• Title/Summary/Keyword: Real time forecast

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Development of Data Visualized Web System for Virtual Power Forecasting based on Open Sources based Location Services using Deep Learning (오픈소스 기반 지도 서비스를 이용한 딥러닝 실시간 가상 전력수요 예측 가시화 웹 시스템)

  • Lee, JeongHwi;Kim, Dong Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.8
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    • pp.1005-1012
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    • 2021
  • Recently, the use of various location-based services-based location information systems using maps on the web has been expanding, and there is a need for a monitoring system that can check power demand in real time as an alternative to energy saving. In this study, we developed a deep learning real-time virtual power demand prediction web system using open source-based mapping service to analyze and predict the characteristics of power demand data using deep learning. In particular, the proposed system uses the LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) deep learning model to enable power demand and predictive analysis locally, and provides visualization of analyzed information. Future proposed systems will not only be utilized to identify and analyze the supply and demand and forecast status of energy by region, but also apply to other industrial energies.

Time Series Analysis and Forecast for Labor Cost of Actual Cost Data (시계열분석을 통한 실적공사비의 노무비 분석 및 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyun-Seok;Lee, Eun-Young;Kim, Yea-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.24-34
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    • 2013
  • Since 2004, the government decided to gradually introduce Actual Cost Data into cost estimate for improving problems of below-cost tendering and to reflect fair market price through competition and carry contract efficiently. However, there are many concerns that Actual Cost Data has not reflected real market price, even that has contributed to reduce the government's budget. General construction firm's burden for labor cost is imputed to specialty contractors and eventually it becomes construction worker's burden. Therefore, realization of Actual Cost Data is very important factor to settle this system. To understand realization level and make short term forecast, this paper drew construction group of which labor cost constitutes more than 95% of direct cost, and compares their Actual Cost Data with relevant skilled workers's unit wage and predicts using time series analysis. The bid price which is not be reflected market price accelerates work environment changes and leads to directly affect such as late disbursement of wages, bankruptcy to workers. Therefore this paper is expected to be used to the preliminary data for solving the problem and establishing improvement of Actual Cost Data.

Prediction of the Real Estate Market by Region Reflecting the Changes in the Number of Houses and Population (주택수와 인구증가 변화를 반영한 지역별 부동산 시장 예측)

  • Bae, Young-Min
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.229-236
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    • 2021
  • There has been a lot of research on the real estate market, but a lack of research on the supply and demand of housing supply in each region, reflecting the changes in population growth and supply. It is calculated as the transition probability of the Markov chain model by reflecting the data on the number of houses per 1,000 people in the past 35 years and the forecast data for population change by region, in terms of supply (housing) to demand (population) for factors on the real estate market. According to the calculation results of the real estate market by region, the housing supply to the metropolitan area such as Gyeong-gi, Incheon, and Seoul is expected to be insufficient for a considerable period of time, considering the population changes by region. To stabilize the real estate market, it was confirmed that it was necessary to actively apply the differentiation of housing supply by region. It is meaningful in terms of verifying long term trends in the real estate market by region that reflect the prediction of population change, and it is expected that the methods used in this study will be practical through the analysis results using the historical data.

A Numerical Model of Combined Inchon Bay and Han River System (인천만 및 한강체계의 수치모형)

  • 최병호;전덕일;안익장
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.130-137
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    • 1992
  • The previous model of Inchon Bay (Choi 1980) was refined to hindcast/forecast the tides in the Inchon Bay by prescribing the 8 tidal constituents at the open boundaries. A series of hindcast was performed for the period of meterologically calm condition and the simulated results were compared with limited observation showing the reasonable agreements. Preliminary stage of real-time tidal prediction over the whole Inchon Bay were briefly outlined for practical purposes. The established model were further improved by dynamically interfacing, a one dimensional representation of the Han River system. With this model the tidal propagation in the Han River were computed and simulation of recent September. 1990 flood were performed. Discussion for further model development are also described.

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The Characteristics and Correlation Analyses of Chlorophyll-a Data Monitored Continuously in Daecheong Reservoir (연속 측정된 대청호 Chlorophyll-a의 자료 특성 및 상관 분석)

  • Yeon, Insung;Hong, Jiyoung;Hong, Eunyoung;Lim, Byungjin
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.994-999
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    • 2010
  • The toxin of Cyanobacteria (blue-green algae) during summer season has been a problem and early prevention should be considered. A variety of methods can be used to forecast algal blooms and this study aims at examining feasibility of chlorophyll-a. The real-time data were collected by automatic water quality monitoring system (AWQMS) in Daecheong reservoir and invalid data were sorted by experts. And then, the sorted data were filled using linear interpolation. When the concentration of chlorophyll-a increased by $15mg/m^3$, water temperature and pH exceeded $26.8^{\circ}C$ and 9.5 respectively. As a result of correlation between chlorophyll-a and other parameters(i.e. water quality items and hydrological data), temperature (r=0.502 - 0.574), pH (r=0.583 - 0.681), total organic carbon (TOC, r=0.583 - 0.681) comparably had higher values. Meanwhile, the data around a day or two showed the highest correlation. In addition, chlorophyll-a is considered to be significantly effected by precipitation and inflow.

Application of ANFIS for Prediction of Daily Water Supply (상수도 1일 급수량 예측을 위한 ANFIS적용)

  • Rhee, Kyoung-Hoon;Kang, Il-Hwan;Moon, Byoung-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.281-290
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    • 2000
  • This study investigates the prediction of daily water supply, which is a necessary for the efficient management of water distribution system. ANFIS, namely artificial intelligence, is a neural network into which fuzzy information is inputted and then processed. In this study, daily water supply was predicted through an application of network-based fuzzy inference system(ANFIS) for daily water supply prediction. This study was investigated methods for predicting water supply based on data about the amount of water which supplied in Kwangju city. For variables choice, four analyses of input data were conducted: correlation analysis, autocorrelation analysis, partial autocorrelation analysis, and cross-correlation analysis. Input variables were (a) the amount of water supply, (b) the mean temperature, and (c) the population of the area supplied with water. Variables were combined in an integrated model. Data of the amount of daily water supply only was modelled and its validity was verified in the case that the meteorological office of weather forecast is not always reliable. Proposed models include accidental cases such as a suspension of water supply. The maximum error rate between the estimation of the model and the actual measurement was 18.46% and the average error was lower than 2.36%. The model is expected to be a real-time estimation of the operational control of water works and water/drain pipes.

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Implementation of IS-95C Multimedia Terminal using GPS (GPS 연동 IS-95C 멀티미디어 단말기 구현)

  • 하재승
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Industry Society
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    • v.2 no.8
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    • pp.1133-1138
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we implemented that MMT(Multimedia Terminal) demonstrates spot news, weather forecast, sports news and cultural news employed CDMA mobile communication networks. The MMT displays mobile pictures/joint pictures/on screen ad and to make known Bus stop or Mobile stations. The MMT gives driver's and passenger's safety and valuable information for one's use GPS satellites. We verified to make real time mobile picture transfer use of CDMA2000 1×(IS-95C) network and development the scheduler control each module. This system tested on vehicle that train and bus. MMT was implemented high reliability and stability by the embedded system. The mobile terminal shows reliable data transfer rate about 74Kbps on IS-95C.

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Recent Trends of Meteorological Research in North Korea (2007-2016) - Focusing on Journal of Weather and Hydrology - (최근 10년(2007~2016년) 북한의 기상기후 연구 동향 - 기상과 수문지를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Seung-Wook;Lee, Dae-Geun;Lim, Byunghwan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.411-422
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    • 2017
  • The aim of this research is to review recent trends in weather and climate research in North Korea. We selected North Korean journal 'Weather and Hydrology' for the last 10 years (2007-2016), and identified trends in research subject, researchers, and affiliations. Furthermore, we analyzed the major achievements and trends by research sector. Our main results are same as follows. The largest number of researches on 'modernization and informatization on prediction' have been carried out in North Korea's recent meteorological and climatological research. This could be implicated that the scope of national science policy directly affected the promotion of specific research field. Especially, North Korea was evaluated to be concentrating its efforts on numerical model research and development. The numerical model which enables very short-term (6 hours) rainfall forecast which using ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation method (4D EnKF) was developed. In addition, development of automatic weather system and improvement of the data transfer system were promoted. However, the result reveals that the automated real-time data transfer system was not fully equipped yet. These results could be used as a basic data for meteorological cooperation between South and North Korea.

3-Dimensional Simulation for the Design of Automated Container Terminal (자동화 컨테이너터미널의 설계를 위한 3차원 시뮬레이션)

  • 최용석;하태영;양창호
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.471-477
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    • 2004
  • In this study, we introduce a 3-dimensional simulation to support the Design on ACT(Automated Container Terminal). This simulation system developed to simulate virtual operations of ACT using 3-dimensional simulation and animate the simulated results with real time. And the developed system applied an object-oriented design and C++ programming to increase the reusability and extensibility. We select several items of performance evaluation for objects used in ACT in terms of problem detection, problem forecast, and logic feasibility, and provide evaluation points for the design of ACT.

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Methodology for improving real-time load forecast program in the MOS-EMS interconnection (MOS-EMS연계활용을 위한 실시간 수요예측 프로그램 기능개선을 위한 방법론)

  • Kim, K.I.;Kim, D.J.;Kim, K.C.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.07a
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    • pp.349-350
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    • 2006
  • 정부의 배전분할 유보결정에 따라 전력거래소에서는 현행 발전경쟁시장의 효율성 향상을 위한 많은 사업을 추진하고 있다. 그중 우선적으로 추진하였던 사업이 도매전력시장을 대비해 구축한 시장운영시스템(MOS; Market Operation System)을 현행 계통운영을 담당하고 있는 급전 자동화시스템(EMS; Energy Management System)과의 연계활동이다. 이는 시장운영시스템(MOS)에 내재되어 있는 최첨단 기능중에서 일부를 현행 전력시장에 적용함으로써 계통운영의 효율성 향상뿐만 아니라 계통운영기술을 선진화하는 것이다. 특히, 기존 급전시스템에 비해 가장 두드러지는 점은 발전기들에 대한 에너지 및 예비력 급전계획을 사전적으로 5분단위로 최적화하여 수립하고 이를 발전기들에게 송신함으로써 경제적이며 안정적인 전력계통운영을 가능하게 해 줄 수 있는 것이다. 이를 가능하게 하기 위해서는 바로 정확한 미래 수요수준의 결정이 필수불가결한 요소이다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 MOS-EMS 연계활용에서의 실시간 수요예측의 중요성과 기존 제작사의 알고리즘과 국내 전력수요특성간의 불일치점 그리고 이를 해결하고자 모색했던 방안들에 대하여 설명하고자 한다.

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