• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.48-55
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• 2022

This paper proposes a battery remaining useful life (RUL) prediction method using a deep learning-based EMD-CNN-LSTM hybrid method. The proposed method pre-processes capacity data by applying empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and predicts the remaining useful life using CNN-LSTM. CNN-LSTM is a hybrid method that combines convolution neural network (CNN), which analyzes spatial features, and long short term memory (LSTM), which is a deep learning technique that processes time series data analysis. The performance of the proposed remaining useful life prediction method is verified using the battery aging experiment data provided by the NASA Ames Prognostics Center of Excellence and shows higher accuracy than does the conventional method.

• Smart Media Journal
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• v.11 no.11
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• pp.63-74
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• 2022

Nowadays, lithium-ion battery has become more popular around the world. Knowing when batteries reach their end of life (EOL) is crucial. Accurately predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries is needed for battery health management systems and to avoid unexpected accidents. It gives information about the battery status and when we should replace the battery. With the rapid growth of machine learning and deep learning, data-driven approaches are proposed to address this problem. Extracting aging information from battery charge/discharge records, including voltage, current, and temperature, can determine the battery state and predict battery RUL. In this work, we first outlined the charging and discharging processes of lithium-ion batteries. We then summarize the proposed techniques and achievements in all published data-driven RUL prediction studies. From that, we give a discussion about the accomplishments and remaining works with the corresponding challenges in order to provide a direction for further research in this area.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.167-175
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• 2021

Reusing electric vehicle batteries after they have been retired from mobile applications is considered a feasible solution to reduce the demand for new material and electric vehicle costs. However, the evaluation of the value and the performance of second-life batteries remain a problem that should be solved for the successful application of such batteries. The present work aims to estimate the remaining useful life of Li-ion batteries through the neuro-fuzzy system with the equivalent circuit parameters obtained by Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy (EIS). To obtain the impedance spectra of the Li-ion battery over the life, a 18650 cylindrical cell has been aged by 1035 charge/discharge cycles. Moreover, the capacity and the parameters of the equivalent circuit of a Li-ion battery have been recorded. Then, the data are used to establish a neuro-fuzzy system to estimate the remaining useful life of the battery. The experimental results show that the developed algorithm can estimate the remaining capacity of the battery with an RMSE error of 0.841%.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.2401-2406
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• 2015

Pipelines are used by large heavy industries to deliver various types of fluids. Since this is important to maintain the performance of large systems, it is necessary to accurately predict remaining life of the corroded pipeline. However, predicting the remaining life is difficult due to uncertainties in the associated variables, such as geometries, material properties, corrosion rate, etc. In this paper, a statistical method for predicting corrosion remaining life is proposed using Bayesian inference. To accomplish this, pipeline failure probability was calculated using prior information about pipeline failure pressure according to elapsed time, and the given experimental data based on Bayes' rule. The corrosion remaining life was calculated as the elapsed time with 10 % failure probability. Using 10 and 50 samples generated from random variables affecting the corrosion of the pipe, the pipeline failure probability was estimated, after which the estimated remaining useful life was compared with the assumed true remaining useful life.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.611-620
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• 2021

The maintenance industry is mainly progressing based on condition-based maintenance after corrective maintenance and preventive maintenance. In condition-based maintenance, maintenance is performed at the optimum time based on the condition of equipment. In order to find the optimal maintenance point, it is important to accurately understand the condition of the equipment, especially the remaining useful life. Thus, using simulation data (C-MAPSS), a prediction model is proposed to predict the remaining useful life of a turbofan engine. For the modeling process, a C-MAPSS dataset was preprocessed, transformed, and predicted. Data pre-processing was performed through piecewise RUL, moving average filters, and standardization. The remaining useful life was predicted using principal component analysis and the k-NN method. In order to derive the optimal performance, the number of principal components and the number of neighbor data for the k-NN method were determined through 5-fold cross validation. The validity of the prediction results was analyzed through a scoring function while considering the usefulness of prior prediction and the incompatibility of post prediction. In addition, the usefulness of the RUL prediction model was proven through comparison with the prediction performance of other neural network-based algorithms.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.42 no.4
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• pp.939-949
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• 2017

Prognostics and health management(PHM) is actively utilized by industry as an essential technology focusing on accurately monitoring the health state of a system and predicting the remaining useful life(RUL). An effective PHM is expected to reduce maintenance costs as well as improve safety of system by preventing failure in advance. With these advantages, PHM can be applied to the battery system which is a core element to provide electricity for devices with mobility, since battery faults could lead to operational downtime, performance degradation, and even catastrophic loss of human life by unexpected explosion due to non-linear characteristics of battery. In this paper we mainly review a recent progress on various models for predicting RUL of battery with high accuracy satisfying the given confidence interval level. Moreover, performance evaluation metrics for battery prognostics are presented in detail to show the strength of these metrics compared to the traditional ones used in the existing forecasting applications.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.52 no.9
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• pp.1998-2008
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• 2020

Solenoid operated valves (SOV) play important roles in industrial process to control the flow of fluids. Solenoid valves can be found in so many industries as well as the nuclear plant. The ability to be able to detect the presence of faults and predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of the SOV is important in maintenance planning and also prevent unexpected interruptions in the flow of process fluids. This paper proposes a fault diagnosis method for the alternating current (AC) powered SOV. Previous research work have been focused on direct current (DC) powered SOV where the current waveform or vibrations are monitored. There are many features hidden in the AC waveform that require further signal analysis. The analysis of the AC powered SOV waveform was done in the time and frequency domain. A total of sixteen features were obtained and these were used to classify the different operating modes of the SOV by applying a machine learning technique for classification. Also, a deep neural network (DNN) was developed for the prediction of RUL based on the failure modes of the SOV. The results of this paper can be used to improve on the condition based monitoring of the SOV.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.45 no.3
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• pp.18-30
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• 2022

Predicting remaining useful life (RUL) becomes significant to implement prognostics and health management of industrial systems. The relevant studies have contributed to creating RUL prediction models and validating their acceptable performance; however, they are confined to drive reasonable preventive maintenance strategies derived from and connected with such predictive models. This paper proposes a data-driven preventive maintenance method that predicts RUL of industrial systems and determines the optimal replacement time intervals to lead to cost minimization in preventive maintenance. The proposed method comprises: (1) generating RUL prediction models through learning historical process data by using machine learning techniques including random forest and extreme gradient boosting, and (2) applying the system failure time derived from the RUL prediction models to the Weibull distribution-based minimum-repair block replacement model for finding the cost-optimal block replacement time. The paper includes a case study to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed method using an open dataset, wherein sensor data are generated and recorded from turbofan engine systems.

• Journal of Wind Energy
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.34-42
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• 2023

The reduction of operation and maintenance (O&M) costs is a critical factor in determining the competitiveness of wind energy. Predictive maintenance based on the estimation of remaining useful life (RUL) is a key technology to reduce logistic costs and increase the availability of wind turbines. Although a mechanical component usually has sudden changes during operation, most RUL estimation methods use the trend of a state index over the whole operation period. Therefore, overestimation of RUL causes confusion in O&M plans and reduces the effect of predictive maintenance. In this paper, two RUL estimation methods (load based and data driven) are proposed for the bearings of a wind turbine with the results of trend classification, which differentiates constant and increasing states of the state index. The proposed estimation method is applied to a bearing degradation test, which shows a conservative estimation of RUL.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.56 no.5
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• pp.1863-1873
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• 2024

In the Korean domestic nuclear industry, to analyze the reliability of instrumentation and control (I&C) systems, the failure rates of the electronic components constituting the I&C systems are predicted based on the MIL-HDBK-217F standard titled 'Reliability Prediction of Electronic Equipment'. Based on these predicted failure rates, the mean time to failure of the I&C systems is calculated to determine the replacement period of the I&C systems. However, this conventional approach to the prediction of electronic component failure rates assumes that factors affecting the failure rates such as ambient temperature and operating voltage are static constants. In this regard, the objective of this study is to propose a prediction method for the remaining useful life (RUL) of electronic components considering mean time to failure calculations reflecting dynamic environments, such as changes in ambient temperature and operating voltage. Results of this study show that the RUL of electronic components can be estimated depending on time-varying temperature and electrical stress, implying that the RUL of electronic components can be predicted under dynamic stress conditions.