• 제목/요약/키워드: Rate of Rise trends

검색결과 41건 처리시간 0.029초

황해 동부 연안의 홀로세 해수면 변화: 대리기록과 관측자료를 통한 재검토 (Holocene Sea Level Changes in the Eastern Yellow Sea: A Brief Review using Proxy Records and Measurement Data)

  • 이은일;장태수
    • 한국지구과학회지
    • /
    • 제36권6호
    • /
    • pp.520-532
    • /
    • 2015
  • 황해 동부 해안의 홀로세 해수면 변동 특성을 이해하고 시기 별 상승추세를 비교하기 위하여 지질학적 대리기록과 기기관측 자료를 통합하여 분석하였다. 홀로세 동안 황해의 해수면은 초기에 약 10 mm/yr의 속도로 빠르게 상승하고 중기를 거쳐 후기로 갈수록 해수면 상승률은 1 mm/yr 정도로 둔화되며, 20세기 해수면은 홀로세 후기보다 다소 빠르게 상승하였다. 빠른 상승으로 알려진 현재 해수면 상승률은 홀로세 초기와 중기의 상승추세와 비교할 때 사실 훨씬 낮거나 비슷하게 나타난다. 최근 조위계 자료는 황해 해수면이 21세기로 갈수록 상승률이 높아지고 있음을 나타낸다. 이러한 상승 추세는 전 지구적 해수면 변화와 일치한다. 추가적으로, 연구지역에서 현재의 해수면 상승 추세는 이산화탄소 농도와 해수표층온도의 증가율과 대비되며, 이는 인간활동에 수반된 지구온난화의 신호이다. 그러므로 황해 동부와 전세계의 해양에서 관찰되는 현 지구온난화에 의해 야기된 해수면 변화를 '인류세' 해수면 변화라고 제안한다. 이 해수면변화는 조위계와 인공위성 고도계 같은 기기관측을 기반으로 하며, 계측시대를 의미한다. 이와 같이, 황해의 홀로세 해수면 변동은 대리기록으로, '인류세' 해수면은 기기관측을 기반으로 한다.

Estimation of Time Trends of Incidence of Prostate Canner - an Indian Scenario

  • Lalitha, Krishnappa;Suman, Gadicherla;Pruthvish, Sreekantaiah;Mathew, Aleyamma;Murthy, Nandagudi S.
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제13권12호
    • /
    • pp.6245-6250
    • /
    • 2012
  • Background: With increase in life expectancy, adoption of newer lifestyles and screening using prostate specific antigen (PSA), the incidence of prostate cancer is on rise. Globally prostate cancer is the second most frequently diagnosed cancer and sixth leading cause of cancer death in men. The present communication makes an attempt to analyze the time trends in incidence for different age groups of the Indian population reported in different Indian registries using relative difference and regression approaches. Materials and Methods: The data published in Cancer Incidence in Five Continents for various Indian registries for different periods and/or publications by the individual registries served as the source materials. Trends were estimated by computing the mean annual percentage change (MAPC) in the incidence rates using the relative difference between two time periods (latest and oldest) and also by estimation of annual percentage change (EAPC) by the Poisson regression model. Results: Age adjusted incidence rates (AAR) of prostate cancer for the period 2005-2008 ranged from 0.8 (Manipur state excluding Imphal west) to 10.9 (Delhi) per $10^5$ person-years. Age specific incidence rates (ASIR) increased in all PBCRs especially after 55 years showing a peak incidence at +65 years clearly indicating that prostate cancer is a cancer of the elderly. MAPC in crude incidence rate(CR) ranged from 0.14 (Ahmedabad) to 8.6 (Chennai). Chennai also recorded the highest MAPC of 5.66 in ASIR in the age group of 65+. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in the AAR ranged from 0.8 to 5.8 among the three registries. Increase in trend was seen in the 55-64 year age group cohort in many registries and in the 35-44 age group in Metropolitan cities such as Delhi and Mumbai. Conclusions: Several Indian registries have revealed an increasing trend in the incidence of prostate cancer and the mean annual percentage change has ranged from 0.14-8.6.

미소경 드릴링 머신의 시작과 감시에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Development and the Monitoring of Micro Hole Drilling Machine)

  • 백인환;정우섭
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제18권4호
    • /
    • pp.62-68
    • /
    • 1994
  • Recently, the trends toward reduction in size and weight of industrial products increased the application of micro hole for manufacturing gadgets of high precision and gave rise to a great deal of interest for micro hole drilling M/C. Quite a few research work is performed on micro drilling on domestic basis compared with the tendency of analyzing cutting mechanism, adaptive control, monitoring of generally available drills of diameter greater than 1mm. This study adresses the design, manufacturing and controlling a micro hole drilling M/C with the overload detection instrument and the step feed mechanism. Controlling and monitoring of the drilling process are acomplished on PC basis for more user interfaces and effectiveness. The test machine of the results of this research shows a good foundation for extending further micro hole machining technique.

  • PDF

Reclamation of Inorganic wastes to Artificial Lightweight Aggregates

  • Chang, Hui-Lan;Liaw, Chin-Tson
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전자공학회 2001년도 The 6th International Symposium of East Asian Resources Recycling Technology
    • /
    • pp.565-570
    • /
    • 2001
  • Annually, Taiwan generates approximately 2 million tons of inorganic wastes in the form of sludge, fly ash and slug. To increase the added value of waste and maintain the increasingly insufficient supply of natural gravel, large public construction projects account for this large demand each year. future architectural trends are leading towards high-rise buildings. In light of the above, Center for Environmental, Safety and Health Technology Development, Industrial Technology Research Institute has developed the technology of manufacturing cold-bonding, sintering and bloating types of lightweight aggregates with a specific gravity ranging between 0.7~1.7, water absorption rate < 30%. The lightweight aggregate verified by physical property tests can be used as a substitute for the natural aggregate, which generally appears in replacing gravel in concrete, soundproofing and heat insulation materials. Doing so would not only moderate waste disposal problems, but also achieve the goal of resource recovery.

  • PDF

Epidemiology of Gastroesophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma in Korea

  • Kim, Jin-Jo
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
    • /
    • 제18권4호
    • /
    • pp.328-338
    • /
    • 2018
  • The incidence of gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma (GEJAC) in Western countries has increased in recent decades, in addition to a rise in the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), obesity, smoking, alcohol consumption, and low Helicobacter pylori (HP) infection rate have been nominated as risk factors for such cancers. Among these risk factors, the increased prevalence of GERD and obesity and the decreased prevalence of HP infection are of special interest owing to the currently increasing prevalence of GEJAC in Western countries. Although similar trends in the prevalence of GERD, obesity, and HP infection are observed in Asian countries after a time lag from Western countries, it is still uncertain if the prevalence of GEJAC in Asian countries is increasing, especially in Korea. The incidence of GERD in Korea is currently increasing; it was below 3% in the 1990s. The incidence of obesity in the Korean population is increasing owing to the adoption of westernized lifestyles, including food preferences, and the HP infection rate in Korea is known to be decreasing. Therefore, based on logical extrapolation of observations of Western countries, the incidence of GEJAC will increase in Korea. However, the proportion of GEJAC among other upper gastrointestinal malignancies in Korea appears to be currently unchanged compared with that in the 1990s. Presently, there is a lack of epidemiologic studies on this issue in this region; therefore, more studies are needed to clarify the characteristics of these tumors and to improve clinical outcomes for patients with these tumors.

BIM 기반의 설계단계 원가예측 시계열모델 -자재가격을 중심으로- (BIM Based Time-series Cost Model for Building Projects: Focusing on Construction Material Prices)

  • 황성주;박문서;이현수;김현수
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
    • /
    • 제12권2호
    • /
    • pp.111-120
    • /
    • 2011
  • 최근 도심지 고밀화에 따른 공간의 효율적 이용이 요구됨에 따라 대규모의 고층 사무공간이 증가하고 있으며, 이와 함께 주거, 상업, 문화 등 다양한 기능을 밀접하게 연관시킨 고층 복합시설도 점차 늘어가고 있다. 이러한 대형 건설, 프로젝트는 긴 공사기간이 소요되어 공사비 예측이 쉽지 않으며, 막대한 비용이 투입되기 때문에 비용 예측의 중요성이 더욱 증대되고 있다. 이러한 상황에서 최근 극심한 경제변화에 따른 건설자재가격의 변동은 자재비를 포함한 공사비 예측을 어렵게 만드는 주요 원인이다. 따라서 본 연구는 건설자재단가 시계열자료를 활용, 미래의 자재단가 예측을 위한 시계열모델을 구축하고 복잡한 모델 프로세스를 간소화하는 자재별 최적 예측모델 도출시스템을 구축한다. 또한 Building Information Modeling(BIM)의 접근을 통해 자재의 투입시기 및 투입물량을 분석, 시계열모델을 통해 예측한 자재단가 예측 값과 조합함으로써 총 자재비를 포함하는 BIM기반 공사원가 예측 시계열모델을 제시한다. 본 연구는 시계열모델의 하나인 Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average(ARIMA)모델에 대한 예측력 비교를 통해 자재단가 예측을 위한 적합모델을 도출하였다. BIM기반의 원가예측 시계열모델은 자재의 투입시기별 자재단가 변동치를 예측함으로써 급변하는 경제 환경 변화에 대처할 수 있는 도구가 될 것이다.

도시의 개발 사업에 따른 생물다양성 변화 추세 분석 - 환경영향평가의 육상 동물종을 중심으로 - (Analysis of biodiversity change trend on urban development project - Focusing on terrestrial species in Environmental Impact Assessment -)

  • 김은섭;이동근;전윤호;최지영;김신우;황혜미;김다슬;문현빈;배지호
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
    • /
    • 제26권6호
    • /
    • pp.21-32
    • /
    • 2023
  • The Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) plays a pivotal role in predicting the potential environmental impacts of proposed developments and planning appropriate mitigation measures to minimize effects on species. However, as concerns over biodiversity loss rise, there's ongoing debate about the efficacy of these mitigation plans. In this study, we utilized data from EIAs and post-environmental impact surveys to understand the trends in biodiversity during construction and operation phases. By examining 30 urban development projects, we categorized species richness indices of mammals, birds, amphibians, and reptiles into pre-construction, during construction, and post-construction operational stages. The biodiversity trends were analyzed based on the rate of change in these indices. The results revealed three distinct biodiversity change patterns: (A) An initial increase in biodiversity indices post-development, followed by a gradual decline over time; (B) a sustained increase in biodiversity as a result of mitigation measures; and (C) a continuous decline in biodiversity post-development. Furthermore, all species exhibited a higher rate of biodiversity decline during the construction phase compared to the operational phase, with mammals showing the most significant rate of change. Notably, the biodiversity change rate during operation was generally lower than during construction. In particular, mammals seemed to be most influenced by mitigation measures, displaying the smallest rate of change. This study provides empirical evidence on the efficacy of mitigation measures and deliberates on ways to enhance their effectiveness in minimizing the adverse impacts of urban development on biodiversity. These findings can serve as foundational data for addressing terrestrial biodiversity reduction.

Lung Cancer in a Rural Area of China: Rapid Rise in Incidence and Poor Improvement in Survival

  • Yang, Juan;Zhu, Jian;Zhang, Yong-Hui;Chen, Yong-Sheng;Ding, Lu-Lu;Kensler, Thomas W;Chen, Jian-Guo
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제16권16호
    • /
    • pp.7295-7302
    • /
    • 2015
  • Background: Lung cancer has been a major health problem in developed countries for several decades, and has emerged recently as the leading cause of cancer death in many developing countries. The incidence of lung cancer appears to be increasing more rapidly in rural than in urban areas of China. This paper presents the trends of lung cancer incidence and survival derived from a 40-year population-based cancer monitoring program in a rural area, Qidong, China. Materials and Methods: The Qidong cancer registration data of 1972-2011 were used to calculate the crude rate, age-standardized rate by Chinese population (CASR) and by world population (WASR), birth cohort rates, and other descriptive features. Active and passive methods were used to construct the data set, with a deadline of the latest follow-up of April 30, 2012. Results: The total number of lung cancer cases was 15,340, accounting for 16.5% of all sites combined. The crude incidence rate, CASR and WASR of this cancer were 34.1, 15.7 and 25.4 per 100,000, respectively. Males had higher crude rates than females (49.7 vs 19.0). Rapidly increasing trends were found in annual percent change resulting in lung cancer being a number one cancer site after year 2010 in Qidong. Birth cohort analysis showed incidence rates have increased for all age groups over 24 years old. The 5 year observed survival rates were 3.55% in 1973-1977, 3.92 in 1983-1987, 3.69% in 1993-1997, and 6.32% in 2003-2007. Males experienced poorer survival than did females. Conclusions: Lung cancer has become a major cancer-related health problem in this rural area. The rapid increases in incidence likely result from an increased cigarette smoking rate and evolving environmental risk factors. Lung cancer survival, while showing some improvement in prognosis, still remains well below that observed in the developed areas of the world.

정밀 농업기계 교육프로그램의 발전 (Development of Precision Agricultural Machine Education Program)

  • 홍순중;김동억;강동현;김진진;강정균;정선옥;모창연;유동기
    • 현장농수산연구지
    • /
    • 제22권2호
    • /
    • pp.115-122
    • /
    • 2020
  • In Korea, the agricultural machinery market has been generally on the rise, and particularly the demand for the diverse agricultural machine is increasing due to the radical changes in agriculture, such as a high supply of the advanced and automated agricultural machine and an increase in aged or female farmer population. Therefore, this study analyzes the technical trends in the precision agricultural machine domestically and globally to guide the direction of development of the ICT-based machine. The investigation of the precision agricultural machine in this study focuses on the production technology through analyzing the trends in sensor-related technology, the decision-making research, variable treatment technology, and academic publication. The result shows that information processing technology including the sensor and the decision-making requires various measurement factors and the established technologies are continually being developed.

Implementation of Artificial Intelligence Systems for Agri-food Supply Chains: A Bibliometric Approach

  • Javier RAMIREZ;Henry HERRERA;Osman REDONDO;Sofia SULBARAN
    • 유통과학연구
    • /
    • 제22권6호
    • /
    • pp.83-93
    • /
    • 2024
  • Purpose: The present study is developed with the aim of mapping the trends in scientific production related to the implementation of artificial intelligence systems for agro-food supply chains. Research design, data and methodology: The methodological approach of the research shows a descriptive documentary process based on bibliometric techniques for mapping the main indicators of the area of knowledge through the establishment of a search equation in Scopus. Results: The research results show a total of 633 documents published between 2019 and 2023, with a great annual growth rate of 61.68%; In addition to a notable participation of countries such as India, China, the United Kingdom and the United States in the generation of new knowledge related to artificial intelligence applied to food distribution systems. Conclusions: It is concluded that the rise of new artificial intelligence technologies has shown extremely important results in the development of industries worldwide, with increasingly accelerated steps; which certainly translates into the creation of spaces and incentives in the production of research aimed at understanding these dynamics and in turn to propose new alternatives and proposals for the reduction of the large technological gaps that are present within the agro-food sector.