• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk evaluation

검색결과 3,233건 처리시간 0.026초

A Study on the Threshold of Avoidance Sector in the New Evaluation of Collision Risk

  • Jeong Tae-Gweon
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제28권9호
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    • pp.799-802
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    • 2004
  • Evaluation of the quantitative risk of collision plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This study analysed thoroughly how to determine the threshold of avoidance sector as described in the new evaluation of collision risk, and suggested the collision risk obtained by the alteration of course and/or speed in order to pass clear qf each danger zone as the threshold of avoidance sector.

An optimal classification method for risk assessment of water inrush in karst tunnels based on grey system theory

  • Zhou, Z.Q.;Li, S.C.;Li, L.P.;Shi, S.S.;Xu, Z.H.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.631-647
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    • 2015
  • Engineers may encounter unpredictable cavities, sinkholes and karst conduits while tunneling in karst area, and water inrush disaster frequently occurs and endanger the construction safety, resulting in huge casualties and economic loss. Therefore, an optimal classification method based on grey system theory (GST) is established and applied to accurately predict the occurrence probability of water inrush. Considering the weights of evaluation indices, an improved formula is applied to calculate the grey relational grade. Two evaluation indices systems are proposed for risk assessment of water inrush in design stage and construction stage, respectively, and the evaluation indices are quantitatively graded according to four risk grades. To verify the accuracy and feasibility of optimal classification method, comparisons of the evaluation results derived from the aforementioned method and attribute synthetic evaluation system are made. Furthermore, evaluation of engineering practice is carried through with the Xiakou Tunnel as a case study, and the evaluation result is generally in good agreement with the field-observed result. This risk assessment methodology provides a powerful tool with which engineers can systematically evaluate the risk of water inrush in karst tunnels.

국외 감염병 위험도 평가체계의 비교분석 (Comparative Analysis of Risk Assessment Tools for Infectious Diseases)

  • 최은미;우다래;최영준;예정용;박상신
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.380-388
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    • 2022
  • Background: Emerging infectious diseases, such as Middle East respiratory syndrome or coronavirus disease 2019, pose a continuous threat to public health, making a risk assessment necessary for infectious disease control and prevention. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the risk assessment methods for infectious diseases used by major foreign countries and organizations. Methods: We conducted an investigation and comparative analysis of risk assessment and risk determination methods for infectious diseases. The risk assessment tools included the strategic toolkit for assessing risks, influenza risk assessment tool, pandemic severity assessment framework, and rapid risk assessment methodology. Results: The most frequently reported risk elements were disease severity, antiviral treatment, attack rate, population immunity, and basic productive ratio. The risk evaluation method was evaluated quantitatively and qualitatively by the stakeholders at each institution. Additionally, the final risk level was visualized in a matrix, framework, and x and y-axis. Conclusion: Considering the risk assessment tools, the risk element was classified based on the duplicate of each indicator, and risk evaluation and level of risk assessment were analyzed.

RAM(신뢰도, MTBF) 데이터와 AHP 분석을 통한 함정분야 위험평가 방안 (An Objective Method of Risk Evaluation based on RAM(Reliability, MTBF) and AHP Data Analysis for Warship)

  • 함영훈;백용관
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.714-721
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    • 2018
  • This study proposes a risk evaluation method based on RAM and AHP data in order to prevent subjectivity of risk assessment. The risk assessment consist of Risk Likelihood(RL) and Risk Consequence(RC) in five levels. However, risk analysis of warships is hard to make a judgment because of small quantity production(Ship), long building period, equipment changes, complexity, various kinds of equipments, etc. The proposed RAM data and AHP analysis method are used to quantify each level quantitatively. RAM(MTBF) date is used to classify the RL, and AHP analysis is used to classify the RC. These scientific and data-based method will increase objectivity as well as efficiency of risk evaluation.

확률.통계적 리스크분석을 활용한 인적재난 위험평가 기법 제안 (Probabilistic Risk Evaluation Method for Human-induced Disaster by Risk Curve Analysis)

  • 박소순
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.57-68
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    • 2009
  • 최근 인적재난 발생의 불확실성에 대한 유연한 대처를 위해 확률 통계적 재난위험성 평가 및 위험관리 기술에 대한 필요성이 고조되고 있어 관련기술을 인적재난에 적용하기 위한 연구를 수행하였다. 먼저 재난위험성 평가 기법의 실효성, 경제성 및 지속가능한 시스템 구현을 위한 선제조건을 검토하였다. 이로부터 재난의 피해규모-발생확률 분포함수의 이론적 검토를 통해 확률 통계적인 재난위험 지표를 도출하고 재난안전(위험)도 평가에 활용함으로서 보다 간편한 정량적 재난위험도 평가기법을 개발하였기에 이를 소개한다. 또한 이를 활용하여 우리나라와 일본의 확률 통계적인 화재 안전유지 성능을 비교 분석하고 그 결과를 안전지수로 제시하였다. 향후 기존의 재난위험 평가기술과 융화 발전시켜 국내실정에 맞는 미래 재난 추정 및 예측 모델의 최적화 방안을 마련함으로써 지속적인 위험도 분석결과에 기반을 둔 합리적인 통합재난관리 방안 마련이 가능 할 것으로 기대된다.

신규 패션브랜드 평가속성에 대한 소비자 위험지각과 정보탐색에 관한 연구 (New Fashion Brand Evaluation Attributes related to Risk Perception and Information Search)

  • 김한나;이은영
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.727-736
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the new fashion brand evaluation attributes influenced by risk perception and its relationship with information search. As for the method of the research, questionnaires were given to 311 consumers who just finished shopping at new fashion brand stores. The results of this study were as follows: 1) New fashion brand evaluation attributes consisted of five factors; product experience attributes, celebrity credence attributes, product search attributes, brand credence attributes, salesperson search attributes. 2) New fashion brand evaluation attributes were found to be significantly influenced by risk perception. 3) The amount of information seeking and the use of information sources were found to be significantly related to the new fashion brand evaluation attributes. 4) The variables influencing on the new fashion brand evaluation attributes were age and monthly clothing expenses.

A Modification of the Approach to the Evaluation of Collision Risk Using Sech Function

  • Jeong, Tae-Gwoen;Chao, Chen
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.121-126
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    • 2007
  • Evaluation of collision risk plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This paper presents a new collision risk model formula that is one modification model on the basis of one approach to the evaluation of collision risk using sech function produced in earlier studies. And as a tool of the evaluation field of ship collision, this paper applied the new model in appraising the collision risk and represented how to decide the safe range of own ship's action. Moreover this paper also analyzed theoretically how to determine the coefficients as described in the new modification model, and suggested the appropriate values as applicable.

클라우드컴퓨팅 시스템 환경의 효과적 위험분석평가 방법에 관한 연구 (A Study on effective risk analysis and evaluation method of cloud computing system environment)

  • 이정림;장항배
    • Journal of Platform Technology
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.10-25
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    • 2021
  • 정보보안에 있어서 온-프레미스의 환경에서 위험분석평가에 대한 많은 연구가 진행되었지만, 클라우드컴퓨팅 시스템에 대한 위험분석평가의 효과적인 방법론에 대한 연구는 많이 부족한 실정이다. 2015년 클라우드컴퓨팅 발전법이 제정되어 클라우드컴퓨팅 도입 촉진 계기가 되었다, 그러나 클라우드컴퓨팅 시스템의 보안사고 증가 등의 이유로 활성화가 미진한 상황이다. 또한, 클라우드컴퓨팅 시스템을 도입하려는 관련 담당자의 클라우드컴퓨팅 시스템 기술 이해의 어려움 때문에 적극적으로 도입이 이루어지고 있지 않은 상황이다. 이에 관하여 이 연구는 클라우드컴퓨팅 시스템이 가진 특성과 개념, 그리고 모델을 살펴보고 이러한 특성이 위험분석평가에 어떻게 영향을 미치는지를 분석하여 효과적인 위험분석평가 방법을 제시하였다.

철도건널목 사고 위험도-발생빈도 평가모델 개발 (Development of Risk-Appearance Frequency Evaluation Model for Railway Level-Crossing Accidents)

  • 김민수;왕종배;박찬우;최돈범
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.96-101
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    • 2009
  • In this study, a risk-appearance frequency evaluation model for railway level-crossing accidents is developed with the frequency estimation based on the accident history. It follows the worldwide common safety management approach and reflects the operation conditions and accident properties of the domestic railway system. The risk appearance frequency evaluation process contains a development of accident scenarios by defining the system configurations and functions, and a frequency estimation of hazardous events based on the accident history. The developed model is verified with the accident history during 5 years('03-'07) for 3 hazardous events: 'Being trapped in level crossing(Hl)', 'Crossing during warning signal(H2)' and 'Breaking through/detouring the barrier(H3)'. This risk appearance frequency evaluation model will be combined with a consequence evaluation model so as to offer full risk assessment for the railway accident. The accident risk assessment will contribute to improving the safety management of the railway system.