• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability & Safety

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Probabilistic optimization of nailing system for soil walls in uncertain condition

  • Mitra Jafarbeglou;Farzin Kalantary
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.597-609
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    • 2023
  • One of the applicable methods for the stabilization of soil walls is the nailing system which consists of tensile struts. The stability and safety of soil nail wall systems are influenced by the geometrical parameters of the nailing system. Generally, the determination of nailing parameters in order to achieve optimal performance of the nailing system for the safety of soil walls is defined in the framework of optimization problems. Also, according to the various uncertainty in the mechanical parameters of soil structures, it is necessary to evaluate the reliability of the system as a probabilistic problem. In this paper, the optimal design of the nailing system is carried out in deterministic and probabilistic cases using meta-heuristic and reliability-based design optimization methods. The colliding body optimization algorithm and first-order reliability method are used for optimization and reliability analysis problems, respectively. The objective function is defined based on the total cost of nails and safety factors and reliability index are selected as constraints. The mechanical properties of the nailing system are selected as design variables and the mechanical properties of the soil are selected as random variables. The results show that the reliability of the optimally designed soil nail system is very sensitive to uncertainty in soil mechanical parameters. Also, the design results are affected by uncertainties in soil mechanical parameters due to the values of safety factors. Reliability-based design optimization results show that a nailing system can be designed for the expected level of reliability and failure probability.

The Validity and Reliability of the Second Korean Working Conditions Survey

  • Kim, Young Sun;Rhee, Kyung Yong;Oh, Min Jung;Park, Jungsun
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2013
  • Background: The aim of this study was to evaluate the quality of the Second Korean Working Conditions Survey (KWCS), focusing on its validity and reliability. Methods: The external validity was evaluated by the assessment of sampling procedures and the response rate, in order to investigate the representativeness of the sample. The content validity was evaluated by the assessment of the development of the questionnaire, and the consistency of questions for the selected construct. The test-retest method was used to evaluate the reliability by means of a phone call survey of 30% of the respondents, who were randomly selected. The respondents' satisfaction regarding the survey procedures and interview time were analyzed to evaluate the quality of survey data. Results: The external validity was assured by an acceptable sampling procedure, rigid multi-stage stratified cluster random sampling. The content validity was also guaranteed by a reasonable procedure for the development of the questionnaire with a pretest. The internal consistency of the questions for work autonomy was maintained, with 0.738 of Cronbach's alpha. The response rate of 36% was lower than that of the European Working Conditions Survey (EWCS), with a contact rate of 66%, compared to 76% for the EWCS. The matching rates of the five retested questions were more than 98% reliable. Conclusion: The quality of the second KWCS was assured by the high external and content validity and reliability. The rigid sampling procedure and development of the questionnaire contributed to quality assurance. The high level of reliability may be guaranteed by the sophisticated field survey procedures and the development of a technical manual for interviewers. The technical strategies for a high response rate should be developed for future surveys.

구간 데이터에 대한 신뢰성 척도 산정 절차 (Computation Procedures of Reliability Measures for Interval Data)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.149-159
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    • 2007
  • This paper is to propose two computation procedures of reliability measures for large interval data. First method is efficient to verify the relationship among four reliability measures such as F(t), R(t), f(t) and $\lambda(t)$. Another method is effective to interpret the concept of various reliability measures. This study is also to reinterpret and recompute the errors of four reliability measures discovered in the reliability textbooks. Various numerical examples are presented to illustrate the application of two proposed procedures.

역해석법에 의한 피복재의 부분안전계수 산정 (Evaluation of Partial Safety Factors of Armor Units by Inverse-Reliability Analysis)

  • 이철응;박동헌
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제28권B호
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2008
  • A reliability model of Level II AFDA is developed to analyze the stability of armor units on the sloped coastal structures. Additionally, the partial safety factors of random variables related to armor units can be straightforwardly evaluated by applying the inverse-reliability method in which influence coefficients and uncertainties of random variables, and target probability of failure are combined directly. In particular, a design equation for armor units is derived in terms of the same criteria as deterministic design method in order to apply the reliability-based design method of Level I without some understanding to the reliability analysis. Finally, it is confirmed that several results redesigned by the reliability-based design method of Level I have satisfactorily agreement with results of CEM as well as those of Level II AFDA.

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가연성가스 수송배관에 대한 목표 신뢰도 수준 설정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Establishing Target Reliability Levels for Flammable Gas Transmission Pipelines)

  • 이진한;조영도;문종삼
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.52-58
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    • 2018
  • 신뢰도 기반 접근법(RBDA)에서, 신뢰도 목표는 설계 및 유지관리 단계에서 관계되는 한계상태를 충족할 수 있는 정도의 안전 수준을 가지는 지 확인하기 위해서 사용된다. 우리나라의 경우 가연성 가스 배관에 대한 신뢰도 목표는 아직 개발되거나 활용되지 못하고 있다. 다만 신뢰도 목표 대신에 사회적 위험과 개인적 위험과 같은 위험 측정지표에 대한 허용가능(tolerable) 판단기준이 배관의 위험관리에 적용되어 왔다. 본 논문에서는 고압천연가스 배관에 대한 정량적 위험평가 시 판단기준으로 삼는 사회적, 개인적 위험 판단기준을 사용하여 신뢰도 기반 접근법의 핵심요소인 목표 신뢰도를 개발하는 절차를 소개하고 자 한다. 또한 소개된 절차를 통해 천연가스와 수소가스 수송배관에 대한 신뢰도 목표를 제안한다.

품질 및 신뢰성 샘플링 검사의 활용 (Implementation of Quality and Reliability Sampling Inspection)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.243-251
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    • 2006
  • This paper is to propose various quality and reliability sampling inspection methods to perform the competitive global outsourcing strategy while purchasing and subcontracting. The study also represents implementation strategy which can be efficiently and effectively used in the enterprise. Quality sampling inspection schemes extend reliability inspection techniques with a little change.

국내 케이슨 방파제의 활동에 대한 신뢰성 해석 및 부분안전계수 산정 (Reliability Analysis and Evaluation of Partial Safety Factors for Sliding of Caisson Breakwaters in Korea)

  • 김승우;서경덕
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.278-289
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 직립 방파제의 케이슨 활동에 대한 목표 신뢰도 지수와 부분안전계수를 산정하였다. 기존 방파제의 신뢰도 지수의 평균값을 보통의 안전도를 갖는 방파제에 대한 목표 신뢰도 지수로 제안하였다. 또한 국내외 방파제의 해석에 기초하여 높은 안전도 또는 낮은 안전도의 목표 신뢰도 지수도 제안하였다. 다음에는 국내 12개 방파제 단면에 대해 각각 계산한 부분안전계수를 평균하여 각 안전도에 대한 부분안전계수를 제안하였다. 본 연구에서 제안한 부분안전계수를 사용하여 계산한 신뢰도 지수가 JPHA(2007)의 완경사 결과와 급경사 결과 사이에 위치함을 보임으로써 제안된 부분안전계수의 적합성을 부분적으로 검증하였다. 제안된 부분안전계수를 이용하여 기존 방파제의 케이슨 폭과 신뢰도 지수를 역으로 계산하였다. 결정론적 설계법으로 설계된 기존 방파제의 신뢰도 지수가 큰 변동 폭을 보이는 반면, 부분안전계수법으로 계산된 값은 작은 변동 폭을 보인다. 이는 목표 파괴확률이 주어졌을 때 부분안전계수법으로 일관성 있는 설계를 할 수 있음을 의미한다.

정량적 위험성평가기법을 이용한 화학공정 시스템 구축에 관한 연구 (A Study on the System Design of Chemical Process using Quantitative Risk Assessment Methodology)

  • 변윤섭
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.32-39
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    • 2014
  • 화학공장은 위험물질을 다량으로 취급하고 있어 안전시스템의 신뢰성을 확보할 수 있도록 시스템을 구축하는 것은 화학공정 설계 시 고려할 기본적 사항이다. 그러나 화학공정의 안전성을 확보하기 위해 안전시스템의 신뢰성을 지나치게 강조할 경우 상대적으로 생산시스템의 신뢰성은 떨어질 수 있다. 화학공정은 일정한 수준 이상의 안전성을 확보한 상태에서 안전시스템의 신뢰성과 생산시스템의 신뢰성을 균형 있게 유지하는 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 정량적 데이터를 근거로 화학공정의 안전성과 생산성을 동시에 확보할 수 있는 방안을 제시하고자 화학공장에 널리 사용되고 있는 가열로공정을 선정하여 정량적 위험성평가를 실시하였다. 정량적 위험성평가기법으로는 안전시스템과 생산시스템을 구분하여 각각의 시스템에 대해 신뢰도평가가 가능한 유향그래프 분석기법을 사용하였다. 정량적 위험성평가 결과 가열로공정은 온도감지기(TT)와 압력감지기(PT)를 각각 3개 설치하여 2개가 일정한 값 이상을 나타낼 때 안전시스템이 작동하도록 가열로공정을 구축하는 것이 안전성과 생산성을 동시에 확보할 수 있는 최적의 화학공정 시스템 설계 조건임을 확인하였다.

Reliability analysis-based safety factor for stability of footings on frictional soils

  • Parviz Tafazzoli Moghaddam;Pezhman Fazeli Dehkordi;Mahmoud Ghazavi
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 재33권6호
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    • pp.543-552
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    • 2023
  • The design of foundations based on a deterministic approach may not be safe and reliable occasionally, since soils sometimes show considerable spatial variability, and thus, significant uncertainties in turn affect the estimation of footing bearing capacity. The design of footing on cohesionless stratums on the basis of reliability analysis has not received much attention. This paper performs two-dimensional random finite difference analyses of shallow strip footings on a spatially variable frictional soil considering correlation structure. Friction angle (ϕ) is considered as a log-normally distributed random variable and Monte Carlo Simulation is then performed to determine the statistical response based on the random fields. A new approach reliability-based safety factor is defined based on various reliability levels by considering the coefficient of variation of ϕ and correlation length in both the horizontal and vertical directions. The comparison of the probabilistic safety factor and the conventional one illustrates the limitations of the deterministic safety factor and provides insight into how the heterogeneity of soils properties affects the required safety factor. Results show that the conventional safety factor of 3 can be conservative in some cases, especially for soil with low values of mean ϕ and COVϕ.

지진하중을 받는 단자유도 구조물의 신속한 동적 신뢰성 추정 방법 (Fast Dynamic Reliability Estimation Approach of Seismically Excited SDOF Structure)

  • 이도근;옥승용
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제35권5호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2020
  • This study proposes a fast estimation method of dynamic reliability indices or failure probability for SDOF structure subjected to earthquake excitations. The proposed estimation method attempts to derive coefficient function for correcting dynamic effects from static reliability analysis in order to estimate the dynamic reliability analysis results. For this purpose, a total of 60 cases of structures with various characteristics of natural frequency and damping ratio under various allowable limits were taken into account, and various types of approximation coefficient functions were considered as potential candidate models for dynamic effect correction. Each reliability index was computed by directly performing static and dynamic reliability analyses for the given 60 cases, and nonlinear curve fittings for potential candidate models were performed from the computed reliability index data. Then, the optimal estimation model was determined by evaluating the accuracy of the dynamic reliability analysis results estimated from each candidate model. Additional static and dynamic reliability analyses were performed for new models with different characteristics of natural frequency, damping ratio and allowable limit. From these results, the accuracy and numerical efficiency of the optimal estimation model were compared with the dynamic reliability analysis results. As a result, it was confirmed that the proposed model can be a very efficient tool of the dynamic reliability estimation for seismically excited SDOF structure since it can provide very fast and accurate reliability analysis results.