• 제목/요약/키워드: Response bias

검색결과 313건 처리시간 0.027초

품질관리표본(Quality Control Sample)의 리인터뷰에 의한 사업체조사의 응답오차 측정

  • 김설희;박현영
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2003년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2003
  • 최근 경제 사회의 급속한 발전에 따라 개인의 활동분야가 다양해지고 개인비밀보호 인식이 커지면서 응답자들이 통계조사에 잘 협조하지 않는 경우가 늘어나고 있다. 따라서 대부분의 통계를 현장조사에 의존하여 생산하고 있는 통계청에서는 현장조사 결과물의 품질상태에 좀 더 관심을 가져야만 하게 되었다. 이러한 현장조사에 대한 풀질관리의 일환으로 현재 통계청에서는 통계별 조사대상으로부터 품질관리표본(Quality Control Sample)을 추출하고 이를 대상으로 리인터뷰를 실시함으로써 응답오차측정, 조사현장의 실터파악, 응답자 의견수렴 등에 활용하고 있다. 리인터뷰는 조사직원의 고의적인 자료조작 또는 보충교육 필요성 등 현장조사업무를 평가하거나 응답분산(simple response variation), 응답편의(response bias) 등을 산출하고, 이를 분석하는 모델을 이용하여 응답결과의 신뢰도를 분석하는데 목적을 두고 있다. 본 연구에서는 품질관리표본(QC Sample) 설계 및 추출, 리인터뷰 시나리오개발, CATI(Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing)를 이용한 리인터뷰 기법 등을 통계청 사업체조사 모니터링 사례를 중심으로 설명하고 조사직원 특성별 응답오차 측정 및 비교, 정확성 항목에 대한 차이분석 등 격과에 대하여 논하고자 한다.

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Preliminary strong ground motion simulation at seismic stations within nuclear power plant sites in South Korea by a scenario earthquake on the causative fault of 2016 Gyeongju earthquake

  • Choi, Hoseon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권7호
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    • pp.2529-2539
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    • 2022
  • Stochastic and an empirical Green's function (EGF) methods are preliminarily applied to simulate strong ground motions (SGMs) at seismic stations within nuclear power plant (NPP) sites in South Korea by an assumed large earthquake with MW6.5 (scenario earthquake) on the causative fault of the 2016 Gyeongju earthquake with MW5.5 (mainshock). In the stochastic method, a ratio of spectral amplitudes of observed and simulated waveforms for the mainshock is assumed to be an adjustment factor. In the EGF method, SGMs by the mainshock are simulated assuming SGMs by the 2016 Gyeongju earthquake with MW5.0 (foreshock) as the EGF. To simulate SGMs by the scenario earthquake, a ratio of fault length to width is assumed to be 2:1 in the stochastic method, and SGMs by the mainshock are assumed to be EGF in the EGF method. The results are similar based on a bias of the simulated response spectra by the two methods, and the simulated response spectra by the two methods exceeded commonly standard design response spectra anchored at 0.3 g of NPP sites slightly at a frequency band above 4 Hz, but considerable attention to interpretation is required since it is an indirect comparison.

Occupational Exposure to Knee Loading and the Risk of Osteoarthritis of the Knee: A Systematic Review and a Dose-Response Meta-Analysis

  • Verbeek, Jos;Mischke, Christina;Robinson, Rachel;Ijaz, Sharea;Kuijer, Paul;Kievit, Arthur;Ojajarvi, Anneli;Neuvonen, Kaisa
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.130-142
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    • 2017
  • Background: Osteoarthritis of the knee is considered to be related to knee straining activities at work. The objective of this review is to assess the exposure dose-response relation between kneeling or squatting, lifting, and climbing stairs at work, and knee osteoarthritis. Methods: We included cohort and case-control studies. For each study that reported enough data, we calculated the odds ratio (OR) per 5,000 hours of cumulative kneeling and per 100,000 kg of cumulative lifting. We pooled these incremental ORs in a random effects meta-analysis. Results: We included 15 studies (2 cohort and 13 case-control studies) of which nine assessed risks in more than two exposure categories. We considered all but one study at high risk of bias. The incremental OR per 5,000 hours of kneeling was 1.26 (95% confidence interval 1.17-1.35, 5 studies, moderate quality evidence) for a log-linear exposure dose-response model. For lifting, there was no exposure dose-response per 100,000 kg of lifetime lifting (OR 1.00, 95% confidence interval 1.00-1.01). For climbing, an exposure dose-response could not be calculated. Conclusion: There is moderate quality evidence that longer cumulative exposure to kneeling or squatting at work leads to a higher risk of osteoarthritis of the knee. For other exposure, there was no exposure dose-response or there were insufficient data to establish this. More reliable exposure measurements would increase the quality of the evidence.

외향성과 정서단어의 재인 기억: 정서가, 빈도, 과제 난이도 효과 (Extraversion and Recognition for Emotional Words: Effects of Valence, Frequency, and Task-difficulty)

  • 강은주
    • 인지과학
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.385-416
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 외향성이라는 성격 특성에 따른 정서적 단어의 기억 수행의 차이를 연구하기 위해, 신호 탐지 분석법을 적용하여 기억 변별력과 재인 반응 편향을 분석하였다. 참여자들은 부호화 시에 제시되는 정서 단어에 대하여 정서 범주 판단과제를 수행하고, 이어서 재인 검사를 받았다. 또한 단어 재인에 미치는 과제의 난이도와 성격의 상호작용 조사하기 위해, 부호화와 인출 사이의 기간을 달리한 두 개의 실험이 수행되었다. 파지 지연기간이 짧은(5분) 저난이도 과제(Study I)에서는 특히 저빈도 단어에 대해, 외향성이 낮은 사람일수록 더 좋은 기억 수행(높은 d')을 보였으며, 재인 반응 편향에는 외향성에 따른 차이가 없었다. 특히, 외향성이 높을수록 오류 재인 후에 과신하는 경향이 높았다. 파지기간이 긴(한 달) 고난이도 과제(Study II)의 경우, 기억 수행은 외향성에 따른 차이가 없이 전반적으로 저조하였나, 고빈도-긍정 단어에서만 외향성이 높은 개인일수록 훨씬 자유로운 반응 준거(높은 적중률과 높은 오경보율)를 적용하는 재인 수행의 특성을 보이는 것이 관찰되었으며, 이런 긍정단어에 대한 자신의 재인에 과신하는 경향도 높았다. 본 결과는 기억 수행이 저조해질 때, 외향성이 높은 개인들이 내적 통제 과정에 더 취약해 지며, 이런 성격차이는 긍정단어의 기억의 재인 준거나 재인 반응에 대한 확신에 영향을 미칠 수 있음을 보인다. 즉 기억의 흔적이 약할 때, 외향성이 높은 개인들은 긍정적 정서가의 단어에 특정적으로 기억 보고와 확신 편향을 보일 수 있음을 시사한다.

Transferring Calibrations Between on Farm Whole Grain NIR Analysers

  • Clancy, Phillip J.
    • 한국근적외분광분석학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국근적외분광분석학회 2001년도 NIR-2001
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    • pp.1210-1210
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    • 2001
  • On farm analysis of protein, moisture and oil in cereals and oil seeds is quickly being adopted by Australian farmers. The benefits of being able to measure protein and oil in grains and oil seeds are several : $\square$ Optimize crop payments $\square$ Monitor effects of fertilization $\square$ Blend on farm to meet market requirements $\square$ Off farm marketing - sell crop with load by load analysis However farmers are not NIR spectroscopists and the process of calibrating instruments has to the duty of the supplier. With the potential number of On Farm analyser being in the thousands, then the task of calibrating each instrument would be impossible, let alone the problems encountered with updating calibrations from season to season. As such, NIR technology Australia has developed a mechanism for \ulcorner\ulcorner\ulcorner their range of Cropscan 2000G NIR analysers so that a single calibration can be transferred from the master instrument to every slave instrument. Whole grain analysis has been developed over the last 10 years using Near Infrared Transmission through a sample of grain with a pathlength varying from 5-30mm. A continuous spectrum from 800-1100nm is the optimal wavelength coverage fro these applications and a grating based spectrophotometer has proven to provide the best means of producing this spectrum. The most important aspect of standardizing NIB instruments is to duplicate the spectral information. The task is to align spectrum from the slave instruments to the master instrument in terms of wavelength positioning and then to adjust the spectral response at each wavelength in order that the slave instruments mimic the master instrument. The Cropscan 2000G and 2000B Whole Grain Analyser use flat field spectrographs to produce a spectrum from 720-1100nm and a silicon photodiode array detector to collect the spectrum at approximately 10nm intervals. The concave holographic gratings used in the flat field spectrographs are produced by a process of photo lithography. As such each grating is an exact replica of the original. To align wavelengths in these instruments, NIR wheat sample scanned on the master and the slave instruments provides three check points in the spectrum to make a more exact alignment. Once the wavelengths are matched then many samples of wheat, approximately 10, exhibiting absorbances from 2 to 4.5 Abu, are scanned on the master and then on each slave. Using a simple linear regression technique, a slope and bias adjustment is made for each pixel of the detector. This process corrects the spectral response at each wavelength so that the slave instruments produce the same spectra as the master instrument. It is important to use as broad a range of absorbances in the samples so that a good slope and bias estimate can be calculated. These Slope and Bias (S'||'&'||'B) factors are then downloaded into the slave instruments. Calibrations developed on the master instrument can then be downloaded onto the slave instruments and perform similarly to the master instrument. The data shown in this paper illustrates the process of calculating these S'||'&'||'B factors and the transfer of calibrations for wheat, barley and sorghum between several instruments.

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골육종의 예후인자 (Prognostic factors in Osteosarcoma)

  • 전대근;이종석;김석준;양현석;이수용
    • 대한골관절종양학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1997
  • Osteosarcoma is the most common primary bony malignancy and its survivorship has been progressed markedly through refined chemotherapy and surgery. But still there are many non-responders and analysis of prognostic factors may be helpful for them. Two hundred and sixty-six patients were enlisted between Mar, 1985 and Sep. 1994. Among them our inclusion criteria were: 1)primary, nonmetastatic classical osteosarcoma 2)extremity in location 3)no prior treatment at other institute and completed neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery according to our protocol. One hundred and eleven cases were eligible. Analyzed factors were:age, sex, location, tumor size, and pathologic response. Statistical methods were log-rank test for univariate and Cox's test for multivariate analysis. Male to female ratio was 69:42 with an average age of 17.2 years. Locations of tumor were distal femur 59, proximal tibia 29, and proximal humerus 8. Tumor size were measured by its maximal diameter and 48 cases were above 10cm and 47 cases were below 10cm. For pathologic response, 57 cases showed more than 90% and 54 cases were less than that. Limb salvage procedure was 101 cases and amputation was 10 cases and their local recurrence rate were 3.6%. Average follow-up period was 24(9-78.2) months and their final status was CDF 86, AWD 8, NED 5, and DOD 12 cases. In univariate study: type of operation(p=0.005), tumor size(p=0.005), and pathologic response(p=0.02) were significant variables. Pathologic response(p=0.03) and type of operation(p=0.01) were meaningful prognostic factors on multivariate analysis. But the latter result was interpreted as a bias, so pathologic response remained as a sole meaningful prognostic factor. More aggressive chemotherapy will be needed to improve the survival.

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A Response Surface Model Based on Absorbance Data for the Growth Rates of Salmonella enterica Serovar Typhimurium as a Function of Temperature, NaCl, and pH

  • Park, Shin-Young;Seo, Kyo-Young;Ha, Sang-Do
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.644-649
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    • 2007
  • Response surface model was developed for predicting the growth rates of Salmonella enterica sv. Typhimurium in tryptic soy broth (TSB) medium as a function of combined effects of temperature, pH, and NaCl. The TSB containing six different concentrations of NaCl (0, 2, 4, 6, 8, and 10%) was adjusted to an initial of six different pH levels (pH 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10) and incubated at 10 or $20^{\circ}C$. In all experimental variables, the primary growth curves were well $(r^2=0.900\;to\;0.996)$ fitted to a Gompertz equation to obtain growth rates. The secondary response surface model for natural logarithm transformations of growth rates as a function of combined effects of temperature, pH, and NaCl was obtained by SAS's general linear analysis. The predicted growth rates of the S. Typhimurium were generally decreased by basic (9, 10) or acidic (5, 6) pH levels or increase of NaCl concentrations (0-8%). Response surface model was identified as an appropriate secondary model for growth rates on the basis of coefficient determination $(r^2=0.960)$, mean square error (MSE=0.022), bias factor $(B_f=1.023)$, and accuracy factor $(A_f=1.164)$. Therefore, the developed secondary model proved reliable predictions of the combined effect of temperature, NaCl, and pH on growth rates for S. Typhimurium in TSB medium.

표본조사에서 무응답 가중치 조정층 구성방법에 따른 효과 (Forming Weighting Adjustment Cells for Unit-Nonresponse in Sample Surveys)

  • 김영원;남시주
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.103-113
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    • 2009
  • 표본조사에서 무응답은 비 표본추출오차를 발생시키는 중요한 원인 중 하나이다. 단위무응답이 발생하는 경우 무응답에 의한 편향을 줄이는 동시에 추정의 정도를 향상시키기 위해 단위무응답 조정층을 구성해 무응답 가중치 조정을 하는 것이 일반적이다. 본 연구에서는 무응답 조정층 구성과 관련된 기존의 이론들을 정리하고 어업총조사 자료를 이용한 실증적인 모의실험을 통해 효과적으로 무응답 조정층을 구성하는 방안에 대해 살펴본다. 모의실험결과 응답성향에 따른 조정층 구성보다는 예측평균을 기준으로 한 조정층 구성이 효율성 측면에서 효과적인 것으로 나타났으며, 아울러 다른 관심변수에도 적용될 수 있는 로버스트한 조정층 구성을 위해서는 예측평균만을 고려하는 것보다 응답성향과 예측평균을 모두 고려한 조정층 구성방법이 효과적인 것으로 나타났다. 한편 무응답 조정을 위한 응답률 산출에 있어서 설계가중치의 적용 필요성에 대해 살펴본 결과 설계가중치 적용 여부는 추정결과에 거의 영향을 주지 않는다는 사실을 확인할 수 있었다.

과학 교육 평가에서 나타나는 고등학생들의 성취 불일치 사례 - 정의적 영역 검사 도구를 중심으로 - (Cases of Discrepancy in High School Students' Achievement in Science Education Assessment: Focusing on Testing Tool in Affective Area)

  • 정수임;신동희
    • 한국과학교육학회지
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.891-909
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    • 2017
  • 이 연구는 과학 교육 현장에서 인지적 정의적 평가를 중심으로 한 양적 자료와 질적 자료에서 나타나는 몇 가지 불일치 사례를 분석했다. 308명의 고등학교 2학년 학생을 대상으로 학업 성취도와 정의적 성취도를 양적 자료로 수집했고, 그 중 33명의 학생을 면담한 질적자료를 분석했다. 주로 검사 도구의 측면에서 불일치 사례의 원인과 유형을 고찰했다. 연구 결과 양적 자료인 인지적 성취와 정의적 성취 영역 각각에서 과목별, 구인별 차이가 크게 나타나는 학생들이 상당수 있었고, 특히 두 영역 간 성취도 경향이 일치하지 않는 학생들도 20% 이상 분석되었다. 선택한 진로와 진학을 위해 의도적으로 과학 학습을 조절한 사례, 학교 과학과 과학에 대한 인식 차이에 따라 다른 반응 등의 사례가 면담을 통해 발견되었다. 도구로 측정한 양적 자료와 학생들의 면담 내용인 질적 자료를 비교한 결과 스스로 반응한 양적 자료와 다르게 자신을 평가하는 학생들이 대부분이었다. 이는 다양한 특성을 지닌 학생들이 검사 도구와 상호작용하는 과정에서 비롯된다. 검사 도구와 관련된 불일치 유형은 '문항 개발자가 의도한 개념과 학생들이 이해하는 개념 간 차이'와 '표현된 반응과 속마음 간의 차이'로 나타났다. 검사 도구에서 사용한 용어가 학생들에게 모호하게 인식될 때 자의적이거나 일관성 없이 반응하는 경우가 전자에, 사회적 바람직성이나 자아 방어 기제에 의한 반응 왜곡은 후자에 해당한다. 이상 연구 결과를 바탕으로 자기보고식 검사 도구가 학생들의 실제 인식을 잘 반영하고 있는지 검토하고 정교화하려는 노력, 학습 경험을 획일적으로 고정시키는 평가 개선 등이 필요하다.

Different approaches for numerical modeling of seismic soil-structure interaction: impacts on the seismic response of a simplified reinforced concrete integral bridge

  • Dhar, Sreya;Ozcebe, Ali Guney;Dasgupta, Kaustubh;Petrini, Lorenza;Paolucci, Roberto
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.373-385
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    • 2019
  • In this article, different frequently adopted modeling aspects of linear and nonlinear dynamic soil-structure interaction (SSI) are studied on a pile-supported integral abutment bridge structure using the open-source platform OpenSees (McKenna et al. 2000, Mazzoni et al. 2007, McKenna and Fenves 2008) for a 2D domain. Analyzed approaches are as follows: (i) free field input at the base of fixed base bridge; (ii) SSI input at the base of fixed base bridge; (iii) SSI model with two dimensional quadrilateral soil elements interacting with bridge and incident input motion propagating upwards at model bottom boundary (with and without considering the effect of abutment backfill response); (iv) simplified SSI model by idealizing the interaction between structural and soil elements through nonlinear springs (with and without considering the effect of abutment backfill response). Salient conclusions of this paper include: (i) free-field motions may differ significantly from those computed at the base of the bridge foundations, thus put a significant bias on the inertial component of SSI; (ii) conventional modeling of SSI through series of soil springs and dashpot system seems to stay on the safer side under dynamic conditions when one considers the seismic actions on the structure by considering a fully coupled SSI model; (iii) consideration of abutment-backfill in the SSI model positively affects the general response of the bridge, as a result of large passive resistance that may develop behind the abutments.