• 제목/요약/키워드: Regional climate

검색결과 869건 처리시간 0.027초

방글라데시의 기상학적 가뭄 변동성 평가 (Assessment of the Historical Variability of Meteorological Drought in Bangladesh)

  • 모하마드 캄루자먼;황세운;조재필;장민원
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권3호
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2019
  • Drought is the recurrent natural disasters which harshly affect agricultural production and society in various parts in Bangladesh. Information on the spatiotemporal variability of drought events plays a vital role to take necessary action towards drought mitigation and sustainable development. This study aims to analyze the spatial and temporal variation of meteorological drought in Bangladesh during 1981-2015 using Effective Drought Index (EDI). Monthly precipitation data for 36 years (1980-2015) were obtained from 27 meteorological stations. Drought frequency (DF) and areal extent of drought were considered to investigate the spatiotemporal structure of drought. The DF analysis showed that the northern, southwestern and central regions of the country are comparatively vulnerable to meteorological drought. The frequency of drought in all categories has considerably increased during the recent five years from 2011 to 2015. Furthermore, the most significant increasing trend of the drought-affected area was found over the central region especially for pre-monsoon (March-May) season during this period while the decreasing trend of the affected area was found within the eastern region during the study period. To prevent and mitigate the damages of drought disasters in Bangladesh, agricultural and government managers should pay more attention to those regional drought events that occur in pre-monsoon season. The outcome of the present study can be used as explanatory data in building the strategies to drought monitoring and mitigation activities in Bangladesh.

Phenological Characteristics of Rhododendron Species in Temperate Mixed Broad-leaved Forests of Arunachal Himalaya, India

  • Paul, Ashish;Khan, Mohamed Latif;Das, Ashesh Kumar
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.435-450
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    • 2018
  • Phenological events of four Rhododendron tree species (viz. R. arboreum, R. arboreum ssp. delavayi var. delavayi, R. barbatum and R. kesangiae) was monitored in temperate mixed broad-leaved forests of Arunachal Pradesh, India. Phenological events like flower bud formation, flowering, fruit setting, fruit maturing, seed dispersal, leaf bud formation, leaf flushing, and leaf shedding were recorded. Indices i.e., phenophase sequence index (PSI), active phenophasic period of the species (APS) and index of reproductive/vegetative activity (RVA) were also calculated. Present study revealed that bark consistency, growth form and leaf pattern of the studied species have showed variations among the species. Rhododendron species exhibited the phenological events overlapping with other phenophases. The peak flower bud formation was observed during the winter; R. arboreum ssp. delavayi var. delavayi start flowering from December, while the flowering in rest three species exhibited during February to April. Fruit setting occurred during summer to autumn while fruit maturation revealed peak during November. Leaf bud formation illustrated two peaks in April and May, leaf flushing exhibited peak in June, while leaf shedding peaked during October to November. Active phenophasic period of the species were found 12 months, which revealed that species engage in various phenophase activities throughout the year. Phenophase sequence index ranged between 0.8 to 0.9 (PSI ${\geq}0.6$), signifies that species have a sequential arrangement of phenophases. Index of reproductive/vegetative activity of the species exemplified >1, indicate that the reproductive phenophases were dominance over vegetative phenophases. The study have provided substantial insight on the life cycle events of Rhododendron species and ecological approaches for further scientific study with recent climate change and effective management and conservation.

지역 이해당사자 참여 생태계서비스 간이평가 (Rapid Assessment of Ecosystem Services Apply to Local Stakeholders)

  • 김벼리;이재혁;김일권;김성훈;권혁수
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2019
  • This study suggested that various stakeholder can be participated in regional Environment planning and practical use of policy with rapid assessment of Ecosystem Services(ES). We applied to the rapid assessment of ES method to Ansan city and local registers selected Ecosystem assets that considered to space of ES. Ecosystem assets were measured 5 types Likert scale about 37 indicators of ES and confirm the main ES through the basic statistics. Furthermore Ecosystem assets classified according to similar character of ES. Ecosystem assets of Ansan were selected 47 site and Local climate regulation, Research and education, Primary production was high among the ES indicators. As a result two main group deduced that ecological education group(such as Research and education, Habitat) and safety regulation group(such as Air regulation, Fire regulation) through the factor analysis. In terms of location characteristics of each group, the ecological education-centered ecosystem assets were located near the downtown area, while the safety regulation group was located at the outskirts, such as mountains and coasts. This indicates that the ecological education about the habitat provision can be achieved in Ansan city downtown area and that outskirts should be approached from the aspect of ecological function to establish a plan. The result of Rapid assessment of ES, which can be lead a balanced and developmental consultation when establishing polices for environment planning and management in region.

기상청 국가태풍센터의 태풍 베스트트랙 생산체계 소개 (Algorithms for Determining Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA)'s Official Typhoon Best Tracks in the National Typhoon Center)

  • 김진연;황승언;김성수;오임용;함동주
    • 대기
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.381-394
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    • 2022
  • The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) National Typhoon Center has been officially releasing reanalyzed best tracks for the previous year's northwest Pacific typhoons since 2015. However, while most typhoon researchers are aware of the data released by other institutions, such as the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center (RSMC) Tokyo, they are often unfamiliar with the KMA products. In this technical note, we describe the best track data released by KMA, and the algorithms that are used to generate it. We hope that this will increase the usefulness of the data to typhoon researchers, and help raise awareness of the product. The best track reanalysis process is initiated when the necessary database of observations-which includes satellite, synoptic, ocean, and radar observations-has become complete for the required year. Three categories of best track information-position (track), intensity (maximum sustained winds and central pressure), and size (radii of high-wind areas)-are estimated based on scientific processes. These estimates are then examined by typhoon forecasters and other internal and external experts, and issued as an official product when final approval has been given.

Impacts of Urban Land Cover Change on Land Surface Temperature Distribution in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

  • Le, Thi Thu Ha;Nguyen, Van Trung;Pham, Thi Lan;Tong, Thi Huyen Ai;La, Phu Hien
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2021
  • Urban expansion, particularly converting sub-urban areas to residential and commercial land use in metropolitan areas, has been considered as a significant signal of regional economic development. However, this results in urban climate change. One of the key impacts of rapid urbanization on the environment is the effect of UHI (Urban Heat Island). Understanding the effects of urban land cover change on UHI is crucial for improving the ecology and sustainability of cities. This research reports an application of remote sensing data, GIS (Geographic Information Systems) for assessing effects of urban land cover change on the LST (Land Surface Temperature) and heat budget components in Ho Chi Minh City, where is one of the fastest urbanizing region of Vietnam. The change of urban land cover component and LST in the city was derived by using multi-temporal Landsat data for the period of 1998 - 2020. The analysis showed that, from 1998 to 2020 the city had been drastically urbanized into multiple directions, with the urban areas increasing from approximately 125.281 km2 in 1998 to 162.6 km2 in 2007, and 267.2 km2 in 2020, respectively. The results of retrieved LST revealed the radiant temperature for 1998 ranging from 20.2℃ to 31.2℃, while that for 2020 remarkably higher ranging from 22.1℃ to 42.3℃. The results also revealed that given the same percentage of urban land cover components, vegetation area is more effective to reduce the value of LST, meanwhile the impervious surface is the most effective factor to increase the value of the LST.

Optimization of SWAN Wave Model to Improve the Accuracy of Winter Storm Wave Prediction in the East Sea

  • Son, Bongkyo;Do, Kideok
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.273-286
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    • 2021
  • In recent years, as human casualties and property damage caused by hazardous waves have increased in the East Sea, precise wave prediction skills have become necessary. In this study, the Simulating WAves Nearshore (SWAN) third-generation numerical wave model was calibrated and optimized to enhance the accuracy of winter storm wave prediction in the East Sea. We used Source Term 6 (ST6) and physical observations from a large-scale experiment conducted in Australia and compared its results to Komen's formula, a default in SWAN. As input wind data, we used Korean Meteorological Agency's (KMA's) operational meteorological model called Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System (RDAPS), the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts' newest 5th generation re-analysis data (ERA5), and Japanese Meteorological Agency's (JMA's) meso-scale forecasting data. We analyzed the accuracy of each model's results by comparing them to observation data. For quantitative analysis and assessment, the observed wave data for 6 locations from KMA and Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency (KHOA) were used, and statistical analysis was conducted to assess model accuracy. As a result, ST6 models had a smaller root mean square error and higher correlation coefficient than the default model in significant wave height prediction. However, for peak wave period simulation, the results were incoherent among each model and location. In simulations with different wind data, the simulation using ERA5 for input wind datashowed the most accurate results overall but underestimated the wave height in predicting high wave events compared to the simulation using RDAPS and JMA meso-scale model. In addition, it showed that the spatial resolution of wind plays a more significant role in predicting high wave events. Nevertheless, the numerical model optimized in this study highlighted some limitations in predicting high waves that rise rapidly in time caused by meteorological events. This suggests that further research is necessary to enhance the accuracy of wave prediction in various climate conditions, such as extreme weather.

최근(2008-2019년) 하수도통계 자료 분석 기반 국내 하수재이용량 예측 (Recent(2008-2019) trend and expectations in future of the water reuse capacity based on the statistics of sewerage in Republic of Korea)

  • 마정혁;정성필
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제35권6호
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    • pp.477-487
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    • 2021
  • Due to the global climate change, Korean peninsula is has been experiencing flooding and drought severely. It is hard difficult to manage water resources sustainably, because due to intensive precipitation in short periods and severe drought has increased in Korea. Reused water from the wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) could be a sustainable and an alternative water source near the urban areas. In order to understand the patterns of water reuse in Korea, annual water reuses data according to the times and regional governments were investigated from 2008 to 2019. The reused water from WWTP in Korea has been mainly used for river maintenance flow and industrial use, while agricultural use of water reuse has decreased with time. Metropolitan cities in Korea such as Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Ulsan, and Incheon have been mainly used reused reusing water for river maintenance flow. Industrial water reuse has been limitedly applied recently for the planned industrial districts in Pohang, Gumi, Paju, and Asan. By using the collected annual water reuse data from the domestic sewerage statistics of sewerage, the optimistic and pessimistic future estimations of for future annual water reuse were suggested from 2020 to 2040 on a five year interval for every five years.

Epidemiologic Trends and Aspects of Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome Outbreaks in Korea and Japan, 2013~2017

  • Lee, Won-Chang;Park, Seung-Yong;Choe, Nong-Hoon;Kwon, Young Hwan
    • 항공우주의학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.75-79
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    • 2020
  • This study focuses on the comparative and quantitative analysis of the epidemiologic trends and aspects of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) outbreaks between Korea and Japan from 2013 to 2017. The following factors were analyzed; cumulative incidence rate (CIR), cases-fatality rate (CFR), and the epidemic aspects, including cases related to gender, male-to-female morbidity ratio (MFMR), age, seasonal, and geographical distributions. We observed 607 SFTS cases with CIR in Korea during the period 2013 to 2017 were as 0.24 per 100,000 populations and with a 127 fatal-cases (F.C.s), corresponding to a CFR of 20.9%, respectively. During the same period in Japan, 319 SFTS cases with a CIR of 0.05 and with 60 F.C.s to a CFR of 18.8% observed. When compared, the CIR of SFTS in Korea was significantly higher than in Japan (P<0.01), but there were no significant differences levels of the CFR and MFMR between Korea and Japan. Also, a higher incidence of SFTS was observed in people aged over 50-years or elders in Korea and those of 60-years or elders in Japan (P<0.01). The seasonal distribution of SFTS outbreak cases showed that the incidence in summer through autumn in Korea (92.4% of total cases) was higher than in Japan (65.2%), while the outbreaks of SFTS in spring was much higher in Japan (31.0%) than in Korea (7.4%), (P<0.01). The regional distribution revealed no significant difference between the eastern area (44.8%) and the western area (46.8%) of the Korean peninsula except Jeju-island (8.4%). However, in Japan, the incidence only occurred in Chubu-Kinki-Chugoku (30.3%), Shikoku (25.7%), Kyushu (42.6%) and Okinawa (0.3%), which are the western and southern areas of Japan. These differences in SFTS occurrence may reflect the influences of vector/hosts, climate, and geographical and cultural characteristics between the two countries.

농업가뭄 취약성 평가 및 가뭄취약지도 작성 (Assessing and Mapping Regional Vulnerability to Agricultural Drought)

  • 문영식;남원호;전민기;이승용;이광야
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.155-155
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    • 2020
  • 최근 전 세계적으로 기후변화 및 이상기후로 인해 홍수, 가뭄과 같은 수자원과 관련된 재해들의 빈도가 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 가뭄은 발생 시작 및 종료 시기가 명확하지 않고, 그 피해가 광범위한 특징으로 인해 농업분야에 직접적인 피해를 주고 있으며, 농산물 생산성 및 안정적인 농업용수 확보에 큰 영향을 미치고 있다. 과거 가뭄을 해석하기 위해서는 일반적으로 강수량, 가뭄지수 등 단일지표를 활용하여 가뭄을 평가하였으나, 최근 선제적인 가뭄대응을 위해 다양한 인자들을 종합하여 판단하는 취약성 평가 (Vulnerability Assessment) 개념을 도입하였다. 농업가뭄 취약성은 IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에서 기상 및 수문학적 가뭄에 의한 작물 생산 피해 및 가축의 피해를 동반할 수 있는 가능성으로 정의한다. 본 연구에서는 농업용 저수지 중심의 농업용수 기반 취약성 평가 항목을 선정하여 농업가뭄 취약지도를 작성하였다. 민감도, 노출도 및 적응능력 개념에 적합한 대응변수를 활용하여 저수지의 저수율, 용수 부족 및 가뭄 대응능력 뿐만 아니라 사회·환경적, 기상학적 영향을 고려한 평가 항목 선정하였다. 항목별 단위 및 특성을 통합하기 위해 스케일 재조정 (Re-Scaling), Z-Score 등 다양한 방법을 활용하여 표준화를 실시하였으며, AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process), 엔트로피 분석 등을 통해 항목별 가중치를 산정하였다. 또한 농업가뭄에 긍정적인 영향과 부정적인 영향을 미치는 항목을 구분하여 대응변수를 적용하였다. 이를 바탕으로 농업가뭄 취약성을 평가하여 항목별 등급을 구분하였으며, 전국 167개 시군을 대상으로 농업가뭄 취약지도를 작성하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 시군별 맞춤형 농업가뭄 대응정책의 기초자료 활용 가능하며, 농업가뭄 취약지역/상습가뭄지역에 대한 정보 제공이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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NOAA/AVHRR 정규식생지수의 시공간 변화도 분석 (Analysis of Spatial-temporal Variability of NOAA/AVHRR NDVI in Korea)

  • 김광섭;김종필
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제30권3B호
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    • pp.295-303
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    • 2010
  • 식생의 변화는 강수, 기온, 유출 등의 수문기상변수들의 변화와 상당히 밀접한 연관성을 가지고 있다. 식생의 변화에 대한 분석은 곧 기후변화의 지역적 영향을 이해하는데 큰 도움이 될 것이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 우리나라 지역에 대해서 NOAA/AVHRR 정규식생지수(NDVI)의 시공간변화도를 분석하였다. Mann-Kendall 검정을 이용한 연평균 정규식생지수의 추세분석결과는 대상기간(1982년~2006년)동안 대부분의 유역에서 통계적 유의성을 가진 선형적인 추세변화는 없는 것으로 나타났으나, 금강유역에서 통계적 신뢰수준 90%의 하향추세가 있었다. 또한 EOF 분석을 이용한 주성분분석결과 북쪽지역으로 갈수록 표고가 높을수록 식생의 변화도가 큰 것으로 나타났다. 이는 지형변화에 상관성이 높은 연평균 정규식생지수의 공간분포와 달리 위경도 변화에 대응하는 분산분포 변화특성에 기인한 것으로 판단된다. 계절별로는 6월~9월까지의 정규식생지수가 높게 나타났으며, 이 기간 중에서 7월경에 다소 감소하는 경향을 보여주었다. 유역별로는 한강유역의 정규식생지수가 가장 높았으며, 제주도가 가장 낮은 것으로 나타났다.