• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regression Formula

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Flood Forecasting and Warning System using Real-Time Hydrologic Observed Data from the Jungnang Stream Basin (실시간 수문관측자료에 의한 돌발 홍수예경보 시스템 -중랑천 유역을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Jong-Tae;Seo, Kyung-A;Hur, Sung-Chul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.51-65
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    • 2010
  • We suggest a simple and practical flood forecasting and warning system, which can predict change in the water level of a river in a small to medium-size watershed where flash flooding occurs in a short time. We first choose the flood defense target points, through evaluation of the flood risk of dike overflow and lowland inundation. Using data on rainfall, and on the water levels at the observed and prediction points, we investigate the interrelations and derive a regression formula from which we can predict the flood level at the target points. We calculate flood water levels through a calibrated flood simulation model for various rainfall scenarios, to overcome the shortage of real water stage data, and these results as basic population data are used to derive a regression formula. The values calculated from the regression formula are modified by the weather condition factor, and the system can finally predict the flood stages at the target points for every leading time. We also investigate the applicability of the prediction procedure for real flood events of the Jungnang Stream basin, and find the forecasting values to have close agreement with the surveyed data. We therefore expect that this suggested warning scheme could contribute usefully to the setting up of a flood forecasting and warning system for a small to medium-size river basin.

Correlations Between the Physical Properties and Compression Index of KwangYang Clay (광양점토의 물리적 특성과 압축지수의 상관성)

  • Bae, Wooseok;Kim, Jongwoo
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2009
  • The correlation equation empirically proposed to obtain compression indexes has been proposed to conveniently obtain the value using the soil parameter that can be obtained through simple tests when the number of time of consolidation testing is low or the distribution is large but most of the analyzed regions are limited to certain regions abroad or in the country and multiple data were integrated for use in many cases, thus it is not very reasonable to apply it. Therefore, to establish a new design method considering the uncertainty of the ground, it was selected the Kwangyang port area of which the data have been collected recently thus are relatively more reliable as the subject region of the study in order to maximally reduce the uncertainty of test data. After performing the verification of the normality of the consolidation test data obtained from the selected region and the transformation of variables, a prediction formula was proposed through the regression model with the transformed variables and the proposed regression model with transformed variables was compared with existing empirical equations to verify the suitability of the proposed model formula. After analyzing, it was confirmed that the coefficient of determination was increased after the Box-Cox variable transformation, thus the explanatory power was being enhanced and through the root-mean-square-error method, it was confirmed that the proposed model formula showed the most closed value to the test value.

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Development of Jacket Pattern for Muscular Men (근육형 남성용 재킷 패턴설계)

  • Jeong, Hye-Jin;Kim, So-Ra
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.137-153
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    • 2009
  • Recently, young men have become more muscular as they become more interested in physical figure. However, most of these muscular men have fit problems regarding ready-made clothes. In view of this, this study aimed to develop a prototype jacket pattern for muscular men. For this study, five muscular men were selected to put on existing jacket pattern for wearing tests. The regression formula, in which muscular men body measures were adopted, was applied to unsuitable parts, especially the areas determined not to be appropriate in the evaluation of existing jacket pattern wearing tests. After the first and the second jacket pattern wearing tests, the final jacket pattern suitable for muscular men was developed. The results of the study were as follows: In order to make up for the problem of the loosening of the lapel area, due to the development of the chest muscle, the chest circumference line on the chest area of the pattern was cut to be 1.0cm wide; thus, the front length was modified with an increase. The wearing tests found that a wearers felt discomfort from the tight armhole area, so the armhole depth was set to be a little lower than that of ready-made clothes. A muscular men needs much more extra quantity in this area because the upper part of the back side is projected due to the greater development of the trapezius muscle and the deltoid than in average men. Hence, concerning the standard line for the length of the back interscye, ease of 1.0cm was added to the regression equation formula {(0.371${\times}$chest circumference+3.145)/2} in order to resolve the discomfort with the back area. Also, for the biacromion length, the upper arm protruded more than the shoulder point of the jacket because of the development of the deltoid and the upper arm muscle, and it was set to be wider than the actual shoulder. In order to solve the problem of discomfort from the narrow neck area during the wearing of a jacket owing to the development of the trapezius muscle, extra ease of 0.5cm was added to chest circumference/12-0.5cm in the existing jacket prototype to the width of back of the neck, and it was corrected to be chest circumference/12.

A Experimental Study on the Depth of Scour to Formula Estimated of the Pattern Pier (원형 교각의 세굴심 산정식 개발에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • Baek, Kyung-Won;Park, Soo-Jin;Lee, Yeong-Seop;Choi, Han-Kuy
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2010
  • This study was intended to compare and evaluate the value obtained from the existing formula for calculating the depth of scour and the valey from experimental model through the investigation of hydraulic characteristics and pier data in the area of rivers at Gangwon Province, and the sensitivity analysis, which is a statistical method, of the elements affecting the scour of the pier was carried out. As a result, a deviation between the values of existing formulas and experimental model reached about 1.09%$^{\circ}$63.98%, indicating that existing formula was found not to be appropriate at the rivers in Gangwon Province. A sensitivity analysis was carried out based on value obtained from experimental model and consequently, the elements affecting the scour were size of pier accounting for 64% and water depth accounting for 36%. Finally, a formula for calculating the scour of the pattern piers at the rivers in Gangwon Province was developed using the regression analysis.

Evaluation of Indentation Fracture Toughens in Brittle Materials Based on FEA Solutions (유한요소해에 기초한 취성재료의 압입파괴인성평가)

  • Hyun, Hong Chul;Lee, Jin Heang;Felix, Rickhey;Lee, Hyungyil
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.37 no.12
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    • pp.1503-1512
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we proposed an indentation evaluation method for fracture toughness using cohesive finite element simulations. First, we examined the effect of material properties (yield strain, Poisson's ratio, and elastic modulus) on crack size during Vickers indentation and then generated a regression formula that explains the relations among fracture toughness, indentation load, and crack size. We also proposed another indentation formula for fracture toughness evaluation using the contact size a and E/H (H: hardness). Finally, we examined the relation between the crack size and the indenter shapes. Based on this, we can generate from the formula obtained using the Vickers indenter a formula for an indenter of different shapes. Using the proposed method, fracture toughness is directly estimated from indentation data.

Development of a New Munk-type Breaker Height Formula Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 이용한 새로운 Munk-type 쇄파파고 예측식의 제안)

  • Choi, Byung-Jong;Nam, Hyung-Sik;Lee, Kwang-Ho
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2021
  • Breaking wave is one of the important design factors in the design of coastal and port structures as they are directly related to various physical phenomena occurring on the coast, such as onshore currents, sediment transport, shock wave pressure, and energy dissipation. Due to the inherent complexity of the breaking wave, many empirical formulas have been proposed to predict breaker indices such as wave breaking height and breaking depth using hydraulic models. However, the existing empirical equations for breaker indices mainly were proposed via statistical analysis of experimental data under the assumption of a specific equation. In this study, a new Munk-type empirical equation was proposed to predict the height of breaking waves based on a representative linear supervised machine learning technique with high predictive performance in various research fields related to regression or classification challenges. Although the newly proposed breaker height formula was a simple polynomial equation, its predictive performance was comparable to that of the currently available empirical formula.

Residual capacity assessment of post-damaged RC columns exposed to high strain rate loading

  • Abedini, Masoud;Zhang, Chunwei
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.389-408
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    • 2022
  • Residual capacity is defined as the load carrying capacity of an RC column after undergoing severe damage. Evaluation of residual capacity of RC columns is necessary to avoid damage initiation in RC structures. The central aspect of the current research is to propose an empirical formula to estimate the residual capacity of RC columns after undergoing severe damage. This formula facilitates decision making of whether a replacement or a repair of the damaged column is adequate for further use. Available literature mainly focused on the simulation of explosion loads by using simplified pressure time histories to develop residual capacity of RC columns and rarely simulated the actual explosive. Therefore, there is a gap in the literature concerning general relation between blast damage of columns with different explosive loading conditions for a reliable and quick evaluation of column behavior subjected to blast loading. In this paper, the Arbitrary Lagrangian Eulerian (ALE) technique is implemented to simulate high fidelity blast pressure propagations. LS-DYNA software is utilized to solve the finite element (FE) model. The FE model is validated against the practical blast tests, and outcomes are in good agreement with test results. Multivariate linear regression (MLR) method is utilized to derive an analytical formula. The analytical formula predicts the residual capacity of RC columns as functions of structural element parameters. Based on intensive numerical simulation data, it is found that column depth, longitudinal reinforcement ratio, concrete strength and column width have significant effects on the residual axial load carrying capacity of reinforced concrete column under blast loads. Increasing column depth and longitudinal reinforcement ratio that provides better confinement to concrete are very effective in the residual capacity of RC column subjected to blast loads. Data obtained with this study can broaden the knowledge of structural response to blast and improve FE models to simulate the blast performance of concrete structures.

Crack Propagation Behavior of Small Variable Load within Tensile Load Range (인장하중 범위내 작은 병동하중의 균열성장 거동)

  • 김엽래
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.279-286
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    • 1998
  • Fatigue crack propagation behavior for variable load in high strength aluminum alloys was investigated in this study. The materials used in this study are aluminum 7075-T651 and 5052-H32 alloys. Crack length was measured from calibration curve, which was plotted by known crack length and resistance of standard specimens. Load was obtained from linear regression formula. Unloading elastic compliance method was ap;ied to check the crack closure and cracked area.

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Detecting Influential Observations on the Smoothing Parameter in Nonparametric Regression

  • Kim, Choong-Rak;Jeon, Jong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.495-506
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    • 1995
  • We present formula for detecting influential observations on the smoothing parameter in smoothing spline. Further, we express them as functions of basic building blocks such as residuals and leverage, and compare it with the local influence approach by Thomas (1991). An example based on a real data set is given.

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On an Approximation for Calculating Multivariate t Orthant Probabilities

  • Hea Jung Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.629-635
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    • 1997
  • An approximation for multivariate t probability for an orhant region(i.e., a rectangular resion with lower limits of $-\infty$ for all margins) is proposed. It is based on conditional expectations, a regression with binary variables, and the exact formula for the evalution of the bivariate t integrals by Dunnett and Sobel. It is noted that the proposed approximation method is espicially useful for evaluating the multivariate t integrals where there is no simple method available until now.

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