• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk-benefit method

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Evidence-Based Benefit-Risk Assessment of Medication (근거에 기반한 의약품의 유익성-위해성 평가)

  • Lee, Eui-Kyung
    • The Journal of Health Technology Assessment
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.22-26
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: Balancing benefits and risks through the drug life cycle has been discussed for many decades. The objective of this study was to review the processes and tools currently proposed for benefit-risk assessment of medicinal drugs. It aimed to establish scientific and efficient drug safety management system based on the synthetic analysis of benefit-risk evidence. Methods: We conducted a review of exiting literatures published by regulatory agencies or initiatives. Not only quantitative methodologies but also qualitative method were compared to understand their key characteristics for the benefit and risk assessment of drugs. Results: Recently, benefit-risk assessments have more structured approaches to decision making as part of regulatory science. Regulatory agencies such as European Medicines Agency, FDA have prepared plans to apply benefit-risk assessment to regulatory decision making. Also many initiatives such as IMI (Innovative Medicine Initiative) have conducted research and published reports about benefit-risk assessment. For benefit-risk assessment, four kinds of methods are necessary. Frameworks such as BRAT (Benefit Risk Action Team) framework, PrOACT-URL provide guidance for the whole process of decision-making. Metrics are measurements of risk benefit. The estimation techniques are methods to synthesis and combine evidences from various sources. The utility survey techniques are necessary to explicit preferences of various outcome from stakeholders. Conclusion: There is the lack of widely accepted, validated model for benefit-risk assessment. Nor there is an agreement among academia, industry, and government on methods for the quantitative valuation. It is also limited by available evidence and underlying assumptions. Nevertheless, benefit-risk assessment is fundamental to improve transparency, consistency and predictability for decision making through the structured systematic approaches.

Cost-Benefit Analysis for Safety Management Cost using Quantitative Risk Analysis (정량적 위험성 평가에 의한 안전관리 투자의 비용-편익분석)

  • 장서일;조지훈;김태옥
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2002
  • The quantitative evaluation method of the safety management cost was suggested to prevent a gas accident as a major industrial accident. In a gas governor station, process risk assessments such as the fault tree analysis(FTA) and the consequence analysis were performed. Based on process risk assessments, potential accident costs were estimated and the cost-benefit analysis(CBA) was performed. From the cost-benefit analysis for five classification items of safety management cost, the order of the cost/benefit ratio was estimated.

Person-Situation Benefit Segments of the Female Apparel Market in Seoul by a Prior Segmentation Method Benefit Soughts of Clothing, Perceived Risk, Importanc of Store Attribute, Store-Type Choice - (상황과 인규통계적 특성을 사전적 모형으로 연계시킨 혜택세분화 연구 -추구혜택, 지각된 위험, 상점 속성의 중요도 및 상점 선택 행동에 대한 상호작용효과를 중심으로-)

  • 홍희숙
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.1151-1165
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the pratical applicability of person-situation benefit segmentations of the female apparel market in Seoul by a prior segmentation method. The specific objectives of this study were 1) to identify the useful demographic variables for person-situation benefit segmentations of the female apparel market, 2) to assess that person- situation benefit segmentations of 1.he female apparel market are accessit)le by developing a profile of each segment based on the interactions of situation and personal characteristics on perceived risk, importance of store attributes and store-type choice, and on brand type prefered by each segment. 3) to assess the validity of person-situation benefit segmentations of the female apparel market in terms of easy accessibility. The data were collected via a questionnaire from 601 housewives of ages 20's to 50's living in Seoul, Korea. The data were analyzed by factor analysis, repeated measure two- way ANOVA and X2-test. The results of this study were as follows. First, the age-by-situation segmention basis and the education-by-situation segmention basis were useful for person-situation benefit segmentations of the female apparel market. Second, there were found three benefit segments (Youth/Fashion oriented users, Brand oriented users and Apathetic users of clothing) using age-by-situation segmention basis. Using education-by-situation segmention basis, five segments (Economic-value, Youth/Fashion, Brand/Self-expression Self-expression, and Apathetic users of clothing) were identified. And beifit segments classified by the age-by-situation segmention and education-by-situation segmention approach were accessible. Third, the pratical applicability of person-situation befeift segmentations of the female apparel market by a prior segmentation method were suggested.

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Cost-Benefit Analysis for the Safety Measures about High Pressure Natural Gas Pipelines Proposed by Quantitative Risk Analysis (정량적 위험성 평가를 통해 제안된 도시가스 고압배관의 안전조치에 대한 비용.편익 분석)

  • Ryou, Young-Don;Lee, Su-Kyung;Lee, Kyung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.22-27
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    • 2009
  • Recently Urban Gas Business Companies have been allowed to construct High Pressure Natural Gas pipelines, if they adopt the Risk Reduction Measures(RRMs) recommended by Korea Gas Safety Corporation(KGS) after safety assessment. This paper presents a Cost Benefit Analysis(CBA) method, when KGS performs safety assessment and recommends RRMs to Safety Appraisal Committee, to help the Committee make judgements on whether the proposed RRMs are reasonably practicable. We carried out quantitative risk assessment to high pressure natural gas pipelines as a case study and analysed cost benefit for the suggested RRMs. In conclusion, we found out the presented CBA method using PF was proper in Korea.

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Cost-Benefit Analysis Method for Ageing Equipment of Chemical Plants Using Risk Assessment (위험성평가를 이용한 노후설비에 대한 비용 편익분석 방법)

  • Jung, Soomin;Jung, Changmo;Kang, Seok-Min;Chae, Seungbeen;Kang, Seung-Gyun;Ko, Jae Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.84-92
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    • 2020
  • Most facilities in chemical plants operate in environments that are outside the range of temperature and pressure that can be encountered on a daily basis, and are vulnerable to aging due to these stresses and environmental conditions. The facilities exposed to these conditions are not only likely to fail due to cumulative damage, but also lead to accidents if maintenance and replacement are not performed.Recommendation guidelines called risk-based inspection are widely used around the world-wide. However, limits exist for facilities that have already elapsed for a certain. As a result of the survey on the aging of Ulsan industrial complex in Korea, which carries out proper inspection, many of the facilities have been used for 20 years. Also, most of the facilities where the accident occurred have been in operation for more than 20 years. Therefore, this study suggested criteria for classifying devices that have exceeded a certain period of use as obsolete facilities. In addition, quantitative risk assessment was conducted. The safety investment method using the cost-benefit analysis method was proposed in order to calculate the loss cost and reduce the risk by expressing the risks of the corresponding aged facility as an Economic index. By utilizing the method of cost-benefit analysis of old facilities using the quantitative risk assessment presented in this study, it can be expected to improve the performance and life of old facilities, improve production efficiency and reliability of the system of facilities, change the recognition of safety management costs, increase employee stability, and reduce loss costs.

Evaluation of Optimal Transfer Capability in Power System Interconnection (연계된 계통간의 최적 송전 용량 산정)

  • Son, Hyun-Il;Bae, In-Su;Jeon, Dong-Hoon;Kim, Jin-O
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.4
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    • pp.679-685
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    • 2010
  • As the electrical power industry is restructured, the electrical power exchange is becoming extended. One of the key information used to determine how much power can be transferred through the network is known as available transfer capability (ATC). To calculate ATC, traditional deterministic approach is based on the severest case, but the approach has the complexity of procedure. Therefore, novel approach for ATC calculation is proposed using cost-optimization method, well-being method and risk-benefit method in this paper. This paper proposes the optimal transfer capability of HVDC system between mainland and a separated island in Korea through these three methods. These methods will consider production cost, wheeling charge through HVDC system and outage cost with one depth (N-1 contingency).

Determination of Optimum Investment level for Safely Management by Process Risk Assessment at Gas Governor Station (가스공급기지에서 공정 위험성 평가에 의한 최적 안전관리 투자수준 결정)

  • Kim Tae-Ok;Jang Seo-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.7 no.3 s.20
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2003
  • This study has suggested a decision method which determine optimum investment level for safety management by process risk assessment at gas governor station. Hazard and operability study(HAZOP), fault tree analysis(FTA) and consequence analysis(CA) were carried out and potential accident cost and benefit for safety management were estimated. As a result, we could be found the trend of safety cost and benefit by the nonlinear regression method and could be determined the optimum investment level for safety management from analysis of safety management cost and potential accident cost.

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Development Strategy on the Risk Rating Method for Nationwide Emerging IT Infrastructure (국가단위 신규 IT인프라의 위험도 등급화 기법 개발 방향 연구)

  • Kim, Sangkyun
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.30 no.B
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2010
  • To provide a development strategy on the method which assesses a potential risk of nationwide emerging IT infrastructure in planning and design phase, and to classify the assessment result into 5 levels is the goal of this research. The development strategy provided in this paper could improve a benefit-cost-ratio of investments on emerging IT infrastructure. With a premature assessment of the potential risks of a nationwide emerging IT infrastructure which needs astronomical amount of public funds, it could show a way of systematic investments on security systems and improve a benefit-cost-ratio of investments on emerging IT infrastructure. Also, this approach might improve the safety of nationwide IT infrastructure. It could identify and provide an optimized solution for the potential risks of nationwide IT infrastructure.

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Application of Risk Management to Forecasting Transportation Demand by Delphi Technique (Delphi기법을 통한 교통수요예측 Risk Management 적용 방안)

  • Chung, Sung-Bong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2011
  • Since 'The Act on Private Investment of The Infrastructure' was established in 1994, private investment as well as government's investment in transport infrastructure has been active. However investment in transport infrastructure has more risks than others' due to uncertainty both in traffic volume and in construction cost. In the current appraisal procedure of deciding transportation infrastructure investment, instead of risk management, the sensitivity analysis considering only the changes of benefit, cost and social discount rate which are main factor affecting economic feasibility is carried out. Therefore the uncertainty of various factors affecting demand, cost and benefit are not considered in feasibility study. In this study the problems in current investment appraisal system were reviewed. Using Delphi technique the major factors which have high uncertainty in feasibility study were surveyed and then improvement plan was suggested in the respective of classic 4 step demand forecasting method. The range estimation technique was also mentioned to deal with the uncertainty of the future.

Decision-making of alternative pylon shapes of a benchmark cable-stayed bridge using seismic risk assessment

  • Akhoondzade-Noghabi, Vahid;Bargi, Khosrow
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.583-607
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    • 2016
  • One of the main applications of seismic risk assessment is that an specific design could be selected for a bridge from different alternatives by considering damage losses alongside primary construction costs. Therefore, in this paper, the focus is on selecting the shape of pylon, which is a changeable component in the design of a cable-stayed bridge, as a double criterion decision-making problem. Different shapes of pylons include H, A, Y, and diamond shape, and the two criterion are construction costs and probable earthquake losses. In this research, decision-making is performed by using developed seismic risk assessment process as a powerful method. Considering the existing uncertainties in seismic risk assessment process, the combined incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) and uniform design (UD) based fragility assessment method is proposed, in which the UD method is utilized to provide the logical capacity models of the structure, and the IDA method is employed to give the probabilistic seismic demand model of structure. Using the aforementioned models and by defining damage states, the fragility curves of the bridge system are obtained for the different pylon shapes usage. Finally, by combining the fragility curves with damage losses and implementing the proposed cost-loss-benefit (CLB) method, the seismic risk assessment process is developed with financial-comparative approach. Thus, the optimal shape of the pylon can be determined using double criterion decision-making. The final results of decision-making study indicate that the optimal pylon shapes for the studied span of cable-stayed bridge are, respectively, H shape, diamond shape, Y shape, and A shape.