• 한국군사과학기술학회지
• /
• 제23권2호
• /
• pp.168-175
• /
• 2020

Failure of essential avionic equipments have a significant impact on the operations and safety of P-3 maritime patrol aircraft. Therefore, avionic equipments of P-3 are required to have higher reliability. Based on the field failure data, this paper studies the reliability growth of essential avionic equipments in P-3 using Duane model. Additionally, a simulation model is built and implemented for identifying the operational availability according to the field failure data of avionic equipments.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
• /
• 제18권3호
• /
• pp.271-279
• /
• 2018

Purpose: Probabilistic safety analysis was performed to enhance the safety and reliability of nuclear power plants because traditional deterministic approach has limitations in predicting the risk of failure by crack growth. The study introduces a probabilistic approach to establish a basis for probabilistic safety assessment of passive components. Methods: For probabilistic modeling of fatigue crack growth rate (FCGR), various FCGR tests were performed either under constant load amplitude or constant ${\Delta}K$ conditions by using heat treated X-750 at low temperature with adequate cathodic polarization. Bayesian inference was employed to update uncertainties of the FCGR model using additional information obtained from constant ${\Delta}K$ tests. Results: Four steps of Bayesian parameter updating were performed using constant ${\Delta}K$ test results. The standard deviation of the final posterior distribution was decreased by a factor of 10 comparing with that of the prior distribution. Conclusion: The method for developing a probabilistic crack growth model has been designed and demonstrated, in the paper. Alloy X-750 has been used for corrosion fatigue crack growth experiments and modeling. The uncertainties of parameters in the FCGR model were successfully reduced using the Bayesian inference whenever the updating was performed.

• 한국생산제조학회지
• /
• 제19권5호
• /
• pp.637-644
• /
• 2010

This paper presents a reliability-based shape optimization (RBSO) using the growth-strain method. An actual design involves uncertain conditions such as material property, operational load, Poisson's ratio and dimensional variation. The purpose of the RBSO is to consider the variations of probabilistic constraint and performances caused by uncertainties. In this study, the growth-strain method was applied to shape optimization of reliability analysis. Even though many papers for reliability-based shape optimization in mathematical programming method and ESO (Evolutionary Structural Optimization) were published, the paper for the reliability-based shape optimization using the growth-strain method has not been applied yet. Growth-strain method is applied to performance measure approach (PMA), which has probabilistic constraints that are formulated in terms of the reliability index, is adopted to evaluate the probabilistic constraints in the change of average mises stress. Numerical examples are presented to compare the DO with the RBSO. The results of design example show that the RBSO model is more reliable than deterministic optimization. It was verified that the reliability-based shape optimization using growth-strain method are very effective for general structure. The purpose of this study is to improve structure's safety considering probabilistic variable.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제19권4호
• /
• pp.1361-1369
• /
• 2008

The analysis of software reliability model provides the means to analysts, software engineers, and systems analysts and developers who want to predict, estimate, and measure failure rate of occurrences in software. In this paper, reliability growth model, in which the operating time between successive failure is a continuous random variable, is proposed. This model is based on order statistics of two parameters Burr type XII distribution. We propose the measure based on U-plot. Also the performance of the suggested model is tested on real data set.

• 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한안전경영과학회 2004년도 추계학술대회
• /
• pp.269-276
• /
• 2004

Special, high technology developments and systems improvements become more necessary as the industrial society is becoming complex. When some systems are developed, it is common that developed systems have low-reliability in infant period. Some developed systems need tests to improve their reliability up to the respected level before adapting them. This paper aims at showing the testing program including the reliability growth model for reliability improvement of the Light Rail Transit

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제41권8호
• /
• pp.1065-1072
• /
• 2009

As the use of software increases at nuclear power plants (NPPs), the necessity for including software reliability and/or safety into the NPP Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) rises. This work proposes an application procedure of software reliability growth models (RGMs), which are most widely used to quantify software reliability, to NPP PSA. Through the proposed procedure, it can be determined if a software reliability growth model can be applied to the NPP PSA before its real application. The procedure proposed in this work is expected to be very helpful for incorporating software into NPP PSA.

• 품질경영학회지
• /
• 제37권3호
• /
• pp.33-38
• /
• 2009

When we estimate the parameters of software reliability models, we usually use maximum liklihood estimator(MLE). But this method is required a large data set. In particular, when we want to estimate it with small observed data such as early stages of testing, we give rise to the non-existence of MLE. Therefore, it is interesting to look into the influence of parameter estimators obtained using MLE. In this paper, we use two non-homogenous poisson process software reliability growth model: delayed S-shaped model and log power model. In this paper, we calculate the sensitivity of estimators about failure intensity function for two SRGMs respectively.

• 품질경영학회지
• /
• 제21권2호
• /
• pp.131-139
• /
• 1993

The newly proposed model of the future reliability results in earlier fault-fixes having a greater effect than the fault which make the greatest contribution to the overall failure rate tend to show themselves earlier, and so are fixed earlier. The suggested model allows a variety of reliability measures to be calculated. Predictions of total execution time(debugging time) is to achieve a target reliability. This model could also apply to computer-hardware reliability growth resulting from the elimination of design error and fault.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제14권3호
• /
• pp.497-506
• /
• 2007

Coverage-based NHPP SRGMs have been introduced in order to incorporate the coverage growth behavior into the NHPP SRGMs. The coverage growth function representing the coverage growth behavior during testing is thus an essential factor of the coverage-based NHPP SRGMs. This paper proposes a class of discrete time coverage growth functions and illustrates its application to real data sets.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
• /
• 제16권2호
• /
• pp.162-170
• /
• 2016

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to analyze the failure modes of an auto transfer switch (ATS), determine the most common failure mechanisms, and iterate the design to improve reliability. Methods: We carried out failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) to determine the failure modes and mechanisms. We identified the parts or modules that required improvement via two-stage quality function deployment based on FMEA, and improvements to reliability were monitored using the Gomperz growth model. Results: The main failure modes of the ATS were damage to, and deformation of, the stator / movable element due to repetitive movements. Five iterations of design modification were carried out, and the mean time to failure (MTTF) increased to 14,539 cycles, corresponding to 85% of the target MTTF. The Gompertz growth model indicates that the 10th iteration of design modification is expected to achieve the target MTTF. Conclusion: We improved the reliability of mechanical parts via failure mode analysis, and characterized the iterative improvements in the MTTF using the Gompertz growth model.