• 제목/요약/키워드: Regional regression model

검색결과 333건 처리시간 0.024초

고혈압 약물치료율의 지역 간 변이에 관한 연구 (A Study on The Regional Variation of Hypertension Medication Rate)

  • 석향숙;강성홍
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제11권9호
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    • pp.255-265
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 고혈압 약물치료율의 지역 간 변이요인을 규명하고 이를 지역별 맞춤형 고혈압 환자 관리 사업계획을 수립할 수 있는 기초자료로 활용하기 위해 수행되었다. 자료는 지역사회건강조사 자료, 통계청 자료, 국민건강보험공단 자료를 수집하였으며 지리적 가중 회귀분석 기법을 이용하여 분석하였다. 고혈압 약물치료율의 지역 간 변이요인을 분석한 결과 지역 간 고혈압 약물치료율에 영향을 미치는 요인은 지역의 양호한 주관적 건강수준 인지율, 의료급여자의 비율, 인구10만명당 보건기관 수로 나타났다. 지리적 가중 회귀모형에 따라 고혈압 약물치료율에 영향을 미치는 주요 변수로 구성된 총 230개의 지역별 회귀모형이 산출되었다. 그럼에도 불구하고 모형의 설명력이 높지 않는 등 연구의 제한점이 있었다. 따라서 고혈압 환자의 실제 투약순응도를 반영한 후속연구가 필요할 것이다.

고혈압 질환의 지역간 입원의료이용 변이에 관한 연구 (A Study on Small Area Variations of Hospital Services Utilization in Hypertensive Disease)

  • 권영채;이경수
    • 한국임상보건과학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2013
  • Purpose. This study is to find the degree of variations and trends of hospital services utilization for hypertensive disease, and have done the comparative analysis of the factors affecting occurring some variations. For this, this study uses the data for patients-survey and health-survey of a regional society by Korea Institute for Heath and Social Affairs in 2008; The regional units are classified into 160 of medium size medical service areas. Methods. I understand the level of variation by using index of Extremal Quotient(EQ) and Coefficient Variation(CV), and analyze critical factors influencing some differences in hospital services utilization by using multi-regression model. Results. The main results are followed:The first, in case of rate of hospital services utilization according to standarization of sex and age by small area, I find the variations of EQ 5.3 and CV 0.3; In Ho-nam, especially, the variation of high rank of 10 of age shows higher distribution. The second, the results analyzing the factors influencing on hospital services utilization by multi regression model are that a number of bed hospitals is significant positive relationship and EQ-5D of health behavior is significant negative one. Conclusions. To increase equity of hospital services utilization for hypertensive disease, this study requests the appropriate supply management of bed hospitals by region, efficient allocation of resources, and revitalization of the health promotion program.

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낙동강 유역의 유역 유출량 산정에 따른 지역별 가뭄 빈도분석 (Regional Drought Frequency Analysis with Estimated Monthly Runoff Series in the Nakdong River Basin)

  • 김성원
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제41권5호
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    • pp.53-67
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    • 1999
  • In this study, regional frequency analysis is used to determine each subbasin drought frequency with watershed runoff which is calculated with Tank Model in Nakdong river basin. L-Monments methd which is almost unbiased and nearly normal distribution is applied to estimate paramers of drought frequency analysis of monthly runoff time series. The duration of '76-77 was the most severe drought year than othe rwater years in this study. To decide drought frequency of each subbasin from the main basin, it is calculated by interpolaing runoff from the frequency-druoght runoff relationship. and the linear regression analysis is accomplished between drought frequency of main basin and that of each subbasin. With the results of linear regression analysis, the drought runoff of each subbasin is calculated corresponing to drought frequency 10,20 and 30 years of Nakdong river basin considering safety standards for the design of impounding facilities. As the results of this study, the proposed methodology and procedure of this study can be applied to water budget analysis considering safety standards for the design of impounding facilities in the large-scale river basin. For this purpose, above all, it is recommanded that expansion of reliable observed runoff data is necessary instead of calculated runoff by rainfall-runoff conceptual model.

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지역별 회전교차로 사고모형 개발 및 논의 (Development of Roundabout Accident Models by Region)

  • 손슬기;박병호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2018
  • PURPOSES : The goal of this study is the development of roundabout accident models for urban and non-urban areas. METHODS : This study performed a comparative analysis of the regional factors affecting accidents. Traffic accident data were collected for the period 2010~2014 from the TAAS data set of the Road Traffic Authority. To develop the roundabout accident models, the Poisson and negative binomial regression models were used. A total of 25 explanatory variables such as geometry, and traffic volume were used. RESULTS : The key findings are as follows: First, it was found that the null hypotheses that the number of accidents is the same should be rejected. Second, three Poisson regression accident models, which are statistically significant (${\rho}^2$ of 0.154 and 0.385) were developed. Third, it was noted that although the common variable of the three models (models I~III) is the number of entry lanes, the specific variables are entry lane width, roundabout sign, number of circulatory roadways, splitter island, number of exit lanes, exit lane width, number of approach roads, and truck apron. CONCLUSIONS : The results of this study can provide suggestive countermeasures for decreasing the number of roundabout accidents.

빅 데이터를 활용한 대학의 지역·권역별 학과의 미충원 파급구조 연구: 패널회귀모형과 토빗회귀모형의 응용을 중심으로 (A Study on the Dissemination Structure of Unfilled Positions in Universities Across the Country using Big Data: Using Panel and Tobit Regression Model)

  • 채동우;정군오
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.33-52
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    • 2023
  • This study observes the difference in the actual regional ripple effect of the decrease in admission resources due to the decrease in school age population, which has been weak in empirical studies, and how much the decrease in competition rate by department nationwide provides a significant shock to the decrease in enrollment rate in the population unit. An empirical quantitative analysis was attempted. As a result of applying the panel-tobit regression model, a clear gap was confirmed in the decrease in the registration rate due to the decrease in the competition rate both nationally and in the provinces, and in particular, a highly significant relationship was derived with the decrease in the recruitment rate. In particular, the sensitivity of the risk of unrecruitment due to a decrease in competition rate was the highest in the Jeolla region (0.499), followed by the Gangwon region (0.475) and the Gyeongsang region (0.471), and the metropolitan region (0.158) was confirmed to be the most stable. This suggests that the gap in insufficient funding has gradually widened by region over the past 10 years, and that the shock wave becomes more pronounced in the provinces farther away from the metropolitan area. Based on this study, if we deviate from the standardized application of university development policies for the metropolitan area and regional universities, and present a customized higher education strategy for each region, it will be an opportunity to prevent local extinction due to a decrease in the school-age population and achieve coexistence with higher education institutions and regions at the same time.

도시인구분포모형 개발을 위한 GA모형과 회귀모형의 적합성 비교연구 (A Comparative Study on the Genetic Algorithm and Regression Analysis in Urban Population Surface Modeling)

  • 최내영
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제18권5호
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 최근 다수 도시개발사업들이 활발히 진행되고 있는 화성시 동부권을 사례대상지로하여 행정구역 단위 인구데이터를 격자형 인구분포자료로 변환한 후 인구유인을 유발할 것으로 예상되는 주요 도시계획관련 공간변수들을 GIS로 측정 대입하여 제네틱 알고리즘기법과 회귀분석기법 두 가지 방법으로 일종의 도시인구분포모형을 구축하였다. 두 가지 모형의 분석결과를 통해 도시환경 해석에 있어서의 두 기법의 성능상 특장점을 비교해 보았으며, 분석결과 GA기법은 변수 설명력에 관한 변별력에 있어 일반회귀분석보다 우월한 특징이 있음을 알 수 있었고 따라서 회귀분석과 병행할 경우 매우 직관적이며 보완적인 도시분석기법이 될 수 있음을 확인할 수 있었다.

회귀모형을 이용한 전북지역 미계측 유역의 저유량 해석 (The analysis of the low-flow statistics using regression model at the Chonbuk regional ungaged basin)

  • 조기태;박영기;이장춘
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the low-flow statistics at the mountainous watershed. The formulation for the estimation of the design low-flow statistics was obtained by means of a hydraulic approach applied to a simple conceptual model for a mountainous watershed. Three of the independent variables associated with the low-flow statistics is watershed area(A), average basin slope(S) and the base flow recession constant(K); Watershed area was measured from topographic maps and average basin slope is approximated in this study using Strahler's slope determining method. And base flow recession constant computed using Vogel and Kroll's method. Unfortunately, this method is usually unavailable at ungaged sites. In this study, recession constant at ungaged sites is estimated using graphical regression method used by Giese and Mason. The model for estimating low-flow statistics were applied to all 61 catchments in the Sumjin, Mankyung basin.

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재해연보 자료를 이용한 지역 단위 수해폐기물 발생량 예측 모형 개발: 울산광역시 사례 연구 (Development of Regional Flood Debris Estimation Model Utilizing Data of Disaster Annual Report: Case Study on Ulsan City)

  • 박만호;김호남;주문솔;김희종;김재영
    • 한국폐기물자원순환학회지
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    • 제35권8호
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    • pp.777-784
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    • 2018
  • Since climate change increases the risk of extreme rainfall events, concerns on flood management have also increased. In order to rapidly recover from flood damages and prevent secondary damages, fast collection and treatment of flood debris are necessary. Therefore, a quick and precise estimation of flood debris generation is a crucial procedure in disaster management. Despite the importance of debris estimation, methodologies have not been well established. Given the intrinsic heterogeneity of flood debris from local conditions, a regional-scale model can increase the accuracy of the estimation. The objectives of this study are 1) to identify significant damage variables to predict the flood debris generation, 2) to ascertain the difference in the coefficients, and 3) to evaluate the accuracy of the debris estimation model. The scope of this work is flood events in Ulsan city region during 2008-2016. According to the correlation test and multicollinearity test, the number of damaged buildings, area of damaged cropland, and length of damaged roads were derived as significant parameters. Key parameters seems to be strongly dependent on regional conditions and not only selected parameters but also coefficients in this study were different from those in previous studies. The debris estimation in this study has better accuracy than previous models in nationwide scale. It can be said that the development of a regional-scale flood debris estimation model will enhance the accuracy of the prediction.

질환성 심정지 발생의 지역별 변이에 관한 연구 (A Study on Regional Variations for Disease-specific Cardiac Arrest)

  • 박일수;김은주;김유미;홍성옥;김영택;강성홍
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.353-366
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구의 목적은 심정지 발생의 지역별 변이요인을 규명하는 것이다. 분석을 위하여 244개 행정구역별로 건강상태 및 심정지발생에 관한 지표를 수집하여 분석용 데이터 셋을 구축하였다. 지표 선정을 위해 질병관리본부의 2010년 심정지 조사자료와 지역사회 건강조사자료를 이용하였다. 자료 분석은 다중회귀분석, 지리적 가중회귀분석, 의사결정나무분석 기법을 이용하였다. 의사결정나무를 이용하여 심정지 발생의 지역별 변이를 설명하는 최종 모형을 설정하였다. 최종 모형인 의사결정나무에 근거한 지역별 변이요인은 인구밀도, 고혈압 평생의사 경험진단율, 스트레스 인지율, 고지혈증 평생의사 경험진단율, 우울증 경험률, 건강검진 수검율, 고위험음주율, 현재 흡연율로 나타났다. 심정지 발생을 감소시키기 위한 지역별 보건정책의 수립은 지역의 건강상태, 건강행위 및 사회경제적 요인 등에 근거하여 이루어질 필요가 있다.

단독주택가격 추정을 위한 기계학습 모형의 응용 (Application of machine learning models for estimating house price)

  • 이창로;박기호
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제51권2호
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    • pp.219-233
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    • 2016
  • 수리 또는 계량적 모형을 사용하는 사회과학연구에서 분석의 초점은 종속변수와 설명변수의 관계를 밝히는 것, 즉 설명 중심의 모형(explanatory modeling)이 지금까지 주류를 이루었다. 반면 예측(prediction) 능력 제고에 초점을 맞춘 분석은 드물었다. 본 연구에서는 이론 및 가설을 검증하거나 변수 간의 관계를 밝히는 설명 중심의 모형이 아니라 신규 관찰치에 대한 예측 오차를 줄이는, 예측 중심의 비모수 모형(non-parametric model)을 검토하였다. 서울시 강남구를 사례지역으로 선정한 후, 2011년부터 2014년까지 신고된 단독주택 실거래가를 기초자료로 하여 주택가격을 추정하였다. 적용한 비모수 모형은 기계학습 분야에서 제시된 일반가산모형(generalized additive model), 랜덤 포리스트, MARS(multivariate adaptive regression splines), SVM(support vector machines) 등이며 비교적 최근에 개발된 MARS나 SVM의 예측력이 뛰어남을 확인할 수 있었다. 마지막으로 이러한 비모수 모형에 공간적 자기상관성을 추가적으로 반영한 결과, 모형의 가격 예측력이 보다 개선되었음을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구를 계기로 그간 모수 모형에 집중되었던 부동산 가격추정 방법론이 비모수 모형으로 확대 및 다양화되기를 기대한다.

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