• 제목/요약/키워드: Regional Analysis

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CAUTION OF REGIONAL FLOOD FREQUENCY ANALYSIS BASED ON WEIBULL MODEL

  • Heo, Jun-Haeng;Lee, Dong-Jin;Kim, Kyung-Duk
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2000
  • Regional flood frequency analysis has been developed by employing the nearby site's information to improve a precision in estimating flood quantiles at the site of interest. In this paper, single site and regional flood frequency analyses were compared based of the 2-parameter Weibull model. For regional analysis, two approaches were employed. The First one is to use the asymptotic variances of the quantile estimators derived based of the assumption that all sites including the site of interest are independent each other. This approach may give the maximum regional gain due to the spatial independence assumption among sites. The second one in Hosking's regional L-moment algorithm. These methods were applied to annual flood data. As the results, both methods generally showed the regional gain at the site of interest depending on grouping the sites as homogeneous. And asymptotic formula generally shows smaller variance than those from Hosking's algorithm. If the shape parameter of the site of interest from single site analysis is quite different from that from regional analysis then Hosking's results might be better than the asymptotic ones because the formula was derived based on the assumption that all sites have the same regional shape parameter. Furthermore, in such a case, regional analysis might be worse than single site analysis in the sense of precision of flood quantile estimation. Even though the selected sites may satisfy Hosking's criteria, regional analysis may not give a regional gain for specific and nonexceedance probabilities.

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Gamma 및 비Gamma군 분포모형에 의한 강우의 지점 및 지역빈도 비교분석 (Ⅱ) (Comparative Analysis of Regional and At-site Analysis for the Design Rainfall by Gamma and Non-Gamma Family (Ⅱ))

  • 이순혁;류경식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권5호
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2004
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. The optimal regionalization of the precipitation data were classified by the above mentioned regionalization for all over the regions except Jeju and Ulleung islands in Korea. Design rainfalls following the consecutive duration were derived by the regional analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. Relative root mean square error (RRMSE), relative bias (RBIAS) and relative reduction (RR) in RRMSE for the design rainfall were computed and compared between the regional and at-site frequency analysis. It has shown that the regional frequency analysis procedure can substantially more reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE than those of at-site analysis in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the classified regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis using Generalized extreme value distribution which was identified to be more optimal one than the other applied distributions. Diagrams for the design rainfall derived by the regional frequency analysis using L-moments were drawn according to the regions and consecutive durations by GIS techniques.

고차확률가중모멘트법에 의한 지역화빈도분석과 GIS기법에 의한 설계강우량 추정 (III) - LH-모멘트법과 GIS 기법을 중심으로 - (Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis using Higher Probability Weighted Moments and GIS Techniques (III) - On the Method of LH-moments and GIS Techniques -)

  • 이순혁;박종화;류경식;지호근;신용희
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제44권5호
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation suggested by the first report of this project. According to the regions and consecutive durations, optimal design rainfalls were derived by the regional frequency analysis for L-moment in the second report of this project. Using the LH-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the optimal regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution among applied distributions. regional and at-site parameters of the GEV distribution were estimated by the linear combination of the higher probability weighted moments, LH-moment. Design rainfall using LH-moments following the consecutive duration were derived by the regional and at-site analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. Relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE), relative bias (RBIAS) and relative reduction (RR) in RRMSE for the design rainfall were computed and compared in the regional and at-site frequency analysis. Consequently, it was shown that the regional analysis can substantially more reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE than at-site analysis in the prediction of design rainfall. Relative efficiency (RE) for an optimal order of L-moments was also computed by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments for GEV distribution. It was found that the method of L-moments is more effective than the others for getting optimal design rainfall according to the regions and consecutive durations in the regional frequency analysis. Diagrams for the design rainfall derived by the regional frequency analysis using L-moments were drawn according to the regions and consecutive durations by GIS techniques.

이변량 지역빈도해석을 이용한 우리나라 극한 강우 분석 (Bivariate regional frequency analysis of extreme rainfalls in Korea)

  • 신주영;정창삼;안현준;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제51권9호
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    • pp.747-759
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    • 2018
  • 다변량 빈도해석과 지역빈도해석의 장점을 동시에 가지는 다변량 지역빈도해석은 다양한 변수를 고려함으로써 수문 현상에 대하여 많은 정보를 얻을 수 있고 많은 가용 자료 수로 인하여 높은 정확도의 분석결과를 도출할 수 있다. 현재까지는 우리나라의 강우 자료를 이용하여 다변량 지역빈도해석이 시도된 적이 없어 국내의 강우 자료를 대상으로 다변량 지역빈도해석의 적용성을 검토할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 다변량 지역빈도해석의 매개변수 추정, 최적 분포형 선정, 확률수문량 성장곡선 추정 등에 집중하여 이변량 수문자료인 연 최대 강우량-지속기간 자료에 대하여 이변량 지역빈도해석의 적용성을 평가하였다. 기상청 71개 지점에 대하여 분석을 실시하였다. 본 연구를 통해 적용된 지역강우자료의 최적 copula 모형으로는 Frank와 Gumbel copula 모형이 선택되었고 주변분포형에 대해서는 지역별로 Gumbel과 대수정규분포와 같은 다양한 분포형이 최적 분포형으로 선택되었다. 상대제곱근오차(relative root mean square error)를 기준으로 지역빈도해석이 지점빈도해석보다 안정적이고 정확한 확률수문량 곡선 추정을 하였다. 이변량 강우분석에서 지역빈도해석을 적용하면 안정적인 수공구조물 설계기준 제시와 강우-지속기간 관계를 모형화 할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Log-Pearson Type III 분포형에 의한 강우의 점빈도 및 지역빈도 비교분석 (Comparative Analysis of regional and at-site frequency for the design rainfall by Log-Pearson Type III Distribution)

  • 류경식;이순혁;맹승진;송기헌;김기창
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2003년도 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.475-478
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    • 2003
  • This study was conducted to compare the design rainfall derived by the at-site and regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. The regional and at-site design rainfalls were calculated by Log-Pearson type III distribution using Indirect Methods of Moments(WRC). The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), Relative bias(RBIAS) and Relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared between design rainfalls resulted from observed and simulated data using the regional and at-site analysis. It was shown that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS in comparison with those of at-site analysis. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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요인분석을 활용한 서울시 자치구/행정동의 지역균형지수 개발 (Development of Regional Balanced Index for Administrative Districts and Dongs in Seoul using Factor Analysis)

  • 김동근;박귀원;하소미;김도현
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제49권3호
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    • pp.375-392
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: Regional gaps and conflicts between regions due to Korea's economic development and industrialization have become important issues, and the issue of balanced regional development at regional level has been discussed as the size of the region has increased recently. Although evaluation of regional balance was attempted through various regional balanced development indexes, it is inappropriate as a standard for determining regional balance in Seoul. Therefore, this study aims to develop objective evaluation methodologies and evaluation indicators for balanced development of administrative districts in Seoul, not existing city and national units. Methods: We looked at existing regional balanced development indexes, and suggested a new regional balanced index reflecting regional development, backwardness, and spatial characteristics in Seoul using factor analysis. Results: As a result of factor analysis, the regional balanced development index for administrative districts and administrative dongs consists of two factors (regional revitalization, financial power) and three factors (commercial density, social security demand, regional retardness), respectively. Then the regional balanced development index scores for 116 administrative districts and 423 administrative dongs are calculated by multiplying each factor by a weight obtained through experts' survey. Conclusion: The proposed regional balanced development index can be used as an objective and quantitative basis for regional balanced development within a city. Further research may include continuously adding new indicators that reflect the direction and scale of development.

염산부플로메딜 정과 염산티클로피딘 정의 용출시험법 개발 (Development of Dissolution Test Method for Buflomedil Hydrochloride Tablets and Ticlopidine Hydrochloride Tablets)

  • 이륜경;정경록;오현숙;심지연;서상철;이효정;김민아;박성민;이규하;손경희;김인규;사홍기;최후균;조태용;홍충만
    • 약학회지
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    • 제56권4호
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    • pp.211-216
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    • 2012
  • Drug dissolution test has been used for the purpose of both quality control of solid oral dosage forms and predicting in vivo drug release profiles. In this study, the dissolution profiles of buflomedil hydrochloride tablets and ticlopidine hydrochloride tablets were investigated according to the "Guidelines on Specifications of Dissolution tests for Oral dosage forms" of Korean Pharmacopoeia (KP). The analytical method using HPLC was validated. The validation was performed in terms of specificity, linearity, accuracy, precision and limit of quantitation.

RT-PCR을 이용한 유전자변형파파야(55-1)검사법 확립 및 파파야가공식품의 적용 연구 (Establishment and application of a qualitative real-time polymerase chain reaction method for detecting genetically modified papaya line 55-1 in papaya products)

  • 권유진;정소영;조경철;박지은;구은주;서동혁;김유진;황지현;박성수;최선옥;임철주
    • 분석과학
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2015
  • Genetically modified (GM) papaya line 55-1, which is resistant to PRSV infection, has been marketed globally. Prompt and sensitive protocols for specific detections are essential for the traceability of this line. Here, an event- and construct-specific real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) method was established to detect 55-1. Qualitative detection was possible for fresh papaya fruit up to dilutions of 0.005% and 0.01% for the homozygous SunUp and heterozygous Rainbow cultivars, respectively, in non-GM papaya. The method was applied in the qualitative detection of 55-1 in eight types of commercially processed papaya products. Additionally, papaya products were monitored to distinguish GM papaya using the P35S and T-nos RT-PCR detection methods. As expected, detection capacity was improved via modified sample preparation and the established RT-PCR detection method. Taking these results together, it can be suggested that a suitable method for the extraction and purification of DNA from processed papaya products was established for the detection of GM papaya.

지역특산품 중 잔류농약 실태조사 (Monitoring of Pesticide Residues in Special Products)

  • 김미라;나미애;정우영;김창수;선남규;서은채;이은미;박유경;변정아;엄준호;정래석;이진하
    • 농약과학회지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.323-334
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 국내의 지리적표시제 등록특산물을 대상으로 농약 잔류실태를 조사하여 식품안전 정책수립의 기초자료와 잔류농약에 대한 식품의 안전성을 평가하고자, 지리적 표시 등록 특산물 17품목(마늘 1, 마늘 2, 마늘 3, 마늘 4,고추, 양파 1, 양파 2, 쌀 1, 쌀 2, 쌀 3, 참외, 사과, 밤, 대추, 황기, 표고버섯, 구기자)을 선정하여 잔류 실태를 조사하였다. 조사대상 농약으로는 다성분 분석농약 204종과 단성분 분석농약 5종(acephate, methamidophos, monocrotophos, omethoate, vamidothion)을 포함한 209종의 농약에 대해 잔류량을 조사하였으며, 분석장비로는 GC/MSMS, HPLC/UVD(PDA)와 GC/FPD를 사용하였다. 분석법방법으로는 식품공전의 83번 다성분분석법과 단성분분석법을 사용하였다. 분석결과 특산물 17품목 중 8품목(고추, 양파 1, 쌀 2, 쌀 3, 참외, 사과, 대추, 구기자)에서 잔류농약이 검출되었고, 검출시료수는 302건중 40건으로 13.2%의 잔류농약 검출율을 보였다. 그러나 모두 식품의 농약잔류허용기준 미만이었다.

지역화빈도분석에 의한 설계강우량 추정 - L-모맨트법을 중심으로 - (Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis - On the method of L-moments -)

  • 이순혁;박종화;류경식;지호근;전택기;신용희
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2001년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.319-323
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value distribution among apt]lied distributions. regional and at-site parameters of the Generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the method of L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), relative bias(RBIAS) and relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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