• 제목/요약/키워드: Reliability Prediction

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FRP로 보강된 콘크리트의 강도 및 변형률 예측 (Empirical Prediction for the Compressive Strength and Strain of Concrete Confined with FRP Wrap)

  • 이대형;김영섭;정영수
    • 콘크리트학회논문집
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.253-263
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    • 2007
  • 기존의 많은 연구에서 비구속 콘크리트에 비해 FRP로 구속된 콘크리트는 강도 및 연성의 탁월한 증진 효과가 있는 것으로 보고되고 있다. 그러나, FRP로 구속된 콘크리트에 대한 보강 설계 시 구속 효과에 의한 정확한 평가가 요구된다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 FRP로 구속된 콘크리트의 강도 및 변형률을 예측하고자 하였다. 이를 위해서 102개의 실험체를 제작하여 일축압축실험을 수행하였으며 축하중, 축방향 변형률 및 횡방향 변형률을 측정하였다. 또한, 보다 정확한 극한응력과 변형률 예측식을 개발하기 위하여 기존 연구 결과를 이용하였다. 본 연구에서는 FRP로 구속된 콘크리트의 압축강도 실험을 통해 강도 및 변형률 예측 모델을 제안하였다. 제안된 식은 기존의 설계식에 비해 극한응력과 파괴 변형률을 보다 정확하게 예측하였다. 결과적으로, 본 연구에서 제안된 식은 구속된 콘크리트의 보수 보강을 위한 응력-변형률 모델에 효과적으로 적용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

포장파손과정의 지역적 불확실성에 대한 확률적 분해와 조합 (Stochastic Disaggregation and Aggregation of Localized Uncertainty in Pavement Deterioration Process)

  • 한대석
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.1651-1664
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    • 2013
  • 도로포장의 파손과정에는 다양하고 복합적인 원인에서 비롯되는 불확실성이 포함되어 있어 정확한 해석이 쉽지 않다. 이로 인해 최근에는 결정론적 모형보다는 확률이론이 보다 많이 활용되고 있으나, 파손의 전체적 특성만을 설명하는 일반적인 분석방안으로는 포장파손특성의 변화과정에 대해 구체적인 정보를 제공하기 어렵다. 이에 본 연구에서는 포장파손과정을 상태와 시간기준으로 분해함으로써 지역적으로 이질성을 띄는 포장파손속도와 그 분산에 대해 구체적으로 파악하고자 하였다. 또한, 분해된 확률과정을 다시 조합하는 과정을 통해 포장의 기대수명과 불확실성을 예측해 보았다. 실증분석을 위해 일반국도포장관리시스템에서 2003년부터 2010년까지 수집된 균열률 자료를 활용하였다. 이러한 시도들은 자산관리의 주요기법 중 하나인 생애주기비용분석의 신뢰성을 높일 수 있으며, 파손속도의 변화과정에 대한 이해가 필수적인 예방적 유지보수전략에 관한 기반연구로써도 중요한 의의가 있다.

용탕단조법에 의하여 제조한 $SiC_p$/Al 복합재료의 2차 성형공정이 기계적 성질에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Secondary Forming Process on Mechanical Properties of $SiC_p$/Al Composites Fabricated by Squeeze Casting)

  • 서영호;강충길
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제20권11호
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    • pp.3474-3490
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    • 1996
  • A metal matrix composites(MMCs) for A16061 reinforced with silicon carbide particles is fabricated by melt-stirring method. The primary products of MMCs billets are prepared by volume fractions 5 vol% to 20 vol% and particle size $13\mu m$ to $22\mu m$.This paper will be made to examine the microstructure and mechanical properties of fabricated $SiC_p$/Al 6061 composite by melt-stirring and squeeze casting method. The MMC billets is extruded at $500^{\circ}C$ under the constant extrusion velocity $V_e$=2mm/min using curved shape die. Extrusion force, particle rearrangement, micro structure and mechanical properties of extruded composites will be investigated. The mechanical properties of primary billets manufactured by melt-stirring and squeeze casting method will be compared with extrusion specimen. The effect of volume fraction and size of the reinforcements will be studied. The increase in uniformity of particle dispersion is the major reason for an improvement in reliability due to hot extrusion with optimal shape die. Experimental Young's modulus and 0.2% offset yield strength for the extruded MMCs will be compared with theretical values calculated by the Eshelby method. A method will be proposed for the prediction of Young's modulus and yield strength in $SiC_p$ reinforced MMCs.

모달 파라미터 정보를 활용한 PCB 물성 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of the Mechanical Properties of Printed Circuit Boards Using Modal Parameters)

  • 추정환;정현범;홍상렬;김용갑;김재산
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제41권5호
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    • pp.421-426
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 횡등방성 특성을 갖는 인쇄회로기판(PCB)의 물성 예측을 위한 방법을 제안하였다. 등방성 소재와 달리 횡등방성 소재의 물성 취득을 위한 별도의 시험기준은 없으며, PCB와 같이 적층된 형태의 박판 구조물에 대해서는 재료시험 또한 쉽지가 않다. 모달시험을 통해 취득한 모달 파라미터와 상용 소프트웨어인 $OptiStruct^{(R)}$의 치수 최적화 기법을 활용, 시험-해석 간 주파수 차이를 최소화시키는 강성행렬 성분을 도출하여 기계적 물성을 예측하였다. 또한 주파수 별 모드형상을 MAC(Modal Assurance Criteria) 값을 기준으로 비교, 검토하여 예측 물성에 대한 유효성을 확인하였다. 제안된 방법은 향후 PCB를 포함하는 전장제품의 설계검증을 위한 구조해석에 확대 적용될 것으로 기대한다.

화재시뮬레이션에서 입력변수 및 모델 불확실도가 고려된 허용피난시간(ASET)에 관한 연구 (Study on the Available Safe Egress Time (ASET) Considering the Input Parameters and Model Uncertainties in Fire Simulation)

  • 한호식;황철홍
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.112-120
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    • 2019
  • 국내 PBD에서 화재시뮬레이션을 이용한 안전성 평가의 신뢰성을 개선시키기 위하여, 화재시뮬레이션의 입력변수 및 수치모델의 불확실도가 고려된 ASET의 평가방법에 대한 검토가 수행되었다. 이를 위해 영화관 및 오피스텔이 검토 대상으로 선정되었다. 주요 결과는 다음과 같다. 인명안전기준에 제시된 주요 물리량에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 열발생률의 불확실도를 고려할 때, 온도, CO 및 가시도의 상당한 변화가 발생됨을 확인하였다. 또한 수치모델의 불확실도를 반영한 편향인자를 고려할 때, 온도 및 CO는 큰 변화가 없으나 FDS의 낮은 연기농도 예측성능으로 인하여 가시도는 크게 증가됨을 알 수 있었다. 마지막으로 국내 PBD에서 ASET이 대부분 가시도에 의해 결정되는 원인이 논의되었으며, 정확한 ASET 평가를 위해 화재시뮬레이션의 입력변수 및 수치모델의 불확실도 적용 방안이 제안되었다.

Integrative Modeling of Wireless RF Links for Train-to-Wayside Communication in Railway Tunnel

  • Pu, Shi;Hao, Jian-Hong
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2012
  • In railway tunnel environment, the reliability of a high-data-rate and real-time train-to-wayside communication should be maintained especially when high-speed train moves along the track. In China and Europe, the communication frequency around 900 MHz is widely used for railway applications. At this carrier frequency band, both of the solutions based on continuously laid leaky coaxial cable (LCX) and discretely installed base-station antennas (BSAs), are applied in tunnel radio coverage. Many available works have concentrated on the radio-wave propagation in tunnels by different kinds of prediction models. Most of them solve this problem as natural propagation in a relatively large hollow waveguide, by neglecting the transmitting/receiving (Tx/Rx) components. However, within such confined areas like railway tunnels especially loaded with train, the complex communication environment becomes an important factor that would affect the quality of the signal transmission. This paper will apply a full-wave numerical method to this case, for considering the BSA or LCX, train antennas and their interacted environments, such as the locomotive body, overhead line for power supply, locomotive pantograph, steel rails, ballastless track, tunnel walls, etc.. Involving finite-difference time-domain (FDTD) method and uni-axial anisotropic perfectly matched layer (UPML) technique, the entire wireless RF downlinks of BSA and LCX to tunnel space to train antenna are precisely modeled (so-called integrative modeling technique, IMT). When exciting the BSA and LCX separately, the field distributions of some cross-sections in a rectangular tunnel are presented. It can be found that the influence of the locomotive body and other tunnel environments is very significant. The field coverage on the locomotive roof plane where the train antennas mounted, seems more homogenous when the side-laying position of the BSA or LCX is much higher. Also, much smoother field coverage solution is achieved by choosing LCX for its characteristic of more homogenous electromagnetic wave radiation.

직무교육훈련 평가수준들간의 관계 (The Relationships between the Levels of Evaluation of the Training & Development for Job skills)

  • 김진모
    • 농촌지도와개발
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.305-315
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    • 1997
  • The propose of this study was to analyze the relationships among the levels of training & development evaluation (reaction, learning, transfer). The study has been conducted on 730 trainees who attended in the basic accounting program in L training and development institution through three incidents of tracked research such as reaction survey right after the conclusion of training, learning evaluation through test, and an evaluation of the transferability after 3 months of training. Questionnaires and test papers for analyses were used after their reliability, validity, difficulty, and discrimination have been verified on a pre-test. The research has been conducted for six months from 4 March 1996 to the end of August 1996, and data have been collected through direct research and survey through mail. The collected data have been worked on at SAS program for Windows with a statistical significance level of 5%. Statistical method that had been used was Pearson's correlation coefficient. The result and conclusion acquired from this study were as follows: Between reaction and learning, learning and transfer of training, only a weak positive correlation exists and explanation or prediction variance showing hierarchical relationship was quite weak with 1%. Thus, this research not only does not strongly support Kirkpatrick(1976)'s hierarchical model of $reaction{\rightarrow}learning{\rightarrow}transfer$, but also indicates that the separate measurement on each levels of training evaluation needs to be done. On the other hand, there was a relatively strong positive correlation between reaction and transfer of training. Based on the result, the conclusion, and the restriction perceived through this study, the following suggestions were made. 1. There is a need to empirically analyze and verify the hierarchy of all levels of training evaluation including the evaluation of the fourth level (result) such as organizational productivity, organizational satisfaction, and separation rate. 2. A great deal of efforts will be needed to systematically analyze what the relationships are among the methods measuring the level of evaluation of the training and development, and to apply this result to the training field.

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지열원히트펌프를 활용한 도로융설시스템의 성능 평가 및 예측 (An Evaluation and Prediction of Performance of Road Snow-melting System Utilized by Ground Source Heat Pump)

  • 최덕인;황광일
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.138-145
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    • 2012
  • Because of the climate changes and the development of building technologies, the cooling loads have been increased. Among the various renewable energies, geothermal energy is known as very useful and stable energy for heating and cooling of building. This study proposes a road snow-melting system of which heat is supplied from GSHP(Ground source heat pump) in viewpoint of the initial investment and annual running performance, which is also operating as a main facility of heating and cooling for common spaces. The results of this study is as followings. From the site measurement, it is found out that the road surface temperature above the geothermal heating pipe rose up to $5^{\circ}C$, which is the design temperature of road snow-melting, after 2 hours' operation and average COP(Coefficient of performance) was estimated as 3.5. The reliability of CFD has confirmed, because the temperature difference between results of CFD analysis and site measurement is only ${\pm}0.4^{\circ}C$ and the trend of temperature variation is quite similar. CFD analysis on the effect of pavement materials clearly show that more than 2 hours is needed for snow-melting, if the road is paved by ascon or concrete. But the road paved by brick is not reached to $5^{\circ}C$ at all. To evaluate the feasibility of snow-melting system operated by a geothermal circulation which has not GSHP, the surface temperature of concrete-paved road rise up to $0^{\circ}C$ after 2 hour and 40 minutes, and it does never increase to $5^{\circ}C$. And the roads paved by ascon and brick is maintained as below $0^{\circ}C$ after 12 hours geothermal circulation.

온간압입공정에서 자동차 변속기 단품(축/기어) 치형 변화 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Teeth Deformation of the Automobile Transmission Part(Shaft/Gear) in Warm Shrink Fitting Process)

  • 김호윤;최창진;배원병;김철
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제23권9호
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2006
  • Fitting process carried out in automobile transmission assembly line is classified into three classes; heat fitting, press fitting, and their combined fitting. Heat fitting is a method that heats gear to a suitable range under the tempering temperature and squeezes it toward the outer diameter of shaft. Its stress depends on the yield strength of gear. Press fitting is a method that generally squeezes gear toward that of shaft at room temperature by press. Another method heats warmly gear and safely squeezes it toward that of shaft. Warm shrink fitting process for automobile transmission part is now gradually increased, but the parts (shaft/gear) assembled by this process produced dimensional changes of gear profile in both radial and circumferential directions. So that it may cause noise and vibration between gears. In order to solve these problems, we need an analysis of warm shrink fitting process, in which design parameters are involved; contact pressure according to fitting interference between outer diameter of shaft and inner diameter of gear, fitting temperature, and profile tolerance of gear. In this study, an closed form equation to predict contact pressure and fitting load was proposed in order to develop optimization technique of warm shrink fitting process and verified its reliability through the experimental results measured in the field and FEM, that is, thermal-structural coupled field analysis. Actual loads measured in the field have a good agreement with the results obtained by theoretical and finite element analysis and also the expanded amounts of the gear profile in both radial and circumferential directions are within the limit tolerances used in the field.

미끄럼 속도 변화에 따른 폴리우레탄 씰의 마모 특성 (Effect of Sliding Speed on Wear Characteristics of Polyurethane Seal)

  • 김한솔;전홍규;정구현
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.49-54
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    • 2018
  • Hydraulic reciprocating seal has been widely used to prevent fluid leakage in hydraulic systems. Also, hydraulic reciprocating seal plays a significant role to provide lubricant film at contacting interface to minimize tribological problems due to sliding with counter material. To predict lifetime of hydraulic reciprocating seal, quantitative understanding of wear characteristics with respect to operating conditions such as normal force and sliding speed is needed. In this work, effect of sliding speed on wear of polyurethane (PU) hydraulic reciprocating seal were experimentally investigated using a pin-on-disk tribo-tester. The wear characteristics of PU specimens were quantitatively determined by comparing the confocal microscope data before and after test. It was found that the wear rate of PU specimens decreased from $4.9{\times}10^{-11}mm^3$ to $1.1{\times}10^{-11}mm^3/Nm$ as sliding speed increased from 120 mm/s to 940 mm/s. Also, it was observed that the friction decreased slightly as the sliding speed increased. Improvement of lubrication state with increasing sliding speed was likely to be responsible for this enhanced friction and wear characteristics. This result also suggests that decrease in sliding distance between PU elastomer and counter materials at lower sliding speed is preferred. Furthermore, the quantitative assessment of wear characteristics of PU specimen may be useful in prediction of lifetime of PU hydraulic reciprocating seal if the allowed degree of wear for failure of the seal is provided.