• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk evaluation and mitigation

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Flash Flood Risk Assessment using PROMETHEE and Entropy Method (PROMETHEE와 Entropy 기법을 이용한 돌발홍수 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Jung-Ho;Jun, Hwan-Don;Park, Moo-Jong;Jung, Jae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.151-156
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    • 2011
  • Previously most of flood prevention efforts have been made for relatively large watersheds near to channel flow. However, as economical development and the expansion of leisure areas to mountainous region, human casualty by flash flood occurs frequently, requiring additional prevention activity. Therefore, to reduce the damage of human lives and property by flash flood, we develop an assessment method for flash flood occurrence for mountainous areas considering various factors involving it. PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the MCDM(Multi-Criteria Decision Making) was adopted to assess the contribution of each factor to the risk of the flash flood in the mountainous area. The main evaluation criteria are classified into three categories, namely, the regional and rainfall characteristics, and geographical features. Also, the Entropy method is used to determine the weight of each evaluation criteria without survey. The suggested method based on PROMETHEE with Entropy method is applied to BongHwa region to verify its applicability. After applied, the method successfully assesses the relative risk of flash flood occurrence of each sub region in the BongHwa region. Out of the seventeen sub-regions, five, seven and five of them are evaluated as high-risk, medium-risk, and low-risk, respectively. To verify the results, we searched the historical data of flash flood and the flash flood had occurred in one of high-risk sub-regions at 2008.

EVALUATION OF AN ACCIDENT MANAGEMENT STRATEGY OF EMERGENCY WATER INJECTION USING FIRE ENGINES IN A TYPICAL PRESSURIZED WATER REACTOR

  • PARK, SOO-YONG;AHN, KWANG-IL
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.719-728
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    • 2015
  • Following the Fukushima accident, a special safety inspection was conducted in Korea. The inspection results show that Korean nuclear power plants have no imminent risk for expected maximum potential earthquake or coastal flooding. However long- and short-term safety improvements do need to be implemented. One of the measures to increase the mitigation capability during a prolonged station blackout (SBO) accident is installing injection flow paths to provide emergency cooling water of external sources using fire engines to the steam generators or reactor cooling systems. This paper illustrates an evaluation of the effectiveness of external cooling water injection strategies using fire trucks during a potential extended SBO accident in a 1,000 MWe pressurized water reactor. With regard to the effectiveness of external cooling water injection strategies using fire engines, the strategies are judged to be very feasible for a long-term SBO, but are not likely to be effective for a short-term SBO.

Development of RBI Procedures and Implementation of a Software Based on API Code (II) - Semi-Quantitative Approach (API 기준에 근거한 RBI 절차 개발 및 소프트웨어의 구현 (II) -준정량적 접근법-)

  • Song, Jung-Soo;Shim, Sang-Hoon;Kwon, Jung-Rock;Yoon, Kee-Bong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.110-118
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    • 2002
  • During the last ten years, the need has been increase for reducing maintenance cost for aged equipments are ensuring safety, efficiency and profitability of petrochemical and refinery plants. American Petroleum institute(API) developed a code, API 581 for proposing standard procedures of risk based inspection. Even though the API 581 code covers general RBI procedures, there must be some limitations. In this study, a semi-quantitative assessment algorithm for RBI based on the API 581 code was reconstructed for developing an RBI software. The user-friendly realRBI software is developed with a module for evaluation semi-quantitative risk category using the potential consequence factor and the likelihood factor. Also, inspection planning module for inspection time and inspection method for equipments are included.

Estimation of the Flash Flood Index by the Probable Rainfall Data for Ungauged Catchments (미계측 유역에서의 확률강우에 대한 돌발홍수지수 산정)

  • Kim, Eung-Seok;Choi, Hyun-Il;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2010
  • As there occurs recently and frequently a flash flood due to the climate change, a sudden local flood of great volume and short duration caused by heavy or excessive rainfall in a short period of time over a small area, it is increasing that significant danger and loss of life and property in Korea as well as the whole world. Since a flash flood usually occurs as the result of intense rainfall over small steep slope regions and has rapid runoff and debris flow, a flood rises quite quickly with little or no advance warning to prevent flood damage. The aim of this study is to quantify the severity of flash food by estimation of a flash flood index(FFI) from probability rainfall data in a study basin. FFI-D-F(FFI-Duration-Frequency) curves that present the relative severity of flash flood are developed for a study basin to provide regional basic information for the local flood forecasting and warning system particularly in ungauged catchments. It is also expected that FFI-D-F curves can be utilized for evaluation on flash flood mitigation ability and residual flood risk of both existing and planned flood control facilities.

A Study of Recovery Standards and Post-Evaluation Method for Long Term Community Preventive Recovery Plan (개선복구계획 수립기준 및 효과측정 연구)

  • Jung, Woo-Young;Jung, Sang-Man;Choi, Hyun-Kyu;Lee, Sang-Moon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2009
  • Most damages of civil infrastructures under natural disasters are frequently occurred at surrounding areas of the river or the road. Every year, Recovery for these disaster damages are performed by the government. Recently, the government decide to change current recovery plan system because current recovery plan which doesn't consider future disaster impacts at a site has been proved to be ineffective. Accordingly, new permanency recovery plan system is needed and its corresponding ideas are presented in this research considering more detailed disaster damage classifications and cause assessments. The proposed permanency recovery plan would also provide more systematic and diverse recovery response strategies including both two concepts, for example Preparedness considered by risk assessment and management, and Mitigation investigated by hazard impact analyses.

Impact Condition of Safety Performance Evaluation for Longitudinal Barriers of SMART Highway (스마트하이웨이 종방향 방호울타리안전성능 평가를 위한 충돌조건)

  • Kim, Dong-Seong;Kim, Kee-Dong;Ko, Man-Gi;Kim, Kwang-Ju
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2009
  • To minimze the degree of damage for the SMART highway's punctuality and safety after car-barrier collisions, the impact condition for longitudinal barriers of SMART highway was determined to be quite larger than the existing maximum impact condition. The impact condition consists of impact vehicles, impact velocities, and impact angles. To consider the occupant safety of passenger cars as much as possible, a small car with high risk during impact was selected as the impact vehicle for the evaluation of occupant risk. The impact velocity was determined to be 20% larger than the existing maximum impact velocity in order to include accident impact velocities as much as possible. The impact angle was determined to include most of expected accident impact angles. Computer simulations using various impact conditions were conducted for the existing domestic highest-performance medium and roadside barrier. How the suggested impact condition has an effect on the occupant safety was investigated. The existing domestic highest-performance medium and roadside barriers could not satisfy the suggested impact condition. New high-performance longitudinal barriers are required to minimize the degree of damage for the SMART highway's punctuality and safety after car-barrier collisions.

A Study on Risk Mitigation Measures of NaTech Damage Effect of Hazardous Chemical Storage Tank - Focus on Triggered by Earthquake - (화학물질 저장탱크의 NaTech 피해영향 저감방법 연구 - 지진으로 인한 사고 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Tae-Hyung;Lee, Hyun-Seung;Yoo, Byung-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2018
  • This study presents an evaluation method to estimate the damage scale of chemical storage tank of petrochemical plant due to the earthquake that is likely to occur among NaTech damage types. Based on this, the risk for damage reduction of chemical storage tanks was evaluated. As a result of the study, the risk of the storage tank increased greatly considering the earthquake, and the risk was greatly reduced as a result of evaluating the proposed measures to mitigate the damage impact on the earthquake. This study is expected to contribute to the research on the reduction of NaTech damages such as typhoons and thunderstorms as well as earthquakes, and to establish an emergency response plan. In the future, it is necessary to systematically study and institutionalize the risk reduction measures considering earthquakes.

Determining the Location of Urban Planning Measures for Preventing Debris-Flow Risks: Based on the MCDM Method (MCDM 기법을 이용한 도심지 토사재해 예방을 위한 도시계획적 대책 위치 결정방법 제안)

  • Moon, Yonghee;Lee, Sangeun;Kim, Soyoon;Kim, Myoungsoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 2017
  • The landslide disaster damage has been increased by mountain development, leading to construction of educational facilities, medical facilities, petty industrial facilities, and large housing complexes. Therefore, effective regulation is required as an effort in urban planning solutions. For suggesting specific mitigation strategies on urban landslide, this study aims to define evaluation criteria for urban planning management of debris-flow disaster. AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process), one of the multiple criterion decision making methods, was utilized in this study. This study makes use of 16 sub-criteria under the framework of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability, and well-planned expert survey measures their weights. The weights are also applied to evaluate each grid in urban space (min $10{\times}10m$) and classify it with red, orange, yellow, or green grade so that areas at higher risk are clearly identified. This study concludes that the suggested method is useful to support a strategies for urban planning management of debris-flow disaster, particularly in a GIS base.

OVERVIEW OF CONTAINMENT FILTERED VENT UNDER SEVERE ACCIDENT CONDITIONS AT WOLSONG NPP UNIT 1

  • Song, Y.M.;Jeong, H.S.;Park, S.Y.;Kim, D.H.;Song, J.H.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.597-604
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    • 2013
  • Containment Filtered Vent Systems (CFVSs) have been mainly equipped in nuclear power plants in Europe and Canada for the controlled depressurization of the containment atmosphere under severe accident conditions. This is to keep the containment integrity against overpressure during the course of a severe accident, in which the radioactive gas-steam mixture from the containment is discharged into a system designed to remove the radionuclides. In Korea, a CFVS was first introduced in the Wolsong unit-1 nuclear power plant as a mitigation measure to deal with the threat of over pressurization, following post-Fukushima action items. In this paper, the overall features of a CFVS installation such as risk assessments, an evaluation of the performance requirements, and a determination of the optimal operating strategies are analyzed for the Wolsong unit 1 nuclear power plant using a severe accident analysis computer code, ISAAC.

A Study on Evaluation System of Risk Assessment at Coastal Activity Areas (연안활동장소의 위험도 평가체계 수립 연구)

  • Park, Seon Jung;Park, Seol Hwa;Seo, Heui Jung;Park, Seung Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.226-237
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    • 2021
  • Coastal safety accidents are characterized by a high proportion of human negligence and repeated occurrences of accidents caused by the same factors. The Korea Coast Guard prepares and implements various countermeasures to prevent accidents at coastal safety accident sites. However, there is a shortage of safety facilities and safety management personnel according to the limited budget. In addition, the ability to be proactively and proactively respond is low due to the limitations of the coastal safety accident risk forecasting system, which relies on the meteorological warning of the Korea Meteorological Administration. In this study, as part of preparing the foundation for establishing a preemptive and active coastal safety management system that can manage accident-causing factors, predict and evaluate risk, and implement response and mitigation measures after an accident occurs before coastal safety accidents occur. The establishment of a risk assessment system was proposed. The main evaluation factors and indicators for risk assessment were established through the analysis of the status of coastal safety accidents. The risk assessment methodology was applied to 40 major hazardous areas designated and managed by the Korea Coast Guard.