• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Analysis

Search Result 12,778, Processing Time 0.047 seconds

A Study on Quantitative Software Risk Management Methodology applied Risk Analysis Model (위험분석 모델을 적용한 정량적인 소프트웨어 위험관리 방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Eom, Jung Ho;Lee, Dong Young;Chung, Tai M.
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
    • /
    • v.5 no.2
    • /
    • pp.133-140
    • /
    • 2009
  • In the paper, we proposed the systematical and quantitative software risk management methodology based on risk analysis model. A software risk management consists of the basic risk management method(BRIMM) and the detailed risk management method(DRIMM). BRIMM is applied to unimportant phases or the phase which also the risk factor does not heavily influence to project. DRIMM is used from the phase which influences highly in project success or the phase where the risk factor is many. Fulfilling risk management combined two methods, we can reduce project's budget, term and resource's usage, and prevent risk with the optimum measures obtained by the exact risk analysis.

A Risk Assessment Approach to Safety Management of Electric Railway Facilities (전기철도 전철전력설비의 위험도 평가 기반 안전관리에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Yoon-Suk;Choi, Kyu-Hyoung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.58 no.5
    • /
    • pp.960-967
    • /
    • 2009
  • Power supply system of electric railway has a diversity of safety problems since it should supply high electric power to the trains moving high speed with a lot of passengers on board. This paper provides a risk assessment approach to safety management of the electric railway facilities. Construction of database from field accident information, risk assessment and management of the risk are carried out systematically to ensure the safety. The risk assessment includes hazard identification, cause analysis by FTA(Fault Tree Analysis), consequence analysis by EVA(Event Tree Analysis), and loss analysis. In terms of the severity and the probability of the accidents deduced by these analyses, the risk of the accidents is assessed by using a risk matrix designed for electric railway facilities. Based on the risk assessment, possible risk mitigation options are identified and evaluated by analyzing their impact on the risk reduction and their cost benefit ratio. The long-term safety of the electric railway facilities can be ensured by renewal of the risk assessment and the risk mitigation option analysis with continuous accident database update. The proposed approach is applied to the electric railway facilities of Korean railway based on the accident data from 2002 to 2008.

Risk Assessment Method for Guaranteeing Safety in the Train Control System (열차제어시스템 안전성 확보를 위한 리스크 평가 방법 분석)

  • Jo, Hyun-Jeong;Hwang, Jong-Gyu;Yoon, Yong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2006.11b
    • /
    • pp.870-877
    • /
    • 2006
  • Recently, failures of equipments are linked directly to extensive damages of human lives or financial losses from the increasing uses of train control equipments utilizing computers. Then safety activities have to progress for guaranteeing safety during the system life-cycle. In this paper, we examine the methods for risk analysis and assessment of safety activities and propose optimized one method for risk assessment. There are original risk assessment methods; risk graph and risk matrix method under the qualitative analysis, IRF(Individual Risk Formula) calculations and statistical calculations method under the quantitative analysis. Best-Practice(BP) risk analysis method is proposed for combining advantages of the qualitative and the quantitative analysis. In the comparison of risk graph and risk matrix method for safety estimation, BP method has no applications published up to now, but we can expect that this method will be utilized widely for the risk assessment due to various strong points.

  • PDF

Software Architecture Analysis for Risk Management

  • Kang, Byeong-Do;Lee, Roger Y.
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
    • /
    • v.14 no.5
    • /
    • pp.83-89
    • /
    • 2009
  • Management of risks is critical issue in the project management and it is important to ensure that risk management is done in a sensible way. Risk analysis is an activity geared towards risk mitigation in risk management technique. Many techniques to manage, analyze and reduce risks have been done previously but only few have addressed the design analysis to reduce risk and none have attempted to analyze architecture to manage risks. In this paper we try to find a solution through various analyzing various software architectural design concepts. We follow Pressman's method of analyzing architecture design, and then alter it to identify risks which are used in risk analysis process further in risk management process. The risks assessed are analyzed later in the risk management cycle.

Risk Value Calculation Method for Moderate Risk Concentration Type at Qualitative Risk Analysis Phase (정성적 위험분석 단계에서 중간위험 집중형 위험도 산정 방법)

  • Kim, Seon-Gyoo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.38-45
    • /
    • 2015
  • The risk analysis phase of construction risk management process is subdivided into the qualitative risk analysis that plays a major role, and the quantitative risk analysis acting as a supportive role. The traditional calculation method for quantifying a risk value that has been applied so far is an equation to multiply a probability by an impact simply, but its result shows the low risk value biased distribution. Although another equation that shows the high risk biased distribution as an alternative of traditional method was proposed, both of the low or high risk biased equations do not match with the statistical general knowledge that most natural phenomenons are close to the normal distribution. This study proposes a new risk value calculation method that is concentrated to the moderate risk value. Because the risk value distribution by a new method shows a normal shape similar to natural phenomenon, it helps to choose a middle level not biased to the low or high levels when choosing the level of risk response. Furthermore, it could contribute to improve the flexibility and rationality of risk analysis method by providing additional options for the risk value calculation.

Risk Analysis System in Fuzzy Set Theory (퍼지 집합론을 이용한 위험분석 시스템)

  • 홍상우
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.13 no.21
    • /
    • pp.29-41
    • /
    • 1990
  • An assessment of risk in industrial and urban environments is essential in the prevention of accident and in the analysis of situations which are hazardous to public health and safety. The risk imposed by a particular hazard increases with the likelihood of occurence of the event, the exposure and the possible consequence of that event. In a traditional approach, the calculation of a quantitative value of risk is usually based on an assignment of numerical values of each of the risk factors. Then the product of the values of likelihood, exposure and consequences called risk score is derived. However vagueness and imprecision in mathematical quantification of risk are equated with fuzziness rather than randomness. In this paper, a fuzzy set theoretic approach to risk analysis is proposed as an alternative to the techniques currently used in the area of systems safety. Then the concept of risk evaluation using linguistic representation of the likelihood, exposure and consequences is introduced. A risk assessment model using approximate reasoning technique based on fuzzy logic is presented to drive fuzzy values of risk and numerical example for risk analysis is also presented to illustrate the results.

  • PDF

Application of the Risk-Based Analysis to EIA (환경영향평가에 있어 위해성분석 기법의 도입)

  • Chung, Yong
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.4 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 1995
  • In generally speaking, the purpose of Environmental Impact Assessment(EIA) is to give the environment its due place in the decision-making process by clearly ealuating the environmental consequence of a proposed activity before action is taken. The introduction of conventional EIA is to be seen as an end product of a very long evolutionary process, starting with rudimentary but evolving pollution control measures for air, water, noise, land and chemicals, each governed by separate, and separately administered pieces of legislation. In EIA process, the measures of status, scoping, proposed mitigation and communication have not been very quantitative in their significancy. Of course, the determinations have uncertainity in the implications for significant impacts. To improve the determination of significant impacts, some more comprehensive methodologies of EIA has been proposed with the concepts of risk analysis in the proposed projects. The concepts of risk analysis has been introduced to the expression of human health impairment due to environmental pollutants since the early 1980's. The risk analysis being meant by the statistical significance of impact has a process quantitatively considering uncertainities and importances of ecological systems and human health as well. The process of risk analysis shows assessment, doseresponse in toxicity, exposure assessment and risk characterization. With the risk assessment, it could be suggested for the proper measurements against their anticipated risk in the EIA. This paper deals the priciples developing process and application of the risk-based analysis in EIA.

  • PDF

A Practical Security Risk Analysis Process and Tool for Information System

  • Chung, Yoon-Jung;Kim, In-Jung;Lee, Do-Hoon
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
    • /
    • v.2 no.2
    • /
    • pp.95-100
    • /
    • 2006
  • While conventional business administration-based information technology management methods are applied to the risk analysis of information systems, no security risk analysis techniques have been used in relation to information protection. In particular, given the rapid diffusion of information systems and the demand for information protection, it is vital to develop security risk analysis techniques. Therefore, this paper will suggest an ideal risk analysis process for information systems. To prove the usefulness of this security risk analysis process, this paper will show the results of managed, physical and technical security risk analysis that are derived from investigating and analyzing the conventional information protection items of an information system.

Schematic Development of Risk Analysis for Dam Safety (저수지 안전관리를 위한 위험도 해석의 필요성과 도입방안)

  • Heo, Gun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.58 no.2
    • /
    • pp.11-20
    • /
    • 2016
  • Korea has 17,500 irrigation dams and facing variety of causes that jeopardize dam safety. With limited resources available to manage large inventory, a portfolio risk analysis application method for numerous irrigation dam safety is essential. The purpose of this study is to find an optimum way to adopt the risk analysis to the large number of irrigation dams in Korea and to propose the portfolio risk analysis process for irrigation dams. In this study, the necessity of the risk analysis for reservoirs safety has been suggested and a phased process using pre-screening and screening methodology has been proposed. This proposed procedure will help to effectively introduce the risk analysis for reservoirs safety in Korea.