• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regression Technique

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도시인구분포모형 개발을 위한 GA모형과 회귀모형의 적합성 비교연구 (A Comparative Study on the Genetic Algorithm and Regression Analysis in Urban Population Surface Modeling)

  • 최내영
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제18권5호
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 최근 다수 도시개발사업들이 활발히 진행되고 있는 화성시 동부권을 사례대상지로하여 행정구역 단위 인구데이터를 격자형 인구분포자료로 변환한 후 인구유인을 유발할 것으로 예상되는 주요 도시계획관련 공간변수들을 GIS로 측정 대입하여 제네틱 알고리즘기법과 회귀분석기법 두 가지 방법으로 일종의 도시인구분포모형을 구축하였다. 두 가지 모형의 분석결과를 통해 도시환경 해석에 있어서의 두 기법의 성능상 특장점을 비교해 보았으며, 분석결과 GA기법은 변수 설명력에 관한 변별력에 있어 일반회귀분석보다 우월한 특징이 있음을 알 수 있었고 따라서 회귀분석과 병행할 경우 매우 직관적이며 보완적인 도시분석기법이 될 수 있음을 확인할 수 있었다.

Application of artificial neural network model in regional frequency analysis: Comparison between quantile regression and parameter regression techniques.

  • Lee, Joohyung;Kim, Hanbeen;Kim, Taereem;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.170-170
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    • 2020
  • Due to the development of technologies, complex computation of huge data set is possible with a prevalent personal computer. Therefore, machine learning methods have been widely applied in the hydrologic field such as regression-based regional frequency analysis (RFA). The main purpose of this study is to compare two frameworks of RFA based on the artificial neural network (ANN) models: quantile regression technique (QRT-ANN) and parameter regression technique (PRT-ANN). As an output layer of the ANN model, the QRT-ANN predicts quantiles for various return periods whereas the PRT-ANN provides prediction of three parameters for the generalized extreme value distribution. Rainfall gauging sites where record length is more than 20 years were selected and their annual maximum rainfalls and various hydro-meteorological variables were used as an input layer of the ANN model. While employing the ANN model, 70% and 30% of gauging sites were used as training set and testing set, respectively. For each technique, ANN model structure such as number of hidden layers and nodes was determined by a leave-one-out validation with calculating root mean square error (RMSE). To assess the performances of two frameworks, RMSEs of quantile predicted by the QRT-ANN are compared to those of the PRT-ANN.

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TIME SERIES PREDICTION USING INCREMENTAL REGRESSION

  • Kim, Sung-Hyun;Lee, Yong-Mi;Jin, Long;Chai, Duck-Jin;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume II
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    • pp.635-638
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    • 2006
  • Regression of conventional prediction techniques in data mining uses the model which is generated from the training step. This model is applied to new input data without any change. If this model is applied directly to time series, the rate of prediction accuracy will be decreased. This paper proposes an incremental regression for time series prediction like typhoon track prediction. This technique considers the characteristic of time series which may be changed over time. It is composed of two steps. The first step executes a fractional process for applying input data to the regression model. The second step updates the model by using its information as new data. Additionally, the model is maintained by only recent data in a queue. This approach has the following two advantages. It maintains the minimum information of the model by using a matrix, so space complexity is reduced. Moreover, it prevents the increment of error rate by updating the model over time. Accuracy rate of the proposed method is measured by RME(Relative Mean Error) and RMSE(Root Mean Square Error). The results of typhoon track prediction experiment are performed by the proposed technique IMLR(Incremental Multiple Linear Regression) is more efficient than those of MLR(Multiple Linear Regression) and SVR(Support Vector Regression).

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중회귀식을 이용한 원주시 $SO_2$ 오염도 예보기법 개발에 관한 연구 (On the Development of the Statistical $SO_2$ Forecasting Technique by the Multiple Regression Analysis in Wonju City)

  • 송동웅
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제7권6호
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    • pp.827-831
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    • 1998
  • Statistical $SO_2$ forecasting technique by multiple regression analysis was designed and developed to predict $SO_2$ concentration in Wonju City. $SO_2$ concentration data measured from air pollution monitoring system and meteorological factors data such as : wind speed, atmospheric stability, surface temperature, relative humidity and precipitation were used in Wonju City during the 1996~1997. As the results, correlation model for forecasting was well fitted with some parameters including minimum temperature, wind speed and the $SO_2$ concentration of the previous day.

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Multiple Regression Technique for Productivity Analysis of the Jointed Plane Concrete Pavement (JPCP)

  • Yoo, Wi-Sung
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.268-276
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    • 2008
  • In highway construction projects, concrete pavement productivity has been challenged with constructors and decision-makers; at present there are few methods available to accurately evaluate the factors impacting on it. Any inefficient method to analyze it leads to the excessive schedule, higher rehabilitation costs, shorter service life, and reduction of ride quality. To implement these negative outcomes, constructors or decision-makers need a systematic tool that can be used to categorize the factors related to construction productivity. This paper applies multiple regression technique for productivity analysis of the Jointed Plane Concrete Pavement (JPCP), identifies the significant factors, and provides a predictive model assisting in monitoring and managing the productivity of the JPCP construction process. The completed and progressive projects are employed to derive and assess the proposed model. The results are analyzed to illustrate its capabilities.

작품 가격 추정을 위한 기계 학습 기법의 응용 및 가격 결정 요인 분석 (Price Determinant Factors of Artworks and Prediction Model Based on Machine Learning)

  • 장동률;박민재
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.687-700
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to investigate the interaction effects between price determinants of artworks. We expand the methodology in art market by applying machine learning techniques to estimate the price of artworks and compare linear regression and machine learning in terms of prediction accuracy. Methods: Moderated regression analysis was performed to verify the interaction effects of artistic characteristics on price. The moderating effects were studied by confirming the significance level of the interaction terms of the derived regression equation. In order to derive price estimation model, we use multiple linear regression analysis, which is a parametric statistical technique, and k-nearest neighbor (kNN) regression, which is a nonparametric statistical technique in machine learning methods. Results: Mostly, the influences of the price determinants of art are different according to the auction types and the artist 's reputation. However, the auction type did not control the influence of the genre of the work on the price. As a result of the analysis, the kNN regression was superior to the linear regression analysis based on the prediction accuracy. Conclusion: It provides a theoretical basis for the complexity that exists between pricing determinant factors of artworks. In addition, the nonparametric models and machine learning techniques as well as existing parameter models are implemented to estimate the artworks' price.

Seismic response of soil-structure interaction using the support vector regression

  • Mirhosseini, Ramin Tabatabaei
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제63권1호
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, a different technique to predict the effects of soil-structure interaction (SSI) on seismic response of building systems is investigated. The technique use a machine learning algorithm called Support Vector Regression (SVR) with technical and analytical results as input features. Normally, the effects of SSI on seismic response of existing building systems can be identified by different types of large data sets. Therefore, predicting and estimating the seismic response of building is a difficult task. It is possible to approximate a real valued function of the seismic response and make accurate investing choices regarding the design of building system and reduce the risk involved, by giving the right experimental and/or numerical data to a machine learning regression, such as SVR. The seismic response of both single-degree-of-freedom system and six-storey RC frame which can be represent of a broad range of existing structures, is estimated using proposed SVR model, while allowing flexibility of the soil-foundation system and SSI effects. The seismic response of both single-degree-of-freedom system and six-storey RC frame which can be represent of a broad range of existing structures, is estimated using proposed SVR model, while allowing flexibility of the soil-foundation system and SSI effects. The results show that the performance of the technique can be predicted by reducing the number of real data input features. Further, performance enhancement was achieved by optimizing the RBF kernel and SVR parameters through grid search.

진화적 기호회귀 분석기법 기반의 호우 특보 예측 알고리즘 (A Prediction Algorithm for a Heavy Rain Newsflash using the Evolutionary Symbolic Regression Technique)

  • 현병용;이용희;서기성
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제20권7호
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    • pp.730-735
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    • 2014
  • This paper introduces a GP (Genetic Programming) based robust technique for the prediction of a heavy rain newsflash. The nature of prediction for precipitation is very complex, irregular and highly fluctuating. Especially, the prediction of heavy precipitation is very difficult. Because not only it depends on various elements, such as location, season, time and geographical features, but also the case data is rare. In order to provide a robust model for precipitation prediction, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP is suggested. The remaining part of the study is to evaluate the performance of prediction for a heavy rain newsflash using a GP based nonlinear regression technique in Korean regions. Analysis of the feature selection is executed and various fitness functions are proposed to improve performances. The KLAPS data of 2006-2010 is used for training and the data of 2011 is adopted for verification.

On a Transformation Technique for Nonparametric Regression

  • Kim, Woochul;Park, Byeong U.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.217-233
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    • 1996
  • This paper gives a rigorous proof of an asymptotic result about bias and variance for a transformation-based nonparametric regression estimator proposed by Park et al (1995).

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A Technique to Improve the Fit of Linear Regression Models for Successive Sets of Data

  • Park, Sung H.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 1976
  • In empirical study for fitting a multiple linear regression model for successive cross-sections data observed on the same set of independent variables over several time periods, one often faces the problem of poor $R^2$, the multiple coefficient of determination, which provides a standard measure of how good a specified regression line fits the sample data.

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