• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Aversion

Search Result 87, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

A Noise-Reduced Risk Aversion Index

  • Park, Beum-Jo;Cho, Hong Chong
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.67-85
    • /
    • 2018
  • We propose a noise reduced risk aversion index for measuring risk aversion through a laboratory experiment to overcome disadvantages of the multiple pricing list format developed by Holt and Laury (2002). We use randomized multiple list choices with coarser classification and reward weighting, supplement the rank of risk aversion with extra individual characteristics of risk attitude, and construct an index of risk aversion by standardizing the risk aversion ranking with quantile normalization. Our method reduces multiple switching problems that noisy decision makers mistakenly commit in experimental approaches, so that it is free of the framing effect which severely occurred in the HL. Furthermore, the index doesn't utilize any specific utility function or probability weighting, which allows researcher to hold the independence axiom. Since our noise reduced index of risk aversion has many good traits, it is widely used and applied to reveal fundamental characteristics of risk-related behaviors in economics and finance regardless of experimental environment.

A Consumer-Oriented Study of Price Increases and Downsizing : Focused on Roles of Competitor's Pricing Strategy and Risk-Aversion (가격인상과 용량감소에 관한 소비자 관점의 비교 연구 : 경쟁사 가격전략과 위험회피성향을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hye Young;Kang, Yeong Seon
    • Korean Management Science Review
    • /
    • v.32 no.3
    • /
    • pp.55-70
    • /
    • 2015
  • The main objective of this study is to investigate the moderating roles of the competitor's pricing strategy and the degree of consumer's risk-aversion on perceived risk and perceived benefit in responding to price increases and package downsizing. Based on Prospect Theory, several prior researches find that consumers perceive increased price as more loss than package downsizing and perceive package downsizing as more benefit than increased price. We extend these behavioral economics approach using the reference effect of competitor's pricing strategy. We focus on consumer heterogeneity on risk-aversion, measure the degree of consumer's risk-aversion, and divide the consumers into two groups of high levels of risk-aversion vs. low levels of risk-aversion. We find that the firm's pricing strategies of both price increases and package downsizing do not significantly influence the perceived benefit for relatively low risk-aversion consumers. We find that when the firm reduce the package size, relatively high risk-aversion consumers perceived more benefit and had higher purchase intention compared to price increases. We also find that the competitor's pricing strategies do not significantly influence the consumer's response for relatively low risk-aversion consumers. For relatively high risk-aversion consumers, they perceived more loss when the firm has different pricing strategy from the competitor's.

Loss Aversion of the Condominium Market in Seoul

  • Miae KO;Jaetae KIM
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study conducted an empirical study to estimate the loss aversion rate of individual investors in the Seoul condominium market. Research design, data and methodology: A survey was conducted with Seoul residents ranging from 30's to 60's with various backgrounds. Descriptive statistical analysis and a paired sample t-test were conducted using SPSS 27.0 statistical package. Results: The results of the t-test showed that Seoul residents are indeed more sensitive to loss than gains, as pointed out in various researches related to behavioral economics. Also, the loss aversion rate associated with KRW 50 million risk was found to be 2.14. Finally, the same question was asked with KRW 100 million risk, doubled associated risk of previous question, using the same scenario, and it's been verified that the loss aversion rate increases as the associated risk or stake increases. The loss aversion rate with double risk is 2.26 which is about 5% higher than the one with KRW 50 million risk. Conclusions: This study can help many groups of people in society who need to establish rewards and punishment policies within any organization. In particular, incorporating human cognitive biases, such as loss aversion can help the South Korean government shape more effective reward and punishment policies when building rewards and punishments using taxes.

Measuring the Relative Risk Aversion Coefficients of Apple Farmers (사과 농가의 상대위험회피계수 추정)

  • Lin, Qing-Long;Yeo, Jun-Ho;Kim, Tae-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1036-1044
    • /
    • 2015
  • This paper estimates the relative risk aversion coefficients of apple farmers. Two hypothetical situations are designed and two-stage questionnaires are conducted for each situation. A utility function that has constant relative risk aversion was used, and it was assumed that the relative risk aversion coefficients follow a log-normal distribution. To reduce the hypothetical bias, the data was collected from repetitive questions. As a result, the mean and standard deviation of the relative risk aversion coefficients of apple farmers was 10.915 and 7.516, respectively. The relative risk aversion coefficients conditional on a survey response in each category were also measured. These findings can be used as parameters to analyze the effects of risk management tools.

The Efforts of Self-Insurance-cum-Protection Activity in a Two-Period Model (2기간 모형에서의 손실통제 노력)

  • Hong, Ji-Min
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.10
    • /
    • pp.47-53
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study examined the effects of risk aversion on the Self-Insurance-cum-Protection activity (SICP) in a two period model, which is in contrast to existing studies that focused on an one period model. The assumption that there is a time difference between making an effort and incurring loss helps examine the effects of risk aversion in the long-term period. An increase in risk aversion always increases the efforts of SICP, whereas existing studies require additional restrictions to both the loss and cost function. Second, an increase in risk aversion always increases the efforts on self-insurance and self-protection. This result is in contrast to that of existing studies in that an increase in risk aversion increases the efforts of self-insurance, whereas the effects on the efforts of self-protection are unclear. Lastly, when there exists a background risk with zero mean and risk aversion increases in a two period model, the prudence condition of the utility function is a sufficient condition to increase the efforts of SICP.

OPTIMAL CONSUMPTION, PORTFOLIO, AND LIFE INSURANCE WITH BORROWING CONSTRAINT AND RISK AVERSION CHANGE

  • Lee, Ho-Seok
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
    • /
    • v.29 no.2
    • /
    • pp.375-383
    • /
    • 2016
  • This paper investigates an optimal consumption, portfolio, and life insurance strategies of a family when there is a borrowing constraint and risk aversion change at the time of death of the breadwinner. A CRRA utility is employed and by using the dynamic programming method, we obtain analytic expressions for the optimal strategies.

Estimating Producer Risk Preferences and Production Responses using a Regional Optimization Model (지역단위 최적화모형을 이용한 농업생산자 위험선호도와 생산반응 분석)

  • Kwon, Oh-Sang;Lee, Seoungho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.25-38
    • /
    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is constructing a regional-level crop acreage choice model incorporating the impacts of producer risk aversion, and applying the constructed model to the Korean policy that promotes rice paddy conversion into non-rice crop fields. The study adopts the approach of Paris (2018) which estimates the absolute risk aversion coefficient inside of a positive mathematical programming model. A panel data set of 143 cities/counties is used for the empirical study where agricultural land in each region is allocated to 8 crops. Our estimated absolute risk aversion coefficients are smaller than those of Paris (2018), but are a little bit larger than those of the existing Korea studies based on survey or econometric methods. We found that there are close relationships among the estimated risk aversion, regional characteristics, and farming patterns. We also found that incorporating the estimated risk attitudes results in substantial differences in the impacts of the rice paddy conversion policy.

Relative Risk Aversion and Stochastic-Statistical Dominance (상대적(相對的) 위험(危險)과 추계적(推計的)-통계적(統計的) 우세법칙(優勢法則))

  • Lee, Dae-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.33-44
    • /
    • 1989
  • This paper presents stochastic-statistical dominance rules which eliminate dominated alternatives thereby reduce the number of satisficing alternatives to a manageable size so that the decision maker can choose the best alternative among them when neither the utility function nor the probability distribution of outcomes is exactly known. Specifically, it is assumed that only the characteristics of the utility function and the value function are known. Also, it is assumed that prior probabilities of the mutually exclusive states of nature are not known, but their relative bounds are known. First, the notion of relative risk aversion is used to describe the decision maker's attitude toward risk, which is defined with the acknowledgement that the utility function of the decision maker is a composite function of a cardinal value function and a utility function with-respect to the value function. Then, stochastic-statistical dominance rules are developed to screen out dominated alternatives according to the decision maker's attitude toward risk represented in the form of the measure of relative risk aversion.

  • PDF

The Effect of Ambiguity Aversion on Self-Protection and Self-Insurance effort (모호성 회피성향이 손실 발생 확률 및 손실 크기를 줄이기 위한 노력에 미치는 영향)

  • Hong, Ji-Min
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.433-438
    • /
    • 2018
  • This study examined the effects of ambiguity aversion on the self-protection and self-insurance efforts using a two-period model to consider the time difference between making an effort and occurring loss, which is in contrast with the existing one-period model. The loss follows a binary distribution while the distribution is ambiguous. The distribution depends on the state variable. First, the effort of ambiguity averse individuals is not always greater than that of ambiguity neutral ones. Second, the effects of absolute ambiguity aversion (AAA), which does not appear in one-period model, were observed. Not-increasing AAA is a sufficient condition to increase the efforts of ambiguity averse individuals compared to those of ambiguity neutral ones. In addition, the change in effort also depends on the probability function of the state. Lastly, the results hold even when the individual is risk neutral or risk loving. As a result, ambiguity aversion needs to be considered independently with risk aversion.

The Demand of Microinsurance: a Case of Health Insurance (소액보험의 수요: 건강보험을 중심으로)

  • Hong, Jimin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.12
    • /
    • pp.469-474
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study explains the characteristics of micro-insurance based on the theoretical model of health insurance, such as the low demand of low-income people and the lower demand of higher risk aversion. In particular, these characteristics contradict the existing insurance theory which states that the lower the income, the higher the risk aversion, and the higher the demand for insurance. This study postulates a two-period model focusing on health insurance, contrary to a one-period model assumed in existing studies. As a result, first, we show that the decrease in income leads to a decrease in the preventive effort for illness. Second, we offer a model for micro-insurance in which the individual chooses a partial insurance under an actuarially fair insurance premium, while full insurance is optimal in existing studies. Third, we also show that the insurance demand decreases when the outlook for the future improves. Fourth, we finally show that the lack of trust and default risk of the insurer decrease the insurance demand as risk aversion increases.