• 제목/요약/키워드: Rational Decision

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탄천 이용자의 인식조사를 통한 생태계서비스의 트레이드오프 관계 고찰 (A Study of Ecosystem Services Trade-off based on user Perception in Tancheon)

  • 김무한;최정권;박재붕
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2018
  • Since the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment Report was published in 2005, the conflict between development and the preservation of the ecological environment has turned to paying attention to value assessments in rational decision-making. In recent years, the concept of ecosystem services has been recognized as a viable one for making significant decisions. However, a trade-off between increase and decrease occurs between the ecosystem services sub-categories (cultural service, regulating service, supporting service, and provisioning service), for which research centering on target sites is needed. To this end, the present study aims to investigate the trade-off relationship between service categories to search for reasonable decision-making strategies. As the research method, a survey was conducted using the translated version of SoIVES(Social Value for Ecosystem Services) 3.0 questionnaire of the United States Geological Survey. The research findings demonstrate the economic value, based on the derived monetary value of each service category, the economic value of the target site was compared among landscape aesthetic value 8,050,000 won, recreation value 6,750,000 won, biodiversity value 4,610,000 won, healing value 3,970,000 won, life-sustaining value 2,090,000 won, and productive value 220,000 won. And then the primarily recognized value criteria of the Tancheon ecosystem services illustrate landscape aesthetic and recreation value. Besides, this study illustrates visualized trade-off relationships based on user perception, and the derived relations illustrate the trade-off relationship between the cultural service, regulating service, supporting service, and provisioning service, as well as relationships between the components of the sub-categories.

운영 수준에서의 산업보안 관리대책 중요도 결정 (Decision Making for the Industrial Security Management Measures' Importance in Operation Level)

  • 채정우;정진홍
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.389-398
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 산업보안활동을 수행함에 있어, 운영 수준의 관리대책에 대한 전략적 우선순위 결정을 통해 합리적인 보안투자 의사결정 지원을 목적으로 하였다. 이를 위해 산업보안전문가들을 대상으로 AHP 설문조사를 시행, 분석하여 산업보안 관리대책들의 중요도와 우선순위를 결정하였다. 상위기준 비교평가에서는 'ICT서비스 사용관리'가 가장 높은 가중치(0.54)를 보였다. 하위기준은 중요도 순으로 3개 그룹으로 구분할 수 있었다. 민감도 분석결과, 'ICT시스템/통신망 접근통제'의 가중치를 2배 높이면 그 하위기준인 '운영체제 접근통제', '애플리케이션 접근통제', '유무선 네트워크 접근통제'의 전체 순위가 상위권으로 진입하였다. '물리/환경적 보안'의 가중치를 2배 높이면 그 하위기준인 '보호구역 설정 및 출입/접근통제'와 '업무설비방재/대테러 보호 배치'는 전체 순위가 상위권으로, '전원 등 유틸리티 상시 확보'는 중위권으로 상승함을 확인할 수 있었다.

AHP 기법을 이용한 농촌 커뮤니티 리질리언스 지표 도출 연구 (Assessing Community Resilience in Rural Regions Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process Method)

  • 김은솔;이재호
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to introduce the concept of community resilience to rural society and build an index suitable for the reality of rural areas. Furthermore, by calculating the importance of evaluation factors, it was attempted to present priorities and alternatives for each evaluation factor. By stratifying the derived indicators, a survey was conducted targeting 20 researchers, practitioners, and public officials, three groups of experts working in rural areas who were well aware of the realities and problems of rural areas. In the survey, a pairwise comparison was performed to compare factors 1:1 to calculate the importance, and for rational and consistent decision-making, decisions were made in the 9-grade section. Using the collected data, consistency analysis that can evaluate reliability in the decision-making process and the relative weight of evaluation factors were calculated through AHP analysis. As a result of the analysis, as a result of examining the priority of final importance by summarizing the importance of all evaluation factors, 'Income creation using resources' > 'Population Characteristics' > 'Tolerance' > 'External Support' > 'Social Accessibility' > 'Physical Accessibility' > 'Community Competence' > 'Infrastructure' > 'Leader Competence' > 'Natural Environment' was derived in the order. In the study dealing with urban community resilience indicators, social aspects such as citizen participation, public-private cooperation, and governance were presented as the most important requirements, but this study differs in that the 'income creation' factor is derived as the most important factor. This can be seen through the change in the income difference between rural and urban areas. The income structure of rural areas has changed rapidly, and it is now reaching a very poor level, so it is necessary to prepare alternatives to 'income creation' in the case of rural areas. Unlike urban indicators, 'population characteristics' and 'tolerance' were also derived as important indicators of rural society. However, there are currently no alternatives to supplement the vulnerability by strengthening the resilience of rural communities. Based on the priority indicators derived from the study, we tried to suggest alternatives necessary for rural continuity in the future so that they can be supplemented step by step.

인공지능이 의사결정에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 : 인간과 인공지능의 협업 및 의사결정자의 성격 특성을 중심으로 (A Study on the Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Decision Making : Focusing on Human-AI Collaboration and Decision-Maker's Personality Trait)

  • 이정선;서보밀;권영옥
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.231-252
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    • 2021
  • 인공지능(Artificial Intelligence)은 미래를 가장 크게 변화시킬 핵심 동력으로 산업 전반과 개인의 일상생활에 다양한 형태로 영향을 미치고 있다. 무엇보다 활용 가능한 데이터가 증가함에 따라 더욱더 많은 기업과 개인들이 인공지능 기술을 이용하여 데이터로부터 유용한 정보를 추출하고 이를 의사결정에 활용하고 있다. 인공지능에 관한 기존 연구는 모방 가능한 업무의 자동화에 초점을 두고 있으나, 인간을 배제한 자동화는 장점 못지않게 알고리즘 편향(Algorithms bias)으로 발생되는 오류나 자율성(Autonomy)의 한계점, 그리고 일자리 대체 등 사회적 부작용을 보여주고 있다. 최근 들어, 인간지능의 강화를 위한 증강 지능 (Augmented intelligence)으로서 인간과 인공지능의 협업에 관한 연구가 주목을 받고 있으며 기업도 관심을 가지기 시작하였다. 본 연구는 의사결정을 위해 조언(Advice)을 제공하는 조언자의 유형을 인간, 인공지능, 그리고 인간과 인공지능 협업의 세 가지로 나누고, 조언자의 유형과 의사결정자의 성격 특성이 의사결정에 미치는 영향을 살펴보았다. 311명의 실험자를 대상으로 사진 속 얼굴을 보고 나이를 예측하는 업무를 진행하였으며, 연구 결과 의사결정자가 조언활용을 하려면 먼저 조언의 유용성을 높게 인지하여하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 의사결정자의 성격 특성이 조언자 유형별로 조언의 유용성을 인지하고 조언을 활용하는 데에 미치는 영향을 살펴본 결과, 인간과 인공지능의 협업 형태인 경우 의사결정자의 성격 특성에 무관하게 조언의 유용성을 더 높게 인지하고 적극적으로 조언을 활용하는 것으로 나타났다. 인공지능 단독으로 활용될 경우에는 성격 특성 중 성실성과 외향성이 강하고 신경증이 낮은 의사결정자가 조언의 유용성을 더 높게 인지하고 조언을 활용하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 인공지능의 역할을 의사결정과 판단(Decision Making and Judgment) 연구 분야의 조언자의 역할로 보고 관련 연구를 확장하였다는데 학문적 의의가 있으며, 기업이 인공지능 활용 역량을 제고하기 위해 고려해야 할 점들을 제시하였다는데 실무적 의의가 있다.

Development of a distributed hydrological model considering hydrological change

  • Kim, Deasik;An, Hyunuk;Jang, Minwon;Kim, Seongjoon
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.521-532
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    • 2018
  • In recent decades, the dry stream phenomena of small and medium sized rivers have been attracting much attention as an important social problem. To prevent dry stream phenomena, it is necessary to build an infrastructure that manages rivers. To accurately determine the progress of dry stream phenomena, it is necessary to continuously measure the discharge and other hydrological factors for small and medium sized rivers. However, until now, the flow data for small and medium rivers in Korea has been insufficient. To overcome the lack of supporting data for supporting rational decision-making in policy and project implementation, a short- and long-term hydrological model was developed that takes into consideration hydrological changes such as the increase of the impervious area due to urban development and groundwater pumping, the construction of a large-scale sewage treatment plant, the maintenance of stream-oriented rivers, etc. In the developed model, the distributed grid is represented by three layers: Surface flow, interflow, and groundwater flow. The surface flow and intermediate flow flowed along the flow direction, and the groundwater flow was calculated by a two-dimensional groundwater analysis model such that the outflow occurred in all directions without a specific flow direction. The effects of land use and cover on evapotranspiration and infiltration and the effects of multiple landscapes can be simulated in the developed model.

소셜커머스 환경에서 소비자들의 충동구매에 관한 연구: 플로우와 감정의 역할 (A Study on Customers' Impulsive Buying in Social Commerce Environment: The Role of Flow and Emotion)

  • 이보경;김병수
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.117-136
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    • 2012
  • Given to the prevalence of social commerce such as Groupon, Ticketmonster, and Coupang, it has become critical to understand customer purchasing behavior in social commerce environments. When consumers make purchasing decisions in social commerce, they often act impulsively. This is because social commerce is a deal-of-the-day website that features discounted gift certificates usable at local companies. However, the vast majority of social commerce research has viewed consumer decision-making as a rational process. This study develops a theoretical framework to investigate key drivers of customer's impulsive purchasing in social commerce. This study identifies flow, positive emotion, negative emotion, social commerce attractiveness, and discounted price as the key antecedents of impulsive purchasing. Data collected from 164 users who had prior purchasing experiences with social commerce were empirically tested against the research model using partial least squares analysis. The analysis results indicate that flow plays an important role in facilitating customers' impulsive purchasing in social commerce environments. Moreover, the findings show the exact roles of positive emotion, negative emotion, social commerce attractiveness, and discounted price on consumer's impulsive purchasing.

소형선망어업 시험선 운영의 경제성 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Alternatives Evaluation of the Fishing Boat in the Small Powered Purse Seine)

  • 이승우
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.163-175
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    • 1998
  • The decrease of the fishery's business performance is due to the changes of environment-the increase of cost, the reduction of resources, the liberalization of import, the effectuation of the admiralty law Though the government has prepared the alternative policy to strengthen the competitive power of the fishery, fishermen should draw up a plan to improve the business performance. The problems of the small powered purse seine resulting from the small scale of the fishing boat is following. First, its catching activity in the sea is riskful. Second, the space to eat and to work is not enough. Third, the space to put the fish is not enough, it is hard to maintain the freshness of the fish. Therefore it is necessary to solve these problems for the scale of the fishing boat to have to be enlarged. The enlargement of the fishing boat to be required much expenditure of fund is the important investment decision to fishermen. The alternatives evaluation between the existing boat(defender) and the new boat enlarged with the new equipment(challenger) is necessary process to reduce the uncertainty of investment. The profitability of the challenger is better than that of defender due to the reduction of cost and the increase of revenue. Because the net present value of incremental cash flow is positive, it is rational for fishermen to accept the challenger.

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정보통신표준화분야 우선순위결정을 위한 방법론 연구

  • 박기식;구경철;서의호
    • 경영과학
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.129-151
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    • 1994
  • This paper focuses on method of setting priorities for telecommunications Standardization in which usually includes prioritization, resource allocation, standardization schedule for each SWA is based on prioritization of SWAs. We mainly used the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) and a modified Delphi technique as a method for planning process. Recently, rapid technology evolution in telecommunications fields increases the necessity of developing more and more new standards. Also increased complexity of technologies makes standards more complicated, more specified and more thick than the past ones. As a result, the number of SWAa(Standardization Work Areas) and SWIs(Standardization Work Iterms) is being increased continuously. Furthermore, rapid telecommunication environment changes such as deregulation, liberalization, privatization, regionalization, and globalization surrounding telecommunications standardization grows increasingly important. To cope with these challenges and to make the more efficient use of the limited standardization resources, i.e., time, financial, personal resources, we will suggest logical and rational approach that is a backbone of strategic plan for telecommunication standardization. The telecommunication standardization planning process involves a MCDM(Multi-Criteria Decision Making) process. The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) is a kind of MCDM approach. Our method is based on a combination of a modified Delphi technique and an application of AHP(spreadsheet model). Analyzed data from Delphi technique is used as inputs to AHP. In addition we also focus on the technique how to combine group judgments and to handle a large number of comparisons.

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아동의 소비행동 유형에 따른 아동이 지각한 부모의 소비자사회화 기능 차이에 관한 연구 (A study on the difference of parent's consumer socialization function perceived by children according to consumption behavior patterns of children)

  • 김효정
    • 한국생활과학회지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.273-283
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study was to identify consumption behaviors among children and to examine the differences according to sociodemographic characteristics, factors related to allowance, and parents' consumer socialization function perceived by children. The data were collected from 291 elementary school students in Busan. The results of this study were as follows. First, regarding parents' consumer socialization function perceived by children, the level of child's participation and influence in consumption decision-making was the highest, whereas the level of parent-child communication about consumption was the lowest. Second, consumption behaviors among children were identified into 5 groups: impulsive consumption group, rational allowance management group, friend-dependent purchase group, planned purchase group, and effective goods management group. There were significant difference among them according to child's sex, allowance amount, allowance frequency, parents' guidance about allowance usage, parents' check after allowance usage, and 3 categories of parents' consumer socialization function perceived by children. These results imply that consumer education for parents should be developed and activated to improve consumer socialization function of parents.

전력에너지소비의 합리적 의사결정을 위한 행동경제학과 IT기술의 결합에 관한 연구 (Study of combination of behavioral economics and IT for the rational decision making of electronics consumption)

  • 박원호;정남준;백남옥;채창훈
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2011년도 제42회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.622-623
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    • 2011
  • 산업화시대 이래로 과학기술의 진보, 물질문명의 발달과 더불어 에너지 소비량도 폭발적으로 증가하여 왔다. 이로 인한 환경문제, 지구온난화 등 범지구적인 차원의 이슈가 발생하였다. 기후변화에 대처하기 위한 에너지 절약은 정책당국자, 학계, 산업계뿐만 아니라 일반시민들에게 있어서도 오랫동안 고민되어온 화두가 되어 오고 있다. 또한, 최근 발생한 일본의 원자력 방사능 유출건도 일본 수도권의 막대한 전기 소비량을 뒷받침하기 위해 건설된 발전소로 인한 2차 피해라는 측면에서 보다 안전하고 환경 친화적 재생적인 에너지에 대한 관심은 더욱 높아갈 수 밖에 없는 실정이다. 그러나 이를 위해 수많은 캠페인들이 행해져 왔음에도 불구하고 에너지 과소비는 여전히 해결되지 않고 있는 난제 중에 하나이다. 이러한 오랜 이슈를 해결하기 위해 기존의 에너지 절감 정책의 틀에서 벗어나 인간의 실질적인 소비행태에 변화를 주려는 대안 모색을 목표로 경제학의 새로운 패러다임인 행동주의 경제학의 프레임워크를 동원하여 효과적인 에너지 절감방안을 사람들의 제한적 합리성에 근거하여 모색하고자 한다. 더불어 이러한 시도는 최신 IT기술과의 융합을 통해 그 효율성을 극대화할 수 있을 것이다. 따라서 행동주의 경제학의 이론적 개념과 실질적인 적용사례를 살펴보고, IT기술의 융합을 시도할 때 고려해야할 사항들에 대해서도 논의를 전개해 나갈 것이다. 이를 통해, 효과적이고 효율적인 에너지 절감정책을 발견하기 위한 정보의 전달방식, 정보의 영향력, 편익측면의 제약사항 등에 대한 다양한 실험적인 연구들을 촉구하고자 한다.

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