• Title/Summary/Keyword: Robust Statistics

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Robust estimation of sparse vector autoregressive models (희박 벡터 자기 회귀 모형의 로버스트 추정)

  • Kim, Dongyeong;Baek, Changryong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.631-644
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    • 2022
  • This paper considers robust estimation of the sparse vector autoregressive model (sVAR) useful in high-dimensional time series analysis. First, we generalize the result of Xu et al. (2008) that the adaptive lasso indeed has robustness in sVAR as well. However, adaptive lasso method in sVAR performs poorly as the number and sizes of outliers increases. Therefore, we propose new robust estimation methods for sVAR based on least absolute deviation (LAD) and Huber estimation. Our simulation results show that our proposed methods provide more accurate estimation in turn showed better forecasting performance when outliers exist. In addition, we applied our proposed methods to power usage data and confirmed that there are unignorable outliers and robust estimation taking such outliers into account improves forecasting.

On a Nonparametric Test for Parallelism against Ordered Alternatives

  • Song, Moon Sup;Kim, Jaehee;Jean, Jong Woo;Park, Changsoon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.70-80
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    • 1989
  • A nonparametric test for testing the parallelism of regression lines against ordered alternatives is proposed. The proposed test statistic is based on a linear combination of robust slope estimators. It is a modified version of the Adichie's test statistics based on scores. A snail-sample Monte Carlo study shows that the proposed test is compatible with the Adichie's test.

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Estimation of Population Growth Rate using Jolly-Seber Method and Robust Design

  • Kim, Jihye;Hong, Taekyong;Choi, JinSik;Namkung, Pyong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.919-930
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    • 2003
  • Mark-Recapture method for open population commonly use Jolly-Seber method. This method assumes that all animals are equally likely to be caught in each sample (the equal catchability). This objects are making introduction of Mark-Recapture method for open population and using the robust design that combine a open population method with close population method to solve upper problems. Then population growth rate estimators that are derived Pollock's Jolly-Seber parameters and Kendall's Jolly-Seber parameters are estimated.

A Comparison of Robust Parameter Estimations for Autoregressive Models (자기회귀모형에서의 로버스트한 모수 추정방법들에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Hee-Jeong;Kim, Soon-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we study several parameter estimation methods used for autoregressive processes and compare them in view of forecasting. The least square estimation, least absolute deviation estimation, robust estimation are compared through Monte Carlo simulations.

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A convenient approach for penalty parameter selection in robust lasso regression

  • Kim, Jongyoung;Lee, Seokho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.651-662
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    • 2017
  • We propose an alternative procedure to select penalty parameter in $L_1$ penalized robust regression. This procedure is based on marginalization of prior distribution over the penalty parameter. Thus, resulting objective function does not include the penalty parameter due to marginalizing it out. In addition, its estimating algorithm automatically chooses a penalty parameter using the previous estimate of regression coefficients. The proposed approach bypasses cross validation as well as saves computing time. Variable-wise penalization also performs best in prediction and variable selection perspectives. Numerical studies using simulation data demonstrate the performance of our proposals. The proposed methods are applied to Boston housing data. Through simulation study and real data application we demonstrate that our proposals are competitive to or much better than cross-validation in prediction, variable selection, and computing time perspectives.

Robust Design using Desirability Function to the Combined-Array with Multiple Quality Characteristics

  • Kwon, Yong-Man;Lee, Jang-Jae
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2013
  • Robust design is an approach to reducing performance variation of quality characteristic values in quality engineering. Taguchi has an idea that mean and variation are handled simultaneously to reduce the expected loss in products and processes. In the Taguchi parameter design, the product-array approach using orthogonal arrays is mainly used. However, it often requires an excessive number of experiments. An alternative approach, which is called the combined-array approach, was studied. In these studies, only single quality characteristic (or response) was considered. In this paper we propose how to simultaneously optimize for multiple quality characteristics (or multiresponse) using desirability function when we used the combined-array approach to assign control and noise factors.

Change point analysis in Bitcoin return series : a robust approach

  • Song, Junmo;Kang, Jiwon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.511-520
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    • 2021
  • Over the last decade, Bitcoin has attracted a great deal of public interest and Bitcoin market has grown rapidly. One of the main characteristics of the market is that it often undergoes some events or incidents that cause outlying observations. To obtain reliable results in the statistical analysis of Bitcoin data, these outlying observations need to be carefully treated. In this study, we are interested in change point analysis for Bitcoin return series having such outlying observations. Since these outlying observations can affect change point analysis undesirably, we use a robust test for parameter change to locate change points. We report some significant change points that are not detected by the existing tests and demonstrate that the model allowing for parameter changes is better fitted to the data. Finally, we show that the model with parameter change can improve the forecasting performance of Value-at-Risk.

Robust tests for heteroscedasticity using outlier detection methods (이상치 탐지법을 이용한 강건 이분산 검정)

  • Seo, Han Son;Yoon, Min
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.399-408
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    • 2016
  • There is a need to detect heteroscedasticity in a regression analysis; however, it invalidates the standard inference procedure. The diagnostics on heteroscedasticity may be distorted when both outliers and heteroscedasticity exist. Available heteroscedasticity detection methods in the presence of outliers usually use robust estimators or separating outliers from the data. Several approaches have been suggested to identify outliers in the heteroscedasticity problem. In this article conventional tests on heteroscedasticity are modified by using a sequential outlier detection methods to separate outliers from contaminated data. The performance of the proposed method is compared with original tests by a Monte Carlo study and examples.

Robust Bayesian meta analysis (로버스트 베이지안 메타분석)

  • Choi, Seong-Mi;Kim, Dal-Ho;Shin, Im-Hee;Kim, Ho-Gak;Kim, Sang-Gyung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.459-466
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    • 2011
  • This article addresses robust Bayesian modeling for meta analysis which derives general conclusion by combining independently performed individual studies. Specifically, we propose hierarchical Bayesian models with unknown variances for meta analysis under priors which are scale mixtures of normal, and thus have tail heavier than that of the normal. For the numerical analysis, we use the Gibbs sampler for calculating Bayesian estimators and illustrate the proposed methods using actual data.

Doubly Robust Imputation Using Auxiliary Information (보조 정보에 의한 이중적 로버스트 대체법)

  • Park, Hyeon-Ah;Jeon, Jong-Woo;Na, Seong-Ryong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2011
  • Ratio and regression imputations depend on the model of a survey variable and the relation between the survey variable and auxiliary variables. If the model is not true, the unbiasedness of the estimator using the ratio or regression imputation cannot be guaranteed. In this paper, we develop the doubly robust imputation, which satisfies the approximate unbiasedness of the estimator, whether the model assumption is valid or not. The proposed imputation increases the efficiency of estimation by using the population information of the auxiliary variables. The simulation study establishes the theoretical results of this paper.