• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk-Taking Decision

검색결과 64건 처리시간 0.028초

Simulation of Autonomous Electric Power Market

  • Tezuka, Tetsuo;Kohda, Norio
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시뮬레이션학회 2001년도 The Seoul International Simulation Conference
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    • pp.340-345
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    • 2001
  • Electric power market in Japan is now on the trend of deregulation and privatization just like in Europe and the United States. And various approaches for risk management have been investigated taking the electric power price fluctuation after the deregulation into account. The behavior of the investment in power generation plants has not, however, been studied in detail yet due to the complexity of the problem. The problem of the investment in the deregulated power market is that of autonomous decentralized decision-making system, which includes various kinds of decision-makers, that is, power producers called IPPS Each generator has its own criteria for plant investment. Therefore, the total behavior of the decentralized power market will be so complicated, and normative approach will not be applicable fur this analysis. We have developed a simulation-based system fur behavioral analysis and also the framework design of the decentralized power market.

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Influence of Moral View and Other Variables on Purchase Intentions Concerning Fashion Counterfeits

  • Lee, Seahee;Kim, K.P. Johnson
    • 패션비즈니스
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.188-207
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this research was to examine the extent of deontological (values) and teleological evaluation (considering consequences) used in arriving at an ethical judgment concerning intention to purchase a fashion counterfeit. In addition, the effect of psychographic (attitudes toward counterfeiting, risk taking, self-image, value consciousness, public self-consciousness, and materialism) and product attributes (perceived fashion content, physical appearance, and image) on intention to purchase a counterfeit product were investigated. Two alternatives and possible consequences as well as the scenario were given to the participants. The first alternative is persuading a friend not to buy a counterfeit and the second alternative is purchasing a counterfeit product with a friend. Participants (n = 245) were undergraduate volunteers enrolled in courses at a Midwestern university. Data were analyzed using confirmatory factory analysis and structural equation modeling. The proposed structural models fit the data adequately in both alternatives, and all paths were significant. Participants followed the decision making steps outlined by Hunt and Vitell (1986) in both alternatives. Personal characteristics exerted no influence on behavioral intentions concerning counterfeits. Two product-related characteristics (i.e., physical appearance of a counterfeit and projected image of a counterfeit) had direct effects on the behavioral intentions. The conclusions of this research are helpful in improving our understanding of variables that influence consumers' purchasing counterfeit luxury products.

제조물책임법상 제조물로서 의약품의 결함 (Defective Medicine according to Product Liability Law)

  • 전병남
    • 의료법학
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.235-277
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    • 2007
  • In Product Liability law, the 'defection' of the manufactured products is its key concept, defined in detail. The concept had been already developed through the precedents and theories for the past years even before the PL law was enacted and the concept was listed. Especially, the medicine products need the different approach, because they might directly harm to the human life and body due to their being injected or taken, unlikely other manufactured articles. Since the medical products have the double contradictory functions such as effects and side effects, the defection decisions become so difficult. However, because there are high concerns that wrong medical products will directly harm the human life and body, the decision standards should be more strengthened. The decision standards should include the risk-effect standard as the considered components and make the customer-expecting standard as the final standard. The decision time for defection should be made considering the science technology level when the medical products were provided, not when the accident occurred. It is the most important for the manufacturers to prevent the damages by making and selling the non-defective medicine products for themselves, rather than by taking the legal remedy means afterwards. Therefore, the non-defective guidelines for the medicine manufacturers will help increase the effects and minimize the side-effects.

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가족 관광객의 향토음식에 대한 지각된 위험, 관여도, 만족과 충성도에 관한 연구 (Study on Sense of Perceived Risk, Involvement, Satisfaction, and Loyalty of a Tourist Family for a Local Food Restaurant)

  • 김정현;이영란;조문수
    • 동아시아식생활학회지
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.802-811
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    • 2010
  • This study aimed to determine a tourist family's perceptions of dining at a holiday destination. A key assumption of this study was that dining at an unfamiliar locale at a tourist resort is engaging in risk-taking behavior by the tourist family. In this unfamiliar setting, participation in the local food market takes on a significant role in the tourist family's sense of satisfaction and loyalty. For the purpose of this study, involvement pertains to the family's perceived relevance of the objective of this study based on inherent needs, values, and interests. For this study, 151 subjects vacationing with his/her family on Jeju Island participated. To perform research on perceived risk and involvement in terms of the decision maker's capacity, only one member of each family responded to the survey, which examined the impact on sense of satisfaction of perceived risk and involvement in the local food scene. Perceived risks were divided according to financial, performance, physical, social-psychological, and time-risk factors. Perceived risk and involvement were found to be significant predictors of the overall satisfaction of the tourist family's local food consumption. Furthermore, performance risk was determined to be significantly linked to the tourist family's dining sense of satisfaction and loyalty. These findings provide some meaningful marketing implications for Jeju Island's tourism industry. Reducing the performance risk and increasing the local food involvement may activate rural tourism and local food consumption. Theoretical and practical contributions to local food marketing are discussed.

우리나라 성인 남성의 흡연여부와 흡연량에 미치는 담배가격의 효과 (The Effect of Cigarette Price on Smoking Behavior in Korea)

  • 정우진;이선미;최승주;신가영;조경숙;임승지
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제40권5호
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    • pp.371-380
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    • 2007
  • Objectives: To determine the impact of cigarette prices on the decision to initiate and quit smoking by taking into account the interdependence of smoking and other behavioral risk factors. Methods: The study population consisted of 3,000 male Koreans aged ${\ge}20$. A survey by telephone interview was undertaken to collect information on cigarette price, smoking and other behavioral risk factors. A two-part model was used to examine separately the effect of price on the decision to be a smoker, and on the amount of cigarettes smoked. Results: The overall price elasticity of cigarettes was estimated at -0.66, with a price elasticity of -0.02 for smoking participation and -0.64 for the amount of cigarettes consumed by smokers. The inclusion of other behavioral risk factors reduced the estimated price elasticity for smoking participation substantially, but had no effect on the conditional price elasticity for the quantity of cigarettes smoked. Conclusions: From the public health and financial perspectives, an increase in cigarette price would significantly reduce smoking prevalence as well as cigarette consumption by smokers in Korea.

Spatial analysis of Relative Risks for skin cancer morbidity and mortality in Iran, 2008 - 2010

  • Zayeri, Farid;Kavousi, Amir;Najafimehr, Hadis
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권13호
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    • pp.5225-5231
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    • 2015
  • Background: One of the most prevalent cancers in whole world is skin cancer and its prevalence is growing. The present research sought to estimate relative risk of morbidity and mortality due to skin cancer. Materials and Methods: In this cross-sectional study. The required data were gathered from the registered cancer reports of Cancer Control Office in the Center for Non Communicable Disease of the Iranian Ministry of Health (MOH). The data were extracted at province level in the time span of 2008-10. WINBUGS software was used to analyze the data and to identify high risk regions. ArcGIS10 was utilized to map the distribution of skin cancer and to demonstrate high risk provinces by using classic and fully Bayesian models taking into account spatial correlations of adjacent regions separately for men and women. Results: Relative risk of morbidity for women in Yazd and for men in Kurdistan and relative risk of mortality for women in Bushehr and for men in Kohgiluyeh were found to be the highest. Bayesian model due to regarding adjacent regions correlation, have precise estimation in comparing to classical model. More frequent epidemiological studies to enact skin cancer prevention programs. Conclusions: High risk regions in Iran include central and highland regions. Therefore it is suggested that health decision makers enact public education, using anti UV creams and sunglasses for those parts as a short preventing program.

액션러닝 기반 간호관리학 강의 및 실습 운영의 효과 (Effects of Action Learning Approaches on Learning Outcomes in Nursing Management Courses)

  • 장금성;박순주
    • 간호행정학회지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.442-451
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify effects of action learning approaches on learning outcomes of students taking nursing management courses. Methods: The questionnaire surveys were completed between March 2011 and June 2012 by 109 undergraduate seniors in the nursing department of C University. Survey data were obtained 3 times: before, in and after the study of nursing management. The course consisted of lectures and clinical practices. Learning outcomes were measured through problem solving skills, team efficacy, and class satisfaction. Collected data were analyzed using repeated measures ANOVA with the SPSS 20.0 program Results: Scores for problem solving skills (F=13.67, p<.001) and team efficacy (F=4.49, p=.012) showed statistically significant increases after the course. The scores also increased significantly after the lectures for 5 of 9 problem solving skill subscales: analysis skill, divergent thinking, decision making, assessment, feedback, and after the clinical practices for 2 subscales: divergent thinking, and execution and risk taking. Class satisfaction score also increased after both the lectures and the clinical practices. Conclusion: The findings from this study suggest that an action learning approaches for nursing management courses would be a useful teaching and learning method to achieve learning outcomes.

급성 Acetaminophen 중독시 복용량에 의한 N-Acetylcysteine의 사용은 적절한가? (Is N-acetylcysteine Treatment Based on Ingestion Amount Valid in Acute Acetaminophen Overdose Patients?)

  • 김태근;김민정;이진희;정성필;이한식;박유석
    • 대한임상독성학회지
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: In many Korean hospitals, serum acetaminophen concentrations in cases of overdose cannot be measured initially because of inadequate laboratory facilities. Under these circumstances, physicians base the administration of the antidote, N-acetylcysteine, on ingestion amounts as determined by initial history taking. We therefore examined the correlated between ingested amounts and serum acetaminophen concentrations. Methods: Medical records were reviewed retrospectively for patients who presented to the ED with acetaminophen overdose between January 2002 and March 2006. Fifty-nine patients were recruited and sixteen patients were excluded. The forty-three remaining patients were placed into either the high-risk or low-risk group based on their ingested amount (140 mg/kg), and were separately categorized into the toxic or non-toxic group based on their serum acetaminophen concentrations, according to the Rurnack-Matthew nomogram. Results: Ten patients (83.3%) among twelve in the high-risk group were found to have non-toxic serum concentrations, and just one patient (3.2%) among thirty-one in the low-risk group fell into the toxic group based on their serum concentrations. The sensitivity and specificity of risk stratification of the ingested amount as a predictor of intoxication requiring antidote therapy were 66.7% and 75.0%, respectively. Conclusion: This study suggests that the therapeutic decision for acetaminophen overdose should not be based solely on ingested amount only, but requires assessment of acetaminophen concentration.

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Using Bayesian network and Intuitionistic fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process to assess the risk of water inrush from fault in subsea tunnel

  • Song, Qian;Xue, Yiguo;Li, Guangkun;Su, Maoxin;Qiu, Daohong;Kong, Fanmeng;Zhou, Binghua
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.605-614
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    • 2021
  • Water inrush from fault is one of the most severe hazards during tunnel excavation. However, the traditional evaluation methods are deficient in both quantitative evaluation and uncertainty handling. In this paper, a comprehensive methodology method combined intuitionistic fuzzy AHP with a Bayesian network for the risk assessment of water inrush from fault in the subsea tunnel was proposed. Through the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process to replace the traditional expert scoring method to determine the prior probability of the node in the Bayesian network. After the field data is normalized, it is classified according to the data range. Then, using obtained results into the Bayesian network, conduct a risk assessment with field data which have processed of water inrush disaster on the tunnel. Simultaneously, a sensitivity analysis technique was utilized to investigate each factor's contribution rate to determine the most critical factor affecting tunnel water inrush risk. Taking Qingdao Kiaochow Bay Tunnel as an example, by predictive analysis of fifteen fault zones, thirteen of them are consistent with the actual situation which shows that the IFAHP-Bayesian Network method is feasible and applicable. Through sensitivity analysis, it is shown that the Fissure development and Apparent resistivity are more critical comparing than other factor especially the Permeability coefficient and Fault dip. The method can provide planners and engineers with adequate decision-making support, which is vital to prevent and control tunnel water inrush.

여성근로자의 작업장 건강안전위험요인 및 관리방안 (Workplace Health and Safety Risk Factors and Management Plan for Female Workers)

  • 김숙영;김영택
    • 한국직업건강간호학회지
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.235-246
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: In Korea, the proportion of female workers among occupational injury is steadily increasing. The purpose of this study was to identify the workplace risk factors that threaten the safety and health of the female workers. Methods: Qualitative study was conducted, using focus group interview. Data were collected from five focus groups of eighteen female workers who were working in the manufacturing, health service, and educational service industries. Results: The seven themes of occupational safety and health risks of women workers are as follows: 1) Workplace with various risks; 2) Sliding, falling, burning, and cutting accidents; 3) Chronically lasting musculoskeletal symptoms; 4) Chemicals that may be harmful to workers; 5) Unprotected infectious disease; 6) Psychological safety accidents(Relationship conflict and emotional labor); 7) Loud, hot, stuffy, scary, and tired. Conclusion: The Occupational Safety & Health (OSH) Act should be rearranged gender sensitively and women's participation in the OSH decision-making process should be guaranteed. OSH education should be properly implemented in the field, and support should be provided for women workers in small businesses. A supportive organizational culture for marriage, pregnancy and childbirth should be established, and the working environment should be provided safely, taking into account gender differences.