• 제목/요약/키워드: Random-coefficient model

검색결과 198건 처리시간 0.023초

The Impact of Trade Openness on Economic Growth: Evidence from Agricultural Countries

  • SIREGAR, Abi Pratiwa;WIDJANARKO, Nadila Puspa Arum
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2022
  • The study investigates the effect of trade openness on the economic growth of agricultural countries. The information of export, import, gross domestic product (GDP), Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF), and population of 72 agrarian nations generated by the World Bank from 2011 until 2020 is used for data examination. Then, before panel data analysis, a preferred model is chosen from among common-effects, fixed-effects, and random effects. The best model turns out to be a fixed-effect model. The result reports that from 2011 to 2020; 16 out of 72 nations have succeeded in experiencing positive economic growth, the value of GFCF was US$ 2,859.04 billion, and later grew by 19 percent to US$ 3,393.73 billion, the population tends to increase continuously year by year, and 2 out of 72 countries experienced export plus import exceed their GDP. Moreover, trade openness is positively associated with economic growth, with a coefficient of 3.81. Besides that, an increase in GFCF may boost economic growth by approximately 3.32 percent. On the contrary, one percent additional population significantly delivers around 25.46 percent negative economic growth. To sum up, the higher intensity of products or services sold and bought abroad may enhance the economic performance.

Prediction of Larix kaempferi Stand Growth in Gangwon, Korea, Using Machine Learning Algorithms

  • Hyo-Bin Ji;Jin-Woo Park;Jung-Kee Choi
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we sought to compare and evaluate the accuracy and predictive performance of machine learning algorithms for estimating the growth of individual Larix kaempferi trees in Gangwon Province, Korea. We employed linear regression, random forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM algorithms to predict tree growth using monitoring data organized based on different thinning intensities. Furthermore, we compared and evaluated the goodness-of-fit of these models using metrics such as the coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The results revealed that XGBoost provided the highest goodness-of-fit, with an R2 value of 0.62 across all thinning intensities, while also yielding the lowest values for MAE and RMSE, thereby indicating the best model fit. When predicting the growth volume of individual trees after 3 years using the XGBoost model, the agreement was exceptionally high, reaching approximately 97% for all stand sites in accordance with the different thinning intensities. Notably, in non-thinned plots, the predicted volumes were approximately 2.1 m3 lower than the actual volumes; however, the agreement remained highly accurate at approximately 99.5%. These findings will contribute to the development of growth prediction models for individual trees using machine learning algorithms.

기상모델자료와 기계학습을 이용한 GK-2A/AMI Hourly AOD 산출물의 결측화소 복원 (Spatial Gap-filling of GK-2A/AMI Hourly AOD Products Using Meteorological Data and Machine Learning)

  • 윤유정;강종구;김근아;박강현;최소연;이양원
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제38권5_3호
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    • pp.953-966
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    • 2022
  • 에어로솔(aerosol)은 대기 질을 악화시키는 등 인체 건강에 악영향을 끼치므로 에어로솔의 분포 및 특성에 대한 정량적인 관측이 필수적이다. 최근 전 지구 규모에서의 주기적이고 정량적인 정보 획득 수단으로 위성관측 Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) 영상이 다양한 연구에 활용되지만 광학센서 기반의 위성 AOD 영상은 구름 등의 조건을 가진 일부 지역에서 결측을 가진다. 이에 본 연구는 위성자료의 결측복원을 위하여 격자형 기상자료와 지리적 요소를 입력변수로 하여 Random Forest (RF) 기반 gap-filling 모델을 생성한 이후, gap-free GK-2A/AMI AOD hourly 영상을 산출하였다. 모델의 정확도는 -0.002의 Mean Bias Error (MBE), 0.145의 Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)로, 원자료의 목표 정확도보다 높으며 상관계수 0.714로 복원 대상이 대기변수인 점을 감안하면 상관계수 측면에서도 충분한 설명력을 갖춘 모델이다. 정지궤도 위성의 높은 시간 해상도는 일변화 관측에 적합하며 대기보정을 위한 입력, 지상 미세먼지 농도 추정, 소규모 화재 또는 오염원 분석 등 타 연구를 위한 자료 활용 측면에서 중요하다.

A study of glass and carbon fibers in FRAC utilizing machine learning approach

  • Ankita Upadhya;M. S. Thakur;Nitisha Sharma;Fadi H. Almohammed;Parveen Sihag
    • Advances in materials Research
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.63-86
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    • 2024
  • Asphalt concrete (AC), is a mixture of bitumen and aggregates, which is very sensitive in the design of flexible pavement. In this study, the Marshall stability of the glass and carbon fiber bituminous concrete was predicted by using Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and M5P Tree machine learning algorithms. To predict the Marshall stability, nine inputs parameters i.e., Bitumen, Glass and Carbon fibers mixed in 100:0, 75:25, 50:50, 25:75, 0:100 percentage (designated as 100GF:0CF, 75GF:25CF, 50GF:50 CF, 25GF:75CF, 0GF:100CF), Bitumen grade (VG), Fiber length (FL), and Fiber diameter (FD) were utilized from the experimental and literary data. Seven statistical indices i.e., coefficient of correlation (CC), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), relative absolute error (RAE), root relative squared error (RRSE), Scattering index (SI), and BIAS were applied to assess the effectiveness of the developed models. According to the performance evaluation results, Artificial neural network (ANN) was outperforming among other models with CC values as 0.9147 and 0.8648, MAE values as 1.3757 and 1.978, RMSE values as 1.843 and 2.6951, RAE values as 39.88 and 49.31, RRSE values as 40.62 and 50.50, SI values as 0.1379 and 0.2027 and BIAS value as -0.1 290 and -0.2357 in training and testing stage respectively. The Taylor diagram (testing stage) also confirmed that the ANN-based model outperforms the other models. Results of sensitivity analysis showed that the fiber length is the most influential in all nine input parameters whereas the fiber combination of 25GF:75CF was the most effective among all the fiber mixes in Marshall stability.

무질서한 매질에서 침투깊이와 파동 전파 (Penetration depth and Wave Propagation in Random Media)

  • 김기준;성기천
    • 한국응용과학기술학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.70-76
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    • 2006
  • The influence of fluorophor, scatterer, absorber in turbid materials by light scattering were interpreted for the scattered fluorescence intensity and wavelength, it is studied the molecular property by laser induced fluorescence spectroscopy. It can be found that the effects of optical property are penentrated in scattering media by the optical $parameters({\mu}s$, ${\mu}a$, ${\mu}t$, ${\gamma}$, ${\rho})$. The value of scattering coefficient ${\mu}s$ is large appeared by means of the increasing particles of scattering, it can be found that the slope appears exponentially as a function of distance from laser source to detector. It may also utilize in designing the best model for oil chemistry, laser medicine and application of medical engineering.

다중 로짓 모형에서의 상위차원의 예측치 통계에 관한 연구 (Upper-Level Expectation in Random Coefficient Logit Model)

  • 이성우;류성호
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구는 다음의 두 가지 목적이 있다. 첫째, 각종 실증분석에 있어서의 다중모형의 효율성에 대한 소개와, 둘째, 다중모형의 분석에 있어서 상위단계의 예측되는 가치를 측정하기 위한 새로운 통계를 소개하는 데 있다. 다중모형의 이론적 틀은 광범위하게 사용되는 기존의 1단계 모형의 통계적 문제점(이분산 등)을 보완하고, 현실을 더욱 실체적으로 파악한다는 측면에서 앞으로 지역분석의 중추적 틀로서 자리매김하리라 예상되고 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 다중모형의 효율성을 가상 자료가 아닌 실제 자료를 이용하여 검증하였으며, 특히 기존에 제시되지 않은 다중로짓모형에서의 상위수준의 잔차 또는 예측치를 계산하는 통계량을 제시하였다. 이 새로운 통계량은 실증분석에 있어서의 관찰치와의 상관관계와 그 분산의 분석에 있어서 잘 행위하고 있는 것으로 나타났다.

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확률계수 열화모형하에서 열화자료의 분석방법 비교 연구 (A Comparative Study on the Analysis Methods of Degradation Data under Random Coefficient Model)

  • 조유희;서순근;이수진
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 2006년도 춘계공동학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 2006
  • 최근 들어 전통적인 (가속)수명시험으로도 고 신뢰도 제품의 신뢰도 평가가 힘들므로 제품의 성능열화를 관측하여 수명 정보를 추정하는 열화 시험에 대한 관심이 증대되고 있다. 본 논문은 대수정규분포를 따르는 확률계수 열화율 모형 하에서 분포 모수 및 수명분포의 분위수를 추정하는 세 가지 통계적 분석법(근사적, 해석적, 수치적 방법)의 통계적 성능을 비교하였다. 즉, 다양한 수치실험상황 하에서 모형에 포함되는 (측정)오차의 영향을 고려하여 세 방법의 우월성을 조사하였다.

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An Adaptive Image Quality Assessment Algorithm

  • Sankar, Ravi;Ivkovic, Goran
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.6-13
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    • 2012
  • An improved algorithm for image quality assessment is presented. First a simple model of human visual system, consisting of a nonlinear function and a 2-D filter, processes the input images. This filter has one user-defined parameter, whose value depends on the reference image. This way the algorithm can adapt to different scenarios. In the next step the average value of locally computed correlation coefficients between the two processed images is found. This criterion is closely related to the way in which human observer assesses image quality. Finally, image quality measure is computed as the average value of locally computed correlation coefficients, adjusted by the average correlation coefficient between the reference and error images. By this approach the proposed measure differentiates between the random and signal dependant distortions, which have different effects on human observer. Performance of the proposed quality measure is illustrated by examples involving images with different types of degradation.

분말가압 성형공정의 멀티스케일 시뮬레이션과 공정변수 최적화 (Multi-scale Simulation of Powder Compaction Process and Optimization of Process Parameters)

  • 심진우;심정길;금영탁
    • 한국소성가공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소성가공학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.344-347
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    • 2007
  • For modeling the non-periodic and randomly scattered powder particles, the quasi-random multi-particle array is introduced. The multi-scale process simulation, which enables to formulate a regression model with a response surface method, is performed by employing a homogenization method. The size of ${Al_2}{O_3}$ particle, amplitude of cyclic compaction pressure, and friction coefficient are considered as optimal process parameters. The optimal conditions of process parameters providing the highest relative density are finally found by using the grid search method.

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불규칙 궤도외란을 받는 자기부상열차의 진동해석 및 2차현가장치 동적설계 (Vertical Vibration Analysis of a Magnetically Levitated Vehicle due to Random Track Disturbances and Dynamic Design of Its Secondary Suspensions)

  • 최영휴;허신;김유일
    • 연구논문집
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    • 통권22호
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 1992
  • A dynamic design process was proposed for the design of the secondary suspension characteristics of a magnetically levitated vehicle(MAGLEV). It is based on a ride quality-secondary stroke trade-off. For the vertical vibration analysis, a magnetically levitated vehicle was simplified as 2 d.o.f. linear model, and FRA's class-6-track irregularities were considered as exciting disturbances. The optimum value of airspring stiffness and damping coefficient for the secondary suspension of a prototype MAGLEV was determined using this proposed design process.

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