• 제목/요약/키워드: Regime Change

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말레이시아 선거권위주의체제의 변화 가능성: 13대 총선을 중심으로 (The Possible Change of the Electoral Authoritarianism in Malaysia: By Focusing on the 13th General Election)

  • 황인원
    • 동남아시아연구
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.45-87
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    • 2014
  • This study traces the possibility of political change in the Malaysian electoral history, especially by focusing on the 13th general election held in May 2013. The results of the 13th general election was another turning point in the history of Malaysia's electoral politics. Following after the 12th general election held in 2008, opposition coalition(PR) achieves a remarkable electoral result by obtaining over 50% of the total votes. Opposition parties also successfully collapsed the ruling coalition(BN)'s two-third majority in parliamentary. It was de-facto defeat of the ruling coalition and victory of the opposition coalition. More precisely, the 2013 election results show that the reformasi movement, which was active in 1998-99 period, are still alive and its impact on Malaysian electoral politics get stronger. Malaysia has long been considered as a typical electoral authoritarian regime since its independence in 1957. It is because that there has been negative relations between electoral politics and political change through out its electoral history. As shown in the most recent two general elections held in 2008 and 2013, however, Malaysia's hegemonic political system can be possibly changed through electoral politics. This article examines the detailed results of the series of post-reformarsi general elections(1999, 2004, 2008, 2013) and its political implications towards the nexus of electoral politics and political change under the electoral authoritarian regime in Malaysia.

금융시장 불확실성의 효과: 금융시장 위기 기간 중 국면전환이 발생하였는가? (The Effects of Financial Market Uncertainty: Does Regime Change Occur During Financial Market Crises?)

  • 김시원
    • 경제분석
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.70-99
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 주가지수, 원달러 환율, 국채수익률 및 신용스프레드로 구성된 Stochastic volatility-in-mean VAR 모형을 이용하여 금융시장 불확실성이 금융시장에 미치는 효과를 분석하였다. 첫째, 불확실성 증가충격의 효과는 경기후퇴적(recessionary)이며, 특히 주가 하락효과와 원달러 환율 상승효과가 강력한 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 금융시장 스트레스에 따른 국면전환(regime shift) 효과에 대한 분석에서는 금융시장 위기 기간 중 불확실성의 효과가 평상시에 비해 더욱 강력해진다는 결과를 얻었다. 마지막으로 금융시장 불확실성 증가는 금융부문을 넘어 실물부문까지 영향을 미치는 실질효과 가능성에 대한 증거가 제시되었다.

Climate change and fluctuations of pelagic fish populations in the Far East region

  • Gong, Yeong;Suh, Young-Sang
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2012
  • Time series of ocean climate indices and catch records were used to identify the alternation patterns of pelagic fish populations in relation to climate regime shifts. During 1910-2008, an orderly alternation of dominant pelagic fish groups was observed in the Tsushima Warm Current (TWC; Yellow Sea-East China Sea-East Sea/Japan Sea) and Kuroshio-Oyashio Current (KOC; Northwestern Pacific) regions. After the collapse of herring fishery in the late 1920s, the sardine (A group) dominated in the 1930s, 3 other species (C group; Pacific saury, jack mackerel, and anchovy) dominated in the 1950s-1960s, chub mackerel (B group) dominated in the 1970s, and then sardine (A group) dominated again during cool regime in the 1980s. As sardine biomass decreased in association with the climate regime shift that occurred in the late 1980s, catches of C group immediately increased after the regime shift and remained at high levels during warm regime in the 1990s. Alternations of dominant fish groups occurred 6 times between 1910 and 2008. The dominant period of the 7 species lasted for 10-20 years. The catch of Pacific sardine in the TWC and KOC regions showed a negative correlation with the catch of the other 5 species (Pacific herring, anchovy, jack mackerel, Pacific saury, and common squid), suggesting that the abundance of the 5 species is strongly affected by the abundance of Pacific sardine in relation to the climate regime shifts. The total catch level of the 7 species in the KOC region was generally higher than that in the TWC region before 1991 but was lower after 1992, suggesting that the fish populations in the Pacific side are shifted to the TWC region by zonal oscillation of the oceanic conditions in relation to the climate regime shift in the late 1980s.

SWAT 모형을 활용한 유황별 비점오염 저감 효율 분석 - 달천 유역을 대상으로 - (Analysis of Efficiency of Pollution Reduction Scenarios by Flow Regime Using SWAT Model - A case study for Dalcheon Basin -)

  • 김수홍;홍지영;박운지;김종건;임경재
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.469-482
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    • 2021
  • The recent climate change and urbanization have seen an increase in runoff and pollutant loads, and consequently significant negative water pollution. The characteristics of the pollutant loads vary among the different flow regime depending on their source and transport mechanism, However, pollutant load reduction based on flow regime perspectives has not been investigated thoroughly. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the effects of concentration on pollutant load characteristics and reductions from each flow regime to develop efficient pollution management. As non-point pollutants continuously increase due to the increase in impervious area, efficient management is necessary. Therefore, in this study, 1) the characteristics of pollutant sources were analyzed at the Dalcheon Basin, 2) reduction of nonpoint pollution, and 3) reduction efficiency for flow regimes were analyzed. By analyzing the characteristics of the Dalcheon Basin, a reduction efficiency scenario for each pollutant source was constructed. The efficiency analysis showed 0.06% to 5.62% for the living scenario, 0.09 to 24.62% for the livestock scenario, 0.17% to 12.81% for the industry scenario, 9.45% to 38.45% for the land scenario, and 9.8% to 39.2% for the composite scenario. Therefore, various pollution reduction scenarios, taking into account the characteristics of pollutants and flow regime characteristics, can contribute to the development of efficient measurements to improve water quality at various flow regime perspectives in the Dalcheon Basin.

The role of mass transfer layer on the tribological characteristics of silver-coated surfaces

  • Yang, Seung-Ho;Kong, Ho-Sung;Yoon, Eui-Sung;Kim, Dae-Eun
    • 한국윤활학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국윤활학회 2002년도 proceedings of the second asia international conference on tribology
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    • pp.153-154
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    • 2002
  • Wear map of silver coatings on AISI 52100 has been constructed to delineate the wear transition behavior with the change in operating conditions in various environments. Three main regimes were clearly identified: (i) elastic/plastic deformation of silver coating without failure. (ii) mild wear regime after initial failure of silver coating and (iii) severe wear regime. In the mild wear regime, the contact surfaces were covered with transfer layers of agglomerated wear particles. The transfer layer acted as a protective layer and resulted in low friction even after the initial failure of the coated films, whose characteristics were strongly dependent on both the operating and environmental conditions. Also, the existence of the critical sliding speed, above which no transfer layer was able to form, was discussed in the work.

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압력섭동과 연관된 연소응답모델에 기초한 고주파 연소불안정의 이론-수치적 고찰 (Hybridal Analysis of High-Frequency Combustion Instability with Pressure-Coupled Combustion Response Model)

  • 윤웅섭;이길용
    • 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국추진공학회 2003년도 제20회 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.253-257
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    • 2003
  • Theoretical-numerical analysis of wave instability is conducted with parametric response function model. Fluctuating instantaneous mass evaporation rate functionally coupled with pressure perturbations with phase lag is assumed to examine the validity of the method. With sufficiently large amplitude and less phase lag to perturbation, combustion response is resonant to pressure waves, unstable waves are amplified, and the system is driven to instability. Magnitude of response is a crucial instability parameter in the determination of a stability margins and makes a critical change of balancing conditions between the amplifying and damping acoustic energies. In the phase regime the unstable waves are amplified, whereas, the acoustic waves are attenuated in the out-of-phase regime. In the intermediate regime, no distinct tendency of unstable waves was determined.

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순간압력강하치의 통계적 해석을 통한 경사관내 2상유동양식의 판별 (Identification of Two-Phase Flow Patterns in a Inclined Duct Based upon a Statistical Analysis of Instantaneous Pressure Drop)

  • 이상천;이정표;김중엽
    • 대한설비공학회지:설비저널
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.590-597
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    • 1988
  • Characteristics of flow regime transitions in inclined upwards gas-liquid two-phase flow have been investigated based upon a statistical analysis of instantaneous pressure drop curves through an orifice. The probability density functions of the curves indicate distinct patterns depending upon two-phase flow regime, which are very similar to those of horizontal two-phase. The dimensionless intensity of fluctuations of the pressure drops sharply change as the flow transitions such as plug-slug, pseudo slug-slug and annular-slug take place. The effects of inclination angle on the flow regime transitions have been also investigated. The results show that the method to identify the flow pattern based upon the statistical analysis of instantaneous pressure drops is suitable for inclined flow as well as horizontal flow.

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울돌목 조류발전의 연안물리적 관점에서의 고찰 (Coastal-physical cceanographic aspects in relation to the tidal current power generation in the Uldolmok)

  • 염기대;이광수;박진순;강석구
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.516-519
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    • 2005
  • The pilot tidal current power plant is to be constructed at the Uldolmok between Chindo and Haenam, during next year. and extensive coastal engineering research works have been carried out. In this paper we describes some observation results of the tide and tidal current. as well as modeling work in order to investigate the tide and tidal current regime change in relation to the tidal current power plant (TCPP) construction. The special modeling skill in order to consider the turbine operation in the TCPP is developed and applied to the estimation for the flow regime change by the simple layout of the tidal current power plant.

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울돌목 조류발전의 연안물리적 관점에서의 고찰 (Coastal-physical cceanographic aspects in relation to the tidal current power generation in the Uldolmok)

  • 강석구;염기대;이광수;박진순
    • 신재생에너지
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2005
  • The pilot tidal current power plant is to be constructed at the Uldolmok between Chindo and Haenam, during next year, and extensive coastal engineering research works have been carried out. In this paper we describes some observation results of the tide and tidal current, as well as modeling work in order to investigate the tide and tidal current regime change In relation to the tidal current power plant [TCPP] construction. The special modeling skill in order to consider the turbine operation in the TCPP is developed and applied to the estimation for the flow regime change by the simple layout of the tidal current power plant.

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Al-Mg 합금의 고온 소성 변형 특성에 미치는 동적 변형 시효의 영향 (The Effect of Dynamic Strain Aging on the High Temperature Plastic Deformation Behaviour of Al-Mg Alloy)

  • 이상용;이정환
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.327-336
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    • 1996
  • The effect of dynamic strain aging on high temperature deformation behaviour of the A-Mg alloy was investigated by strain rate change tests and stress relaxation tests between 20$0^{\circ}C$and 50$0^{\circ}C$. Yield point, short stress transient and periodic discontinuities on the stress-strain curve were considered as an evidence of the effect of dynamic strain aging. With this criterion two distinct strain rate-temperature regimes could be manifested. Dynamic strain aging was considered to be effective in the high temperature-low strain rate regime, whereas dynamic recovery was a dominant deformation mechanism in the low temperature-high strain rate regime. It was found that dynamic strain aging in the high temperature deformation was governed by the mechcanism of diffusion-controlled, viscous dislocation movement.

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