• 제목/요약/키워드: Reliability calculation

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신뢰도지수 종합화에 의한 배전계통 신뢰성 평가 (Reliability Assessment by Reliability Indices Unification)

  • 이범;김용하;최상규;이형노;김형중
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.541-543
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    • 2000
  • This paper describes the unified reliability evaluation with partial loss of continuity for complex distribution system. To evaluate reliability considering line limitation of the system, PLOC technique is employed. And reliability indices calculation method is used. Finally, Analytic network process method is employed. As a result, calculating accurate reliability, finding weak points, and expansion scheduling of the system is possible.

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모호수 연산을 적용한 네트워크 신뢰도 (Reliability Approach to Network Reliability Using Arithmetic of Fuzzy Numbers)

  • 김국
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.103-107
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    • 2014
  • An algorithm to get network reliability, where each link has probability of fuzzy number, is proposed. Decomposition method and fuzzy numbers arithmetic are applied to the algorithm. Pivot link is chosen one by one from start node recursively at time of decomposition, and arithmetic of fuzzy complementary numbers is included at the same time. No criteria of pivot link selection and the recursive calculation make the algorithm simple.

베이즈 정리를 이용한 부품 또는 서브시스템의 고장 확률 계산 (Probability Calculation of Component or Subsystem Failure used by Bayes Formula)

  • 이성철
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.123-131
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    • 2001
  • Reliability calculation of a system is frequently required in industrial, military, and everyday life situations. For such a calculation, it is necessary to specify the configuration of components and subsystems, the failure mode of each component, and the states in which the system is classified as failed. In this paper, we are primary interested in the time to the first failure of a system. And we discuss failure probability of coherent system under various condition, especially focus on probability calculation of subsystem failure before system failure used by Bayes formula. Problem statement and general applications illustrated by several examples.

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An algorithm for evaluating time-related human reliability using instrumentation cues and procedure cues

  • Kim, Yochan;Kim, Jaewhan;Park, Jinkyun;Choi, Sun Yeong;Kim, Seunghwan;Jung, Wondea;Kim, Hee Eun;Shin, Seung Ki
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권2호
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    • pp.368-375
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    • 2021
  • The performance time of human operators has been recognized as a key aspect of human reliability in socio-complex systems, including nuclear industries. Because of the importance of the time factor, most existing human reliability assessment methods provide ways to quantify human error probabilities (HEPs) that are associated with the performance time. To quantify such kinds of HEPs, it is crucial to rationally predict the length of time required and time available and compare them. However, there have not been detailed guidelines that identify the critical cue presentation time or initial time of human performance, which is important to calculate the time information. In this paper, we introduce a time-related HEP calculation technique with a decision algorithm that determines the critical cue and its timing. The calculation process is presented with the application examples. It is expected that the proposed algorithm will reduce the variability in the time-related reliability assessment and strengthen the scientific evidence of the assessment process. The detailed description is provided in the technical report KAERI/TR-7607/2019.

A New Methodology for the Rapid Calculation of System Reliability of Complex Structures

  • Park, Sooyong
    • Architectural research
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2001
  • It is quite difficult to calculate the collapse probability of a system such as statically indeterminate structure that has many possible modes or paths to complete failure and the problem has remained essentially unsolved. A structure is synthesized by several components or elements and its capacity to resist the given loads is a function of the capacity of the individual element. Thus it is reasonable to assess the probability of failure of the system based upon those of its elements. This paper proposes an efficient technique to directly assess the reliability of a complex structural system from the reliabilities of its components or elements. The theory for the calculation of the probability of a structural system is presented. The target requirements of the method and the fundamental assumptions governing the method are clearly stated. A portal frame and two trusses are selected to demonstrate the efficiency of the method by comparing the results obtained from the proposed method to those from the existing methods in the literature.

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선로용량 산정과 민감도 분석의 신뢰성 향상에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Reliability Improvement of the Integrated System and Sensitivity Analysis for Line Capacity)

  • 김무룡;김한신;이창호;김봉선;김동희;홍순흠
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.207-217
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    • 2005
  • Line capacity calculation has been used to determine optimum efficiency and safe train service for train scheduling plan and investment priority order throughout detecting bottleneck section. Because of some problems of Yamagisi and UIC methods for line capacity calculation, developing of the method of line capacity caculation and evaluation for the Korea circumstance is important. This paper deals with the reliability improvement on the integrated system of TPS(Train Performance Simulator), PES(Parameter Evaluation Simulator), LCS(Line Capacity Simulator) and simulation and sensitivity analysis for line capacity.

고장진단분석장치를 이용한 틸팅열차 신뢰성 평가 연구 (Reliability assesment of tilting train using Fault Diagnosis analysis device)

  • 한성호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2009년도 제40회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.1203_1204
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    • 2009
  • Korean Tilting trains have tested on conventional lines since the beginning of 2007 for evaluating its reliability. We achieved some major performance tests which are the maximum operation speed 180km/h test and the maximum curves increasing speed with tilting operation test. In order to analysis reliability data of tilting train, we have used the special data aquisition system which consists of monitor, sensors and depot computer etc. As a results of calculation, until now we realized that the reliability are getting more increasing than starting point of running test.

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전기철도 고압배전시스템의 공급신뢰도 향상 방안 연구 (Improvement Method of Supplying Reliability on the Electric Railway Power Distribution System)

  • 김영선;창상훈;김왕곤
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.682-687
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    • 2005
  • High quality power supplying of power distribution system in electric railway system is the important function. Power feeding system is complicated witch is compose with distribution line, circuit break, protection facilities and so on. Among this components, role of substation is most important for elevation of reliability in electric power system. Therefore, the enhanced reliability considering the preventive inspection, repair work, replacement is necessary. In this study, a proposed the enhanced reliability method through a calculation of fault probability in power feeding system.

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통계적 분석방법을 이용한 복합화력 발전설비의 평균수명 계산 및 고장확률 예측 (Mean Life Assessment and Prediction of the Failure Probability of Combustion Turbine Generating Unit with Data Analytic Method Based on Aging Failure Data)

  • 이성훈;이승혁;김진오
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제54권10호
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    • pp.480-486
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a method to consider an aging failure probability and survival probability of power system components, though only aging failure probability has been considered in existing mean life calculation. The estimates of the mean and its standard deviation is calculated by using Weibull distribution, and each estimated parameters is obtained from Data Analytic Method (Type H Censoring). The parameter estimation using Data Analytic Method is simpler and faster than the traditional calculation method using gradient descent algorithm. This paper shows calculation procedure of the mean life and its standard deviation by the proposed method and illustrates that the estimated results are close enough to real historical data of combustion turbine generating units in Korean systems. Also, this paper shows the calculation procedures of a probabilistic failure prediction through a stochastic data analysis. Consequently, the proposed methods would be likely to permit that the new deregulated environment forces utilities to reduce overall costs while maintaining an are-related reliability index.

최적의 정비대체장비(M/F) 산출방안 비교 연구 (Study of Optimal Maintenance Float(M/F) Calculation Method)

  • 이학재;정광균;김재황;이종신;이명진
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.192-201
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: In this paper, we propose the output model of the optimal inventory requirements of the Maintenance Float (M/F). Weapon systems were modernized and increased costs. Thus, the complexity increases with. Alternatives to achieve the goal of availability of weapon systems and to reduce life-cycle cost are required. Especially, securing spare parts is more effective than adding the amount of equipment or maintenance facilities to achieve the goal of availability and reduce life cycle costs. However, securing spare parts and repair costs are directly related, so exact requirements are needed. Methods: Three kinds of methods (Calculation method of applying the Poisson distribution, Calculation method of considering the number of CSP, and Calculation method of applying M&S program) that this paper proposed compare the influence of the availability and the amount of spare parts. Result: We calculate the cost of M/F when the operational availability is over than 80% and compare that result. The biggest cost was calculated from the Poisson distribution method. We found that requirements and unit price is the key factor that gives a significant effect. Conclusion: These three kinds of methods can be used as a basis for Maintenance Float calculation. Among them, the calculation method based on CSP is optimal replacement equipment requirements calculation method.