• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rate of Returns

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Are Precious Metals Hedge Against Financial and Economic Variables?: Evidence from Cointegration Tests

  • YAQOOB, Tanzeela;IQBAL, Javed
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.81-91
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    • 2021
  • This paper investigates the long run hedging ability of precious metals against the risks associated with adverse conditions of economic and financial variables for Pakistan, the USA, China, and India. Monthly data of gold, silver, platinum, stock returns, exchange rate, industrial production, and inflation was collected for the selected economies. Saikkonen and Lutkepohl (2002) unit root test was employed to access the unit root properties of the data series and identify the break dates. Furthermore, this study used the Johansen cointegration test with and without structural breaks to identify the long-run relationship between metals prices and different financial and economic variables. The findings suggest that the time series under study have unit root problem at level with and without structural breaks. Without considering structural breaks, the Johansen trace test indicates that in Pakistan and China, gold, silver, and platinum hold a cointegrating relationship with macroeconomic and financial variables. For the US, gold indicates cointegration which supports the hedging ability of gold against inflation, stock, and industrial production in the long run. The results of the cointegration test after incorporating the structural breaks provide even stronger evidence of the long-run relationship of precious metals and consumer prices, exchange rate, and stock prices.

Factors Affecting the Volatility of Post-IPO Stock Prices: Evidence from State-Owned Enterprises in Hanoi Stock Exchange

  • LE, Phuong Lan;THACH, Duc Khoi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.409-419
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    • 2022
  • This paper examines the post-IPO price volatility in the first trading days after the IPO of SOEs that carry out equitization, on a sample of 76 IPOs on the Hanoi Stock Exchange (Vietnam) in the period 2013-2018. Oversubscription rate, firm size, issuance size, internal equity ownership, and listing delay are all factors that influence IPO price volatility in a primitive stock market. The results showed that the average initial market-adjusted return for the first three trading days was -11.95%; -9.58% and -7.29% and the level of price volatility is related to the rate of oversubscription and company size. Issuance price, issuance size, internal equity holdings, and listing delay do not seem to contribute significantly to post-IPO share prices. Individual investors based their valuation on information released during and after the IPO. In general, the number of IPOs that yield positive and negative returns in the first trading days is about the same, indicating that the two phenomena of undervaluation and overvaluation still occur in the process of valuing shares of Vietnamese SOEs for IPOs.

A Study on the Inducement of Private Investment to the Rural Village Improvement (민간자본에 의한 농어촌 마을정비 방안 모색)

  • 박시현
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.32-39
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    • 1998
  • In Korea, rural village improvement has mainly been led by goverment investment. This approach, however, has its own limit since there are so many village to be improved while the budgetary sources are restricted, As an alternative, inducement of private investments to these area is considered in order to promote rural village improvement. The possibility of inducing private investments to the rural village improvement depends on the location of the village. The possibility may be highest in the sub-urban area since expected benefits from land development is usually high. One desirable approach to induce private investment to these area is the cooperative development system. Residents, private investors and governments plays its own role, independently and cooperatively, But benifits from the investment to improve rural village in general plain area are so low that it is difficult to induce the private investments to these area. In that case, indirect development system will be a proper strategy which maintaining government-led development method as usual, expanding the participation of private developers such as the construction companies. In general, rate of returns from investment to the rural sectors is lower than that to the other sectors, therefore financial support such as the long- term, low loan rate and a partial value-added tax exemption should be given to the investors to the rural village improvement projects.

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A Study on the Portfolio Performance Evaluation using Actor-Critic Reinforcement Learning Algorithms (액터-크리틱 모형기반 포트폴리오 연구)

  • Lee, Woo Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.467-476
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    • 2022
  • The Bank of Korea raised the benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point to 1.75 percent per year, and analysts predict that South Korea's policy rate will reach 2.00 percent by the end of calendar year 2022. Furthermore, because market volatility has been significantly increased by a variety of factors, including rising rates, inflation, and market volatility, many investors have struggled to meet their financial objectives or deliver returns. Banks and financial institutions are attempting to provide Robo-Advisors to manage client portfolios without human intervention in this situation. In this regard, determining the best hyper-parameter combination is becoming increasingly important. This study compares some activation functions of the Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient(DDPG) and Twin-delayed Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (TD3) Algorithms to choose a sequence of actions that maximizes long-term reward. The DDPG and TD3 outperformed its benchmark index, according to the results. One reason for this is that we need to understand the action probabilities in order to choose an action and receive a reward, which we then compare to the state value to determine an advantage. As interest in machine learning has grown and research into deep reinforcement learning has become more active, finding an optimal hyper-parameter combination for DDPG and TD3 has become increasingly important.

External Rate of Returns as Decision Rule (의사결정기준으로서 외부수익률이 가져야할 조건)

  • Kim, Jin-Uk;Cha, Dong-Su;Park, Chun-Tae;Gwon, Bong-Gi;Kim, Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.746-748
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    • 2004
  • 공학적 투자사업을 선택하거나 기각하는 의사결정기준으로 내부수익률법이 널리 사용되고 있다. 그러나 투자사업에서 예상되는 현금흐름의 형태에 따라 다수의 내부수익률이 존재하는 상황이 발생하면 내부수익률법은 의사결정기준으로 사용하기에 부적합하다. 내부수익률의 이런 문제를 해결하기 위하여 전체 수익률 또는 외부수익률을 의사결정기준으로 사용할 수 있다. 그러나 외부수익률도 다양한 방법으로 정의되어 의사결정기준으로 적합한 외부수익률 계산방법을 정해야 하는 문제가 있다. 따라서 공학적 투자사업의 의사결정기준으로 적합한 외부수익률의 조건을 순현재가 치법과 비교하여 탐색한다.

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Stock Prices and Exchange Rate Nexus in Pakistan: An Empirical Investigation Using MGARCH-DCC Model

  • RASHID, Tabassam;BASHIR, Malik Fahim
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2022
  • The study examines stock prices (LOGKSE) and exchange rate (LOGPK)-Pakistani Rupee vis-à-vis US Dollar- interactions in Pakistan. This study employs a multivariate VAR-GARCH model using monthly data from January 2012 to October 2020. The results of the Johansen cointegration test show that there is no relationship between Foreign Exchange Market and Stock Market in the long run. In the short-run, stock exchange returns are affected slightly negatively by the changes in the foreign exchange market, but the foreign exchange market does not seem to be affected by the ups and downs of the stock exchange. The VAR model and Granger Causality show that both markets are strongly influenced by their own lagged values rather than by the lagged values of one another and show weak or no correlation between the two markets. Volatility persistence is observed in both the stock and foreign exchange markets, implying that shocks and past period volatility are major drivers of future volatility in both markets. Thus greater uncertainties today will induce panic and consequently generate higher volatility in the future period. This phenomenon has been observed many times on Pakistan Stock Exchange especially. The results have important implications for local international investors in portfolio diversification decisions and risk hedging strategies.

Demonstration of Optimizing the CFAR Threshold for Development of GMTI System (GMTI 시스템 개발을 위한 CFAR 임계치 최적화)

  • Kim, So-Yeon;Yoon, Sang-Ho;Shin, Hyun-Ik
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.141-146
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    • 2018
  • The Ground Moving Target Indication(GMTI) technique can detect the moving targets on land using its Doppler returns. Also, the GMTI system can work in night regardless of the weather condition because it is an active sensor that uses the electromagnetic waves as its source. In order to develop the GMTI system, Constant False Alarm Rate(CFAR) threshold optimization is important because the main performances like detection probability, false alarm rate and Minimum Detectable Velocity(MDV) are related deeply with CFAR threshold. These key variables are used to calculate CFAR threshold and then trade-off between the variables is performed. In this paper, CFAR threshold optimization procedures are introduced, and the optimization results are demonstrated.

Investment Beneficial Analysis of Culture of Mountain Medical Plant Resources - Open field Culture of Schizandra - (산지약용식물자원의 재배 투자 수익성 분석 - 오미자 노지재배 -)

  • Park, Yong-Bae;Kim, Jae-Sung;Kim, Ki-Dong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.99 no.6
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    • pp.808-815
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    • 2010
  • This study is to give informations about management Situations and investment returns to someone who will newly cultivate schizandra or expand area of culture. This study used IRR, B/C Ratio and NPV for beneficial analysis. We surveyed fifty one among schizandra cultivation farmhouses in chief producing districts Gangwon Inje, Gyeongbuk Munkyung, Kyungnam Sancheong and Jeonnam Whasoon in Korea from May till September in 2009. So this study surveyed about inputted labors and materials, land price and etc. by working process to calculate producing and operating cost. Fruits of schizandra are sold from 5,000 won to 6,000 won per kg at locals. And IRR(Internal Rate of Returns), B/C Ratio and incomes ratio is calculated by three senarios 5,000 won, 5,500 won and 6,000 won per kg at locals. Discount rate is 3.00%. As the result of this study IRRs are -16.00%, -6.91%, 0.40% one after another and B/C Ratios are 0.81, 0.89, 0.97 one after another. And schizandra cultivation isn't profitable. When price of schizandra fruits is 6,200 won per kg, IRR is 3.00% and B/C Ratio is 1.00. Therefore, if price of schizandra fruits is over 6,200 won per kg, we judge that it is profitable. And income ratio is 23.9% on 6,200 won per kg.

Long-Run Stock Price Performance of the Firms that Grant Stock Options and the Separation of Ownership and Management (소유경영기업과 전문경영기업의 스톡옵션 부여 후 장기성과 결정요인)

  • Jeong, Jae-Wook;Bae, Gil-S.
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.149-182
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    • 2007
  • This study examines the determinants of the long-run stock price performance of the firms that granted stock options between 1997 and 2002. We divide the sample into the firms run by the owner and those run by the professional manager. If the primary reason for granting stock options is reduction of the agency costs between the manager and shareholders, the effect of stock options is likely to be more pronounced in the firms run by the professional manager. We find that the long-run abnormal returns of the firms run by the professional manager are negatively associated with the shareholdings by the manager and the book-to-market value and are positively associated with the earnings growth and the size of the outstanding stock options. In contrast, the long-run abnormal returns of the firms run by the owner are negatively associated with the cash flows rate and the sales growth rate and are positively associated with the firm size. This is consistent with the argument that the agency costs arising from the conflicts between the manager and shareholders are an important determinant of the post-stock option granting long-run stock price performance only in the firms run by the professional manager. The results also suggest that stock options in the firms run by the owner are likely to be used for the purposes such as additional compensation, a signaling device, a means that reduce the agency costs within firms.

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Pricing an Outside Barrier Equity-Indexed Annuity with Flexible Monitoring Period (배리어 옵션이 내재된 지수연동형 보험상품의 가격결정)

  • Shin, Seung-Hee;Lee, Hang-Suck
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.249-264
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    • 2009
  • Equity-indexed annuities(EIAs) provide their customers with the greater of either the return linked to the underlying index or the minimum guaranteed return. Insurance companies have developed EIAs to attract customers reluctant to buy traditional fixed annuities because of low returns and also reluctant to buy mutual funds for fear of the high volatility in the stock market. This paper proposes a new type of EIA embedded with an outside barrier option with flexible monitoring period in order to increase its participation rate. It also derives an explicit pricing formula for this proposed product, and discusses numerical examples to show relationships among participation rate, barrier level, index volatility and correlation.