• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Likelihood

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Relationship between Metabolic Syndrome and the Triglyceride/High-density Lipoprotein- Cholesterol ratio in Male Office Workers (남성 사무직 근로자의 중성지방/고밀도 지단백 콜레스테롤 비와 대사증후군 간의 관계)

  • Park, Bom Mi;Ryu, Ho Sihn
    • Journal of Korean Public Health Nursing
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.376-388
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The triglyceride-to-high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio is one of the main predictive indices for cardiovascular disease. This study was examined the relationship between TG/HDL-C ratio and metabolic syndrome (MetS) in male office workers. Methods: Secondary analysis was conducted to determine the risk between the TG/HDL-C ratio and MetS in male office workers. A total of 765 people underwent the 'regular workplace health checkups in 2014'. Among the subjects who were male and responded to the questionnaire and health lifestyle survey, 470 (61.4%) excluding those with missing and/or abnormal values were analyzed. The association between MetS, MetS components, and the TG/HDL-C ratio was examined by a Chi-square test, One-way ANOVA, Turkey post-hoc test and Logistic regression analysis. Results: The number of males with MetS was 70 (14.9%) and the number of MetS components increased with increasing TG/HDL-C ratio (p<.001). Logistic regression analysis with an adjustment for potential confounders revealed a 31.8 times higher odds ratio of the Quartile4 group for MetS than that of the Quartile1 group (p<.001). Conclusion: These results show that the likelihood of MetS, particularly the risk of MetS in the Quartile4, increases with increasing TG/HDL-C ratio.

Evaluation of the Prognosis in Esophageal Atresia (선천성 식도 폐쇄증의 예후 판정)

  • Kim, Hyun-Hahk;Jeong, Hyeon-A;Kim, Kyung-Hun;Kim, Jung-Han;Lee, Suk-Koo
    • Advances in pediatric surgery
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2001
  • The aims of this study were to evaluate the prognostic predictabilities of the risk classifications (Waterston, Montreal, and Spitz), preoperative treatment of pneumonia and the length of esophageal gap in esophageal atresia. Twenty-five cases of esophageal atresia were reviewed retrospectively. The data was analyzed with Likelihood ratio test for trend and Fisher's exact test. Survival rates were 100.0 % in group A and B, and 60.0 % in group C according to Waters ton classification (p=0.027). By Montreal classification, 95.7 % in group I and 50.0 % in group II (p=0.086). By Spitz classification, 95.5 % in group I and 66.7% in group II (p=0.159). The survival rate was 85.7 % in the patients with pneumonia preoperatively treated and 94.4% in the patients without pneumonia. The difference was not significant (p=0.490). Survival rate in the patients with long gap (${\geq}$3cm) was 50.0 % and 100.0 % in patients with short gap (<3cm) with significant difference (p=0.020). The Waterston classification could be modified into two groups because the prognosis of both group A and B were the same. Preoperative pneumonia does not seem to be a risk factor. The length of the esophageal gap showed prognostic value.

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Subtype Distribution of Blastocystis in Thai-Myanmar Border, Thailand

  • Popruk, Supaluk;Udonsom, Ruenruetai;Koompapong, Khuanchai;Mahittikorn, Aongart;Kusolsuk, Teera;Ruangsittichai, Jiraporn;Palasuwan, Attakorn
    • Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2015
  • Blastocystis sp. is a common zoonotic intestinal protozoa which has been classified into 17 subtypes (STs). A cross-sectional study was conducted to determine the prevalence and subtype distribution of Blastocystis in villagers living on the Thai-Myanmar border, where the risk of parasitic infection is high. A total of 207 stool samples were collected and DNA was extracted. PCR and sequencing using primers targeting small-subunit ribosomal RNA (SSU rRNA) gene were performed. The prevalence of Blastocystis infection was 37.2% (77/207). ST3 (19.8%; 41/207) was the predominant subtype, followed by ST1 (11.6%; 24/207), ST2 (5.3%; 11/207), and ST4 (0.5%; 1/207). A phylogenetic tree was reconstructed using the maximum likelihood (ML) method based on the Hasegawa-Kishino-Yano + G + I model. The percentage of bootstrapped trees in which the associated taxa clustered together was relatively high. Some sequences of Blastocystis positive samples (TK18, 39, 46, 71, and 90) were closely related to animals (pig and cattle) indicating zoonotic risks. Therefore, proper health education in parasitic prevention for the villagers should be promoted to improve their personal hygiene. Further longitudinal studies are required to monitor the prevalence of parasitic infections after providing health education and to investigate Blastocystis ST in animals living in these villages.

Principal Components Regression in Logistic Model (로지스틱모형에서의 주성분회귀)

  • Kim, Bu-Yong;Kahng, Myung-Wook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.571-580
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    • 2008
  • The logistic regression analysis is widely used in the area of customer relationship management and credit risk management. It is well known that the maximum likelihood estimation is not appropriate when multicollinearity exists among the regressors. Thus we propose the logistic principal components regression to deal with the multicollinearity problem. In particular, new method is suggested to select proper principal components. The selection method is based on the condition index instead of the eigenvalue. When a condition index is larger than the upper limit of cutoff value, principal component corresponding to the index is removed from the estimation. And hypothesis test is sequentially employed to eliminate the principal component when a condition index is between the upper limit and the lower limit. The limits are obtained by a linear model which is constructed on the basis of the conjoint analysis. The proposed method is evaluated by means of the variance of the estimates and the correct classification rate. The results indicate that the proposed method is superior to the existing method in terms of efficiency and goodness of fit.

Prevalence, Risk Factors and Consequent Effect of Dystocia in Holstein Dairy Cows in Iran

  • Atashi, Hadi;Abdolmohammadi, Alireza;Dadpasand, Mohammad;Asaadi, Anise
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.447-451
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this research was to determine the prevalence, risk factors and consequent effect of dystocia on lactation performance in Holstein dairy cows in Iran. The data set consisted of 55,577 calving records on 30,879 Holstein cows in 30 dairy herds for the period March 2000 to April 2009. Factors affecting dystocia were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression models through the maximum likelihood method in the GENMOD procedure. The effect of dystocia on lactation performance and factors affecting calf birth weight were analyzed using mixed linear model in the MIXED procedure. The average incidence of dystocia was 10.8% and the mean (SD) calf birth weight was 42.13 (5.42) kg. Primiparous cows had calves with lower body weight and were more likely to require assistance at parturition (p<0.05). Female calves had lower body weight, and had a lower odds ratio for dystocia than male calves (p<0.05). Twins had lower birth weight, and had a higher odds ratio for dystocia than singletons (p<0.05). Cows which gave birth to a calf with higher weight at birth experienced more calving difficulty (OR (95% CI) = 1.1(1.08-1.11). Total 305-d milk, fat and protein yield was 135 (23), 3.16 (0.80) and 6.52 (1.01) kg less, in cows that experienced dystocia at calving compared with those that did not (p<0.05).

Milk Intake is Associated with Metabolic Syndrome - Using Data from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007~2010 (우유 섭취와 대사증후군의 관련성 - 2007~2010년 국민건강영양조사 자료를 이용하여)

  • Lee, Chang Jin;Joung, Hyojee
    • Korean Journal of Community Nutrition
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.795-804
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    • 2012
  • This study aimed to examine associations between milk intake and metabolic syndrome. The subjects included 1,928 males and 3,103 females, aged 19 to 64 years, from the data of 'The Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey 2007-2010'. Daily intake of milk and dairy products was obtained by a 24 hour dietary recall method and divided into two categories by equivalent weight of one serving. The average individual intakes of milk and dairy products were 59.4 g and 74.1 g per day respectively. Milk intake was inversely associated with metabolic syndrome (OR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.54~0.89), central obesity (OR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.62~0.91), and hypertriglyceridemia (OR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.59~0.90). The total intake of dairy products was also inversely associated with metabolic syndrome (OR: 0.74, 95% CI 0.60~0.92), central obesity (OR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.62~0.86), hypertension (OR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.65~0.99). The association between intakes of milk and dairy products and metabolic syndrome was significant in women, but not in men. These results indicate that increased consumption of milk and its products is associated with a reduced likelihood of metabolic syndrome and metabolic syndrome risk factors. Further research on causal relationship and dose-response association between milk intake and metabolic syndrome risk is necessary prior to applying the observed results in nutrition policies and programs to prevent the metabolic syndrome.

The Effect of Portal Search Intensity on Stock Price Crash (포털 검색 강도가 주가 급락에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Min-Su;Kwon, Hyuk-Jun
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.153-168
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    • 2017
  • Recent studies focus on the role of investor attention and transparency in stock-related information in explaining stock return and trading volume. Moreover, recent literatures predict that firm opacity will increase the likelihood of future stock price crashes. In this paper, we investigate, using Naver Trend, the relation between portal search intensity and stock price crash. Using various alternative measures of stock price crash risk and search intensity, we demonstrate that stocks with larger volume of portal search are less likely to experience stock price crashes. These results are consistent with our hypothesis that accumulated firm opacity cause future stock price crash. Finally, our results still hold even after we control for the potential effect of endogeneity in the regression specifications.

Parameter estimation of linear function using VUS and HUM maximization (VUS와 HUM 최적화를 이용한 선형함수의 모수추정)

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Won, Chi Hwan;Jeong, Dong Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.1305-1315
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    • 2015
  • Consider the risk score which is a function of a linear score for the classification models. The AUC optimization method can be applied to estimate the coefficients of linear score. These estimates obtained by this AUC approach method are shown to be better than the maximum likelihood estimators using logistic models under the general situation which does not fit the logistic assumptions. In this work, the VUS and HUM approach methods are suggested by extending AUC approach method for more realistic discrimination and prediction worlds. Some simulation results are obtained with both various distributions of thresholds and three kinds of link functions such as logit, complementary log-log and modified logit functions. It is found that coefficient prediction results by using the VUS and HUM approach methods for multiple categorical classification are equivalent to or better than those by using logistic models with some link functions.

Diagnostic methods for assessing maxillary skeletal and dental transverse deficiencies: A systematic review

  • Sawchuk, Dena;Currie, Kris;Vich, Manuel Lagravere;Palomo, Juan Martin;Flores-Mir, Carlos
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.331-342
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    • 2016
  • Objective: To evaluate the accuracy and reliability of the diagnostic tools available for assessing maxillary transverse deficiencies. Methods: An electronic search of three databases was performed from their date of establishment to April 2015, with manual searching of reference lists of relevant articles. Articles were considered for inclusion if they reported the accuracy or reliability of a diagnostic method or evaluation technique for maxillary transverse dimensions in mixed or permanent dentitions. Risk of bias was assessed in the included articles, using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies tool-2. Results: Nine articles were selected. The studies were heterogeneous, with moderate to low methodological quality, and all had a high risk of bias. Four suggested that the use of arch width prediction indices with dental cast measurements is unreliable for use in diagnosis. Frontal cephalograms derived from cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) images were reportedly more reliable for assessing intermaxillary transverse discrepancies than posteroanterior cephalograms. Two studies proposed new three-dimensional transverse analyses with CBCT images that were reportedly reliable, but have not been validated for clinical sensitivity or specificity. No studies reported sensitivity, specificity, positive or negative predictive values or likelihood ratios, or ROC curves of the methods for the diagnosis of transverse deficiencies. Conclusions: Current evidence does not enable solid conclusions to be drawn, owing to a lack of reliable high quality diagnostic studies evaluating maxillary transverse deficiencies. CBCT images are reportedly more reliable for diagnosis, but further validation is required to confirm CBCT's accuracy and diagnostic superiority.

Some Consideration on the Study of ICAO for the Rome Convention Amendment and the Necessity of Domestic Legislation (로마조약의 개정과 국내입법의 필요성에 관한 소고)

  • Kim, Sun-Ihee;Kwon, Min-Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.3-32
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    • 2008
  • In proportion to recent developments in aviation technology and growth of the air transport market, the risk of damages to third parties caused by aircrafts and the likelihood of unlawful interference on an aircraft in flight has grown larger. The war risk insurance market was paralyzed by the 9/11 terror event. And if another event on the scale of 9/11 occurs, compensations for third party damages will be impossible. Recognizing the need to modernize the existing legal framework and the absence of a globally accepted authority that deals with third party liability and compensation for catastrophic damage caused by acts of unlawful interference, the ICAO and various countries have discussed a liability and compensation system that can protect both third party victims and the aviation industry for the 7 years. In conclusion, in order to provide adequate protection for victims and the appropriate protection for air transport systems including air carriers, work on modernizing the Rome Convention should be continued and the new Convention should be finalized in the near future. Korea has not ratified the relevant international treaties, i.e. Rome Convention 1933, 1952 and 1978, and has no local laws which regulate the damage caused by aircraft to third parties on land. Consequently, it has to depend on the domestic civil tort laws. Most of the advanced countries in aviation such as the United States, England, Germany, France and even China, have incorporated the International Conventions to their national air law and governed carriers third party liability within their jurisdiction. The Ministry of Justice organized the Special Enactment Committee for Air Transport chapter under Commercial Law. The Air Transport chapter, which currently includes third party liability, is in the process of instituting new legislation. In conclusion, to settle such problems through local law, it is necessary to enact as soon as possible domestic legislation on the civil liability of the air carrier which has been connected with third party liability and aviation insurance.

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