.

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The Dynamics of Korean Stock Market in Response to Fiscal and Monetary Shocks Around Foreign Currency Crisis and Stock Market Opening (재정정책과 통화정책의 충격에 대한 한국 주식시장의 동태적 반응에 관한 연구 - 외환위기와 주식시장 개방을 전후하여 -)

  • Jeong, Jinho
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.239-251
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    • 2005
  • This paper investigates the effectiveness of economic policy on the stock market in Korea around foreign currency crisis and stock market opening. For this purpose, the paper applied SUR technique to a set of monthly data over the period 1982.01 to 2004.12. The study finds the following results. First, for the entire sample period, Korean stock market appears to have effectively incorporated all of the past information about fiscal policy moves. However, the paper finds an evidence that some of the past monetary actions have significant impacts upon current stock returns implying that the information about past monetary moves has been overlooked. Second, there is an evidence to suggest that, after foreign currency crisis, the macro economic policy actions may influence stock market in a different way. In particular, after foreign currency crisis, monetary policy influences stock market in a more delayed pattern while past fiscal policy moves are well incorporated into current stock returns. Third, before stock market opening to foreign investors, some of the past economic policy actions have significant effects on current stock returns. On the contrary, after stock market opening, none of the past macro economic information has significant impact upon current stock returns. The results imply that stock market opening may contribute to the active utilization of economic information for market participants in Korea.

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An Analysis of Impact Factors on Performance in Operating Agrifood Export Organizations (농식품 수출조직 운영성과 영향요인 분석)

  • Kim, Kyung-Phil;Kim, Sang-Hyo;Han, Jung-Hoon
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.93-107
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - This study aims to derive directions and implications for improving performance in operating agrifood export organizations by identifying significant performance impact factors. Research design, data, and methodology - A seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) model was estimated using data from a survey conducted among 120 exporters including 16 leading export organizations. In the SUR estimation, the export volume and price are used as dependent variables and securing the quantity of products ordered and exported, quality management, and marketing activities are considered as explanatory variables for the operation performance. Results - The amount of farmer education, the manpower in charge of marketing, and the interaction terms between whether or not they belong to a leading export organization and the item dummy for mushrooms have a significant impact on the export volume where the export volume is specified as a dependent variable. The export volume is greater with a greater amount of farmer education and greater manpower in charge of marketing from the perspective of quality management. When the export price is estimated as a dependent variable, the manpower in charge of marketing is shown to have a significant impact on the export price. Conclusions - The government needs to strengthen its support of the performance of agrifood export organizations. The analysis indicates that the education of and consulting with farmers, and the manpower number in charge of marketing are key factors in the operation performance of export organizations. Therefore, supporting the export organizations in expanding their human resources in charge of marketing can increase the export volumes for agrifoods. Given, however, that the export volume associated with joint payments, human resources specialized in quality management, and the amount of participation in export exhibitions are not significant factors, it is essential to improve the supporting policies for those areas. The manpower in charge of marketing from the perspective of marketing has a significant impact on both the export volume and export price. Thus, we identify this as the most important category that should be supported to enhance performance in export organizations.