• Title/Summary/Keyword: Root means square error

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A Study on Estimation of Quantile using Regional Scaling Model and Frequency Analysis (빈도해석과 지역 스케일 모델을 이용한 확률강우량 추정에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Younghun;Kim, Sunghun;Kim, Hanbeen;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.301-301
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    • 2016
  • 국내의 경우 수공구조물을 설계하기 위해서는 빈도해석을 통해 설계수문량을 산정한다. 일반적으로 실무에서는 지점빈도해석을 수행하게 되는데 설계빈도보다 대부분 짧은 기간의 자료를 이용하여 산정한다. 지역빈도해석은 이러한 자료기간이 가지는 문제점을 극복하기 위하여 확률수문량의 정확도와 신뢰도를 향상시키는 기법이다. 스케일 모델은 지속기간별로 관측된 강우자료를 이용하여 재현기간에 대한 지속기간의 함수로 표현이 가능하며, 이를 통해 강우의 IDF곡선을 제시할 수 있는 수학적 모델이다. 대상지역의 강우관측소에서 관측된 강우자료가 일단위이면, 기준지속기간이 24시간이 되며, 기준지속기간에 대한 확률강우량으로부터 임의의 지속기간에 대한 확률강우량을 스케일 모델을 이용하여 추정할 수 있다. 따라서 짧은 자료를 보유한 지역이거나 미계측 지역에 대한 확률강우량을 추정을 위해 지역빈도해석과 지역 스케일 모델을 이용하여 확률강우량을 추정하여 지점빈도해석과 비교하고자 한다. 본 연구를 위해 한강유역의 강우 관측소를 이용하였으며, 군집분석 중 k-means방법을 적용하여 수문학적 동질성을 확보한 후 지역을 구분하였다. 구분된 지역은 지점 및 지역빈도해석을 수행한 후 상대평균제곱근오차(relative root mean square error, RRMSE)를 비교하여 정확도를 판단하였고, 정확도가 높은 빈도해석에 지역 스케일 모델을 적용하여 미계측 지점에 대한 임의의 시간에 대한 확률강우량을 추정하고자 한다.

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A Modulation and Channel State Estimation Algorithm Using the Received Signal Analysis in the Blind Channel (블라인드 채널에서 수신 신호 분석 기법을 사용한 변조 및 채널 상태 추정 알고리즘)

  • Cho, Minhwan;Nam, Haewoon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.41 no.11
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    • pp.1406-1409
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we propose the heuristic signal grouping algorithm to estimate channel state value over full blind communication situation which means that there is no information about the modulation scheme and the channel state information between the transmitter and the receiver. Hereafter, using the constellation rotation method and the probability density function(pdf) the modulation scheme is determined to perform automatic modulation classification(AMC). Furthermore, the modulation type and a channel state value estimation capability is evaluated by comparing the proposed scheme with other conventional techniques from the simulation results in terms of the symbol error rate(SER) and the root mean square error (RMSE).

Mean Square Projection Error Gradient-based Variable Forgetting Factor FAPI Algorithm (평균 제곱 투영 오차의 기울기에 기반한 가변 망각 인자 FAPI 알고리즘)

  • Seo, YoungKwang;Shin, Jong-Woo;Seo, Won-Gi;Kim, Hyoung-Nam
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.177-187
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes a fast subspace tracking methods, which is called GVFF FAPI, based on FAPI (Fast Approximated Power Iteration) method and GVFF RLS (Gradient-based Variable Forgetting Factor Recursive Lease Squares). Since the conventional FAPI uses a constant forgetting factor for estimating covariance matrix of source signals, it has difficulty in applying to non-stationary environments such as continuously changing DOAs of source signals. To overcome the drawback of conventioanl FAPI method, the GVFF FAPI uses the gradient-based variable forgetting factor derived from an improved means square error (MSE) analysis of RLS. In order to achieve the decreased subspace error in non-stationary environments, the GVFF-FAPI algorithm used an improved forgetting factor updating equation that can produce a fast decreasing forgetting factor when the gradient is positive and a slowly increasing forgetting factor when the gradient is negative. Our numerical simulations show that GVFF-FAPI algorithm offers lower subspace error and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) of tracked DOAs of source signals than conventional FAPI based MUSIC (MUltiple SIgnal Classification).

Flood Runoff Measurements using Surface Image Velocimetry (표면영상유속계(SIV)를 이용한 홍수유출량 측정)

  • Kim, Yong-Seok;Yang, Sung-Kee;Yu, Kwon-Kyu;Kim, Dong-Su
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.581-589
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    • 2013
  • Surface Image Velocimetry(SIV) is an instrument to measure water surface velocity by using image processing techniques. Since SIV is a non-contact type measurement method, it is very effective and useful to measure water surface velocity for steep mountainous streams, such as streams in Jeju island. In the present study, a surface imaging velocimetry system was used to calculate the flow rate for flood event due to a typhoon. At the same time, two types of electromagnetic surface velocimetries (electromagnetic surface current meter and Kalesto) were used to observe flow velocities and compare the accuracies of each instrument. The comparison showed that for velocity distributions root mean square error(RMSE) was 0.33 and R-squared was 0.72. For discharge measurements, root mean square error(RMSE) reached 6.04 and R-squared did 0.92. It means that surface image velocimetry could be used as an alternative method for electromagnetic surface velocimetries in measuring flood discharge.

Evaluation of Subtractive Clustering based Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System with Fuzzy C-Means based ANFIS System in Diagnosis of Alzheimer

  • Kour, Haneet;Manhas, Jatinder;Sharma, Vinod
    • Journal of Multimedia Information System
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.87-90
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    • 2019
  • Machine learning techniques have been applied in almost all the domains of human life to aid and enhance the problem solving capabilities of the system. The field of medical science has improved to a greater extent with the advent and application of these techniques. Efficient expert systems using various soft computing techniques like artificial neural network, Fuzzy Logic, Genetic algorithm, Hybrid system, etc. are being developed to equip medical practitioner with better and effective diagnosing capabilities. In this paper, a comparative study to evaluate the predictive performance of subtractive clustering based ANFIS hybrid system (SCANFIS) with Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) based ANFIS system (FCMANFIS) for Alzheimer disease (AD) has been taken. To evaluate the performance of these two systems, three parameters i.e. root mean square error (RMSE), prediction accuracy and precision are implemented. Experimental results demonstrated that the FCMANFIS model produce better results when compared to SCANFIS model in predictive analysis of Alzheimer disease (AD).

Basal Area-Stump Diameter Models for Tectona grandis Linn. F. Stands in Omo Forest Reserve, Nigeria

  • Chukwu, Onyekachi;Osho, Johnson S.A.
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.119-125
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    • 2018
  • The tropical forests in developing countries are faced with the problem of illegal exploitation of trees. However, dearth of empirical means of expressing the dimensions, structure, quality and quantity of a removed tree has imped conviction of offenders. This study aimed at developing a model that can effectively estimate individual tree basal area (BA) from stump diameter (Ds) for Tectona grandis stands in Omo Forest Reserve, Nigeria, for timber valuation in case of illegal felling. Thirty-six $25m{\times}25m$ temporary sample plots (TSPs) were laid randomly in six age strata; 26, 23, 22, 16, 14, and 12 years specifically. BA, Ds and diameter at breast height were measured in all living T. grandis trees within the 36 TSPs. Least square method was used to convert the counted stumps into harvested stem cross-sectional areas. Six basal area models were fitted and evaluated. The BA-Ds relationship was best described by power model which gave least values of Root mean square error (0.0048), prediction error sum of squares (0.0325) and Akaike information criterion (-15391) with a high adjusted coefficient of determination (0.921). This study revealed that basal area estimation was realistic even when the only information available was stump diameter. The power model was validated using independent data obtained from additional plots and was found to be appropriate for estimating the basal area of Tectona grandis stands in Omo Forest Reserve, Nigeria.

A SOFT-SENSING MODEL FOR FEEDWATER FLOW RATE USING FUZZY SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION

  • Na, Man-Gyun;Yang, Heon-Young;Lim, Dong-Hyuk
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2008
  • Most pressurized water reactors use Venturi flow meters to measure the feedwater flow rate. However, fouling phenomena, which allow corrosion products to accumulate and increase the differential pressure across the Venturi flow meter, can result in an overestimation of the flow rate. In this study, a soft-sensing model based on fuzzy support vector regression was developed to enable accurate on-line prediction of the feedwater flow rate. The available data was divided into two groups by fuzzy c means clustering in order to reduce the training time. The data for training the soft-sensing model was selected from each data group with the aid of a subtractive clustering scheme because informative data increases the learning effect. The proposed soft-sensing model was confirmed with the real plant data of Yonggwang Nuclear Power Plant Unit 3. The root mean square error and relative maximum error of the model were quite small. Hence, this model can be used to validate and monitor existing hardware feedwater flow meters.

Prediction Performance of Ocean Temperature and Salinity in Global Seasonal Forecast System Version 5 (GloSea5) on ARGO Float Data

  • Jieun Wie;Jae-Young Byon;Byung-Kwon Moon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.327-337
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    • 2024
  • The ocean is linked to long-term climate variability, but there are very few methods to assess the short-term performance of forecast models. This study analyzes the short-term prediction performance regarding ocean temperature and salinity of the Global Seasonal prediction system version 5 (GloSea5). GloSea5 is a historical climate re-creation (2001-2010) performed on the 1st, 9th, 17th, and 25th of each month. It comprises three ensembles. High-resolution hindcasts from the three ensembles were compared with the Array for Real-Time Geostrophic Oceanography (ARGO) float data for the period 2001-2010. The horizontal position was preprocessed to match the ARGO float data and the vertical layer to the GloSea5 data. The root mean square error (RMSE), Brier Score (BS), and Brier Skill Score (BSS) were calculated for short-term forecast periods with a lead-time of 10 days. The results show that sea surface temperature (SST) has a large RMSE in the western boundary current region in Pacific and Atlantic Oceans and Antarctic Circumpolar Current region, and sea surface salinity (SSS) has significant errors in the tropics with high precipitation, with both variables having the largest errors in the Atlantic. SST and SSS had larger errors during the fall for the NINO3.4 region and during the summer for the East Sea. Computing the BS and BSS for ocean temperature and salinity in the NINO3.4 region revealed that forecast skill decreases with increasing lead-time for SST, but not for SSS. The preprocessing of GloSea5 forecasts to match the ARGO float data applied in this study, and the evaluation methods for forecast models using the BS and BSS, could be applied to evaluate other forecast models and/or variables.

An adjustment of coefficients for SMAC using MODIS red band (MODIS 가시 채널을 사용한 SMAC 계수 개선)

  • Park, Soo-Jae;Lee, Chang-Suk;Yeom, Jong-Min;Lee, Ga-Lam;Pi, Kyoung-Jin;Han, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Young-Seup
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2009.03a
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    • pp.254-259
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    • 2009
  • In this study, Simplified Method for the Atmospheric Correction (SMAC) radiative transfer model (RTM) used to retrieve surface reflectance from MODIS Top Of Atmosphere (TOA) reflectance (MOD02). SMAC code provides coefficients which were previously yielded by Second Simulation of the Satellite Signal in the Solar Spectrum (6S) for each satellite sensor. We conducted error analysis of SMAC RTM using MOD02 over comparison with MODIS surface reflectance (MOD09) which was provided from 6S. It showed that low accuracy values such as, $R^2$ : 0.6196, Root Means Square Error (RMSE) : 0.00031, bias : - 0.0859. Thus sensitivity analysis of input parameters and coefficients was conducted to searching error sources. Coefficients about $\tau_p$ (average AOD) are more influence than any other coefficients of $\tau_{a550}$ (Aerosol Optical Depth at 550nm) from sensitivity test. Calibrated coefficients of $\tau_p$ from regression analysis were used to surface reflectance which showed that improve accuracy of surface reflectance ($R^2$ : 0.827, RMSE : 0.00672, bias : - 0.000762).

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An improvement of Simplified Atmospheric Correction : MODIS Visible Channel

  • Lee, Chang-Suk;Han, Kyung-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.487-499
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    • 2009
  • Atmospheric correction of satellite measurements is a major step to estimate accurate surface reflectance of solar spectrum channels. In this study, Simplified Method for the Atmospheric Correction (SMAC) radiative transfer model used to retrieve surface reflectance from MODIS (MODerate resolution Imaging Spectrometer) top of atmosphere (TOA) reflectance. It is fast and simple atmospheric correction method, so it uses for work site operation in various satellite. This study attempts a test of accuracy of SMAC through a sensitivity test to detected error sources and to improve accuracy of surface reflectance using SMAC. The results of SMAC as compared with MODIS surface reflectance (MOD09) was represented that low accuracy ($R^2\;=\;0.6196$, Root Means Square Error (RMSE) = 0.00031, bias = - 0.0859). Thus sensitivity analysis of input parameters and coefficients was conducted to searching error sources. Among the input parameters, Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) is the most influence input parameter. In order to modify AOD term in SMAC code, Stepwise multiple regression was performed with testing and remove variable in three stages with independent variables of AOD at 550nm, solar zenith angle, viewing zenith angle. Surface reflectance estimation by using Newly proposed AOD term in the study showed that improve accuracy ($R^2\;=\;0.827$, RMSE = 0.00672, bias = - 0.000762).