• Title/Summary/Keyword: Real-Time Forecasting System

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Exploiting Neural Network for Temporal Multi-variate Air Quality and Pollutant Prediction

  • Khan, Muneeb A.;Kim, Hyun-chul;Park, Heemin
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.440-449
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    • 2022
  • In recent years, the air pollution and Air Quality Index (AQI) has been a pivotal point for researchers due to its effect on human health. Various research has been done in predicting the AQI but most of these studies, either lack dense temporal data or cover one or two air pollutant elements. In this paper, a hybrid Convolutional Neural approach integrated with recurrent neural network architecture (CNN-LSTM), is presented to find air pollution inference using a multivariate air pollutant elements dataset. The aim of this research is to design a robust and real-time air pollutant forecasting system by exploiting a neural network. The proposed approach is implemented on a 24-month dataset from Seoul, Republic of Korea. The predicted results are cross-validated with the real dataset and compared with the state-of-the-art techniques to evaluate its robustness and performance. The proposed model outperforms SVM, SVM-Polynomial, ANN, and RF models with 60.17%, 68.99%, 14.6%, and 6.29%, respectively. The model performs SVM and SVM-Polynomial in predicting O3 by 78.04% and 83.79%, respectively. Overall performance of the model is measured in terms of Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE).

Forecasting of Real Time Traffic Situation (실시간 교통상황 예보)

  • 홍유식;박종국
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.330-337
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    • 2000
  • This paper proposes a new concept of coordinating green this which controls 10 traffic intersection systems. For instance, if we have a baseballs game at 8 pm today, traffic volume toward the baseball game at 8 pm today, traffic volume toward the baseball game will be incr eased 1 hour or 1 hour 30 minutes before the baseball game. at that time we can not pred ict optimal green time Even though there have smart elctrosensitive traffic light system. Therefore, in this paper to improve average vehicle speed and reduce average vehicle waiting time, we created optimal green time using fuzzy rules and neural network. Computer simulation results proved reducing average vehicle waiting time proposed coordinating green time better than electro-sensitive traffic light system. Therefore, in this paper to improvevehicle speed and reduce average vehicle waiting time, we created optiual green time fuzzy rules and neural network. Computer simulation results proved reducing average vehicle waiting time which proposed coordinating green time better than electro-sensitive traffic light system dosen't consider coordinating green time.

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A Study on an Automatical BKLS Measurement By Programming Technology

  • Shin, YeounOuk;Kim, KiBum
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2018
  • This study focuses on presenting the IT program module provided by BKLS measure in order to solve the problem of capital cost due to information asymmetry of external investors and corporate executives. Barron at al(1998) set up a BKLS measure to guide the market by intermediate analysts. The BKLS measure was measured by using the changes in the analyst forecast dispersion and analyst mean forecast error squared. This study suggests a model of the algorithm that the BKLS measure can be provided to all investors immediately by IT program in order to deliver the meaningful value in the domestic capital market as measured. This is a method of generating and analyzing real-time or non-real-time prediction models by transferring the predicted estimates delivered to the Big Data Log Analysis System through the statistical DB to the statistical forecasting engine. Because BKLS measure is not carried out in a concrete method, it is practically very difficult to estimate the BKLS measure. It is expected that the BKLS measure of Barron at al(1998) introduced in this study and the model of IT module provided in real time will be the starting point for the follow-up study for the introduction and realization of IT technology in the future.

Online Flow Prediction by Kalman Filter (Kalman Filter에 의한 Online 유출예측(流出豫測))

  • Lee, Won Hwan;Rhee, Young Seok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 1986
  • The need of forecasting river flows arised whenever a river authority must make controls to protect the life and property from the flood and maintain the adequate flows for water use. This study is on the real time flood forecasting from the gauged and ungauged rainfall input and identification of second-order autoregressive(AR(2)) which is used as system model. A Kalman filter is used to obtain the values of the system parameters needed for the optimal control strategy. This system model was applied to the data at the Naiu gauging station in Young san river basin to check the accuracy and efficiency of prediction. One step ahead prediction is checked by stochastic analysis and the order of autoregressive model is proved to be satisfied, Discussions on interesting features of the model are presented.

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Oil Spill Behavior forecasting Model in South-eastern Coastal Area Of Korea (한국 동남해역에서의 유출유 확산예측모델)

  • Ryu Cheong Ro;Kim Jong Kyu;Seol Dong Guan;Kang Dong Uk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.52-59
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    • 1998
  • Many concerns are placed on preservation of coastal environment from the spilled oil contaminant in the coastal area. And the use of computer simulation model to combat with oil spill has come to play mote important role in forecasting the oil spill trajectory so as to protect coastal area and minimize the damage from oil contaminants. The main concerns of this study is how the movements of spilled oil are affected by currents including tidal, oceanic, and wind-driven currents. Especially, in the present paper, the oil spill trajectory can be predicted by a real-time system that allows prediction of circulation and wind field. The harmonic methods are adopted to simulate the tidal currents as well as it can be possible to achieve the wind-field data and oceanic current data from the established database. System performance is illustrated by the simulation of oil spill in the south-eastern coastal area of Korea. Simulation results are compared with the observed one.

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Prediction Model of Real Estate Transaction Price with the LSTM Model based on AI and Bigdata

  • Lee, Jeong-hyun;Kim, Hoo-bin;Shim, Gyo-eon
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.274-283
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    • 2022
  • Korea is facing a number difficulties arising from rising housing prices. As 'housing' takes the lion's share in personal assets, many difficulties are expected to arise from fluctuating housing prices. The purpose of this study is creating housing price prediction model to prevent such risks and induce reasonable real estate purchases. This study made many attempts for understanding real estate instability and creating appropriate housing price prediction model. This study predicted and validated housing prices by using the LSTM technique - a type of Artificial Intelligence deep learning technology. LSTM is a network in which cell state and hidden state are recursively calculated in a structure which added cell state, which is conveyor belt role, to the existing RNN's hidden state. The real sale prices of apartments in autonomous districts ranging from January 2006 to December 2019 were collected through the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport's real sale price open system and basic apartment and commercial district information were collected through the Public Data Portal and the Seoul Metropolitan City Data. The collected real sale price data were scaled based on monthly average sale price and a total of 168 data were organized by preprocessing respective data based on address. In order to predict prices, the LSTM implementation process was conducted by setting training period as 29 months (April 2015 to August 2017), validation period as 13 months (September 2017 to September 2018), and test period as 13 months (December 2018 to December 2019) according to time series data set. As a result of this study for predicting 'prices', there have been the following results. Firstly, this study obtained 76 percent of prediction similarity. We tried to design a prediction model of real estate transaction price with the LSTM Model based on AI and Bigdata. The final prediction model was created by collecting time series data, which identified the fact that 76 percent model can be made. This validated that predicting rate of return through the LSTM method can gain reliability.

Development of the Demand Forecasting and Product Recommendation Method to Support the Small and Medium Distribution Companies based on the Product Recategorization (중소유통기업지원을 위한 상품 카테고리 재분류 기반의 수요예측 및 상품추천 방법론 개발)

  • Sangil Lee;Yeong-WoongYu;Dong-Gil Na
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.155-167
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    • 2024
  • Distribution and logistics industries contribute some of the biggest GDP(gross domestic product) in South Korea and the number of related companies are quarter of the total number of industries in the country. The number of retail tech companies are quickly increased due to the acceleration of the online and untact shopping trend. Furthermore, major distribution and logistics companies try to achieve integrated data management with the fulfillment process. In contrast, small and medium distribution companies still lack of the capacity and ability to develop digital innovation and smartization. Therefore, in this paper, a deep learning-based demand forecasting & recommendation model is proposed to improve business competitiveness. The proposed model is developed based on real sales transaction data to predict future demand for each product. The proposed model consists of six deep learning models, which are MLP(multi-layers perception), CNN(convolution neural network), RNN(recurrent neural network), LSTM(long short term memory), Conv1D-BiLSTM(convolution-long short term memory) for demand forecasting and collaborative filtering for the recommendation. Each model provides the best prediction result for each product and recommendation model can recommend best sales product among companies own sales list as well as competitor's item list. The proposed demand forecasting model is expected to improve the competitiveness of the small and medium-sized distribution and logistics industry.

A Study on Real time Multiple Fault Diagnosis Control Methods (실시간 다중고장진단 제어기법에 관한 연구)

  • 배용환;배태용;이석희
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1995.04b
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    • pp.457-462
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    • 1995
  • This paper describes diagnosis strategy of the Flexible Multiple Fault Diagnosis Module for forecasting faults in system and deciding current machine state form sensor information. Most studydeal with diagnosis control stategy about single fault in a system, this studies deal with multiple fault diagnosis. This strategy is consist of diagnosis control module such as backward tracking expert system shell, various neural network, numerical model to predict machine state and communication module for information exchange and cooperate between each model. This models are used to describe structure, function and behavior of subsystem, complex component and total system. Hierarchical structure is very efficient to represent structural, functional and behavioral knowledge. FT(Fault Tree). ST(Symptom Tree), FCD(Fault Consequence Diagrapy), SGM(State Graph Model) and FFM(Functional Flow Model) are used to represent hierachical structure. In this study, IA(Intelligent Agent) concept is introduced to match FT component and event symbol in diagnosed system and to transfer message between each event process. Proposed diagnosis control module is made of IPC(Inter Process Communication) method under UNIX operating system.

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Spaceborne Monitoring Plan for Land Management (국토관리를 위한 공중모니터링 방안수립에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Dong-Bin;Ahn, Jong-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.367-378
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    • 2008
  • The study is the establishment of spaceborne monitoring plan for land management. Spaceborne monitoring is land use change detection, tracking and forecasting process. For land management spaceborne monitoring plan are First, land monitoring system and long-term planning. Secondly, the spaceborne monitoring agency dedicated to specify. Thirdly, to educate the spaceborne monitoring the area of professional manpower. Fourth, data sharing and distribution systems to be prepared. Fifth, to establish real-time airborne monitoring systems. Sixth, to improve the relevant legal and institution. Seventh, continuing research and development of related technologies, and support.

Internet-based Information System for Agricultural Weather and Disease and Insect fast management for rice growers in Gyeonggi-do, Korea

  • S.D. Hong;W.S. Kang;S.I. Cho;Kim, J.Y.;Park, K.Y;Y.K. Han;Park, E.W.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Plant Pathology Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.108.2-109
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    • 2003
  • The Gyeonggi-do Agricultural Research and Extension Services has developed a web-site (www.epilove.com) in collaboration with EPINET to provide information on agricultural weather and rice disease and insect pest management in Gyeonggi-do. Weather information includes near real-time weather data monitored by automated weather stations (AWS) installed at rice paddy fields of 11 Agricultural Technology Centers (ATC) in Gyeonggi-do, and weekly weather forecast by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). Map images of hourly air temperature and rainfall are also generated at 309m x 309m resolution using hourly data obtained from AWS installed at 191 locations by KMA. Based on near real-time weather data from 11 ATC, hourly infection risks of rice blast, sheath blight, and bacterial grain rot for individual districts are estimated by disease forecasting models, BLAST, SHBLIGHT, and GRAINROT. Users can diagnose various diseases and insects of rice and find their information in detail by browsing thumbnail images of them. A database on agrochemicals is linked to the system for disease and insect diagnosis to help users search for appropriate agrochemicals to control diseases and insect pests.

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