• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability Assessment Model

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New method for dependence assessment in human reliability analysis based on linguistic hesitant fuzzy information

  • Zhang, Ling;Zhu, Yu-Jie;Hou, Lin-Xiu;Liu, Hu-Chen
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.11
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    • pp.3675-3684
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    • 2021
  • Human reliability analysis (HRA) is a proactive approach to model and evaluate human systematic errors, and has been extensively applied in various complicated systems. Dependence assessment among human errors plays a key role in the HRA, which relies heavily on the knowledge and experience of experts in real-world cases. Moreover, there are ofthen different types of uncertainty when experts use linguistic labels to evaluate the dependencies between human failure events. In this context, this paper aims to develop a new method based on linguistic hesitant fuzzy sets and the technique for human error rate prediction (THERP) technique to manage the dependence in HRA. This method handles the linguistic assessments given by experts according to the linguistic hesitant fuzzy sets, determines the weights of influential factors by an extended best-worst method, and confirms the degree of dependence between successive actions based on the THERP method. Finally, the effectiveness and practicality of the presented linguistic hesitant fuzzy THERP method are demonstrated through an empirical healthcare dependence analysis.

Safety Assessment and Capacity Rating of Existing P.C, Bridges based on Reliability Methods (신뢰성 방법에 기초한 기설 P.C교의 안전도 및 내하력 평가)

  • 조효남;김민영;서종원
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 1990.10a
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 1990
  • This study develops practical models and methods for the assessment of safety and capacity rating of existing P.C. girder bridges based on the reliability methods. One of the main objectives of the study is to propose a practical but realistic limit state model for safety assessment and LRFR rating criteria, which explicitly incorporates the degree of deterioration and damage as well as actual condition of P.C. girder bridges in terms of the damage factor and the response ratio. The damage factor proposed in the paper is defined as the ratio of the current estimated stiffness to the intact base-line stiffness of a member. Based on the observation and the results of applications to existing bridges, it may be concluded that the proposed methods for the assessment and capacity rating models, which explicitly account for the uncertainties and effects of degree of deterioration or damage, provide more realistic and consistent safety-assessment and capacity rating.

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Strength Reliability Analysis of Continuous Steel Fiber Reinforced Concrete Beam (강섬유 보강 철근콘크리트 연속보의 강도신뢰성 해석)

  • 유한신;곽계환;조효남
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2003
  • Steel fiber may be used to raise the effectiveness and safety of reinforced concrete structure and to relax its brittle-fracture behavior. However it is to be clearly stated that the uncertainty for the strength of fiber reinforced concrete(SFRC) is rather increased. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate the safety of SFRC beam using reliability analysis incorporating realistic uncertainty. This study presents the statistical data and proposes the limit state model to analyze the reliability of SFRC bear In order to verify the efficiency of the proposed limit state model, its numerical application and sensitivity analysis were performed for a continuous SFRC beam. From the results of the numerical analysis, it is founded that the reliability of SFRC beam is significantly difficult from the conventional RC beams and proposed limit state model (or SFRC beam is more rational compared with that for conventional RC beams. Then it may be stated that the reliability analysis of SFRC beams must be carried out for the development of design criteria and the safety assessment.

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A Study on Track Drive Unit Test and Evaluation for Mini Excavators (소형 굴삭기의 주행구동유니트 시험평가에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Gi-Chun;Lee, Young-Bum;Choi, Byung Oh
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.139-144
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    • 2015
  • Track drive unit adopted in the small sized excavator generally have been used in the construction equipment under the 10 tons as the driving device with forwarding and reversing of excavator. It is required to study the accelerated life test applied by over torque and speed to test the durability life test reflected the many driving modes of small sized excavator and also need to equip the comprehensive performance and life test equipments to do the various performance tests. This study had analyzed the failure modes of the components, and calculated the equivalent loads investigated the used loads in the real field conditions and elicits the acceleration factor adopted in the inverse power model. Also, this study have considered the changes of the acceleration factor and the durability test time in the case of the rotary group and the bearing through analyzing the main failure modes. It was calculated the no failure test time about 2 samples and confidence level 90% and elicited the accelerated life time 720 hours.

A Study on the Estimating Burst Pressure Distributions for Reliability Assessment of API 5L X65 Pipes (API 5L X65 배관의 신뢰도 평가를 위한 파열압력 분포 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seong-Jun;Kim, Dohyun;Kim, Cheolman;Kim, Woosik
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.597-608
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to present a probability distribution of the burst pressure of API 5L X65 pipes for the reliability assessment of corroded gas pipelines. Methods: Corrosion is a major cause of weakening the residual strength of the pipe. The mean residual strength on the corrosion defect can be obtained using the burst pressure code. However, in order to obtain the pipe reliability, a probability distribution of the burst pressure should be provided. This study is concerned with estimating the burst pressure distribution using Monte Carlo simulation. A response surface method is employed to represent the distribution parameter as a model of the corrosion defect size. Results: The experimental results suggest that the normal or Weibull distribution should be suitable as the probability distribution of the burst pressure. In particular, it was shown that the probability distribution parameters can be well predicted by using the depth and length of the corrosion defect. Conclusion: Given a corrosion defect on the pipe, its corresponding burst pressure distribution can be provided at instant. Subsequently, a reliability assessment of the pipe is conducted as well.

Model of Reliability Assessment in Ultrasonic Nondestructive Inspection (초음파 비파괴검사의 신뢰도 평가 모델)

  • Park, Ik-Keun;Park, Un-Su;Kim, Hyun-Mook;Park, Yoon-Won;Kang, Suk-Chull;Choi, Young-Hwan;Lee, Jin-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.240-245
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    • 2001
  • Ultrasonic inspection system is consisted of the operator, equipment and procedure. The reliability of results in ultrasonic inspection is affected by its ability. Furthermore, the reliability of nondestructive testing is influenced by the inspection environment, other materials and types of defect. Therefore, it is very difficult to estimate the reliability of NDT due to various factors. In this study, the probability of detection, used logistic probability model and Monte Carlo simulation, estimated the reliability of ultrasonic inspection. The utility of the NDT reliability assesment is verified by the analysis of the data from round robin test applied these models.

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Variation of reliability-based seismic analysis of an electrical cabinet in different NPP location for Korean Peninsula

  • Nahar, Tahmina Tasnim;Rahman, Md Motiur;Kim, Dookie
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.926-939
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    • 2022
  • The area of this study will cover the location-wise seismic response variation of an electrical cabinet in nuclear power point (NPP) based on classical reliability analysis. The location-based seismic ground motion (GM) selection is carried out with the help of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis using PSHRisktool, where the variation of reliability analysis can be understood from the relation between the reliability index and intensity measure. Two different approaches such as the first-order second moment method (FOSM) and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) are helped to evaluate and compare the reliability assessment of the cabinet. The cabinet is modeled with material uncertainty utilizing Steel01 as the material model and the fiber section modeling approach is considered to characterize the section's nonlinear reaction behavior. To verify the modal frequency, this study compares the FEM result with recorded data using Least-Squares Complex Exponential (LSCE) method from the impact hammer test. In spite of a few investigations, the main novelty of this study is to introduce the reader to check and compare the seismic reliability assessment variation in different seismic locations and for different earthquake levels. Alongside, the betterment can be found by comparing the result between two considered reliability estimation methods.

Development of a Cost-benefit Model for the Management of Structural Risk on Oil Facilities in Mexico

  • Leon, David-De;Alfredo H-S. Ang
    • Computational Structural Engineering : An International Journal
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 2002
  • A reliability-based cost-benefit model for the risk management of oil platforms in the formulation of optimal decisions based on life-cycle consideration is proposed. The model is based on structural risk assessments and the integration of social issues and economics into the management decision process. Structural risks result from the platform's exposure to the random environmental loading associated with the offshore site where it is located. Several alternative designs of a typical platform are proposed and assessed from the cost-effectiveness viewpoint. This assessment is performed through the generation of cost/benefit relationships that are used, later on, to select the optimal design.

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Safety diagnosis process for deteriorated buildings using a 3D scan-based reverse engineering model

  • Jae-Min Lee;Seungho Kim;Sangyong Kim
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2023
  • As the number of deteriorated buildings increases, the importance of safety diagnosis, maintenance, and the repair of buildings also increases. Traditionally, building condition assessments are performed by one person or one company and various inspections are needed. This entails a subjective judgment by the inspector, resulting in different assessment results, poor objectivity and a lack of reliability. Therefore, this study proposed a method to bring about accurate grading results of building conditions. The limitations of visual inspection and condition assessment processes previously conducted were identified by reviewing existing studies. Building defect data was collected using the reverse-engineered three-dimensional (3D) model. The accuracy of the results was verified by comparing them with the actual evaluation results. The results show a 50% time-saving to the same area with an accuracy of approximately 90%. Consequently, defect data with high objectivity and reliability were acquired by measuring the length, area, and width. In addition, the proposed method can improve the efficiency of the building diagnosis process.

Copula-ARMA Model for Multivariate Wind Speed and Its Applications in Reliability Assessment of Generating Systems

  • Li, Yudun;Xie, Kaigui;Hu, Bo
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.421-427
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    • 2013
  • The dependence between wind speeds in multiple wind sites has a considerable impact on the reliability of power systems containing wind energy. This paper presents a new method to generate dependent wind speed time series (WSTS) based on copulas theory. The basic feature of the method lies in separating multivariate WSTS into dependence structure and univariate time series. The dependence structure is modeled through the use of copulas, which, unlike the cross-correlation matrix, give a complete description of the joint distribution. An autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model is applied to represent univariate time series of wind speed. The proposed model is illustrated using wind data from two sites in Canada. The IEEE Reliability Test System (IEEE-RTS) is used to examine the proposed model and the impact of wind speed dependence between different wind regimes on the generation system reliability. The results confirm that the wind speed dependence has a negative effect on the generation system reliability.