• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk map

Search Result 431, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

The Use of Satellite Image for Uncertainty Analysis in Flood Inundation Mapping (홍수범람도 불확실성 해석을 위한 인공위성사진의 활용)

  • Jung, Younghun;Ryu, Kwanghyun;Yi, Choongsung;Lee, Seung Oh
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.33 no.2
    • /
    • pp.549-557
    • /
    • 2013
  • An flood inundation map is able to convey spatial distribution of inundation to a decision maker for flood risk management. A roughness coefficient with unclear values and a discharge obtained from the stage-discharge rating equation are key sources of uncertainty in flood inundation mapping by using a hydraulic model. Also, the uncertainty analysis needs an observation for the flood inundation, and satellite images is useful to obtain spatial distribution of flood. Accordingly, the objective of this study is to quantify uncertainty arising roughness and discharge in flood inundation mapping by using a hydraulic model and a satellite image. To perform this, flood inundations were simulated by HEC-RAS and terrain analysis, and ISODATA (Iterative Self-Organizing Data Analysis) was used to classify waterbody from Landsat 5TM imagery. The classified waterbody was used as an observation to calculate F-statistic (likelihood measure) in GLUE (Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation). The results from GLUE show that flood inundation areas are 74.59 $km^2$ for lower 5 % uncertainty bound and 151.95 $km^2$ for upper 95% uncertainty bound, respectively. The quantification of uncertainty in flood inundation mapping will play a significant role in realizing the efficient flood risk management.

Application of Regional Landslide Susceptibility, Possibility, and Risk Assessment Techniques Using GIS (GIS를 이용한 광역적 산사태 취약성, 가능성, 위험성 평가 기법 적용)

  • 이사로
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
    • /
    • v.34 no.4
    • /
    • pp.385-394
    • /
    • 2001
  • There are serious damage of people and properties every year due to landslides that are occurred by heavy rain. Because these phenomena repeat and the heavy rain is not an atmospheric anomaly, the counter plan becomes necessary. The study area, Ulsan, is one of the seven metropolitan, and largest cities of Korea and has many large facilities such as petrochemical complex and factories of automobile and shipbuilding. So it is necessary assess the landslide hazard potential. In the study. the three steps of landslide hazard assessment techniques such as susceptibility, possibility, and risk were performed to the study area using GIS. For the analyses, the topographic, geologic, soil, forest, meteorological, and population and facility spatial database were constructed. Landslide susceptibility representing how susceptible to a given area was assessed by overlay of the slope, aspect, curvature of topography from the topographic DB, type, material, drainage and effective thickness of soil from the soil DB, lype age, diameter and density from forest DB and land use. Then landslide possibility representing how possible to landslide was assessed by overlay of the susceptibility and rainfall frequency map, Finally, landslide risk representing how dangerous to people and facility was assessed by overlay of the possibil. ity and the population and facility density maps The assessment results can be used to urban and land use plan for landslide hazard prevention.

  • PDF

A study on enhanced D-InSAR technique Considering Spatial and Temporal Coherence (공간적·시간적 긴밀도를 고려한 개선된 D-InSAR 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Won Eung;Yoon, Hong Sik;Youm, Min Kyo;Kim, Han Bual
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.67-74
    • /
    • 2017
  • The D-InSAR is a technique for precisely measuring the subsidence of subsidence using difference of two SAR images. In order to calculate the subsidence using D-InSAR, a high coherence between master image and the slave image is essential. Since the existing D-InSAR method calculates the displacement based on the total coherence, the accuracy of the subsidence is lowered when the coherence map contains mountains or bare-land. In order to solve this problem, in this study, a point having a temporal coherence and spatial coherence of 0.7 or more was extracted to form TIN, and the subsidence was calculated based on this TIN. In addition, we compared the existing D-InSAR technique with the new D-InSAR technique considering spatial and temporal coherence. As a result, the new D-InSAR technique showed smaller standard deviation, relative variance, variation coefficient and quadrature deviation than the existing D-InSAR technique. It is also easy to grasp the trend of the subsidence.

A Study on the Selection of Types of Social Disasters by Region (시·도별 사회재난 중점유형 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyo Jin;Yun, Hong Sic;Han, Hak
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.206-217
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose: Recently, a series of large social disasters have led to a lot of research to prevent social disasters as well as natural disasters and reduce damage. However, this paper aims to select the types of social disasters that local governments should focus on and create basic data for effective countermeasures and mitigation efforts. Method: Among 43 types of disasters announced by the Ministry of Public Administration and Security, 11 types of disasters were selected and collected to select the main types of disasters, and risk types were derived by region with risk maps. In order to derive the risk map, each detailed index was rescheduled to be 0-1 and weights were determined through entropy technique. Result: As a result, about 41% of the major disasters announced by the Ministry of Public Administration and Security were consistent, and the rest of the major types were disasters that could not be obtained or have not occurred in the past 20 years. Conclusion: Therefore, in order to establish an effective prevention and recovery plan for social disasters through this study, it was intended to present social disaster-focused disasters for each local government.

A Prediction of N-value Using Regression Analysis Based on Data Augmentation (데이터 증강 기반 회귀분석을 이용한 N치 예측)

  • Kim, Kwang Myung;Park, Hyoung June;Lee, Jae Beom;Park, Chan Jin
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.221-239
    • /
    • 2022
  • Unknown geotechnical characteristics are key challenges in the design of piles for the plant, civil and building works. Although the N-values which were read through the standard penetration test are important, those N-values of the whole area are not likely acquired in common practice. In this study, the N-value is predicted by means of regression analysis with artificial intelligence (AI). Big data is important to improve learning performance of AI, so circular augmentation method is applied to build up the big data at the current study. The optimal model was chosen among applied AI algorithms, such as artificial neural network, decision tree and auto machine learning. To select optimal model among the above three AI algorithms is to minimize the margin of error. To evaluate the method, actual data and predicted data of six performed projects in Poland, Indonesia and Malaysia were compared. As a result of this study, the AI prediction of this method is proven to be reliable. Therefore, it is realized that the geotechnical characteristics of non-boring points were predictable and the optimal arrangement of structure could be achieved utilizing three dimensional N-value distribution map.

Area-to-Area Poisson Kriging and Spatial Bayesian Analysis in Mapping of Gastric Cancer Incidence in Iran

  • Asmarian, Naeimehossadat;Jafari-Koshki, Tohid;Soleimani, Ali;Ayatollahi, Seyyed Mohammad Taghi
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • v.17 no.10
    • /
    • pp.4587-4590
    • /
    • 2016
  • Background: In many countries gastric cancer has the highest incidence among the gastrointestinal cancers and is the second most common cancer in Iran. The aim of this study was to identify and map high risk gastric cancer regions at the county-level in Iran. Methods: In this study we analyzed gastric cancer data for Iran in the years 2003-2010. Area-to-area Poisson kriging and Besag, York and Mollie (BYM) spatial models were applied to smoothing the standardized incidence ratios of gastric cancer for the 373 counties surveyed in this study. The two methods were compared in term of accuracy and precision in identifying high risk regions. Result: The highest smoothed standardized incidence rate (SIR) according to area-to-area Poisson kriging was in Meshkinshahr county in Ardabil province in north-western Iran (2.4,SD=0.05), while the highest smoothed standardized incidence rate (SIR) according to the BYM model was in Ardabil, the capital of that province (2.9,SD=0.09). Conclusion: Both methods of mapping, ATA Poisson kriging and BYM, showed the gastric cancer incidence rate to be highest in north and north-west Iran. However, area-to-area Poisson kriging was more precise than the BYM model and required less smoothing. According to the results obtained, preventive measures and treatment programs should be focused on particular counties of Iran.

Area-to-Area Poisson Kriging Analysis of Mapping of County-Level Esophageal Cancer Incidence Rates in Iran

  • Asmarian, Naeimeh Sadat;Ruzitalab, Ahmad;Amir, Kavousi;Masoud, Salehi;Mahaki, Behzad
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.11-13
    • /
    • 2013
  • Background: Esophagus cancer, the third most common gastrointestinal cancer overall, demonstrates high incidence in parts of Iran. The counties of Iran vary in size, shape and population size. The aim of this study was to account for spatial support with Area-to-Area (ATA) Poisson Kriging to increase precision of parameter estimates and yield correct variance and create maps of disease rates. Materials and Methods: This study involved application/ecology methodology, illustrated using esophagus cancer data recorded by the Ministry of Health and Medical Education (in the Non-infectious Diseases Management Center) of Iran. The analysis focused on the 336 counties over the years 2003-2007. ATA was used for estimating the parameters of the map with SpaceStat and ArcGIS9.3 software for analysing the data and drawing maps. Results: Northern counties of Iran have high risk estimation. The ATA Poisson Kriging approach yielded variance increase in large sparsely populated counties. So, central counties had the most prediction variance. Conclusions: The ATAPoisson kriging approach is recommended for estimating parameters of disease mapping since this method accounts for spatial support and patterns in irregular spatial areas. The results demonstrate that the counties in provinces Ardebil, Mazandaran and Kordestan have higher risk than other counties.

Application of GIS to Typhoon Risk Assessment (지리정보시스템을 이용한 태풍 위험 평가)

  • Lee, Sung-Su;Chang, Eun-Mi
    • Spatial Information Research
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.243-249
    • /
    • 2009
  • Damages from typhoon events have contributed more than 60 percent of total economic and social loss and the size of loss have been increased up to 800 million dollars per year in Korea, It is therefore necessary to make an effort to mitigate the loss of natural disasters. To facilitate the evaluation of damages in advance and to support the decision making to recover the damages, scientific methods have been adopted. With the effort, GIS data can provide various tools. Three components of hazard mapping are estimation of hazard, inventory for vulnerable features, and fragility of each feature. Vulnerability of natural disaster can be obtained by relation between loss and meteorological data such as precipitation and wind speed. Features can be categorized from other GIS data of public facilities and private properties, and then social and economic loss can be estimated. At this point, GIS data conversions for each model are required. In this study, we build a method to estimate typhoon risk based on GIS data such as DEM, land cover and land use map, facilities.

  • PDF

Virtual Network Embedding through Security Risk Awareness and Optimization

  • Gong, Shuiqing;Chen, Jing;Huang, Conghui;Zhu, Qingchao;Zhao, Siyi
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • v.10 no.7
    • /
    • pp.2892-2913
    • /
    • 2016
  • Network virtualization promises to play a dominant role in shaping the future Internet by overcoming the Internet ossification problem. However, due to the injecting of additional virtualization layers into the network architecture, several new security risks are introduced by the network virtualization. Although traditional protection mechanisms can help in virtualized environment, they are not guaranteed to be successful and may incur high security overheads. By performing the virtual network (VN) embedding in a security-aware way, the risks exposed to both the virtual and substrate networks can be minimized, and the additional techniques adopted to enhance the security of the networks can be reduced. Unfortunately, existing embedding algorithms largely ignore the widespread security risks, making their applicability in a realistic environment rather doubtful. In this paper, we attempt to address the security risks by integrating the security factors into the VN embedding. We first abstract the security requirements and the protection mechanisms as numerical concept of security demands and security levels, and the corresponding security constraints are introduced into the VN embedding. Based on the abstraction, we develop three security-risky modes to model various levels of risky conditions in the virtualized environment, aiming at enabling a more flexible VN embedding. Then, we present a mixed integer linear programming formulation for the VN embedding problem in different security-risky modes. Moreover, we design three heuristic embedding algorithms to solve this problem, which are all based on the same proposed node-ranking approach to quantify the embedding potential of each substrate node and adopt the k-shortest path algorithm to map virtual links. Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of our algorithms.

An Assessment of Ecological Risk by Landslide Susceptibility in Bukhansan National Park (산사태취약성 분석을 통한 북한산국립공원의 생태적 위험도 평가)

  • Kim, Kyung-Tae;Jung, Sung-Gwan;You, Ju-Han;Jang, Gab-Sue
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.119-127
    • /
    • 2008
  • This research managed to establish the space information on incidence factors of landslide targeting Bukhansan National Park and aimed at suggesting a basic data for disaster prevention of a landslide for the period to come in Bukhansan National Park through drawing up the map indicating vulnerability to a landslide and ecological risks by the use of overlay analysis and adding-up estimation matrix analysis methods. This research selected slope angle, slope aspect, slope length, drainage, vegetation index(NDVI) and land use as an assessment factor of a landslide and constructed the spatial database at a level of '$30m\times30m$' resolution. The analysis result was that there existed high vulnerability to a landslide almost all over Uidong and Dobong valleys. As for ecological risks, Dobong valley, Yongueocheon valley, Jeongneung valley and Pyeongchang valley were analyzed to be higher, so it is judged that the impact on a landslide risk should be also considered in time of establishing a management plan for these districts for the time to come.