• Title/Summary/Keyword: Real Time Environmental Prediction

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Comparison of Runoff Analysis Between GIS-based Distributed Model and Lumped Model for Flood Forecast of Dam Watershed (댐유역 홍수예측을 위한 GIS기반의 분포형모형과 집중형모형의 유출해석 비교)

  • Park, Jin-Hyeog;Kang, Boo-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.171-182
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    • 2006
  • In this study, rainfall-runoff analysis was performed for Yongdam watershed($930km^2$) using KOWACO flood analysis model based on Storage Function Method as lumped hydrologic model and Vflo which was developed for real-time flood prediction by University of Oklahoma. The results shows that, the hydrographs of lumped and distributed model with uncalibrated parameters which estimated from physical or experimental relationship show significant biases from observed hydrographs. However, the hydrograph at Cheoncheon site from the distributed model follows the actual hydrograph to an extent that no more calibration is necessary. It encourages that distributed model can have advantages for application in real-time flood forecasting as physically based distributed hydrologic model which can construct event-independent basin parameter group.

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Regression Analysis-based Model Equation Predicting the Concentration of Phytoncide (Monoterpenes) - Focusing on Suri Hill in Chuncheon - (피톤치드(모노테르펜) 농도 예측을 위한 회귀분석 기반 모델식 -춘천 수리봉을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Seog-Jong;Kim, Byoung-Ug;Hong, Young-Kyun;Lee, Yeong-Seob;Go, Young-Hun;Yang, Seung-Pyo;Hyun, Geun-Woo;Yi, Geon-Ho;Kim, Jea-Chul;Kim, Dae-Yeoal
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.548-557
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    • 2021
  • Background: Due to the emergence of new diseases such as COVID-19, an increasing number of people are struggling with stress and depression. Interest is growing in forest-based recreation for physical and mental relief. Objectives: A prediction model equation using meteorological factors and data was developed to predict the quantities of medicinal substances generated in forests (monoterpenes) in real-time. Methods: The concentration of phytoncide and meteorological factors in the forests near Chuncheon in South Korea were measured for nearly two years. Meteorological factors affecting the observation data were acquired through a multiple regression analysis. A model equation was developed by applying a linear regression equation with the main factors. Results: The linear regression analysis revealed a high explanatory power for the coefficients of determination of temperature and humidity in the coniferous forest (R2=0.7028 and R2=0.5859). With a temperature increase of 1℃, the phytoncide concentration increased by 31.7 ng/Sm3. A humidity increase of 1% led to an increase in the coniferous forest by 21.9 ng/Sm3. In the deciduous forest, the coefficients of determination of temperature and humidity had approximately 60% explanatory power (R2=0.6611 and R2=0.5893). A temperature increase of 1℃ led to an increase of approximately 9.6 ng/Sm3, and 1% humidity resulted in a change of approximately 6.9 ng/Sm3. A prediction model equation was suggested based on such meteorological factors and related equations that showed a 30% error with statistical verification. Conclusions: Follow-up research is required to reduce the prediction error. In addition, phytoncide data for each region can be acquired by applying actual regional phytoncide data and the prediction technique proposed in this study.

Estimation of Inundation Area by Linking of Rainfall-Duration-Flooding Quantity Relationship Curve with Self-Organizing Map (강우량-지속시간-침수량 관계곡선과 자기조직화 지도의 연계를 통한 범람범위 추정)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Keum, Ho Jun;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.839-850
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    • 2018
  • The flood damage in urban areas due to torrential rain is increasing with urbanization. For this reason, accurate and rapid flooding forecasting and expected inundation maps are needed. Predicting the extent of flooding for certain rainfalls is a very important issue in preparing flood in advance. Recently, government agencies are trying to provide expected inundation maps to the public. However, there is a lack of quantifying the extent of inundation caused by a particular rainfall scenario and the real-time prediction method for flood extent within a short time. Therefore the real-time prediction of flood extent is needed based on rainfall-runoff-inundation analysis. One/two dimensional model are continued to analyize drainage network, manhole overflow and inundation propagation by rainfall condition. By applying the various rainfall scenarios considering rainfall duration/distribution and return periods, the inundation volume and depth can be estimated and stored on a database. The Rainfall-Duration-Flooding Quantity (RDF) relationship curve based on the hydraulic analysis results and the Self-Organizing Map (SOM) that conducts unsupervised learning are applied to predict flooded area with particular rainfall condition. The validity of the proposed methodology was examined by comparing the results of the expected flood map with the 2-dimensional hydraulic model. Based on the result of the study, it is judged that this methodology will be useful to provide an unknown flood map according to medium-sized rainfall or frequency scenario. Furthermore, it will be used as a fundamental data for flood forecast by establishing the RDF curve which the relationship of rainfall-outflow-flood is considered and the database of expected inundation maps.

A Study on the Design of IoT-based Thermal Sensor and Video Sensor Integrated Surveillance Equipment (IoT 기반 열상 센서와 영상 센서 일체형 감시 장비 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yun-Min;Shin, Jin-Seob
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.9-13
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, IoT based thermal sensor data and image sensor integrated environmental monitoring system for ship, and it is the monitoring system which can process and transmit the Full HD IP camera image and thermal data transmitted from the thermal module for processing and transmitting, and the viewer S/W is to be developed which provides in real time the information for actual surrounding temperature together with the image, and enables fire prediction which was impossible in the case of the existing equipment by estimating the temperature change as the thermal image is added to the image camera, and saves and analyzes all data while receiving the temperature data and image signal transmitted from the integrated thermal sensor environmental monitoring equipment for ship and displaying them as 2D on the monitoring system.

Structural monitoring of movable bridge mechanical components for maintenance decision-making

  • Gul, Mustafa;Dumlupinar, Taha;Hattori, Hiroshi;Catbas, Necati
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.249-271
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents a unique study of Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) for the maintenance decision making about a real life movable bridge. The mechanical components of movable bridges are maintained on a scheduled basis. However, it is desired to have a condition-based maintenance by taking advantage of SHM. The main objective is to track the operation of a gearbox and a rack-pinion/open gear assembly, which are critical parts of bascule type movable bridges. Maintenance needs that may lead to major damage to these components needs to be identified and diagnosed timely since an early detection of faults may help avoid unexpected bridge closures or costly repairs. The fault prediction of the gearbox and rack-pinion/open gear is carried out using two types of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs): 1) Multi-Layer Perceptron Neural Networks (MLP-NNs) and 2) Fuzzy Neural Networks (FNNs). Monitoring data is collected during regular opening and closing of the bridge as well as during artificially induced reversible damage conditions. Several statistical parameters are extracted from the time-domain vibration signals as characteristic features to be fed to the ANNs for constructing the MLP-NNs and FNNs independently. The required training and testing sets are obtained by processing the acceleration data for both damaged and undamaged condition of the aforementioned mechanical components. The performances of the developed ANNs are first evaluated using unseen test sets. Second, the selected networks are used for long-term condition evaluation of the rack-pinion/open gear of the movable bridge. It is shown that the vibration monitoring data with selected statistical parameters and particular network architectures give successful results to predict the undamaged and damaged condition of the bridge. It is also observed that the MLP-NNs performed better than the FNNs in the presented case. The successful results indicate that ANNs are promising tools for maintenance monitoring of movable bridge components and it is also shown that the ANN results can be employed in simple approach for day-to-day operation and maintenance of movable bridges.

Implementation of a Regression Analysis System for the Control of Supplying Halibuts (넙치 공급량 조절을 위한 회귀분석 시스템 구현)

  • Ahn, Jinhyun;Kang, Jungwoon;Kim, Mincheol;Park, So-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.321-324
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    • 2022
  • The Korean halibut farming industry suffer from price instability and demand decrease due to various environmental and social issues. It is urgent to predict the appropriate amount of halibut production. However, it is not easy for employments working in the halibut farming industry to handle statistical tools in order to perform the prediction. In this paper, we implemented a Excel-based regression analysis tool that allows users to get a regression analysis result by just entering historical data in a sheet. Our tool will reduce workloads of employments working in the halibut farming industry by enabling them to perform a regression analysis with Excel on-the-fly. This study expect that by using the tool the halibut farming industry cope actively with the real-time change in the industry.

Improvement on Accident Statistic Analysis and Response of Hazardous Chemical Transport Vehicle (유해화학물질 운송차량 사고 통계분석 및 사고대응 개선방안)

  • Jeon, Byeong-han;Kim, Hyun-sub
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2018
  • In the trend of increasing awareness of chemical accidents, hazardous chemical transport vehicle accidents are occurring every year. In this study, we analyzed improvement of accident prevention and countermeasures through statistical analysis of hazardous chemical transport vehicle accidents. A total of 383 chemical accidents between January 2014 and December 2017 were analyzed. During this period, number of transportation accidents was 83 cases, accounting for 21.67% of total chemical accidents. In the current system, despite the direct handling of hazardous chemical, it is out of regulation of damage prediction unlike the workplace. In order to effectively respond to actual accident, information on damage prediction is required and should be shared with related ministry. And it should be developed to real-time monitoring of hazardous chemical transport vehicle through integrated control tower.

Battery Failure Prediction using BMS Information of ESS Rooms at Offshore Installation Vessel (해양설치선 ESS Room의 BMS정보를 활용한 Battery 고장예측)

  • Kim, Woo-Young;Cheon, Bong-Won;Kim, Nam-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.10a
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    • pp.59-61
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    • 2021
  • The electric propulsion development is underway to minimize pollutants and greenhous gas emissions during the operation of ships / offshore installation vessels. The importance of the use and efficient management of batteries, which is an ESS system in ships / offshore installation vessels, is increasing. Generally, in ESS where battery is applied, cell balancing and life span are monitored in real time by BMS. Ships / offshore installation vessel are equipped with several ESS rooms, and ESS rooms with ESS systems of the same specification are being constructed due to the recent demand for electric propulsion development. In this paper, we propose an algorithm to additionally predict and diagnose battery pack and cell balancing failures by comparing BMS data for each rooms. The proposed algorithm compares the BMS data of each ESS Room according to the environmental change of the ship / offshore installation vessels, measures accurate status information, and reliably monitors it to prevent accidents in advance.

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Intelligent Bridge Safety Prediction Edge System (지능형 교량 안전성 예측 엣지 시스템)

  • Jinhyo Park;Taejin Lee;Yong-Geun Hong;Joosang Youn
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.12 no.12
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    • pp.357-362
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    • 2023
  • Bridges are important transportation infrastructure, but they are subject to damage and cracking due to various environmental factors and constant traffic loads, which accelerate their aging. With many bridges now older than their original construction, there is a need for systems to ensure safety and diagnose deterioration. Bridges are already utilizing structural health monitoring (SHM) technology to monitor the condition of bridges in real time or periodically. Along with this technology, the development of intelligent bridge monitoring technology utilizing artificial intelligence and Internet of Things technology is underway. In this paper, we study an edge system technique for predicting bridge safety using fast Fourier transform and dimensionality reduction algorithm for maintenance of aging bridges. In particular, unlike previous studies, we investigate whether it is possible to form a dataset using sensor data collected from actual bridges and check the safety of bridges.

A Study on Prediction of Inundation Area considering Road Network in Urban Area (도시지역 도로 네트워크를 활용한 침수지역 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Ah Long;Kim, Byunghyun;Han, Kun Yeon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.307-318
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    • 2015
  • In this study, the efficiency of two-dimensional inundation analysis using road network was demonstrated in order to reduce the simulation time of numerical model in urban area. For this objective, three simulation conditions were set up: Case 1 considered only inundation within road zone, while Case 2 and 3 considered inundation within road and building zone together. Accordingly, Case 1 used grids generated based on road network, while Case 2 and 3 used uniform and non-uniform grids for whole study area, respectively. Three simulation conditions were applied to Samsung drainage where flood damage occurred due to storm event on Sep. 21, 2010. The efficiency of suggested method in this study was verified by comparison the accuracy and simulation time of Case 1 and those of Case 2 and 3. The results presented that the simulation time was fast in the order of Case 1, 2 and 3, and the fit of inundation area between each case was more than 85% within road zone. Additionally, inundation area of building zone estimated from inundation rating index gave a similar agreement under each case. As a result, it is helpful for study on real-time inundation forecast warning to use a proposed method based on road network and inundation rating index for building zone.