• 제목/요약/키워드: Recovery probability

검색결과 126건 처리시간 0.023초

Clinical outcome of acute myocarditis in children according to treatment modalities

  • Kim, Hyun-Jung;Yoo, Gyeong-Hee;Kil, Hong-Ryang
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • 제53권7호
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    • pp.745-752
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: There is currently little evidence to support intravenous immune globulin (IVIG) therapy for pediatric myocarditis. The purpose of our retrospective study was to assess the effects of IVIG therapy in patients with presumed myocarditis on survival and recovery of ventricular function and to determine the factors associated with its poor outcome. Methods: We reviewed all consecutive cases of patients with myocarditis with left ventricular dysfunction verified by echocardiogram who had visited 3 university hospitals between January 2000 and September 2009. These patients were divided into 2 groups. Group 1 consisted of 23 patients (69.6%) who received IVIG alone or IVIG in combination with steroids, and group 2 consisted of 10 patients (30.3%) who received neither IVIG nor other immunosuppressive agents. Clinical manifestations, laboratory results, echocardiographic findings, and outcomes were compared between these 2 groups. Results: One year after the initial presentation, the difference in the probability of survival did not show statistical significance in IVIGtreated patients ($P$=0.607). Of the echocardiographic parameters on admission, a shortening fraction of less than 15% was associated with unremitting cardiac failure. Furthermore, anemic patients were more likely to have elevated N-terminal fragment levels of the B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in the progressed group ($P$=0.036). Conclusion: There was no difference between the IVIG-treated patients and the control patients in the degree of recovery of left ventricular function and survival. Prospective, randomized, clinical studies are needed to elucidate the effects of IVIG treatment during the acute stage of myocarditis on ultimate outcomes.

도시유역 저류형 시스템 설계를 위한 CSOs 산정 (Storm-Water CSOs for Reservoir System Designs in Urban Area)

  • 조덕준;김명수;이정호;박무종;김중훈
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.1199-1203
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    • 2005
  • Combined sewer overflows(CSOs) are themselves a significant source of water pollution. Therefore, the control of urban drainage for CSOs reduction and receiving water quality protection is needed. Examples in combined sewer systems include downstream storage facilities that detain runoff during periods of high flow and allow the detained water to be conveyed by an interceptor sewer to a centralized treatment plant during periods of low flow. The design of such facilities as stormwater detention storage is highly dependant on the temporal variability of storage capacity available(which is influenced by the duration of interevent dry periods) as well as the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage. As a result, a contiunous approach is required to adequately size such facilities. This study for the continuous long-term analysis of urban dranage system used analytical Probabilistic model based on derived probability distribution theory. As an alternative to the modeling of urban drainage system for planning or screening level analysis of runoff control alternatives, this model have evolved that offer much ease and flexibility in terms of computation while considering long-term meteorology. This study presented rainfall and runoff characteristics or the subject area using analytical Probabilistic model. Runoff characteristics manifasted the unique characteristics of the subject area with the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage and was examined appropriately by sensitivity analysis. This study presented the average annual COSs and number of COSs when the interceptor capacity is in the range 3xDWF(dry weather flow). Also, calculated the average annual mass of pollutant lost in CSOs using Event Mean Concentration. Finally, this study presented a dicision of storage volume for CSOs reduction and water quality protection.

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연속 강우-유출 모의기법을 이용한 최적 CSOs 산정에 관한 연구 (A Study of Optimal-CSOs by Continuous Rainfall/Runoff Simulation Techniques)

  • 조덕준;김명수;이정호;김중훈
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.1068-1074
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    • 2006
  • For receiving water quality protection a control systems of urban drainage for CSOs reduction is needed. Examples in combined sewer systems include downstream storage facilities that detain runoff during periods of high flow and allow the detained water to be conveyed by an interceptor sewer to a centralized treatment plant during periods of low flow. The design of such facilities as storm-water detention storage is highly dependant on the temporal variability of storage capacity available as well as the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage. For the continuous long-term analysis of urban drainage system this study used analytical probabilistic model based on derived probability distribution theory. As an alternative to the modeling of urban drainage system for planning or screening level analysis of runoff control alternatives, this model has evolved that offers much ease and flexibility in terms of computation while considering long-term meteorology. This study presented rainfall and runoff characteristics of the subject area using analytical probabilistic model. Runoff characteristics manifested the unique characteristics of the subject area with the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage and was examined appropriately by sensitivity analysis. This study presented the average annual CSOs, number of CSOs and event mean CSOs for the decision of storage volume.

농업인의 營農유형에 따른 健康管理 상태 (The Farmers′ health management status compared with different farming types)

  • 신영숙;정금주;이승교;박양자
    • 한국농촌생활과학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 1998
  • This study was performed to suggest the health management of farmers compared with different farming types, such as rice plant, livestock, horticulture, orchard and others, for the farmer's health enhancement. For this study, 720 subjects were selected in 8 provinces through cluster method, and relevent caculations for the analysis of the subjects were made SAS program, and tested significance with x$^2$ and F value, those probability levels were 0.1%, 1% and 5%. Among the subjects, aged 40's were 38%, females 66%, elementary graduates (32%), and think of living conditions were average (67%). In the self-consciousness test for health, there was no significant difference of farmers with farming types. In the aspect of agricultural work situation, they took holidays according to the weather conditions or no pressed work to be done. And They took a break “when they feel tired during work”. For the recovery of fatigue, sleeping was chosen as the most favorite (68%) followed bathing (17%). but exercise was the lowest (7%). In the case of working conditions, 74% of them replied they work under average condition, and only 9% of them thought they were under pleasant surroundings. And 37% of them have had healthy food, for health practice and restorative for health. 20% of them have had breakfast irregularly. In addition to the regular meal intake, sufficient re자 and pleasant agricultural working conditions would be necessary for health, and the farmers themselves should recognize the importance and care of health. The project for enhancement of the farmers' health is needed and who should give guideline to have the responsibility for health.

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P2Patching : 주문형 P2P 서비스를 위한 효율적인 패칭 기법 (P2Patching : Effective Patching Scheme for On-Demand P2P Services)

  • 김종경;이재혁;박승규
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제31권2B호
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    • pp.137-145
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 P2P 환경에서 패칭을 이용하여 주문형 스트림을 효율적으로 서비스하기 위한 응용 계층 멀티캐스트 기법인 P2Patching을 제안한다. P2Patching은 전통적인 패칭 기법을 응용 계층 멀티캐스트 기법에 확장 적용하여 서버의 부하를 감소시키고 초기 지연을 최소화하는 멀티캐스트 트리의 구축 기법이다. 그리고 트리의 장애로부터 빠른 복구 기법과 잦은 트리의 단절로 인하여 연속적인 재생을 보장하기 위한 동적 버퍼링 기법도 제안한다. 또한, 본 논문과 유사한 $P2CAST^{[12]}$와의 몇 가지 중요한 실험에서 향상된 결과를 보여준다. 실험 결과에서는 평균 조인횟수, 서비스 요청 거부율, 트리 복원 실패율 그리고, 버퍼 스타베이션(Buffer Starvation)이 발생한 노드 수 등의 측정에서 약 16$\%$ 정도의 성능 향상을 보였으며, 특히, 버퍼 스타베이션과 평균 조인횟수에 대한 실험에 대해서는 우수한 성능 향상을 보였다.

셰일 저류층에서의 핵밀도 함수를 이용한 확률론적 궁극가채량 예측 (Probabilistic Prediction of Estimated Ultimate Recovery in Shale Reservoir using Kernel Density Function)

  • 신효진;황지유;임종세
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2017
  • 생산성을 증대시키는 기술의 발달로 상업적인 생산이 가능해진 비전통 가스에 대한 개발이 북미를 중심으로 진행되고 있다. 셰일 저류층은 유체투과도가 낮으며, 일반적인 석유자원과 달리 수압파쇄로부터 생성된 균열을 통해 가스 생산이 이루어지므로 초기의 생산 감퇴율이 큰 반면 후반부에서는 감퇴하는 변화율이 매우 작은 특징을 나타낸다. 이러한 셰일가스의 생산량 변동성으로 인해 단일 예측값을 산출하는 생산감퇴곡선분석기법을 생산량 자료 분석에 적용할 경우 불확실성을 고려하기 어렵다. 이 연구에서는 미국 Eagle Ford 지역의 생산정 자료에 대하여 확률론적 기법 중 하나인 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 적용하였으며, 생산감퇴곡선인자에 대한 난수발생 시 핵밀도 함수를 활용하여 분포에 대한 가정 없이 자료의 특성을 반영한 확률분포를 도출하였다. 또한, 일반적으로 사용되고 있는 Arps 쌍곡선함수와 치밀/셰일층의 특성을 고려하여 생산량 예측이 가능한 Modified SEPD 적용에 있어 단일값이 아닌 확률에 따른 궁극가채량을 예측함으로써 불확실성을 최소화하고자 하였다.

Development of a decision framework for the designing and implementation of a sustainable underground water storage system

  • Gladden, Lennox Alexander;Park, Namsik
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.244-244
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    • 2015
  • Managed Aquifer Recharge (MAR) in the form of Aquifer Storage and Recovery (ASR) systems are being applied for numerous water augmentation projects both in developed and developing countries. Given the onset of Climate Change and its influence on weather patterns and land use, it has been acknowledged the utilization of this technology will be ever increasing. This technique like all others does have its drawbacks or disadvantages, whereby to overcome these drawbacks or disadvantages it is recommended that logical planning process be followed. In this study, we developed a decision framework known as "Decision framework for the planning, designing, construction/testing and implementation of subsurface water storage system" to further standardize the planning and design process of subsurface water storage system to increase the probability of having a successful ASR/ASTR project. The formulation of this framework was based on earlier frameworks, guidelines, published papers and technical reports which were compiled into a data collection database. The database of which consider both qualitative and quantitative aspect for example recharge objectives, site location, water chemistry of the native, source and recovered water, aquifer characteristics(hydraulic conductivity, transmissivity, porosity), injection/pumping rate, ecological constraints, societal restrictions, regulatory restrictions etc. The assimilation of these factors into a singular framework will benefit the broad spectrum of stakeholder as it maps the chronological order under which ASR project should be undertaken highlighting at each stage the feasibility of the project. The final stage of which should result in fully operational ASR system. The framework was applied to two case studies and through the application of a modified ASR site selection suitability index (Brown et al., 2005) a score was derived to identify the performance of each site. A high score of which meant a maximize chance of success given the reduce presence of project constraints.

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멀티에이전트 환경에서 결함 포용 정보의 쓰레기 처리 기법 (Garbage Collection Protocol of Fault Tolerance Information in Multi-agent Environments)

  • 이대원;정광식;이화민;신상철;이영준;유헌창;이원규
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:시스템및이론
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    • 제31권3_4호
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    • pp.204-212
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    • 2004
  • 분산 시스템에서는 단일 시스템보다 높은 결함 발생 확률을 가지기에 기존의 맡은 연구에서는 분산 시스템에서 결함 발생에 대한 맡은 결함 포용 기법들이 연구되어 왔다. 하지만 저장된 결함 포용 정보의 증가에 따른 저장 공간의 부족으로 인해 전체 시스템 성능의 저하를 가져오게 하였다. 시스템 성능의 저하를 막기 위하여 불필요한 결함 포용 정보의 삭제가 필요하게 되었고 이 논문에서는 결함 포용 정보의 쓰레기 처리를 위한 방법을 제안한다. 이에 본 논문에서는 결함 포용 정보의 쓰레기 처리를 담당하는 쓰레기 처리 에이전트, 결함 포용 정보를 유지 관리하는 정보 에이전트, 그리고 전체 에이전트간의 통신 기능을 담당하는 조정 에이전트를 정의 및 설계하고, 쓰레기 처리 에이전트를 이용한 쓰레기 처리 알고리즘을 제안한다. 복귀회복 기법은 독립 검사점(independent checkpoint)기법과 송신자 기반 비관적 매시지 로깅(sender based pessimistic message logging)기법을 사용한다. 제안된 쓰레기 처리 기법에서의 쓰레기 처리, 정보, 조정 에이전트는 프로세스와 동시에 생성되며 정보 에이전트에 프로세스에서 발생하는 검사점과 비결정적인 사건들에 대한 로깅 정보들을 영역 지식으로 구축한다. 그리고 쓰레기 처리 에이전트는 쓰레기 처리 시점을 선정하고 정보 에이전트와 조정에이전트의 협력을 통하여 영역 지식에 구축된 불필요한 결함 포용 정보의 쓰레기 처리를 한다. 제안한 에이전트를 이용한 쓰레기 처리기법의 타당성 증명을 위하여 결함을 발생시켜 복귀 회복 후 쓰레기 처리를 하는 시스템과 하지 않는 시스템의 영역지식을 비교하여 같은 결과를 같는지의 여부를 검사한다

급성 피부장벽파괴 동물모델에 대한 스트론튬의 피부보습효과 (Skin Humidity Effects of Strontium on Acute Skin Barrier Damage in Hairless Mice)

  • 민대기;김윤범
    • 대한한의학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.117-133
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    • 2008
  • Objectives : Since ancient times, Koreans have applied medicinal spabaths for treatment of various diseases. The objective of this study was to investigate the effect of strontium, one of the common ingredients of such baths, experimentally on acute skin barrier damage. Materials and Methods : Male hairless mice, average weight 20g, were divided into six groups. Each group consisted of five mice. The first was the normal, non-treated group. The second was the control group with acute skin barrier damage intentionally induced by TS. The third was the Ba-Sr1 group bathed in 1mg/L strontium chloride before and after inducing acute skin barrier damage by TS. The fourth was the Ba-Sr7 group bathed in 7mg/L strontium chloride before and after inducing acute skin barrier damage by TS. The fifth was the Sr1 group bathed in 1mg/L of strontium chloride only after intentionally inducing acute skin barrier damage by TS. The sixth was the Sr7 group bathed in 7mg/L of strontium chloride only after intentionally inducing acute skin barrier damage by TS. External changes of skin, skin erythema level, transepidermal water loss level, and GOT and GPT level of each group were checked immediately before and after TS, 3 hrs, 5 hrs and 24 hrs after inducing acute skin barrier damage. Then, tissue samples were made and examined for damage to epithelial cells, stratum corneum, change of mucous polysaccharide in dermis and amount of mast cells. Statistical analysis was performed by one way-ANOVA, Scheffe and Duncan for a post hoc test and pairwise comparison for comparing for difference between each time. Statistical significance was achieved if the probability was less than 5% (p<0.05) Results : 1. From skin erythema and TEWL level indicating the function of the skin barrier, we can know that it is helpful to the skin barrier to bathe in a water solution including a low concentration of strontium. 2. In the control group with acute skin barrier damage induced by TS, skin barrier damage persisted until 3-5 hrs and recovered after 5-24 hrs. Differently from the control group, in the case of taking a bath in a water solution including strontium, skin barrier damage recovered after only 3-5 hrs. Therefore, the bath with a water solution including strontium can promote recovery of the skin barrier. 3. Bathing in water solution including a higher concentration of strontium was more beneficial to recovery of skin barrier damage. 4. There was no influence on serum GOT and GPT from bathing in a water solution including strontium. Conclusions : The strontium was effective for recovery and mitigation of acute skin barrier damage induced by tape stripping. I suggest that strontium (Sr) can be used as an external treatment medicine, addedinto bath water to treat acute skin barrier damage.

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확률적 희소 신호 복원 알고리즘 개발 (Development of A Recovery Algorithm for Sparse Signals based on Probabilistic Decoding)

  • 성진택
    • 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
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    • 제10권5호
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    • pp.409-416
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    • 2017
  • 본 논문은 유한체(finite fields)에서 압축센싱(compressed sensing) 프레임워크를 살펴본다. 하나의 측정 샘플은 센싱행렬의 행과 희소 신호 벡터와의 내적으로 연산되며, 본 논문에서 제안하는 확률적 희소 신호 복원 알고리즘을 이용하여 그 압축센싱의 해를 찾고자 한다. 지금까지 압축센싱은 실수(real-valued)나 복소수(complex-valued) 평면에서 주로 연구되어 왔지만, 이와 같은 원신호를 처리하는 경우 이산화 과정으로 정보의 손실이 뒤따르게 된다. 이에 대한 연구배경은 이산(discrete) 신호에 대한 희소 신호를 복원하고자 하는 노력으로 이어지고 있다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 프레임워크는 센싱행렬로써 코딩 이론에서 사용된 LDPC(Low-Density Parity-Check) 코드의 패러티체크 행렬을 이용한다. 그리고 본 연구에서 제안한 확률적 복원 알고리즘을 이용하여 유한체의 희소 신호를 복원한다. 기존의 코딩 이론에서 발표한 LDPC 복호화와는 달리 본 논문에서는 희소 신호의 확률분포를 이용한 반복적 알고리즘을 제안한다. 그리고 개발된 복원 알고리즘을 통하여 우리는 유한체의 크기가 커질수록 복원 성능이 우수한 결과를 얻었다. 압축센싱의 센싱행렬이 LDPC 패러티체크 행렬과 같은 저밀도 행렬에서도 좋은 성능을 보여줌에 따라 이산 신호를 고려한 응용 분야에서 적극적으로 활용될 것으로 기대된다.