• 제목/요약/키워드: Random-coefficient model

검색결과 206건 처리시간 0.03초

도시철도차량 주행차륜의 직경/플랜지 변화 데이터와 머신러닝 기법을 활용한 주행거리 예측 연구 (A Study on the Mileage Prediction of Urban Railway Vehicle using Wheel Diameter/Flange change Data and Machine Learning Techniques)

  • 노학락;임원식
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2023
  • The steel wheels of urban railway vehicles gather a lot of data through regular measurements during maintenance. However, limited research has been carried out utilizing this data, resulting in difficulties predicting the maintenance period. This paper studied a machine learning model suitable for mileage prediction by studying the characteristics of mileage change according to diameter and flange thickness changes. The results of this study indicate that the larger the diameter, the longer the travel distance, and the longest flange thickness is at 30 mm, which gradually shortened at other times. As a result of research on the machine learning prediction model, it was confirmed that the random forest model is the optimal model with a high coefficient of determination and a low root mean square error.

Nonlinear mixed models for characterization of growth trajectory of New Zealand rabbits raised in tropical climate

  • de Sousa, Vanusa Castro;Biagiotti, Daniel;Sarmento, Jose Lindenberg Rocha;Sena, Luciano Silva;Barroso, Priscila Alves;Barjud, Sued Felipe Lacerda;de Sousa Almeida, Marisa Karen;da Silva Santos, Natanael Pereira
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제35권5호
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    • pp.648-658
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    • 2022
  • Objective: The identification of nonlinear mixed models that describe the growth trajectory of New Zealand rabbits was performed based on weight records and carcass measures obtained using ultrasonography. Methods: Phenotypic records of body weight (BW) and loin eye area (LEA) were collected from 66 animals raised in a didactic-productive module of cuniculture located in the southern Piaui state, Brazil. The following nonlinear models were tested considering fixed parameters: Brody, Gompertz, Logistic, Richards, Meloun 1, modified Michaelis-Menten, Santana, and von Bertalanffy. The coefficient of determination (R2), mean squared error, percentage of convergence of each model (%C), mean absolute deviation of residuals, Akaike information criterion (AIC), and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) were used to determine the best model. The model that best described the growth trajectory for each trait was also used under the context of mixed models, considering two parameters that admit biological interpretation (A and k) with random effects. Results: The von Bertalanffy model was the best fitting model for BW according to the highest value of R2 (0.98) and lowest values of AIC (6,675.30) and BIC (6,691.90). For LEA, the Logistic model was the most appropriate due to the results of R2 (0.52), AIC (783.90), and BIC (798.40) obtained using this model. The absolute growth rates estimated using the von Bertalanffy and Logistic models for BW and LEA were 21.51g/d and 3.16 cm2, respectively. The relative growth rates at the inflection point were 0.028 for BW (von Bertalanffy) and 0.014 for LEA (Logistic). Conclusion: The von Bertalanffy and Logistic models with random effect at the asymptotic weight are recommended for analysis of ponderal and carcass growth trajectories in New Zealand rabbits. The inclusion of random effects in the asymptotic weight and maturity rate improves the quality of fit in comparison to fixed models.

지진을 받는 현수교의 수직진동 (Vertical Seismic Vibration of Suspension Bridges)

  • 최지훈;이존자;김수보;이용재
    • 한국강구조학회 논문집
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    • 제12권5호통권48호
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    • pp.581-593
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구는 지진하중을 받는 현수교의 수직 동적 해석방법을 발전시켰다. 시간 영역해석, 불규칙 진동 해석 및 스펙트럼 해석의 이론을 체계적으로 정립하였다. 불규칙 진동 해석을 다시 수치적분을 이용하는 방법과 수학적 적분식 및 상관계수를 이용한 방법으로 나누고 각각은 다시 지진하중을 white noise로 가정한 경우와 filtered white noise로 가정한 경우에 대해 CQC 방법과 SRSS 방법을 사용하였다. 현수교의 모델링은 빔, 트러스 및 프레임요소를 사용하였고 케이블과 주탑은 사하중에 의한 기하학적 강성을 고려하였다.

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불규칙 이동분포하중을 받는 차량 타이어의 구조 진동소음 제어를 위한 음향방사 해석 (Sound Radiation Analysis for Structure Vibration Noise Control of Vehicle Tire under The Action of Random Moving Line Forces)

  • 김병삼
    • 한국음향학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국음향학회 2004년도 추계학술발표대회논문집 제23권 2호
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    • pp.221-224
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    • 2004
  • A theoretical model has been studied to describe the sound radiation analysis for structure vibration noise of vehicle tires under the action of random moving line forces. When a tire is analyzed, it had been modeled as curved beams with distributed springs and dash pots that represent the radial , tangential stiffness and damping of tire, respectively. The reaction due to fluid loading on the vibratory response of the curved beam is taken into account. The curved beam is assumed to occupy the plane y=0 and to be axially infinite. The curved beam material and elastic foundation are assumed to be lossless Bernoulli-Euler beam theory including a tension force, damping coefficient and stiffness of foundation will be employed. The expression for sound power is integrated numerically and the results examined as a function of Mach number, wave-number ratio and stiffness factor. The experimental investigation for structure vibration noise of vehicle tire under the action of random moving line forces has been made. Based on the Spatial Transformation of Sound Field techniques, the sound power and sound radiation are measured. Results strongly suggest that operation condition in the tire material properties and design factors of the tire govern the sound power and sound radiation characteristics.

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물가동학에서 기대변수의 특성에 대한 연구 (A Study of Characteristics of Expectation in Inflation Dynamics)

  • 이재준
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.95-120
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    • 2014
  • 본 논문은 경제주체들이 미래에 대한 기대를 형성하는 데 있어서 기대기간이 주요한 역할을 한다는 점을 밝히는 시도이다. 정보효율성과 관련된 경제학적 가정이 확률과정에 어떠한 제약으로 작용하는지에 대한 분석으로부터 출발하여, 기대변수에 대한 조정과정이 오로지 새로이 발생한 정보만을 반영하는 경우를 미래기대의 임의보정(random revision of expectation)이라는 새로운 개념으로 제시하였다. 이러한 가정하에 물가동학 결정식을 도출할 경우, 산출갭으로 측정한 수요압력의 인플레이션에 대한 영향은 기대기간에 따라 달리 식별되었다. 이러한 모형을 우리나라 자료를 이용하여 실증한 결과, 기대기간을 단기로 설정할 경우 계수 추정치는 작아지고 통계적 유의성도 떨어지는 것으로 나타났다.

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Applications of Stochastic Process in the Quadrupole Ion traps

  • Chaharborj, Sarkhosh Seddighi;Kiai, Seyyed Mahmod Sadat;Arifina, Norihan Md;Gheisari, Yousof
    • Mass Spectrometry Letters
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2015
  • The Brownian motion or Wiener process, as the physical model of the stochastic procedure, is observed as an indexed collection random variables. Stochastic procedure are quite influential on the confinement potential fluctuation in the quadrupole ion trap (QIT). Such effect is investigated for a high fractional mass resolution Δm/m spectrometry. A stochastic procedure like the Wiener or Brownian processes are potentially used in quadrupole ion traps (QIT). Issue examined are the stability diagrams for noise coefficient, η=0.07;0.14;0.28 as well as ion trajectories in real time for noise coefficient, η=0.14. The simulated results have been obtained with a high precision for the resolution of trapped ions. Furthermore, in the lower mass range, the impulse voltage including the stochastic potential can be considered quite suitable for the quadrupole ion trap with a higher mass resolution.

Cross-Project Pooling of Defects for Handling Class Imbalance

  • Catherine, J.M.;Djodilatchoumy, S
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제22권10호
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2022
  • Applying predictive analytics to predict software defects has improved the overall quality and decreased maintenance costs. Many supervised and unsupervised learning algorithms have been used for defect prediction on publicly available datasets. Most of these datasets suffer from an imbalance in the output classes. We study the impact of class imbalance in the defect datasets on the efficiency of the defect prediction model and propose a CPP method for handling imbalances in the dataset. The performance of the methods is evaluated using measures like Matthew's Correlation Coefficient (MCC), Recall, and Accuracy measures. The proposed sampling technique shows significant improvement in the efficiency of the classifier in predicting defects.

Estimation of Covariance Functions for Growth of Angora Goats

  • Liu, Wenzhong;Zhang, Yuan;Zhou, Zhongxiao
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제22권7호
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    • pp.931-936
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    • 2009
  • Body weights of 862 Angora goats between birth and 36 months of age, recorded on a semiyearly basis from 1988 to 2000, were used to estimate genetic, permanent environmental and phenotypic covariance functions. These functions were estimated by fitting a random regression model with 6th order polynomial for direct additive genetic and animal permanent environmental effects and 4th and 5th order polynomial for maternal genetic and permanent environmental effects, respectively. A phenotypic covariance function was estimated by modelling overall animal and maternal effects. The results showed that the most variable coefficient was the intercept for both direct and maternal additive genetic effects. The direct additive genetic (co)variances increased with age and reached a maximum at about 30 months, whereas the maternal additive genetic (co)variances increased rapidly from birth and reached a maximum at weaning, and then decreased with age. Animal permanent environmental (co)variances increased with age from birth to 30 months with lower rate before 12 months and higher rate between 12 and 30 months. Maternal permanent environmental (co)variances changed little before 6 months but then increased slowly and reached a maximum at about 30 months. These results suggested that the contribution of maternal additive genetic and permanent environmental effects to growth variation differed from those of direct additive genetic and animal permanent environmental effects not only in expression time, but also in action magnitude. The phenotypic (co)variance estimates increased with age from birth to 36 months of age.

SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL INFLUENCES ON SOIL MOISTURE ESTIMATION

  • Kim, Gwang-seob
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.31-44
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    • 2002
  • The effect of diurnal cycle, intermittent visit of observation satellite, sensor installation, partial coverage of remote sensing, heterogeneity of soil properties and precipitation to the soil moisture estimation error were analyzed to present the global sampling strategy of soil moisture. Three models, the theoretical soil moisture model, WGR model proposed Waymire of at. (1984) to generate rainfall, and Turning Band Method to generate two dimensional soil porosity, active soil depth and loss coefficient field were used to construct sufficient two-dimensional soil moisture data based on different scenarios. The sampling error is dominated by sampling interval and design scheme. The effect of heterogeneity of soil properties and rainfall to sampling error is smaller than that of temporal gap and spatial gap. Selecting a small sampling interval can dramatically reduce the sampling error generated by other factors such as heterogeneity of rainfall, soil properties, topography, and climatic conditions. If the annual mean of coverage portion is about 90%, the effect of partial coverage to sampling error can be disregarded. The water retention capacity of fields is very important in the sampling error. The smaller the water retention capacity of the field (small soil porosity and thin active soil depth), the greater the sampling error. These results indicate that the sampling error is very sensitive to water retention capacity. Block random installation gets more accurate data than random installation of soil moisture gages. The Walnut Gulch soil moisture data show that the diurnal variation of soil moisture causes sampling error between 1 and 4 % in daily estimation.

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Combined effect of glass and carbon fiber in asphalt concrete mix using computing techniques

  • Upadhya, Ankita;Thakur, M.S.;Sharma, Nitisha;Almohammed, Fadi H.;Sihag, Parveen
    • Advances in Computational Design
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.253-279
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    • 2022
  • This study investigated and predicted the Marshall stability of glass-fiber asphalt mix, carbon-fiber asphalt mix and glass-carbon-fiber asphalt (hybrid) mix by using machine learning techniques such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Random Forest(RF), The data was obtained from the experiments and the research articles. Assessment of results indicated that performance of the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based model outperformed applied models in training and testing datasets with values of indices as; coefficient of correlation (CC) 0.8492 and 0.8234, mean absolute error (MAE) 2.0999 and 2.5408, root mean squared error (RMSE) 2.8541 and 3.3165, relative absolute error (RAE) 48.16% and 54.05%, relative squared error (RRSE) 53.14% and 57.39%, Willmott's index (WI) 0.7490 and 0.7011, Scattering index (SI) 0.4134 and 0.3702 and BIAS 0.3020 and 0.4300 for both training and testing stages respectively. The Taylor diagram also confirms that the ANN-based model outperforms the other models. Results of sensitivity analysis show that Carbon fiber has a major influence in predicting the Marshall stability. However, the carbon fiber (CF) followed by glass-carbon fiber (50GF:50CF) and the optimal combination CF + (50GF:50CF) are found to be most sensitive in predicting the Marshall stability of fibrous asphalt concrete.