• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk function

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Lifetime Seismic Risk of Offshore Structures with a Built-in Vibration Control Device (제진장치 설치 해양구조물의 생애주기 지진위험도)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyawn
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.48-54
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    • 2010
  • The analysis of the seismic risk of an offshore structure with a control device is presented. First, a probability density function was developed to represent seismic hazard, and seismic fragility under artificial earthquake conditions was determined. Fragility curves for an offshore structure with both passive and active control devices were determined. Displacement criteria were set to evaluate the performance of the structure. Based on numerical analysis, the seismic risk to the structure was considerably reduced when the structure had a seismic control device. The seismic risk to the actively controlled structure was decreased by 80% compared to the uncontrolled case. Reasonable performance evaluations of offshore structure with control devices can be conducted through risk analysis.

Commercial Airline Pilots' Risk Perception of Emergency Flight Situations (민간항공 조종사의 비정상 운항 상황에 대한 위험 지각)

  • Sohn, Young-Woo;Kim, Yong-Seok;Kim, Chan;Park, Su-Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.46-56
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    • 2007
  • This research examined how pilots perceive risks when faced with emergency flight situations. We had 116 commercial airline pilots evaluate riskiness of 39 non-routine flight situations. The pilots' risk perception was analyzed as a function of their position (captain vs. first officer), expertise (expert vs. novice), and military flight experience (with vs. without military experience). Results showed that captains evaluated potential-risk situations and low-risk situations more dangerous than first officers. However, there were no differences between experts and novices, and between pilots having military flight experience and pilots not having military flight experience in risk perception. The analysis of multi-dimensional scaling revealed that the pilots used controllability as a key dimension for evaluating riskiness, though the other dimensions they used varied with their position, expertise, and military flight experience.

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Contemplation of Risk Management for Internet Banking System

  • Seo, Jang-Hoon;Park, Myeong-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 2003
  • Next Generation internet banking service for important role of banking business competitive power separates service function of individual banking and should equip various service that coincides in each special qualities these are customer management, portfolio management, global corporation support etc. The past few years have been characterized by rapid changes in technology and the introduction of corporate and retail banking services through the Internet. the integration of e-banking platforms with legacy systems and the increasing dependence of banks on third party information service providers, all dramatically amplify the magnitude of risks to which banks are exposed. Risk management disciplines have not evolved at the same speed and many institutions, especially the smaller ones, have not been able to incorporate Internet banking risk controls within their existing risk management structures. This article provides an overview of the various risks which are heightened with Internet banking, and a holistic approach to managing these risks. In addition, the presentation will explain the different risk areas and the controls to be adopted to mitigate these risks.

Optimal Asset Allocation with Minimum Performance and Inflation Risk (최소 자산제약 및 인플레이션을 고려한 자산 할당에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.167-181
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    • 2013
  • We investigate the dynamic asset allocation problem under inflation risk when the wealth of an investor is constrained with minimum requirements. To capture the investor's risk preference, the CRRA utility function is considered and he maximizes his expected utility at predetermined date of the refund by participation in the financial market. The financial market is supposed to consist of three kinds of financial instruments which are a risk free asset, a risky asset, and an index bond. The role of an index bond is managing inflation risk represented by price process. The optimal wealth and the optimal asset allocation are derived explicitly by using the method to get the European call option pricing formula. From the numerical results, it is confirmed that the investments on index bond is high when the investor's wealth level is low. However, as his wealth increases, the investments on index bond decreases and he invests on risky asset more. Furthermore, the minimum wealth constraint induces lower investment on risky asset but the effect of the constraints is reduced as the wealth level increases.

Analysis of Influence of Monopoly Power on Optimal Export Level Using Genetic Algorithm (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 수출기업 독점력이 최적수출생산량에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Song, Jeong-Seok;Park, You-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.158-170
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    • 2009
  • This paper considers how the optimal export level is influenced by export risk, the degree of risk-averseness for exporting firms, and those firms' cost structure. In addition, export insurance is incorporated into some simple theoretical model to analyze the optimal export level. This paper applies genetic algorithm simulation to show that the exporting firms'risk-averseness do not affect the optimal export decision while export risk and cost function characteristic have relatively more significant effects on the optimal export level. Finally, our findings suggest that the most influential factor for the optimal export levels seems to be the monopoly power of exporting firms.

A Risk Metric for Failure Cause in FMEA under Time-Dependent Failure Occurrence and Detection (FMEA에서 고장발생 및 탐지시간을 고려한 고장원인의 위험평가 척도)

  • Kwon, Hyuck Moo;Hong, Sung Hoon;Lee, Min Koo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.571-582
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: To develop a risk metric for failure cause that can help determine the action priority of each failure cause in FMEA considering time sequence of cause- failure- detection. Methods: Assuming a quadratic loss function the unfulfilled mission period, a risk metric is obtained by deriving the failure time distribution. Results: The proposed risk metric has some reasonable properties for evaluating risk accompanied with a failure cause. Conclusion: The study may be applied to determining action priorities among all the failure causes in the FMEA sheet, requiring further studies for general situation of failure process.

RISK FRAMEWORK FOR NEXT GENERATION NUCLEAR POWER PLANT CONSTRUCTION

  • John Walewski ;Stuart Anderson;Jaeheum Yeon;Amy Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.451-458
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    • 2013
  • This research documents the initial findings and recommendations for developing a risk management tool to assess and quantify the risks associated with the construction of the next generation of nuclear power plants. The proposed tool builds upon the Construction Industry Institute's International Project Risk Assessment (IPRA) Best Practice. This paper provides an overview of the investigation to assess the unique risk elements pertaining to nuclear power plant construction and documents the preliminary findings from historical project performance data to better understand the function and use of the IPRA's Relative Impact value.

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Effects of Otago Exercise Program on Physical Function and Risk of Falling in the Falls Experienced Elderly (오타고 운동프로그램이 낙상 경험 노인의 신체기능 및 낙상 위험도에 미치는 영향)

  • Nam, Seung-Min;Na, Sang-Soo;Lee, Do-Youn
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.9
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    • pp.424-431
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of the Otago exercise program on physical function and risk of falling in elderly who have experienced falls. Thirty-six elderly people who had experienced falls more than once were randomly classified into an experimental group and control group. Each group exercised 30 minutes three times per week for a total of 8 weeks. Measurements were made using Tetrax to assess risk of falls. In addition, to measure physical function, static balance was measured using Biorescue, dynamic balance was measured using TUG, walking ability was measured using 10 MWT, and lower extremity strength was measured using FTSST. A paired t-test was conducted to verify the difference between before and after exercise in each group, and an independent t-test was performed for comparison between the groups. Regarding the experimental and control groups, static balance ability and dynamic balance ability increased significantly after exercise, and risk of falls decreased (p<.05). Lower extremity strength and gait ability increased significantly after exercise only in the experimental group (p<.05). Based on these results, the Otago exercise program is effective in improving physical function and reducing risk of falls in elderly people who have experienced falls.

Development of Fuzzy Model for Analyzing Construction Risk Factors (건설공사의 리스크분석을 위한 퍼지평가모형 개발)

  • Park Seo-Young;Kang Leen-Seok;Kim Chang-Hak;Son Chang-Bak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.519-524
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    • 2001
  • Recently, our construction market recognizes the necessity of risk management, however the application of practical system is still limited on the construction site because the methodology for analyzing and quantifying construction risk and for building actual risk factors is not easy. This study suggests a risk management method by fuzzy theory, which is using subjective knowledge of an expert and linguistic value, to analyze and Quantify risk. The result of study is expected to improve the accuracy of risk analysis because three factors, such as probability, impact and frequency, for estimating membership function are introduced to quantify each risk factor.

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Risk Assessment in Finland: Theory and Practice

  • Anttonen, Hannu;Paakkonen, Rauno
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2010
  • The Finnish risk assessment practice is based on the Occupational Safety and Health (OSH) Act aiming to improve working conditions in order maintain the employees' work ability, and to prevent occupational accidents and diseases. In practice there are hundreds of risk assessment methods in use. A simple method is used in small and medium sized enterprises and more complex risk evaluation methods in larger work places. Does the risk management function in the work places in Finland? According to our experience something more is needed. That is, understanding of common and company related benefits of risk management. The wider conclusion is that commitment for risk assessment in Finland is high enough. However, in those enterprises where OSH management was at an acceptable level or above it, there were also more varied and more successfully accomplished actions to remove or reduce the risks than in enterprises, where OSH management was in lower level. In risk assessment it is important to process active technical prevention and exact communication, increase work place attraction and increase job satisfaction and motivation. Investments in OSH are also good business. Low absenteeism due to illness or accidents increases directly the production results by improved quality and quantity of the product. In general Finnish studies have consistently shown that the return of an invested euro is three to seven-old. In national level, according to our calculations the savings could be even 20% of our gross national product.