• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk Likelihood

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The Significance of Contract Law for Efficient Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Procedure

  • Eungoo KANG
    • 동아시아경상학회지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This study aims to examine the role of contract law in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and to examine whether or not contract law is necessary in M&A. The study also discusses how contract law can be utilized in M&A, as well as some of the problems that arise from the use of contracts in this area. Research design, data, and methodology - To minimize bias and errors, this study used only peer-reviewed articles and book excluding internet news articles, conference papers, and dissertations. For a well-organized screen and selection process, the author conducted the extraction procedure thoroughly to eliminate some duplicated resources. Result: This study indicates that complex deals carry a high risk but also have the potential to yield substantial revenue for stakeholders. Thus, contract law is essential to the success of M&A because it helps to define the (1) terms of the transaction, (2) reduces risk, (3) offers legal safeguards, and ensures that the (4) agreement is enforced. Conclusion - This study concludes that an understanding of contract law is essential to the profitable merging of two businesses. The application of contract law provides a mechanism for enforcing the agreement, which can increase the likelihood that the stipulations of the M&A will be satisfied.

[Reivew]Prediction of Cervical Cancer Risk from Taking Hormone Contraceptivese

  • Su jeong RU;Kyung-A KIM;Myung-Ae CHUNG;Min Soo KANG
    • 한국인공지능학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.25-29
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    • 2024
  • In this study, research was conducted to predict the probability of cervical cancer occurrence associated with the use of hormonal contraceptives. Cervical cancer is influenced by various environmental factors; however, the human papillomavirus (HPV) is detected in 99% of cases, making it the primary attributed cause. Additionally, although cervical cancer ranks 10th in overall female cancer incidence, it is nearly 100% preventable among known cancers. Early-stage cervical cancer typically presents no symptoms but can be detected early through regular screening. Therefore, routine tests, including cytology, should be conducted annually, as early detection significantly improves the chances of successful treatment. Thus, we employed artificial intelligence technology to forecast the likelihood of developing cervical cancer. We utilized the logistic regression algorithm, a predictive model, through Microsoft Azure. The classification model yielded an accuracy of 80.8%, a precision of 80.2%, a recall rate of 99.0%, and an F1 score of 88.6%. These results indicate that the use of hormonal contraceptives is associated with an increased risk of cervical cancer. Further development of the artificial intelligence program, as studied here, holds promise for reducing mortality rates attributable to cervical cancer.

Analysis of the risk factors of acute kidney injury after total hip or knee replacement surgery

  • Lee, Yoo Jin;Park, Bong Soo;Park, Sihyung;Park, Jin Han;Kim, Il Hwan;Ko, Junghae;Kim, Yang Wook
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.136-141
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    • 2021
  • Background: Postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI), which increases the risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality, poses a major concern to surgeons. We conducted this study to analyze the risk factors associated with the occurrence of AKI after orthopedic surgery. Methods: This was a retrospective study that included 351 patients who underwent total hip or knee replacement surgery at Inje University Haeundae Paik Hospital between January 2012 and December 2016. Results: AKI occurred in 13 (3.7%) of the 351 patients. The patients' preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 66.66 ±34.02 mL/min/1.73 m2 in the AKI group and 78.07±21.23 mL/min/1.73 m2 in the non-AKI group. The hemoglobin levels were 11.21±1.65 g/dL in the AKI group and 12.39±1.52 g/dL in the non-AKI group. Hemoglobin level was related to increased risk of AKI (odds ratio [OR], 0.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.02-0.68; p=0.016). Administration of crystalloid or colloid fluid alone and the perioperative amount of fluid did not show any significant relationship with AKI. Further analysis of the changes in eGFR was performed using a cutoff value of 7.54. The changes in eGFR were significantly related to decreased risk of AKI (OR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.61-0.89; p=0.002). Conclusion: Renal function should be monitored closely after orthopedic surgery if patients have chronic kidney disease and low hemoglobin level. Predicting the likelihood of AKI occurrence, early treatment of high-risk patients, and monitoring perioperative laboratory test results, including eGFR, will help improve patient prognosis.

군중 밀집 위험도 시뮬레이션 기반의 인파 관리 안전대책 수립 (Establishment of Crowd Management Safety Measures Based on Crowd Density Risk Simulation)

  • 김현철;임형준;이승현;주영범;권순조
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.96-103
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    • 2023
  • Generally, human stampedes and crowd collapses occur when people press against each other, causing falls that may result in death or injury. Particularly, crowd accidents have become increasingly common since the 1990s, with an average of 380 deaths annually. For instance, in Korea, a stampede occurred during the Itaewon Halloween festival on October 29, 2022, when several people crowded onto a narrow, downhill road, which was 45 meters long and between 3.2 and 4 meters wide. Precisely, this stampede was primarily due to the excessive number of people relative to the road size. Essentially, stampedes can occur anywhere and at any time, not just at events, but also in other places where large crowds gather. More specifically, the likelihood of accidents increases when the crowd density exceeds a turbulence threshold of 5-6 /m2. Meanwhile, festivals and events, which have become more frequent and are promoted through social media, garner people from near and far to a specific location. Besides, as cities grow, the number of people gathering in one place increases. While stampedes are rare, their impact is significant, and the uncertainty associated with them is high. Currently, there is no scientific system to analyze the risk of stampedes due to crowd concentration. Consequently, to prevent such accidents, it is essential to prepare for crowd disasters that reflect social changes and regional characteristics. Hence, this study proposes using digital topographic maps and crowd-density risk simulations to develop a 3D model of the region. Specifically, the crowd density simulation allows for an analysis of the density of people walking along specific paths, which enables the prediction of danger areas and the risk of crowding. By using the simulation method in this study, it is anticipated that safety measures can be rationally established for specific situations, such as local festivals, and preparations may be made for crowd accidents in downtown areas.

온라인 위험 가능성 평가를 통한 지속적인 보안관리 체계 (A Framework for Continuous Security Management through Online Risk Likelihood Assessment)

  • 주성진;김종
    • 한국정보보호학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보보호학회 2002년도 종합학술발표회논문집
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    • pp.544-547
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    • 2002
  • 최근 들어 인적 보안위험과 같이 단기간에 변화가 심한 위험이 증가하고 있어 이에 대한 관리가 요구되고 있다. 그러나, 기존 위험평가만으로는 이러한 보안위험에 대한 적절한 평가 및 관리가 어려우므로 이에 대한 보완이 필요하다. 이에 기존에 적용된 보안관리 도구에 의해 생성되는 온라인 데이터를 이용하여, 이러한 위험에 대한 평가를 지속적으로 실시할 수 있는 보안관리 체계를 제안한다. 이를 통해 조직내 보안위험 수준을 감내할 수 있는 수준으로 유지할 수 있도록 한다.

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What Causes Technology Commercialization to Succeed or Fail after Transfer from Public Research Organizations

  • Kim, Yong-Jeong;Shin, Seowon Joseph
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.23-44
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    • 2017
  • This study explores how the technology commercialization process leads to either success or failure after transfer from PROs to SMEs by conducting a binomial logistic regression analysis. We found that the more additional development a firm implements on the transferred technology, the more likely the commercialization is to fail. The higher number of alternative technology and bigger market risk are associated with a greater likelihood of failure. On the other hand, the existence of complementary technology, the degree of cooperation with the technology provider, the size of the target market, the willingness of the CEO, and the funding availability are known to have positive effects on the success of technology commercialization. In addition, the case studies we conducted from the sample companies demonstrated that "market uncertainty," "technological issues depending on the technology-specific characteristics," and "a lack of funding capability" are some of the causes for failure of technology commercialization.

Adolescents' health behaviors and obesity: Does race affect this epidemic?

  • Dodor, Bernice A.;Shelley, Mack C.;Hausafus, Cheryl O.
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제4권6호
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    • pp.528-534
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    • 2010
  • This study explores the influence of health behaviors and individual attributes on adolescent overweight and obesity using data from Wave II (Add Health). Structural equation model/ path analysis using maximum likelihood estimation was utilized to analyze the relationships of health behaviors and attributes with obesity. Results of the model reveal that the causal paths (adolescents' attributes and health behaviors) for overweight and obesity were different for African American and Caucasian adolescents. Generally, African Americans were more susceptible to overweight and obesity than Caucasians. Although increasing levels of vigorous physical activities lowers the risk for obesity among African American and Caucasian adolescents alike, low family SES and being sedentary were associated with overweight and obesity among Caucasians. No significant associations were found among African Americans. Increased hours of sleep at night relate positively with obesity among African Americans. These findings suggest important elements in the consideration of race in developing effective intervention and prevention approaches for curbing the obesity epidemic among U.S. adolescents.

Peste des petits ruminants in Pakistan; past, present and future perspectives

  • Abubakar, Muhammad;Irfan, Muhammad;Manzoor, Shumaila
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제57권11호
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    • pp.32.1-32.8
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    • 2015
  • Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is considered to be one of the main constraints to enhancing the productivity of goats and sheep in regions where it is present and becoming endemic. PPR was recognized in Pakistan in early 1990s but got importance during the Participatory Disease Surveillance (PDS) of Rinderpest Eradication Campaign. Lot of research work has been initiated during last decade towards disease epidemiology, risk factor recognition, laboratory diagnosis, vaccination and demonstration of control strategies. Although there are ongoing projects working towards the progressive control of the disease in country yet there is need to have a national level control program for PPR. Also there is need to have comprehensive social economic surveys, disease hot spot recognition and identification of role of other species in disease transmission. With combined efforts of local and national authorities and political will, there is high likelihood that this devastating disease can be controlled and eventually eradicated in near future.

당뇨병 환자 맞춤형 농식품 식단에 대한 소비자 지불의사금액 (The Analysis on Consumers' Willingness to Pay for Customized Agricultural Products in Diabetes)

  • 이상호
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.699-710
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    • 2017
  • This study analyze the willingness to pay for customized agricultural products to diabetes. For this purpose, a survey was carried out for patients with diabetes 212 patients. The main results are as follows. First, the survey found that the interest in health and food was found to be very high in 93.9 % and 85.9 % respectively. This means that there is sufficient market potential if customized food and diets for diabetes are developed. Second, the Logit analysis showed that influential factor for the willingness to pay for a customized diet. The higher the risk, the better the health outcomes, the higher the likelihood that the higher the level of income, the more likely it is to purchase a product for a diabetic food package. Third, the average amount of willingness to pay for the customized food for diabetes patients was 7,823.5 won and the truncated average value was 6,953.3 won.

Estimation of the parameters in an Exponential Distribution with Type-II Censoring

  • Suk Bok Kang;Young Soo Suh;Young Suk Cho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.929-941
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we propose the minimum risk estimator (MRE) and the approximate maximum likelihood estimator (AMLE) of the location and the scale parameters of the two-parameter exponential distribution with Type-II censoring. The MRE's can be derived by minimizing the mean squared error among the class of estimators which include some estimators as special cases. We show that the MRE's are more efficient than the other estimators of the scale and the location parameter in the terms of the mean squared error.

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