• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk averse

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eUCP 11조의 잠재적 하자의 규명과 합리적 개정방안의 모색 (A Study on the Inherent Defects in the eUCP Article 11 & Implication for the Revision)

  • 김기선
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제35권
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    • pp.41-69
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    • 2007
  • This study analyzes some important implications for the forthcoming revision of eUCP through the methodology of expected utility maximization theory. The overall results are as follows. First, beneficiary with an initial wealth has a risk-averse utility in traditional letter of credit transaction, and he would be more risk-averse in eUCP transaction. Secondly, the beneficiary who has risk-averse utility will pay for the risk premium to reduce the risk of corruption of an electronic record by means of cost of loss reduction activities. Thirdly, the cost of loss reduction activities is represented by a convex cost function, Fourthly, a risk averse beneficiary pursues loss reducing activities to the point where the expected marginal product of loss reduction is less than its marginal cost. Fifthly, a more risk-averse eUCP beneficiary will always select a higher level of loss reduction as long as the effectiveness of loss reduction is certain. Sixthly, when the effectiveness of loss reduction is uncertain, the more risk-averse eUCP beneficiary does not necessarily choose a higher level of loss reducing activities. Finally, it would be more reasonable that eUCP Article 11 should protect eUCP beneficiary who pursues a higher level of loss reducing activities.

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구매가격 변동 하에서 초기재고 재분배를 통한 위험회피 재고모형의 효율화 (Improving a Risk-Averse Price-Fluctuating Inventory Model by Reallocating Initial Inventories)

  • 박찬규
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.95-115
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    • 2013
  • In traditional inventory models, purchase prices of raw materials are assumed to be fixed and have no effect on the optimal choice of inventory policies. However, when purchase prices fluctuate continuously over time, inventory costs are heavily affected by purchasing prices. Risk-averse inventory model decides order quantity and ordering time by considering not just purchase prices but also the risk from the discrepancy between estimated prices and realized prices. In this paper, we propose a myopic inventory policy which incorporates price risk into deciding ordering time and quantities. While the existing risk-averse model has no mechanism to reallocate inventories already purchased for a specific future period, the revised one reallocates initial inventories of each period to other future periods so that it can avoid purchasing raw materials at high prices. Experimental results demonstrate that the revised model outperforms the existing one in respect of total cost and variability.

공급사슬에서의 위험공유 (Risk Sharing in a Supply Chain)

  • Ahn, Seongje
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.115-129
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    • 2003
  • This paper suggests that the profit sharing contract can be Pareto optimal for both supplier and the purchaser. It is shown that Pareto optimal risk sharing contract can be obtained even though the decisions are made in a decentralized manner. The effect of risk attitude of the members of the supply chain is discussed. We examined various aspects of the risk sharing contract such as risk altitude, bargaining power, and cost of information system. The different risk attitude changes the optimal parameters and decision variables. Especially, we proved that, when both the supplier and the purchaser are risk averse, the purchaser orders less quantity than when the one is risk neutral and the other is risk averse. If the fixed cost for the information system is big enough to satisfy a certain condition, it is Pareto optimal not to share the profit and the purchaser takes all the risk even though he is risk averse.

공기업 해외발전 EPC 사업 진출 시 조직성향에 따른 위험관리 방안에 관한 연구 (A Proposal for Risk Management according to Organizational Tendency for the Overseas EPC Projects of Public Company)

  • 장형식;구일섭
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.67-76
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    • 2022
  • Power generation construction projects involving large amounts of capital can affect the survival of a company along with huge economic losses in the event of a business failure. In general, private companies are organizations with challenging risk taking tendencies while public companies have a risk averse tendency to avoid risk, so these differences in organizational tendencies make it difficult to respond to risk. In particular, public companies are more likely to fail than private companies because they choose the contradiction of risk picking to enter overseas markets with high uncertainty despite their tendency to risk averse due to the nature of the organization. Therefore, these organizations need risk management techniques that reflect a risk-averse strategy. Accordingly, this paper analyzes the risk management research papers of the existing overseas development EPC business in order to find the risk management techniques related to the organizational tendencies of public companies and proposes "establishing a performance audit system for risk management of the organizational tendencies of public companies" as a way to extract the risk factors through the examples of overseas development projects of public companies and to manage the organizational tendencies of public companies that affect them.

해외투자개발사업의 건설투자자와 금융투자자간 리스크 태도 분석 (Risk Attitude Analysis between Construction Investor and Loan Investor in International PPP Project)

  • 박찬영;한승헌;정우용
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2019
  • 국제 투자개발사업 시장의 확대와 국내 내수 시장 축소로 해외투자개발사업에 대한 국내 건설기업의 관심이 증가하고 있다. 그러나 개발 단계를 거치며 많은 사업들이 사업 승인 또는 입찰에 도달하지 못하고 사업 개발에 실패하였다. 본 연구에서는 사업개발 실패를 야기하는 여러 가지 이유 중 사업참여자의 리스크 태도 차이로 인한 문제에 집중하였다. 건설투자자와 금융투자자의 리스크 태도를 분석하기 위하여 건설투자자 21인과 금융투자자 21인을 통해 동일한 리스크 상황에 대한 리스크 크기를 조사하였다. 81개 리스크 상황 중 58개에서 건설투자자가 금융투자자보다 동일한 리스크 상황에 대해 리스크 크기를 낮게 평가하여 risk-seeking 태도를 보였다. 통계적으로 유의미한 차이를 보인 9개의 리스크 요인에 대해서도 금융투자자가 건설투자자보다 리스크 상황의 심각성을 높게 평가하여 risk-averse 태도를 보였다. 본 연구 결과로 건설투자자와 금융투자자간 상호 리스크 태도 차이의 이해를 통해 투자개발사업의 성공적인 개발에 기여할 수 있을 것이다.

위험회피성향을 고려한 공급 불확실성하(下) 신문팔이소년 문제에 대한 고찰 (Research on Risk-Averse Newsboy under Supply Uncertainty)

  • 김형태
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, the single-period inventory problem, what is called newsboy problem, has been revisited with two different conditions, uncertain supply and risk-averseness. Eeckhoudt et al. [5] investigated the effect of risk-averseness of a newsboy on the optimal order quantity in a stochastic demand setting. In contrary to Eeckhoudt et al. [5] this paper investigates the effect of risk-averseness in a stochastic supply setting. The findings from this investigation say that if ${\alpha}^*$ represents the optimal order quantity without risk-averseness then the risk-averse optimal order quantity can be greater than ${\alpha}^*$ and can be less than ${\alpha}^*$ as well.

A Risk-Averse Insider and Asset Pricing in Continuous Time

  • Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2013
  • This paper derives an equilibrium asset price when there exist three kinds of traders in financial market: a risk-averse informed trader, noise traders, and risk neutral market makers. This paper is an extended version of Kyle's (1985, Econometrica) continuous time model by introducing insider's risk aversion. We obtain not only the equilibrium asset pricing and market depth parameter but also insider's value function and optimal insider's trading strategy explicitly. The comparative static shows that the market depth (the reciprocal of market pressure) increases with time and volatility of noise traders' trading.

환경정책에 기인한 외생적 불확실성이 경제적 의사결정에 미치는 효과 (The Effect of an Environmental Policy as a source of a Background Risk on Economic Decisions)

  • 이진권
    • 환경정책연구
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.57-73
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    • 2008
  • 이 논문은 어떤 환경정책이 의사결정자들의 부(wealth)에 외생적인 위험을 증대시키는 경우 그러한 환경정책의 파급효과가 직접적으로는 상관이 없는 것으로 보일 수 있는 여타 경제적 의사결정에까지 미친다는 것을 기회향상모형을 통해 이론적으로 보인다. 이 논문에서 우리는 어떠한 환경정책에 의해 의사결정자들의 부에 외생적 위험이 커지는 경우 위험기피적인 의사결정자들은 여타 기회향상적 의사결정에서 보다 더 위험기피적으로 행동한다는 것을 입증하고, 이러한 결론이 환경정책의 수립과 시행과정에서 가지는 함의를 논의한다.

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UCP 600 합리성 행위기준의 적용방식 : 서류검토기간의 효율과 형평의 균형 (A Study on the Application of Reasonableness in UCP600 : Striking a Fair Balance between Efficiency and Equity)

  • 김기선
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제57권
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    • pp.111-135
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzes some important spin-off effects of the provision, UCP600 Article 14(6), through the methodology of the expected utility maximization theory based on the state-contingent commodities model. Some technical implications of this study are as follows. First, the risk-averse beneficiary will choose to present his documents more than 5 days before expiry date by paying a higher risk premium (so-called cure period) for full assurance to cure documentary discrepancies, if expressed economically, he pursues loss reducing activities to the point where the expected marginal product of his activities is less than its marginal cost. Secondly, where the effectiveness of securing cure period is uncertain, the risk-averse beneficiary will choose to present documents just on the expiry date without securing any cure period by paying no risk premium. This study finally suggests the safe harbor standard should be optimal solution only if it is supplemented by the hidden reasonableness standard for balancing the conflicts of interest between beneficiaries and banks.

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농업인의 농작업 위험 수용도 및 관련 요인 (Risk-Accepting Personality and Associated Factors among Korean Farmers)

  • 윤지영;최영철;이원진;김재영
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제42권5호
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    • pp.333-344
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: This study aimed to examine risk-accepting personality traits and associated factors among farmers. Methods: Data were collected from farmers aged over 40 living in Goryeong, North Gyeongsang-do Province, Korea. Study participants were enrolled in the Korean Rural Cohort study from 2011 to 2014. Surveys for the risk perception of farming were made through face-to-face interviews. Chi-square tests and logistic regression analysis were conducted adjusting for gender, age, marital status, and education. Results: Several factors such as gender, age, marital status, age first worked as a farmer, duration of farming, and history of pesticide poisoning were associated with risk-accepting personality traits among farmers. Farmers with risk-accepting personalities tend to be older, less educated, and have self-employed health insurance. Farmers who started farming after the age of 50 are likely to be risk averse compared to farmers who started farming before the age of 20 (OR=0.41, 95% CI; 0.21, 0.82). Frequent spraying of pesticides was marginally associated with higher risk acceptance among female farmers (OR=1.61, 95% CI: 0.99, 2.64). Male farmers who had experienced pesticide poisoning in their lifetime showed higher odds of risk-accepting personality traits (OR=2.20, 95% CI: 1.03, 4.72) Conclusion: Risk-acceptors were more likely to spray pesticides frequently and to experience more pesticide poisoning compared to risk-averse individuals. This result suggests that farming hazards are to some degree driven by risk-accepting personality traits. Further investigation of how risk-accepting behaviors influence farming practices and pesticide poisoning is needed.