• 제목/요약/키워드: Regressive Analysis

검색결과 158건 처리시간 0.029초

시멘트 인수검사 시 액체밀도계법에 의한 분말도 품질 신속평가 가능성 분석 (A Feasibility Analysis of Rapid Acquisition Test for Cement Fineness using Hydrometer)

  • 한천구;김영태
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2018
  • In this research, regarding the cement supplied to ready mixed concrete plant, the feasibility of rapid acquisition test for cement fineness using hydrometer which used for early strength evaluation of concrete was analyzed. Additionally, regarding the rapid test with hydrometer control factors were provided. As a result of analysis, quality control using hydrometer was possible with the regressive equation obtained in five minute between density of suspension and fineness of cement powder. As the control factors, dispersing admixture, replacing kerosene as a medium, and temperature of cement and water were evaluated. According to the control factor evaluation, the tap water was optimum as a medium and calibration of keeping the temperature of water to $20^{\circ}C$ or correction factor was needed for density results. Finally, it is considered that the suggested rapid quality evaluation method using hydrometer is cheaper and easier method than currently used Blaine test.

Study on the influence of Alpha wave music on working memory based on EEG

  • Xu, Xin;Sun, Jiawen
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.467-479
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    • 2022
  • Working memory (WM), which plays a vital role in daily activities, is a memory system that temporarily stores and processes information when people are engaged in complex cognitive activities. The influence of music on WM has been widely studied. In this work, we conducted a series of n-back memory experiments with different task difficulties and multiple trials on 14 subjects under the condition of no music and Alpha wave leading music. The analysis of behavioral data show that the change of music condition has significant effect on the accuracy and time of memory reaction (p<0.01), both of which are improved after the stimulation of Alpha wave music. Behavioral results also suggest that short-term training has no significant impact on working memory. In the further analysis of electrophysiology (EEG) data recorded in the experiment, auto-regressive (AR) model is employed to extract features, after which an average classification accuracy of 82.9% is achieved with support vector machine (SVM) classifier in distinguishing between before and after WM enhancement. The above findings indicate that Alpha wave leading music can improve WM, and the combination of AR model and SVM classifier is effective in detecting the brain activity changes resulting from music stimulation.

수공구조물의 적정설계를 위한 유출모형 매개변수의 민감도 분석 (Sensitivity Analysis of the Runoff Model Parameter for the Optimal Design of Hydrologic Structures)

  • 이정훈;김문모;여운광
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.755-758
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    • 2008
  • Currently, the increased run-off and the shortened arrival time are one of the causes of the city environmental disasters in urbanization. Therefore, it is necessary to properly design the hydrologic structures, but it is very difficult to forecast the values necessary to design from the planning stage. Moreover, as the parameter is changed due to the urban development, it is difficult not only to analyze the run-off influences but also to find the related studies and literatures. The purpose of this study is to utilize the results as the important basic data of the hydrologic structures, its proper design and run-off influences through the sensibility analysis of the model parameter variables. In this study, the absolute and relative sensibility analysis method were used to find out the correlation through the sensibility analysis of the topology and hydrology parameters. Especially, in this study, the changes in the run-off amount and volume were calculated according to increase/decrease in CN, the coefficient of discharge, and the empirical formula is prepared and proposed through the regressive analysis among the parameters. In the meantime, the parameter sensibility analysis was performed through the simulation HEC-HMS that is used and available in Korea. From the results of this study, it was found that the run-off amount is increased about by 10% when the CN value is increased by 5% before and after the development through the HEC-HMS simulation and data analysis. As long as there will be additional data collection analysis and result verification, and continuous further studies to find out the parameters proper to the domestic circumstances, it is expected to considerably contribute to the proper design of the hydrologic structures with respect to the ungauged basin.

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노인복지시설 영양·급식관리자의 교육 참여동기 및 저해 요인 분석 (Analysis of the Participation Reasons and Deterrents on Welfare Facility Dietitians for the Elderly)

  • 김수진;이민아;조우균;이영미;최지영;박은주
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2019
  • Objectives: This study analyzed the education participation reasons and deterrents of dietitians who work in welfare facilities for the elderly. Methods: The survey was completed by 144 dietitians working at welfare facilities for the elderly in Korea. The survey was conducted in October, 2018, both on-line and off-line, based on the demographic characteristics, work status on welfare facilities for the elderly, Participation Reasons Scale (PRS) and Deterrents to Participation Scale (DPS-G). The data were analyzed using frequency analysis, descriptive analysis, factor analysis, reliability analysis, regressive analysis using SPSS ver. 25.0. Results: The reason for participation were divided into three factors: 'Responsibility of professional and self-development ($5.76{\pm}1.04$)', 'Job stability and personal benefits ($4.98{\pm}1.28$)', and 'Interaction and development of professional competencies ($5.85{\pm}1.00$)'. 'Interaction and development of professional competencies' was the highest motivation factor. Also, the deterrents for participation were divided into four factors: 'Dispositional barrier ($2.70{\pm}1.29$)', 'Dissatisfaction of education usability ($3.39{\pm}1.38$)', 'Institutional barrier ($4.21{\pm}1.45$)', and 'Situational barrier ($2.36{\pm}1.30$)'. 'Institutional barrier' showed the highest deterrents factor. In addition, 'Responsibility of professional and self-development' and 'Interaction and development of professional competencies' were negative attributes for 'Dispositional barrier' (p<0.001). Conclusions: These results provide basic data to promote participation in education and contribute to the improvement of their job ability and education capacity of the food and nutrition management of welfare facilities for the elderly.

숫자음 분석과 인식에 관한 연구 (A Study on Spoken Digits Analysis and Recognition)

  • 김득수;황철준
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2001
  • 본 논문에서는 한국어의 음성학적 규칙을 적용한 연속 숫자음 인식에 관하여 연구한다. 연속 숫자음의 인식률은 일반적으로 음성인식 시스템 중에서 낮은 인식률을 나타낸다. 따라서 숫자음에 대하여 강건한 모델을 작성하기 위하여 음성 특징 파라미터와 음성학적 규칙을 적용하고 실험을 통하여 그 유효성을 확인하고자 한다. 이를 위하여 음성자료로는 국어공학센터(KLE)에서 채록한 4연속 숫자음을 사용하며 인식의 기본단위로서는 음성학적 규칙을 적용한 19개의 연속분포 HMM을 유사음소 단위(PLUs)로 사용한다. 또한, 인식실험에 있어서는 일반적인 멜 켑스트럽과 회귀계수를 이용한 경우와 음성학적 규칙과 특징을 확장하여 모델을 작성한 경우에 대해서 유한상태 오토마타(Finite State Automata ; FSA)에 의한 구문제어를 통한 OPDP(One Pass Dynamic Programming) 법으로 인식실험을 수행하여 그 결과를 비교 검토하였다. 그 결과, 멜 켑스트럼만을 사용한 경우 55.4%, 멜 켑스트럼과 회귀계수를 사용한 경우에는 64.6%, 특징 파라미터를 확장한 경우 74.3%, 음성학적 특징까지 고려한 경우 75.4%로 기존의 경우보다 높은 인식률을 보였다. 따라서, 음성 특징 파라미터를 확장하고 음성학적 규칙까지 함께 적용한 경우 비교적 높은 인식률을 보여 제안된 방법이 연속 숫자음 인식에 유효함을 확인하였다.

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환경서비스업과 물류서비스업의 예측 및 인과성 검정 (Prediction and Causality Examination of the Environment Service Industry and Distribution Service Industry)

  • 선일석;이충효
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - The world now recognizes environmental disruption as a serious issue when regarding growth-oriented strategies; therefore, environmental preservation issues become pertinent. Consequently, green distribution is continuously emphasized. However, studying the prediction and association of distribution and the environment is insufficient. Most existing studies about green distribution are about its necessity, detailed operation methods, and political suggestions; it is necessary to study the distribution service industry and environmental service industry together, for green distribution. Research design, data, and methodology - ARIMA (auto-regressive moving average model) was used to predict the environmental service and distribution service industries, and the Granger Causality Test based on VAR (vector auto regressive) was used to analyze the causal relationship. This study used 48 quarters of time-series data, from the 4th quarter in 2001 to the 3rd quarter in 2013, about each business type's production index, and used an unchangeable index. The production index about the business type is classified into the current index and the unchangeable index. The unchangeable index divides the current index into deflators to remove fluctuation. Therefore, it is easy to analyze the actual production index. This study used the unchangeable index. Results - The production index of the distribution service industry and the production index of the environmental service industry consider the autocorrelation coefficient and partial autocorrelation coefficient; therefore, ARIMA(0,0,2)(0,1,1)4 and ARIMA(3,1,0)(0,1,1)4 were established as final prediction models, resulting in the gradual improvement in every production index of both types of business. Regarding the distribution service industry's production index, it is predicted that the 4th quarter in 2014 is 114.35, and the 4th quarter in 2015 is 123.48. Moreover, regarding the environmental service industry's production index, it is predicted that the 4th quarter in 2014 is 110.95, and the 4th quarter in 2015 is 111.67. In a causal relationship analysis, the environmental service industry impacts the distribution service industry, but the distribution service industry does not impact the environmental service industry. Conclusions - This study predicted the distribution service industry and environmental service industry with the ARIMA model, and examined the causal relationship between them through the Granger causality test based on the VAR Model. Prediction reveals the seasonality and gradual increase in the two industries. Moreover, the environmental service industry impacts the distribution service industry, but the distribution service industry does not impact the environmental service industry. This study contributed academically by offering base line data needed in the establishment of a future style of management and policy directions for the two industries through the prediction of the distribution service industry and the environmental service industry, and tested a causal relationship between them, which is insufficient in existing studies. The limitations of this study are that deeper considerations of advanced studies are deficient, and the effect of causality between the two types of industries on the actual industry was not established.

비선형 자기회귀모형을 이용한 남방진동지수 시계열 분석 (Nonlinear Autoregressive Modeling of Southern Oscillation Index)

  • 권현한;문영일
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권12호
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    • pp.997-1012
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 조건부 핵밀도함수와 CAFPE(Corrected Asymptotic Final Prediction Error) 차수결정 방법에 근거한 비매개변수적 비선형 자기회귀 (Nonlinear AutoRegressive, NAR) 모형을 소개하고 이를 SOI(Southern Oscillation Index)에 적용하였다. SOI 자료에 대해서 선형 AR 모형을 적용하였으나 잔차에 대한 검정결과 이분산성(heteroscedasticity)을 나타내었다. 또한 BDS(Brock-Dechert-Sheinkman) 검정에서 비선형성이 존재함을 확인하였다. 따라서 NAR 모형에 SOI 자료를 적용시켰다. CAFPE를 이용하여 가장 적합한 모형으로 지체 1, 2와 4가 선택되었으며 조건부 평균함수를 추정하여 SOI 자료를 모의한 결과 잔차에 대해서 정규성과 이분산성 가정이 Jarque-Bera 검정과 ARCH-LM 검정에서 각각 기각되었으며 또한 조건부 표준편차함수의 최적 차수로 3, 8과 9가 CAPFE를 통해 선택되었다. 조건부 평균함수와 표준편차함수를 모두 고려한 모형에 대한 잔차 검정 결과 잔차의 I.I.D 가정을 만족하였으며 특히, BDS 검정에서 신뢰구간 95%와 99%에서 모두 만족한 결과를 나타내었다. 마지막으로 전체의 15%에 해당하는 SOI 자료에 대해서 One-Step 예측을 수행하였으며 선형 모형에 비해 평균제곱예측오차가 7% 적게 나타났다. 따라서, NAR 모형은 여타의 매개변수적 방법과 달리 모형 선택에 있어 자유로우며 비선형성을 고려할 수 있는 모형으로서 SOI 자료와 같은 비선형 자료를 위한 모의방법으로 선형 모형에 비해 많은 장점을 가지고 있다.

Beyond Growth: Does Tourism Promote Human Development in India? Evidence from Time Series Analysis

  • SHARMA, Manu;MOHAPATRA, Geetilaxmi;GIRI, Arun Kumar
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권12호
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    • pp.693-702
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    • 2020
  • The present study aims to investigate the impact of tourism growth on human development in Indian economy. For this purpose, the study uses annual data from 1980 to 2018 and utilizes two proxies for tourism growth - tourism receipt and tourist arrivals - and uses human development index calculated by UNDP. The study uses control variables such as government expenditure and trade openness. The study employs auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to investigate the cointegrating relationship among the variables in the model. Further, the study also explores the causal nexus between tourism sector and human development by using the Toda-Yamamoto Granger non-causality test. The result of ARDL bounds test reveals the existence of cointegrating relationship between human development indicators, government expenditure, trade openness, and tourism sector growth. The cointegating coefficient confirms a positive and significant relationship between tourism sector growth and human development in India. The causality result suggests that economic growth and tourism have a positive impact while trade openness has a negative impact on human development in India. The major findings of this study suggest that tourism plays an important role in the socio-economic development of Indian economy in recent years and the country must develop this sector to achieve sustainable development.

A Bayesian approach for vibration-based long-term bridge monitoring to consider environmental and operational changes

  • Kim, Chul-Woo;Morita, Tomoaki;Oshima, Yoshinobu;Sugiura, Kunitomo
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.395-408
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to propose a Bayesian approach to consider changes in temperature and vehicle weight as environmental and operational factors for vibration-based long-term bridge health monitoring. The Bayesian approach consists of three steps: step 1 is to identify damage-sensitive features from coefficients of the auto-regressive model utilizing bridge accelerations; step 2 is to perform a regression analysis of the damage-sensitive features to consider environmental and operational changes by means of the Bayesian regression; and step 3 is to make a decision on the bridge health condition based on residuals, differences between the observed and predicted damage-sensitive features, utilizing 95% confidence interval and the Bayesian hypothesis testing. Feasibility of the proposed approach is examined utilizing monitoring data on an in-service bridge recorded over a one-year period. Observations through the study demonstrated that the Bayesian regression considering environmental and operational changes led to more accurate results than that without considering environmental and operational changes. The Bayesian hypothesis testing utilizing data from the healthy bridge, the damage probability of the bridge was judged as no damage.

Incorporation of collapse safety margin into direct earthquake loss estimate

  • Xian, Lina;He, Zheng;Ou, Xiaoying
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.429-450
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    • 2016
  • An attempt has been made to incorporate the concept of collapse safety margin into the procedures proposed in the performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework for direct earthquake loss estimation, in which the collapse probability curve obtained from incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) is mathematically characterized with the S-type fitting model. The regressive collapse probability curve is then used to identify non-collapse cases and collapse cases. With the assumed lognormal probability distribution for non-collapse damage indexes, the expected direct earthquake loss ratio is calculated from the weighted average over several damage states for non-collapse cases. Collapse safety margin is shown to be strongly related with sustained damage endurance of structures. Such endurance exhibits a strong link with expected direct earthquake loss. The results from the case study on three concrete frames indicate that increase in cross section cannot always achieve a more desirable output of collapse safety margin and less direct earthquake loss. It is a more effective way to acquire wider collapse safety margin and less direct earthquake loss through proper enhancement of reinforcement in structural components. Interestingly, total expected direct earthquake loss ratio seems to be insensitive a change in cross section. It has demonstrated a consistent correlation with collapse safety margin. The results also indicates that, if direct economic loss is seriously concerned, it is of much significance to reduce the probability of occurrence of moderate and even severe damage, as well as the probability of structural collapse.